Biogen's EPS of $1.99 in Q4 2025 surpassed Zacks Consensus Estimate, despite a 42% decline from the previous year.The company's total revenue of $2.28 billion for Q4 2025 exceeded expectations, with newer drugs partially offsetting declines in key MS and SMA drug sales.Following optimistic 2026 EPS guidance, Biogen's stock price increased to $201.18, marking an 8.53% rise.Biogen Inc. (NASDAQ:BIIB) is a leading biotechnology company focused on discovering, developing, and delivering therapies for neurologica ...

Key Takeaways BIIB posted Q4 EPS of $1.99 and revenue of $2.28B, both beating estimates despite year-over-year declines.BIIB saw weakness in MS drugs and Spinraza, partly offset by growth from Leqembi, Skyclarys and Zurzuvae.BIIB guided 2026 adjusted EPS of $15.25-$16.25, above consensus, driving gains after the earnings release.Biogen (BIIB) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.99, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.61. Earnings declined 42% year over year.Total r ...

Key Takeaways BIIB will report Q4 results on Feb. 6, with consensus estimate for sales at $2.21B & EPS at $1.60 per share.Biogen faces MS drug declines from generics, but Vumerity, Skyclarys and Zurzuvae can show growth.BIIB's Alzheimer's revenues may have risen as U.S. Leqembi sales improve.Biogen (BIIB) will report fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on Feb. 6, before market open. In the last reported quarter, the company's earnings beat expectations by 23.65%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourt ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company internalized its external manager and announced a $3 billion share repurchase authorization, buying back approximately $1 billion of stock in the first half of the year [4][5] - Return on invested capital has been consistently in the mid-teens, while return on equity has been in the low 20% range over the last five years, with confidence in maintaining these levels without taking on additional risk [12][13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has focused on capitalizing on unique opportunities, with significant transactions like Revolution Medicines and Imdeltra contributing to deal flow momentum [5][6] - The company is open to increasing capital deployment beyond the baseline of $2 billion-$2.5 billion, driven by ongoing momentum in the market [24][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for customized deal structures has increased, reflecting a broader range of companies seeking partnerships [9] - The company sees a growing appetite for capital in the biopharma industry, indicating a robust market for royalty opportunities [22][36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain a balanced approach in investments, focusing on both approved products with growth potential and those in development [12][13] - The company is optimistic about the future of R&D partnerships, expecting more momentum in this area as pharma companies face pipeline pressures [30][32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management believes that the current political environment has not dramatically changed seller expectations, with confidence in continued investment opportunities [22] - The company is prepared for future growth, emphasizing the efficiency of its passive investment model and the ability to process multiple deals simultaneously [75][76] Other Important Information - The company has been proactive in building relationships with earlier-stage companies to stay informed about innovations and developments in the industry [68] - The use of AI in the investment process is being explored, but it is not expected to significantly lower barriers to entry in the royalty market [39][41] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the company view the future of capital deployment? - The company anticipates a baseline capital deployment of $2 billion-$2.5 billion but is open to exceeding this based on market momentum and opportunities [24][25] Question: What is the company's stance on the evolving R&D partnership landscape? - The company believes that R&D partnerships will continue to evolve and sees significant opportunities in this area, especially as pharma companies face pipeline pressures [30][32] Question: How does the company approach seller expectations in transactions? - The company aims to pay fair and reasonable prices for assets, ensuring that both parties feel satisfied with the deal, which helps to expand the market over time [64][66]

Core Insights - Biogen Inc. has a market capitalization of $24.6 billion and specializes in therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases, with a portfolio that includes multiple sclerosis treatments and biosimilars [1] Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, Biogen's stock has risen by 1.6%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, which gained 13.2% during the same period [2] - Year-to-date, Biogen shares have returned 9.6%, compared to a 14.5% increase in the S&P 500 Index [2] - Biogen has also lagged behind the Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund, which gained 5.1% over the past 52 weeks [3] Financial Performance - On October 30, Biogen's shares rose by 1.2% after the company reported Q3 2025 adjusted earnings of $4.81 per share, exceeding Wall Street estimates [4] - The company reported stronger-than-expected sales of multiple sclerosis drugs at $1.06 billion, an 80% increase in global Leqembi sales to approximately $121 million, and an 8% growth in its rare-disease portfolio to $533 million [4] Earnings Forecast - For the fiscal year ending December 2025, analysts expect Biogen's adjusted EPS to decline by 9.5% year-over-year to $14.90 [5] - Biogen has a mixed earnings surprise history, having topped consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters [5] Analyst Ratings - Among 33 analysts covering Biogen, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 14 "Strong Buy" ratings, one "Moderate Buy," and 18 "Holds" [5] - The current configuration of ratings is more bullish than three months ago, with 12 "Strong Buy" ratings [6] Price Target - On October 31, Baird reduced its price target for Biogen to $250 while maintaining an "Outperform" rating [7] - The mean price target of $176.07 indicates a 5.1% premium to Biogen's current price, while the highest price target of $260 suggests a potential upside of 55.2% [7]

Core Insights - Biogen reported Q3 2025 adjusted EPS of $4.81, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.89, with an 18% year-over-year increase [1][11] - Total revenues for the quarter reached $2.53 billion, a 3% increase year-over-year, driven by strong sales growth of new drugs [2][11] Financial Performance - Product sales amounted to $1.85 billion, up 4% year-over-year, with anti-CD20 therapeutic program revenues rising 11% to $494 million [3][11] - Contract manufacturing and royalty revenues fell 35% year-over-year to $151 million, while Alzheimer's collaboration revenues increased to $43 million from $19 million [4][5] Drug Sales and Growth - Biogen's MS revenues totaled $1.06 billion, a 1% increase on a reported basis, with Vumerity sales up 36% year-over-year to nearly $215 million [7][11] - Tecfidera sales declined 28% to $168 million, while Tysabri sales rose 6% to $432 million [8][11] - Rare disease drug Skyclarys generated $133 million in sales, a 30% increase year-over-year [12][11] Cost Management - Adjusted R&D expenses decreased 7% year-over-year to $432 million, while adjusted SG&A expenses rose 6% to $592 million [16][11] Guidance and Future Outlook - Biogen raised its sales guidance for 2025, expecting approximately flat or 1% growth in constant currency terms [17][11] - Adjusted EPS guidance was lowered from $15.50-$16.00 to $14.50-$15.00 due to anticipated costs from business development transactions [19][11] Strategic Developments - Biogen resubmitted a regulatory filing for a higher dose of Spinraza, with a decision expected by April 3, 2026 [20][21] - The company completed enrollment in late-stage studies for litifilimab, with data readouts expected in the second half of 2026 [22][11] Market Position - Despite competitive pressures on MS drugs and Spinraza, Biogen's new products are positioned to drive long-term growth [27][11] - The company aims to build a multi-franchise portfolio with significant revenue potential from key pipeline products [27][11]

Core Insights - Biogen's key growth drivers, Leqembi and Skyclarys, faced challenges in Q3, impacting stock performance [1][2] - Despite these challenges, Biogen reported better-than-expected sales and earnings, driven by older multiple sclerosis treatments [4][5] Financial Performance - Biogen reported earnings of $4.81 per share on $2.54 billion in sales, exceeding analyst forecasts of $3.88 and $2.34 billion respectively [4] - Year-over-year, earnings increased by 18% and sales rose by 3%, with a 2% increase in constant currency [4] - Sales of Skyclarys reached $133 million, slightly below expectations, while Leqembi generated $69 million in U.S. sales, also below projections [2][3] Product Performance - Tysabri sales rose 6% to $431.8 million, surpassing forecasts, while Tecfidera sales fell 28% to $168 million but still exceeded projections [5] - Revenue from Spinraza was in line with expectations at $374 million, reflecting a 2% decline [6] Guidance and Outlook - Biogen lowered its adjusted earnings outlook to $14.50 to $15 per share, accounting for a $1.25 per-share negative impact from business development transactions [7] - The company raised its sales outlook, now expecting flat to 1% growth in constant currency for the year [7][8] - The new earnings guidance fell short of analysts' expectations of $15.76 per share, while sales projections align with Biogen's expectations of $9.69 billion [8]

Core Viewpoint - Biogen is expected to exceed expectations in its third-quarter 2025 results, with earnings estimates at $3.89 per share and sales at $2.34 billion, following a previous quarter where earnings surpassed expectations by 39.2% [1] Factors Impacting Biogen - Lower sales of multiple sclerosis (MS) drugs are anticipated, particularly due to generic competition for Tecfidera and biosimilar competition for Tysabri, but this may be offset by revenue growth from new products [2][3] - The decline in MS revenue is expected to be more pronounced in the second half of the year, especially in the ex-U.S. market due to intensified competition [3] - Sales estimates for Tecfidera are $158 million (Zacks Consensus) and $162.9 million (model estimate), while Tysabri's estimates are $370 million and $346.9 million, respectively [3] Performance of Other Drugs - Vumerity's sales are projected to rise due to increased demand, with estimates at $173 million (Zacks) and $169.6 million (model) [4] - Spinraza's sales are likely to decline, with estimates at $373 million (Zacks) and $360 million (model) [4] - Sales of Skyclarys for Friedreich's ataxia are expected to improve, driven by demand growth and geographic expansion, although U.S. growth may be tempered by Medicare discount dynamics [5][6] - Zurzuvae's sales are also expected to rise due to strong patient demand, following its EU approval in September [7] Collaboration and Revenue Streams - Revenues from contract manufacturing, royalties, and Alzheimer's collaborations are expected to increase, particularly from Leqembi, which has shown consistent sales growth [8][10] - Leqembi's sales have improved sequentially over the past four quarters, with its recent approvals in various markets contributing to this growth [10][11] Earnings Surprise History - Biogen has a history of beating earnings estimates, achieving an average surprise of 10.16% over the last four quarters, although its stock has declined by 1.9% this year compared to a 9.2% industry increase [12] Earnings Prediction Model - The earnings prediction model indicates a likely earnings beat for Biogen, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.08% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [14][15]

Core Insights - Biogen's key multiple sclerosis (MS) drugs, including Tecfidera and Tysabri, along with the spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) treatment Spinraza, are experiencing declining sales due to increased competition, impacting overall revenue growth [1][3][10] Sales Performance - Sales of Tecfidera are declining due to the launch of multiple generic versions in North America, Brazil, and certain European countries [3] - Tysabri's sales are also declining as a result of heightened competition in the U.S. and the introduction of biosimilars in Europe, with a U.S. biosimilar expected by Q4 2025 [3][4] - Spinraza's revenues are anticipated to be lower in the second half of the year due to unfavorable shipment timing and competition from Novartis' Zolgensma and Roche's Evrysdi [5] New Drug Developments - Biogen's collaboration with Eisai on Leqembi for Alzheimer's disease shows potential for long-term growth, with sequential sales improvements noted over the past four quarters [6][10] - Leqembi has been launched in multiple countries and is expected to generate significant sales due to the unmet need in Alzheimer's treatment [7] - Skyclarys is witnessing strong demand trends, particularly in the U.S. and EU, with ex-U.S. sales projected to become a more significant growth driver in 2025 [9] Financial Outlook - Biogen's total revenues rose by 7% in the first half of 2025, driven by new drug sales, although the overall revenue for 2025 is projected to remain flat compared to 2024 [11][12] - The contribution from new drugs is increasing, but it is not yet sufficient to offset the declining revenues from MS drugs and Spinraza [12] Valuation and Estimates - Biogen's stock has declined by 2.2% this year, contrasting with an 8.7% increase in the industry [13] - The company's shares are trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 9.49, lower than the industry average of 15.88 and its own 5-year mean of 13.55 [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings has increased from $14.87 to $15.68 per share over the past 90 days [16]

Company Overview - Biogen Inc. has a market cap of $21.8 billion and specializes in therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases, including multiple sclerosis and spinal muscular atrophy treatments [1] - The company is classified as a "large-cap" stock, valued at $10 billion or more, and is advancing treatments in Alzheimer's disease and other neurological disorders through strategic collaborations and innovation [2] Stock Performance - Biogen's shares have declined 28.3% from its 52-week high of $204.18, while the stock has risen nearly 11% over the past three months, underperforming the Nasdaq Composite's 12.6% increase [3] - Year-to-date, BIIB stock is down nearly 4%, lagging behind the Nasdaq's 14.7% gain, and has decreased 25.8% over the past 52 weeks compared to the Nasdaq's over 26% return [4] Financial Results - On July 31, Biogen reported Q2 2025 adjusted EPS of $5.47 and revenues of $2.65 billion, both exceeding expectations, driven by stronger sales of MS drugs like Vumerity and Tysabri [5] - Management raised its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to $15.50 - $16, indicating a more optimistic outlook for 2025 [5] Analyst Sentiment - Despite the stock's underperformance, analysts maintain a moderately optimistic view on Biogen, with a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from 34 analysts and a mean price target of $170.24, representing a 16.5% premium to current levels [6]