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新产业(300832):营业绩呈现改善趋势,海外业务毛利率超越国内市场水平
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-10 08:11
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][23][24] Core Views - The company's operating performance shows an improving trend, with revenue growth turning positive year-on-year in Q3 2025. The company achieved revenue of 34.28 billion (+0.39%) and a net profit of 12.05 billion (-12.92%) in the first three quarters of 2025, with Q3 revenue at 12.43 billion (+3.28%) and net profit at 4.34 billion (-9.72%) [1][3] - The overseas reagent business is experiencing rapid growth, with a 21.07% increase in overseas revenue and a 37% increase in reagent revenue year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025. The overall gross margin for overseas operations has risen to 69.49%, surpassing domestic market levels [2][3] - The company is expected to maintain a healthy operating cash flow, with operating cash flow of 10.64 billion (+11.1%) in the first three quarters of 2025, representing 88% of net profit [3][25] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 12.43 billion (+3.28%) and a net profit of 4.34 billion (-9.72%). The first three quarters of 2025 saw total revenue of 34.28 billion (+0.39%) and a net profit of 12.05 billion (-12.92%) [1][3] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 68.7% (-3.6 percentage points), with a net profit margin of 35.2% (-5.4 percentage points) [3][25] Product and Market Development - The company has installed 1,144 units of fully automated chemiluminescence analyzers in the first three quarters of 2025, with large machines accounting for 78% of installations. The T8 production line has installed 143 lines, significantly exceeding the total for 2024 [2][3] - The company plans to phase out all M series models except for the M800, shifting overseas sales to the higher-margin X series products [2][3] Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been slightly adjusted, with expected net profits of 16.92 billion, 20.02 billion, and 23.30 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of -7.4%, 18.3%, and 16.4% respectively [3][25]
新产业(300832):Q3业绩环比回升 国内业务边际改善 海外持续加速拓展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 06:50
公司发布2025 年三季报,25Q1-3 实现营业收入34.28 亿元(YoY+0.39%),归母净利润12.05 亿元 (YoY-12.92%),扣非净利润11.36 亿元(YoY-14.68%);25Q3 实现营业收入12.43 亿元 (YoY+3.28%,QoQ+17.24%),归母净利润4.34 亿元(YoY-9.72%,QoQ+30.03%),扣非净利润4.10 亿元(YoY-11.58%,QoQ+32.55%)。 事件: 盈利预测:我们预计公司2025-2027 年营收分别为47.27、53.94、62.03亿元,同比增速分别为4.23%、 14.11%、14.99%,归母净利润分别为17.95、21.18、25.30 亿元,同比增速分别为-1.81%、17.99%、 19.43%,对应当前股价PE 分别为27、23、19 倍,维持"推荐"评级。 点评: 风险提示:产品销售不及预期,市场竞争加剧,行业政策变动,海外市场拓展不及预期等。 1. Q3 国内业务边际改善,试剂检测量稳健增长,大型机及流水线加速装机。25Q1-3,公司国内业务营 收19.55 亿元,同比下降11%,主要受到集采和检验套餐解 ...
国信证券晨会纪要-20250514
Guoxin Securities· 2025-05-14 01:57
Group 1: Media Industry - The media sector's performance has bottomed out and is expected to improve, with a focus on AI applications and IP trends [7] - In April 2025, the media sector (Shenwan Media Index) fell by 2.23%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.78 percentage points, ranking 14th among 31 industries [7] - The media sector achieved a total revenue of 125.85 billion yuan and a net profit of 11.08 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing year-on-year growth of 5.59% and 28.63% respectively [7] Group 2: Automotive Industry - The six-dimensional force sensor is a core component for humanoid robots, crucial for interaction with the environment and valued at approximately 16% of the robot's total value [8][9] - The six-dimensional force sensor can measure forces and moments in three dimensions, with various performance indicators such as accuracy and sensitivity [9][10] - Domestic suppliers are increasingly entering the market, with the six-dimensional force sensor market projected to reach 13.8 billion yuan by 2030 [11] Group 3: Social Services Industry - The service consumption growth rate outpaced that of goods, with a 6.2% increase in 2024 and a 5.0% increase in Q1 2025 [12] - The overall revenue of the travel chain in 2024 increased by 14%, with a significant rise in net profit [12] - The online travel agency (OTA) sector is expected to benefit from the ongoing recovery in travel demand, with companies like Meituan and Ctrip showing strong revenue growth [13][14] Group 4: Communication Industry - Silicon photonic modules are emerging as a new generation of optical communication modules, offering low cost, low power consumption, and high integration [15] - The market for silicon photonic modules is projected to reach 10.3 billion USD by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45% over the past five years [15][16] - The integration of silicon-based materials with compound materials is expected to enhance product performance while balancing costs [16] Group 5: Machinery Industry - The machinery sector index fell by 4.64% in April, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 1.64 percentage points [18] - The investment strategy emphasizes humanoid robots and domestic value growth, focusing on sectors with high valuation elasticity [18][19] - Key recommended stocks include Huace Testing, Guangdian Measurement, and Yizhiming, among others [18][20] Group 6: Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector underperformed the overall market, with a TTM price-to-earnings ratio of 32.26x, indicating a valuation at the 61.93% percentile of the past five years [24] - The U.S. drug pricing reform aims to provide "most favored nation" pricing, potentially impacting large pharmaceutical companies' pricing power [25][26] - The overall market sentiment remains cautious due to potential legal challenges and the need for further implementation details [25][26] Group 7: Electric Power Industry - Dongfang Electric's Q1 2025 net profit increased by 27% year-on-year, with a total revenue of 16.55 billion yuan [26][27] - The company faced a significant decline in profit in 2024 due to lower product gross margins and substantial impairment losses [27][28] - The company secured new orders worth over 100 billion yuan in 2024, indicating strong market demand [28]