With a market cap of $24.6 billion, Biogen Inc. (BIIB) is a global biotechnology leader specializing in therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases. Its portfolio includes multiple sclerosis treatments such as Tecfidera, Vumerity, Avonex, Plegridy, and Tysabri, as well as Spinraza for spinal muscular atrophy and several biosimilars. Shares of the Cambridge, Massachusetts-based company have underperformed the broader market over the past 52 weeks. BIIB stock has risen 1.6% over this time fram ...

Core Insights - Biogen reported Q3 2025 adjusted EPS of $4.81, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.89, with an 18% year-over-year increase [1][11] - Total revenues for the quarter reached $2.53 billion, a 3% increase year-over-year, driven by strong sales growth of new drugs [2][11] Financial Performance - Product sales amounted to $1.85 billion, up 4% year-over-year, with anti-CD20 therapeutic program revenues rising 11% to $494 million [3][11] - Contract manufacturing and royalty revenues fell 35% year-over-year to $151 million, while Alzheimer's collaboration revenues increased to $43 million from $19 million [4][5] Drug Sales and Growth - Biogen's MS revenues totaled $1.06 billion, a 1% increase on a reported basis, with Vumerity sales up 36% year-over-year to nearly $215 million [7][11] - Tecfidera sales declined 28% to $168 million, while Tysabri sales rose 6% to $432 million [8][11] - Rare disease drug Skyclarys generated $133 million in sales, a 30% increase year-over-year [12][11] Cost Management - Adjusted R&D expenses decreased 7% year-over-year to $432 million, while adjusted SG&A expenses rose 6% to $592 million [16][11] Guidance and Future Outlook - Biogen raised its sales guidance for 2025, expecting approximately flat or 1% growth in constant currency terms [17][11] - Adjusted EPS guidance was lowered from $15.50-$16.00 to $14.50-$15.00 due to anticipated costs from business development transactions [19][11] Strategic Developments - Biogen resubmitted a regulatory filing for a higher dose of Spinraza, with a decision expected by April 3, 2026 [20][21] - The company completed enrollment in late-stage studies for litifilimab, with data readouts expected in the second half of 2026 [22][11] Market Position - Despite competitive pressures on MS drugs and Spinraza, Biogen's new products are positioned to drive long-term growth [27][11] - The company aims to build a multi-franchise portfolio with significant revenue potential from key pipeline products [27][11]

Core Insights - Biogen's key growth drivers, Leqembi and Skyclarys, faced challenges in Q3, impacting stock performance [1][2] - Despite these challenges, Biogen reported better-than-expected sales and earnings, driven by older multiple sclerosis treatments [4][5] Financial Performance - Biogen reported earnings of $4.81 per share on $2.54 billion in sales, exceeding analyst forecasts of $3.88 and $2.34 billion respectively [4] - Year-over-year, earnings increased by 18% and sales rose by 3%, with a 2% increase in constant currency [4] - Sales of Skyclarys reached $133 million, slightly below expectations, while Leqembi generated $69 million in U.S. sales, also below projections [2][3] Product Performance - Tysabri sales rose 6% to $431.8 million, surpassing forecasts, while Tecfidera sales fell 28% to $168 million but still exceeded projections [5] - Revenue from Spinraza was in line with expectations at $374 million, reflecting a 2% decline [6] Guidance and Outlook - Biogen lowered its adjusted earnings outlook to $14.50 to $15 per share, accounting for a $1.25 per-share negative impact from business development transactions [7] - The company raised its sales outlook, now expecting flat to 1% growth in constant currency for the year [7][8] - The new earnings guidance fell short of analysts' expectations of $15.76 per share, while sales projections align with Biogen's expectations of $9.69 billion [8]

Core Viewpoint - Biogen is expected to exceed expectations in its third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings estimates at $3.89 per share and sales at $2.34 billion, following a previous quarter where earnings surpassed expectations by 39.2% [1] Factors Impacting Biogen - Lower sales of multiple sclerosis (MS) drugs are anticipated, particularly due to generic competition for Tecfidera and biosimilar competition for Tysabri, but this may be offset by revenue growth from new products [2][3] - The decline in MS revenue is expected to be more pronounced in the second half of the year, especially in the ex-U.S. market due to intensified competition [3] - Sales estimates for Tecfidera are $158 million (Zacks Consensus) and $162.9 million (model estimate), while Tysabri's estimates are $370 million and $346.9 million, respectively [3] Performance of Other Drugs - Vumerity's sales are projected to rise due to increased demand, with estimates at $173 million (Zacks) and $169.6 million (model) [4] - Spinraza's sales are likely to decline, with estimates at $373 million (Zacks) and $360 million (model) [4] - Sales of Skyclarys for Friedreich's ataxia are expected to improve, driven by demand growth and geographic expansion, although U.S. growth may be tempered by Medicare discount dynamics [5][6] - Zurzuvae's sales are also expected to rise due to strong patient demand, following its EU approval in September [7] Collaboration and Revenue Streams - Revenues from contract manufacturing, royalties, and Alzheimer's collaborations are expected to increase, particularly from Leqembi, which has shown consistent sales growth [8][10] - Leqembi's sales have improved sequentially over the past four quarters, with its recent approvals in various markets contributing to this growth [10][11] Earnings Surprise History - Biogen has a history of beating earnings estimates, achieving an average surprise of 10.16% over the last four quarters, although its stock has declined by 1.9% this year compared to a 9.2% industry increase [12] Earnings Prediction Model - The earnings prediction model indicates a likely earnings beat for Biogen, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.08% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [14][15]

Core Insights - Biogen's key multiple sclerosis (MS) drugs, including Tecfidera and Tysabri, along with the spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) treatment Spinraza, are experiencing declining sales due to increased competition, impacting overall revenue growth [1][3][10] Sales Performance - Sales of Tecfidera are declining due to the launch of multiple generic versions in North America, Brazil, and certain European countries [3] - Tysabri's sales are also declining as a result of heightened competition in the U.S. and the introduction of biosimilars in Europe, with a U.S. biosimilar expected by Q4 2025 [3][4] - Spinraza's revenues are anticipated to be lower in the second half of the year due to unfavorable shipment timing and competition from Novartis' Zolgensma and Roche's Evrysdi [5] New Drug Developments - Biogen's collaboration with Eisai on Leqembi for Alzheimer's disease shows potential for long-term growth, with sequential sales improvements noted over the past four quarters [6][10] - Leqembi has been launched in multiple countries and is expected to generate significant sales due to the unmet need in Alzheimer's treatment [7] - Skyclarys is witnessing strong demand trends, particularly in the U.S. and EU, with ex-U.S. sales projected to become a more significant growth driver in 2025 [9] Financial Outlook - Biogen's total revenues rose by 7% in the first half of 2025, driven by new drug sales, although the overall revenue for 2025 is projected to remain flat compared to 2024 [11][12] - The contribution from new drugs is increasing, but it is not yet sufficient to offset the declining revenues from MS drugs and Spinraza [12] Valuation and Estimates - Biogen's stock has declined by 2.2% this year, contrasting with an 8.7% increase in the industry [13] - The company's shares are trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 9.49, lower than the industry average of 15.88 and its own 5-year mean of 13.55 [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has increased from $14.87 to $15.68 per share over the past 90 days [16]

Company Overview - Biogen Inc. has a market cap of $21.8 billion and specializes in therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases, including multiple sclerosis and spinal muscular atrophy treatments [1] - The company is classified as a "large-cap" stock, valued at $10 billion or more, and is advancing treatments in Alzheimer's disease and other neurological disorders through strategic collaborations and innovation [2] Stock Performance - Biogen's shares have declined 28.3% from its 52-week high of $204.18, while the stock has risen nearly 11% over the past three months, underperforming the Nasdaq Composite's 12.6% increase [3] - Year-to-date, BIIB stock is down nearly 4%, lagging behind the Nasdaq's 14.7% gain, and has decreased 25.8% over the past 52 weeks compared to the Nasdaq's over 26% return [4] Financial Results - On July 31, Biogen reported Q2 2025 adjusted EPS of $5.47 and revenues of $2.65 billion, both exceeding expectations, driven by stronger sales of MS drugs like Vumerity and Tysabri [5] - Management raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $15.50 - $16, indicating a more optimistic outlook for 2025 [5] Analyst Sentiment - Despite the stock's underperformance, analysts maintain a moderately optimistic view on Biogen, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from 34 analysts and a mean price target of $170.24, representing a 16.5% premium to current levels [6]

Core Insights - Biogen reported strong second-quarter 2025 results, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $5.47, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.93, and a 4% year-over-year increase in earnings [1] - Total revenues for the quarter reached $2.65 billion, up 7% year over year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.32 billion [2] Revenue Breakdown - Product sales were $1.9 billion, a slight decline of 1% year over year, while revenues from anti-CD20 therapeutic programs increased by 5% to $467 million [3] - Contract manufacturing and royalty revenues surged 124% year over year to $245 million, and Alzheimer's collaboration revenues rose to $55 million from $12 million in the previous year [4][5] Performance of Key Products - Sales of Biogen's multiple sclerosis (MS) drugs totaled $1.1 billion, down 4% year over year, primarily due to generic competition for Tecfidera and biosimilar competition for Tysabri [7] - Tecfidera sales fell nearly 23% to $193.6 million, while Vumerity sales increased by around 30% to $212.2 million [8] - Spinraza sales declined 8.5% to $392.7 million, missing estimates, while rare disease drug Skyclarys generated $130.3 million, up 5.2% sequentially [12] New Product Performance - New drugs Leqembi, Skyclarys, and Zurzuvae showed strong demand and sequential sales growth, with Leqembi generating $63 million in U.S. sales, a 20% increase [5][11] - Zurzuvae recorded $46.4 million in sales, up 68% sequentially, driven by increased demand [13] Cost and Guidance Updates - Adjusted R&D expenses decreased by 13% to $394 million, while SG&A expenses rose 7% to $579 million [16] - Biogen raised its 2025 EPS outlook to $15.50-$16.00, reflecting a stronger business outlook, and expects total revenues to be flat compared to 2024 [18] Market Reaction and Future Outlook - The positive guidance and strong sales of Leqembi boosted investor confidence, leading to a more than 5% rise in pre-market trading [20] - Despite rising competitive pressure on MS drugs, new products have the potential to drive growth, although it remains uncertain if they can offset declines in existing products [21]

Core Viewpoint - Biogen is expected to report second-quarter 2025 results on July 31, with sales and earnings estimates at $2.32 billion and $3.95 per share, respectively, following a previous earnings miss of 7.4% [1][11]. Group 1: Sales Performance - Lower sales of Biogen's multiple sclerosis (MS) drugs are anticipated, likely offset by revenue growth from new products [2]. - Sales of Tecfidera and Tysabri are projected to decline due to generic and biosimilar competition, with estimates for Tecfidera at $178.0 million and Tysabri at $373.0 million [3][4]. - Vumerity's sales are expected to rise, with estimates at $70.0 million and $181.9 million [4]. - Spinraza's sales are estimated at $397.0 million and $403.0 million, with a potential reversal in favorable shipment timing impacting second-quarter results [5]. - Skyclarys is likely to see mixed dynamics in the U.S. and global markets, with growth driven more by ex-U.S. sales [6][9]. Group 2: Collaborations and New Products - Biogen's collaboration with Sage Therapeutics for Zurzuvae involves shared profits and losses, with strong patient demand expected to continue [7]. - Alzheimer's collaboration revenues, including Biogen's share from Leqembi, are expected to rise, with Leqembi's sales improving sequentially [8][10]. Group 3: Earnings Expectations - Biogen's earnings surprise history shows a mixed performance, with a four-quarter average surprise of 8.36% [11]. - The Earnings ESP for Biogen is -0.85%, indicating a lower likelihood of an earnings beat this quarter [14].

Core Viewpoint - Biogen reported first-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.02, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.32, with an 18% year-over-year decline in earnings due to a $165 million upfront payment to Stoke Therapeutics for a collaboration agreement [1][2][19] Financial Performance - Total revenues for Q1 2025 were $2.43 billion, reflecting a 6% year-over-year increase on a reported basis and an 8% increase on a constant-currency basis, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.23 billion [2] - Total product sales reached $1.73 billion, up 1% year over year on a reported basis and 3% on a constant-currency basis [4] - Contract manufacturing and royalty revenues surged 61% year over year to $293 million, while Alzheimer's collaboration revenues increased to $33 million from $3 million in the prior year [5][6] Product Sales Breakdown - Multiple sclerosis (MS) revenues totaled $953 million, down 11% on a reported basis due to generic competition for Tecfidera [9] - Sales of Spinraza rose 24.2% to $423.9 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $365 million [12] - New drug Qalsody for ALS recorded sales of $15.5 million, while Zurzuvae for postpartum depression generated $28 million in sales, reflecting a 21.7% sequential increase [13][14] Cost and Guidance - Adjusted R&D expenses decreased 3% year over year to $427 million, while adjusted SG&A expenses rose 1% to $572 million [16] - The company reaffirmed its total revenue guidance for 2025, expecting a mid-single-digit percentage decline in constant currency terms compared to 2024, and lowered its adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $14.50 to $15.50 [18][19] Market Performance - Year to date, Biogen's shares have declined 20.9%, compared to a 3.3% decrease in the industry [3]

Industry Overview - The first-quarter earnings season for the drug and biotech sector is underway, with major companies like Pfizer, Eli Lilly, Amgen, Biogen, and Regeneron set to announce results [1] - Johnson & Johnson and Merck have reported results, both exceeding first-quarter estimates for earnings and sales, while Sanofi had mixed results, beating earnings estimates but missing sales [1] Earnings Trends - As of April 23, 15% of companies in the Medical sector, representing 33.8% of the sector's market capitalization, reported quarterly earnings, with 77.8% surpassing estimates for both earnings and revenues [3] - Year-over-year earnings increased by 4.7%, and revenues rose by 9.4% [3] - Overall, first-quarter earnings for the Medical sector are expected to increase by 35%, while sales are projected to rise by 7.8% compared to the previous year [3] Company Performance Pfizer (PFE) - Pfizer has consistently exceeded earnings expectations in the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 44.16% [5] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter sales and earnings is $13.88 billion and 64 cents per share, respectively [6] - Non-COVID operational revenues are driving growth, supported by products like Vyndaqel, Padcev, and Eliquis, despite a decline in sales of COVID products [7] Eli Lilly (LLY) - Eli Lilly has had mixed performance, exceeding earnings expectations in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 8.47% [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for sales and earnings is $12.62 billion and $3.52 per share, respectively [8] - Growth is expected to be driven by demand for FDA-approved tirzepatide medicines, although sales of Mounjaro and Zepbound were below expectations [9][10] Amgen (AMGN) - Amgen has shown strong performance, beating earnings estimates in each of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 5.23% [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter sales and earnings is $7.96 billion and $4.15 per share, respectively [11] - Product sales are expected to be driven by strong volume growth, although prices may decline due to higher rebates [12] Biogen (BIIB) - Biogen has consistently beaten earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 11.80% [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for sales and earnings is $2.23 billion and $3.52 per share, respectively [13] - Lower sales of multiple sclerosis drugs are likely to be offset by revenues from new drugs [14] Regeneron (REGN) - Regeneron has had mixed results, surpassing earnings expectations in three of the last four quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 3.23% [16] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter sales and earnings is $3.28 billion and $8.43 per share, respectively [17] - Sales of Eylea are expected to have declined due to competition, but sales of Eylea HD and Dupixent are likely to have surged [18][19]