Key Points New York City-based Findell Capital Management added 90,000 shares of Turning Point Brands for an estimated $8.9 million in the third quarter. The move marked a new position for Findell, which reported holding no shares of Turning Point Brands in the previous quarter. Turning Point Brands is not among the fund’s top five positions. These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires › New York City-based Findell Capital Management reported a new position in Turning Point Brands (N ...

Company Overview - Turning Point Brands, Inc. operates in the tobacco and alternative products sector, leveraging established brands like Zig-Zag and Stoker's [5] - The company employs a multi-segment strategy, serving both traditional tobacco consumers and those seeking alternative products [5] - Turning Point Brands generates revenue through the manufacture, marketing, and distribution of various branded consumer products, including rolling papers, moist snuff tobacco, and vapor products [7] Financial Performance - As of November 14, 2025, Turning Point Brands had a market capitalization of $1.93 billion and revenue of $435.72 million for the trailing twelve months (TTM) [3] - The company reported a net income of $52.37 million for the TTM [3] - In Q3, sales increased by 31% year over year to $119 million, with net income rising 70% to $21 million, resulting in diluted earnings per share of $1.13 compared to $0.68 in the prior year [8] Growth Drivers - A significant contributor to Turning Point Brands' success has been its Modern Oral line of nicotine pouches, which saw Q3 sales surge by 628% year over year to $37 million [9] - The company has raised its 2025 sales forecast for the Modern Oral line to between $125 million and $130 million, a substantial increase from the original guidance of $60 million to $80 million [9] Market Performance - As of November 14, 2025, shares of Turning Point Brands were priced at $101.22, reflecting a 75% increase over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 by 62 percentage points [2] - The stock reached a 52-week high of $110.55 on November 5, 2025, indicating strong market performance [10]

Company Overview - Turning Point Brands, Inc. (NYSE:TPB) specializes in manufacturing, marketing, and distributing branded consumer products, operating through segments like Stoker's and Zig-Zag [1] Recent Rating Update - Oppenheimer upgraded TPB to "Outperform" with a stock price of approximately $98.74, indicating expectations for better performance than the overall market [2][6] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, TPB reported a 31.2% increase in total consolidated net sales, reaching $119 million compared to the same period in 2024, driven primarily by the Stoker's segment which saw an 80.8% increase in net sales [3][6] - The Zig-Zag segment experienced a 10% decline in net sales, indicating mixed performance across product lines [3] Stock Performance - TPB's stock price is currently at $101.23, reflecting a 6.36% increase or $6.05, with fluctuations between a low of $94.50 and a high of $110.33 on the same day [4][6] - Over the past year, TPB's stock reached a high of $110.35 and a low of $47.53, demonstrating significant volatility [4] Market Capitalization and Trading Volume - TPB's market capitalization is approximately $1.82 billion, with a trading volume of 1,379,296 shares on the NYSE, indicating strong market presence and investor interest [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue increased by 31% to $119 million for Q3 2025, with adjusted EBITDA rising 17% to $31.3 million [7][17] - Gross margin improved to 59.2%, up 360 basis points year over year and 210 basis points sequentially [17] - Adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to a range of $115-$120 million, up from $110-$114 million [7][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Modern oral revenue, including Fre and On!, surged 628% year over year to $36.7 million [8][18] - Stoker's revenue increased by 81% to approximately $74.8 million, with MST sales up 6% and loose leaf sales up 4% [12][18] - Zig-Zag revenue decreased by 11% to $44.2 million, reflecting anticipated declines due to a focus on modern oral products [12][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - White nicotine pouch brands now account for 31% of the business, up from 26% in Q2 and 6% a year ago [18] - Analysts expect the nicotine pouch category to approach or exceed $10 billion in manufacturers' revenue by the end of the decade [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is prioritizing investments in modern oral products while maintaining cash flow from heritage brands [10][11] - Key initiatives include reallocating sales and marketing resources, expanding international markets, and enhancing U.S. manufacturing capabilities [10][11] - The company aims to double the size of its sales force by the end of 2026 [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the growth potential in the nicotine pouch market and the company's long-term target of achieving double-digit market share [9] - The company is focused on maintaining a balance between growth and profitability, with expectations of continued promotional activity in the market [66] Other Important Information - The company raised $100 million in gross proceeds under its at-the-market offering program to support growth initiatives [10][19] - The company plans to update its buyback authorizations to provide for $200 million of capacity under each program [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capacity and COGS for onshoring - Management indicated that onshoring will lead to immediate savings in inbound freight and tariff avoidance, with expected improvements in unit economics as production ramps up [22][24][25] Question: In-store market share for modern oral category - Management noted that while specific market share data is not disclosed, they are encouraged by the results of in-store selling as distribution expands [26][27] Question: Growth drivers for MST and loose leaf - Growth in MST and loose leaf was attributed to a combination of increased market share and favorable pricing, with significant opportunities for further gains [31][32] Question: Modern oral growth drivers for Fre and On! - Both brands experienced healthy growth, with On! dominating B2C and making inroads into brick-and-mortar accounts, while Fre had a strong quarter in both online and physical retail [33][35] Question: Promotional environment outlook - Management remains bullish on the category, anticipating continued promotional activity driven by larger competitors, while focusing on building brand connections with consumers [66]

Core Insights - Turning Point Brands, Inc. reported a total consolidated net sales increase of 31.2% to $119.0 million for Q3 2025 compared to Q3 2024 [1] - The Stoker's segment experienced a significant net sales increase of 80.8% [1] - Conversely, the Zig-Zag segment saw a decrease in net sales by 10% [1] Financial Performance - Total consolidated net sales for Q3 2025 reached $119.0 million, marking a substantial growth of 31.2% year-over-year [1] - The Stoker's segment's net sales growth of 80.8% indicates strong performance and demand within this category [1] - The decline of 10% in the Zig-Zag segment's net sales suggests potential challenges or shifts in consumer preferences affecting this product line [1]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Tobacco industry is facing significant challenges, including declining cigarette sales due to shifting consumer preferences, inflationary pressures, and tightening regulations [1][4] - Rising health awareness and stricter restrictions on smoking are reducing demand for traditional tobacco products, negatively impacting overall industry performance [1][4] Key Trends - **Challenges in Cigarette Sales Volumes**: The industry is experiencing a decline in cigarette sales driven by inflation and changing consumer spending patterns, alongside regulatory restrictions on sales and advertising [4] - **Escalated Costs**: Industry participants are affected by cost inflation related to essential materials, energy, and labor, which poses risks to profit margins [5] - **Rising Popularity of Smoke-Free Options**: There is a growing demand for smoke-free alternatives like heated tobacco and vapor products, driven by health awareness and regulatory changes [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Tobacco industry currently ranks 165, placing it in the bottom 32% of over 243 Zacks industries, indicating dull near-term prospects [7][8] - The industry's consensus estimate for current financial year earnings has decreased by 1.2% since August 2025, reflecting a negative earnings outlook [9] Market Comparison - Over the past year, the Zacks Tobacco industry has outperformed the S&P 500, gaining 36.4% compared to the S&P 500's growth of 18.4% [11] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.44X, lower than the S&P 500's 23.53X and the sector's 16.37X [14] Company Highlights - **Philip Morris International**: This company is transitioning towards a smoke-free future, focusing on reduced-risk products (RRPs) and has seen a 30% increase in shares over the past year [17][19] - **Altria Group**: Altria is prioritizing RRPs and has experienced a 31.7% surge in shares over the past year, supported by its strong legacy brands [22][23] - **Turning Point Brands**: This company has gained momentum with a 105.8% increase in shares over the past year, focusing on innovative product launches and expanding distribution channels [26][28]

Core Insights - Sin stocks, representing companies in industries like alcohol, tobacco, cannabis, and gambling, are often viewed as unethical but have a history of delivering strong returns due to consistent demand [2][3][4] - These stocks are characterized by their defensive nature, maintaining stable demand even during economic downturns, which allows for strong pricing power and consistent cash flows [3][4] - Despite their potential for robust returns, sin stocks face challenges such as heavy regulation, negative public perception, and ethical concerns that may deter some investors [5][10] Industry Overview - Sin stocks have shown resilience during both economic expansions and contractions, making them appealing for investors willing to overlook ethical concerns [4] - The alcohol sector is experiencing a shift towards premium and craft offerings, while tobacco companies are adapting to declining cigarette use by investing in vaping products [8] - The cannabis industry is rapidly expanding in regions where legalization is increasing, presenting both growth opportunities and volatility [8][9] Company Analysis - **Diageo Plc (DEO)**: Focuses on market share growth through innovation and premiumization in the alcohol sector [6] - **Las Vegas Sands (LVS)**: Concentrates on property upgrades and strategic investments to drive growth in the gambling sector [6][18] - **Turning Point Brands (TPB)**: Building a growth story around established brands and next-generation products, with a focus on smoke-free alternatives [12][13][14] - **Boston Beer Company (SAM)**: Maintains a strong position in the U.S. craft beverage market, emphasizing innovation and operational efficiency to adapt to consumer preferences [15][16][17] - **MGM Resorts International (MGM)**: Holds a leading position in global gaming, enhancing its competitive edge through capital investments and expansion in digital gaming [18][19][20]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Tobacco industry is shifting towards smoke-free alternatives due to increased consumer health awareness and stricter regulations on traditional cigarettes [1][4] - Major companies like Philip Morris International, Altria Group, and Turning Point Brands are investing in reduced-risk products (RRPs) to cater to the demand for healthier nicotine options [1][4] Market Trends - The popularity of smoke-free options, such as heated tobacco and vaping products, is reshaping the industry as consumers seek safer alternatives [4] - Tobacco companies are leveraging strong pricing power to maintain revenues despite declining cigarette sales, as loyal consumers tend to absorb price increases [2][5] Challenges - The industry faces challenges in cigarette sales volumes due to inflation and changing consumer behavior, alongside regulatory restrictions impacting sales and advertising [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Tobacco industry ranks 65, placing it in the top 27% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating positive near-term prospects [7][8] - The industry has outperformed the broader market, gaining 63.8% over the past year compared to the S&P 500's 9.8% increase [10] Valuation - The industry is currently trading at a forward P/E of 15.78X, lower than the S&P 500's 21.89X and the sector's 17.62X [13] Company Highlights - **Altria Group**: Focused on transitioning to a smoke-free future with its oral nicotine pouch brand, on!, and has seen a 29.3% increase in shares over the past year [15][17] - **Philip Morris International**: Leading in RRPs with products like IQOS and ZYN, shares have surged 81% in the past year [20][21] - **Turning Point Brands**: Gaining traction with innovative products and strong demand for smokeless alternatives, shares have skyrocketed 132.8% in the past year [24][25]

Core Insights - The Zacks Tobacco industry is transitioning towards smoke-free alternatives due to increasing consumer health awareness and stricter regulations on traditional cigarettes [1][5][6] - Major companies like Philip Morris International, Altria Group, and Turning Point Brands are heavily investing in reduced-risk products (RRPs) to leverage this trend [1][6] Industry Overview - The Zacks Tobacco industry encompasses companies that manufacture and sell cigarettes, cigars, snuffs, and nicotine-based products, including RRPs like e-cigarettes and vaping products [3] - Products in this industry are regulated by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, which enforces permissible nicotine levels [4] Trends Impacting the Industry - There is a rising demand for smoke-free options driven by health concerns and government regulations aimed at reducing cigarette consumption [5] - Tobacco companies are focusing on innovations to enhance user experience and energy efficiency in RRPs, leading to significant revenue growth [6] Pricing Power and Sales Challenges - Tobacco companies maintain strong pricing power, allowing them to implement price increases despite declining cigarette sales volumes [7] - The industry faces challenges from inflation and regulatory restrictions, which are impacting cigarette sales and consumer behavior [8][9] Industry Performance - The Zacks Tobacco industry has outperformed the broader market, gaining 61.1% over the past year compared to the S&P 500's growth of 6.2% [13] - The industry is currently trading at a forward P/E of 14.37X, lower than the S&P 500's 19.88X [14] Company Highlights - **Philip Morris International**: Transitioning to a smoke-free future with a focus on RRPs like IQOS and ZYN, aiming for a majority smoke-free business by 2030. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its EPS is $7.18, with shares gaining 76.7% in the past year [15][17][16] - **Altria Group**: Focusing on smoke-free brands like NJOY and on!, while modernizing operations through its "Optimize and Accelerate" initiative. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its EPS is $5.31, with shares increasing by 40% in the past year [18][19] - **Turning Point Brands**: Experiencing growth through its core brands and modern oral nicotine products, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for its EPS at $3.42 and shares soaring 115.8% in the past year [20][22]

Core Insights - The Zacks Tobacco industry is transitioning towards smoke-free alternatives due to increasing consumer health awareness and stricter regulations on traditional cigarettes [1][4] - Major companies like Philip Morris International, Altria Group, and Turning Point Brands are heavily investing in reduced-risk products (RRPs) to leverage this trend [1][4] Industry Overview - The Zacks Tobacco industry encompasses companies that manufacture and sell cigarettes, cigars, snuffs, and nicotine-based products, including RRPs like e-cigarettes and heat-not-burn products [3] - Products are sold through various retail channels and are subject to strict regulations by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration [3] Trends Impacting the Industry - The demand for smoke-free options is rising, driven by health concerns and government regulations aimed at reducing cigarette consumption [4] - Tobacco companies are focusing on innovations in RRPs to enhance user experience and energy efficiency, leading to significant revenue growth in this segment [4] Pricing Power - Tobacco companies maintain strong pricing power, allowing them to implement price increases despite declining cigarette sales volumes [5] - The addictive nature of cigarettes results in consumer loyalty, making them less sensitive to price hikes [5] Challenges - The industry faces challenges in cigarette sales volumes due to inflation and changing consumer behavior towards smoke-free alternatives [6] - Regulatory restrictions on sales and advertising further impact traditional cigarette sales [6] Industry Performance - The Zacks Tobacco industry ranks 90, placing it in the top 36% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating positive near-term prospects [7][8] - The industry has outperformed the broader market, gaining 61.1% over the past year compared to 6.2% for the broader sector and 8.1% for the S&P 500 [10] Valuation - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.37X, lower than the S&P 500's 19.88X and the sector's 17.66X [13] Company Highlights - **Philip Morris International**: Transitioning to a smoke-free future with a focus on RRPs like IQOS and ZYN, aiming for a majority smoke-free business by 2030; shares have gained 76.7% in the past year [16][17] - **Altria Group**: Focusing on smoke-free brands and modernizing operations through its "Optimize and Accelerate" initiative; shares have surged 40% in the past year [19] - **Turning Point Brands**: Experiencing growth through core brands and modern oral nicotine products; shares have skyrocketed 115.8% in the past year [22][23]