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Dell, HPE Named Top AI Server Plays As Analyst Cites $14 Billion Backlog
Benzingaยท 2025-07-09 18:28
Core Insights - The server market is projected to experience significant growth driven by artificial intelligence, with revenues expected to grow at a 25% annual rate from 2024 to 2030, while unit shipments will increase at a 7% annual pace [1][10]. Company Insights - Dell Technologies is identified as a major beneficiary of the rising AI server demand, with an AI server backlog of $14.4 billion as of the first quarter of fiscal 2026, and projected AI server revenue growth from $9.8 billion in 2024 to over $44 billion by 2027 [5][6]. - Hewlett Packard Enterprise is also expected to benefit significantly, with AI server revenue projected to grow from $4.5 billion in 2024 to $20 billion by 2027, and an APU backlog of $3.2 billion at the end of the second quarter of fiscal 2025 [7]. Market Dynamics - AI server revenues are anticipated to grow at a 28% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2030, outpacing the overall server market growth of 25% CAGR, while non-AI server revenues will grow at about 4% annually [3]. - AI server unit shipments are expected to increase at a 15% CAGR, compared to total server units growing at a 7.2% annual rate during the same period [4]. Product Segmentation - Early AI-related demand is expected to focus on mid-range and high-end training servers, with inference server demand rising in later years, primarily in the mid-range segment [11]. - Volume servers priced below $10,000 are projected to grow at a 5% CAGR, while mid-range server units will grow at a 19% CAGR, and high-end server units will grow at a 39% CAGR, driven by the need to train AI models [12]. Competitive Landscape - The server industry is expected to face pressure on profit margins due to intensifying competition, with operating margins likely to remain in the low-to-mid single digits in the near term [9]. - Newer GPUs, such as Nvidia's Blackwell, require significant power, leading to the integration of liquid cooling systems, which currently command premium pricing but are expected to see price reductions over time [8].