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Exploring Analyst Estimates for Royalty Pharma (RPRX) Q4 Earnings, Beyond Revenue and EPS
ZACKS· 2026-02-10 15:15
Core Insights - Royalty Pharma (RPRX) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.33 per share, reflecting a 15.7% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $824.89 million, an 11.2% increase from the previous year [1] Earnings Projections - Analysts have not revised the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter in the past 30 days, indicating stability in expectations [1] - The importance of earnings estimate revisions is highlighted as they are a critical gauge for predicting investor behavior [2] Key Metrics Projections - Analysts predict 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Cystic fibrosis franchise' will reach $230.74 million, a decrease of 2.6% year-over-year [4] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Tysabri' is expected to reach $64.04 million, reflecting a 5% increase from the prior year [4] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Imbruvica' is projected at $41.09 million, indicating a 10.7% decrease year-over-year [5] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Xtandi' is expected to reach $49.32 million, a 7.2% increase from the previous year [5] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Promacta' is projected at $22.16 million, showing a significant decrease of 49.6% year-over-year [6] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Tremfya' is expected to reach $57.64 million, reflecting a 47.8% increase [6] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Milestones and other contractual receipts' is estimated at $11.40 million, a decrease of 12.4% year-over-year [7] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Evrysdi' is projected at $58.82 million, indicating a 5% increase [7] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Trodelvy' is expected to reach $11.79 million, a 7.1% increase from the previous year [8] - The total for 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products' is projected at $813.50 million, reflecting an 11.6% increase year-over-year [8] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Trelegy' is estimated at $93.70 million, indicating a 26.6% increase [9] - 'Portfolio Receipts- Royalty Receipts- Products- Spinraza' is projected at $13.37 million, suggesting a 10.9% decrease year-over-year [9] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Royalty Pharma have returned +9.4%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has shown no change [9]
Biogen Hits 52-Week High, Alzheimer's Drug Sales Jump
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-08 22:31
Core Insights - Biogen Inc. reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings with adjusted EPS of $1.99, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.59 [1] - The company generated revenues of $2.28 billion, exceeding the consensus of $2.20 billion, although this represents a 7% decline on both a reported and constant currency basis [1] Drug Performance - Fiscal 2025 revenue from growth products increased by 19% year-over-year, which helped offset the decline in revenue from multiple sclerosis products, excluding Vumerity [2] - Leqembi, an Alzheimer's drug, generated collaboration revenue of $47 million, with in-market sales reaching approximately $134 million, reflecting a 54% increase [3] - Multiple sclerosis revenue totaled $917 million, down 14% year-over-year (15% decline on a constant currency basis), with Tysabri sales decreasing from $415.4 million to $397.5 million [3] Rare Disease Revenue - Revenue from rare diseases decreased by 4% year-over-year to $514.6 million, with Spinraza's revenue declining from $421.4 million to $356.2 million [4] - Spinraza's fourth-quarter revenue fell by 15% year-over-year, influenced by shipment timing outside the U.S., while full-year revenue was down 2% [4] New Product Contributions - Skyclarys, a drug for Friedreich's ataxia, reported revenues of $133.4 million during the quarter, up from $102.2 million a year ago [5] - Skyclarys saw a 30% increase in global patients on therapy in 2025, with U.S. revenue of approximately $89 million driven by demand growth [6] - Zurzuvae, a postpartum depression drug, achieved fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $66 million, indicating strong demand growth [6] - Vumerity's revenue grew by 3% year-over-year in the fourth quarter to $181.1 million [6] Management Commentary - The President and CEO of Biogen highlighted that the 2025 performance was driven by nearly $1 billion in revenue from LEQEMBI, SKYCLARYS, ZURZUVAE, and QALSODY, along with pipeline progression and the resilience of the MS franchise [7]
Biogen Inc. (NASDAQ:BIIB) Stock Update and Financial Performance Review
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-07 02:11
Core Viewpoint - Biogen Inc. is a prominent biotechnology company specializing in therapies for neurological and neurodegenerative diseases, facing competition from major pharmaceutical companies in the neurology sector [1] Financial Performance - Biogen reported Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $1.99, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.61, but reflecting a 42% decline from the previous year [3][6] - The company's total revenue for Q4 2025 was $2.28 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.21 billion, despite a 7% year-over-year decline [3][6] Revenue Drivers - The revenue decline was primarily due to weaker sales of key multiple sclerosis (MS) drugs such as Tecfidera and Tysabri, as well as the spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) drug Spinraza [4] - Increased sales from newer drugs like Leqembi, Skyclarys, and Zurzuvae partially offset the revenue decline from established products [4] Stock Performance - Following an optimistic 2026 adjusted EPS guidance projected between $15.25 and $16.25, Biogen's stock price rose to $201.18, marking an increase of 8.53% or $15.82 [4][6] - The stock has fluctuated between a low of $184.60 and a high of $202.41, with the latter being the highest price over the past year [5] Analyst Rating - On February 6, 2026, BMO Capital adjusted its rating for Biogen to "Market Perform," maintaining a "hold" action, while raising the price target from $165 to $196, indicating a more optimistic outlook [2]
股价大涨8.53%! 百健利润展望强于预期!“瘦身术”砍成本+押注阿尔茨海默病药等新药产品线
美股IPO· 2026-02-07 00:35
Core Viewpoint - Biogen's forecast for 2026 profits exceeds Wall Street's average expectations, indicating that significant cost-cutting measures are mitigating the impact of declining sales from its multiple sclerosis (MS) products [1][3]. Financial Performance - Biogen reported Q4 2025 total revenue of approximately $2.279 billion, a year-over-year decline of 7%, but still above Wall Street expectations. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) were $1.99, also exceeding analyst forecasts [4]. - For the full year 2025, total revenue reached $9.891 billion, reflecting a 2% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EPS at $15.28, down 7% year-over-year, both surpassing Wall Street expectations [4]. - The company anticipates a mid-single-digit percentage decline in overall revenue for 2026, continuing the operational pressure on its MS treatment business [3][4]. Product Performance and Pipeline - The revenue from new drugs, particularly Leqembi, is crucial for Biogen's growth. In 2025, combined revenue from Leqembi, Skyclarys, Zurzuvae, and Qalsody approached $1 billion [4]. - Leqembi's sales in Q4 2025 were approximately $134 million, up from $121 million in the previous quarter, but growth is constrained by systemic bottlenecks in the healthcare system [5][7]. - Biogen is focusing on reducing reliance on neuroscience by enhancing its rare disease portfolio through acquisitions and shifting research emphasis towards immunology [6][9]. Strategic Initiatives - CEO Chris Viehbacher has implemented strict cost discipline, including job cuts and the removal of certain drugs from the development pipeline, to support new product growth [7]. - The company is seeking FDA approval for a subcutaneous administration of Leqembi, which could improve accessibility and differentiate it from competitors [9]. - Biogen is also awaiting key trial data for several experimental drugs, including a new Alzheimer's treatment and litifilimab for lupus, which could further diversify its product offerings [10].
BIIB Beats on Q4 Earnings & Sales, Stock Gains on Upbeat '26 EPS View
ZACKS· 2026-02-06 17:30
Core Insights - Biogen reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.99, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.61, despite a 42% year-over-year decline in earnings [2][10] - Total revenues for the quarter were $2.28 billion, down 7% year over year, but above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.21 billion, driven by weak sales of key drugs [3][10] Revenue Breakdown - Product sales decreased to $1.67 billion, a 9% decline year over year [4] - Revenues from anti-CD20 therapeutic programs increased by 12% to $521 million, including royalties from Roche's Ocrevus and Biogen's share of other drugs [4] - Contract manufacturing and royalty revenues fell 66% to $44 million, while Alzheimer's collaboration revenues rose to $47 million from $27 million year-over-year [5][6] Multiple Sclerosis (MS) Drug Performance - MS revenues totaled $917 million, down 14% year over year, impacted by generic competition for Tecfidera [7] - Tecfidera sales plummeted 51% to approximately $112 million, missing estimates, while Tysabri sales fell 4% to $397.5 million, beating estimates [8] - Vumerity sales increased by 3% to $181 million, but also missed estimates [7] Rare Disease Drug Performance - Spinraza sales declined over 15% to $356 million, missing estimates [9] - Skyclarys generated over $133 million in sales, up nearly 31% year over year, driven by demand growth [11] - Qalsody added $25 million in sales compared to $12 million in the previous year [11] Cost and Expense Management - Adjusted R&D expenses decreased by 6% to $478 million due to cost-saving initiatives [14] - Adjusted SG&A expenses rose 1% to $678 million, reflecting higher costs for new product launches [14] 2025 Financial Performance - Biogen's total revenues for 2025 reached $9.89 billion, surpassing estimates and showing a 2% year-over-year increase [15] - Earnings per share were $15.28, down 7% year over year, but above estimates [15] 2026 Guidance - Total revenues are expected to decline by a mid-single-digit percentage in constant currency terms, with adjusted EPS projected between $15.25 and $16.25, above consensus estimates [16] - Gross margin is expected to remain flat, with R&D and SG&A costs anticipated to be consistent year over year [17] Market Outlook - Despite challenges in the MS franchise and declining Spinraza sales, newer therapies like Leqembi, Skyclarys, and Zurzuvae are gaining traction [18][21] - The company is focused on building a multi-franchise portfolio through internal development and collaborations, with key pipeline products having a peak revenue potential of $14 billion [21][22]
Biogen(BIIB) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-06 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong fourth quarter and full-year performance, with non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.99 for Q4 and $15.28 for the full year 2025, exceeding expectations [26][35] - Total revenue for the full year 2025 was $9.9 billion, up 2% compared to 2024, with growth products generating $3.3 billion, a 19% increase [4][28] - Free cash flow for the year was $2.1 billion, with cash and marketable securities totaling $4.2 billion at year-end [28][33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Growth products generated over $800 million in Q4 2025, up 6% year-over-year, and $3.3 billion for the full year, up 9% [27] - Leqembi saw fourth quarter in-market sales of approximately $134 million, up 10% sequentially and 54% year-over-year [29] - Spinraza revenue in Q4 was $356 million, with U.S. revenue of $169 million, showing resilience despite a competitive market [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. MS business generated total revenue of $9.9 billion for the full year 2025, reflecting a 2% increase from 2024 [28] - Leqembi maintained over 60% market share in the anti-amyloid therapy market, indicating strong competitive positioning [8] - The market for anti-amyloid therapy has more than doubled, with increasing physician reports of patient benefits [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on growth through new medicines, with a pipeline that includes several first-in-class treatments [12][22] - Strategic investments are being made in pre-launch activities for lupus and nephrology products, with a focus on maintaining financial discipline [34][35] - The company aims to build a bridge to growth by expanding its early-stage pipeline and pursuing business development opportunities [19][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future growth of the company, particularly with expected approvals for key products like Leqembi and Litifilimab [18][25] - The company anticipates a decline in total revenue by a mid-single-digit percentage for 2026, primarily due to competitive pressures in the MS market [36] - Management highlighted the importance of upcoming phase 3 data readouts for Litifilimab and Felzartamab, which could significantly impact future growth [19][25] Other Important Information - The company has secured priority review for Leqembi and received breakthrough therapy designation for Litifilimab, indicating strong external recognition of its pipeline [21][24] - The company is actively pursuing collaborations and business development opportunities to enhance its pipeline and market position [6][8] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk us through the cadence of Leqembi sales growth this year? - Management indicated a persistency rate of about 70% for patients transitioning to maintenance therapy, with expectations for continued sequential growth [39][40] Question: When do you think Biogen's top line could return to growth? - Management noted that growth products have outstripped declines in the MS portfolio, but positive phase 3 results and potential acquisitions are crucial for returning to growth [45][46] Question: How important is the upcoming BIIB080 data? - Management emphasized the significance of the data, noting that the neurology community is closely watching the potential impact of tau reduction on cognition [52][53] Question: What is the conviction level for Litifilimab's phase 3 trials? - Management expressed high conviction in Litifilimab due to its targeting of the BDCA2 pathway and previous positive data from earlier studies [63][64] Question: How important is it to hit the eGFR endpoint for Felzartamab? - Management acknowledged the importance of the eGFR endpoint while focusing on the primary endpoint, with ongoing evaluations for broader applications in other transplants [68][70]
Biogen(BIIB) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-06 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong fourth quarter and full-year performance, with non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.99 for Q4 2025 and $15.28 for the full year, exceeding expectations [28] - Total revenue for the full year 2025 was $9.9 billion, reflecting a 2% increase compared to 2024 [29] - Free cash flow for the year was $2.1 billion, with cash and marketable securities totaling $4.2 billion at year-end [35] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Growth products generated $3.3 billion in fiscal 2025, up 19%, with Leqembi contributing approximately $134 million in Q4, marking a 54% increase year-over-year [5][30] - Spinraza revenue for Q4 was $356 million, with U.S. revenue at $169 million, while full-year revenue decreased by 2% [31] - Vumerity generated $181 million in Q4, with a 19% year-over-year growth for the full year [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Leqembi maintained over 60% market share in the anti-amyloid therapy market, with steady growth in both U.S. and international markets [9] - The market for anti-amyloid therapy has more than doubled, indicating a growing acceptance and demand for these treatments [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its pipeline, with several key readouts expected in 2026, including litifilimab for lupus and felzartamab for AMR [20][27] - Strategic investments are being made in pre-launch activities to support the lupus and nephrology portfolio, aiming for successful product launches [36] - The company is actively seeking business development opportunities to enhance its pipeline, particularly looking for acquisitions in the $5 billion range [49] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the growth trajectory of new products, anticipating that growth products will offset declines in legacy franchises [46] - The company expects full-year non-GAAP diluted EPS for 2026 to be between $15.25 and $16.25, despite a projected mid-single-digit decline in total revenue [36][37] - Competitive pressures in the MS market are expected to impact revenue, but growth from new products is anticipated to mitigate these effects [37] Other Important Information - The company has transformed its late-stage pipeline to focus on high-scientific conviction programs with significant commercial potential [24] - The approval of high-dose Spinraza in the U.S. is anticipated in April 2026, which could positively impact the rare disease business [75] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk us through the cadence of Leqembi sales growth this year? - Management indicated that there is a persistency of about 70% for patients transitioning to maintenance therapy, with expectations for continued sequential growth [41] Question: When do you think Biogen's top line could return to growth? - Management noted that growth products have outpaced declines in the MS portfolio, and positive phase III results from upcoming trials could lead to product launches in 2028 [48] Question: How important is the eGFR endpoint for felzartamab? - Management acknowledged the importance of the eGFR endpoint and indicated ongoing evaluation of the impact of addressing CD38 autoantibodies in other transplants [71] Question: What could high-dose Spinraza approval do for top-line growth in 2026? - Management expressed optimism about the initial results from Japan and the potential for increased efficacy and adoption in the U.S. market [75]
Biogen(BIIB) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-06 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong fourth quarter, finishing slightly above the upper end of its guidance with a non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.99 for Q4 2025 and $15.28 for the full year 2025, reflecting robust financial performance [27][28] - Total revenue for the full year 2025 was $9.9 billion, up 2% compared to 2024, with growth products generating $3.3 billion, a 19% increase [4][28] - Free cash flow for the year was $2.1 billion, with cash and marketable securities totaling $4.2 billion at year-end [28][33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Growth products generated over $800 million in Q4 2025, up 6% year-over-year, and $3.3 billion for the full year, up 9% [28] - Leqembi saw fourth quarter in-market sales of approximately $134 million, up 10% sequentially and 54% year-over-year [29] - Spinraza revenue in Q4 was $356 million, with U.S. revenue at $169 million, demonstrating resilience despite a competitive market [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Leqembi maintained over 60% market share in the anti-amyloid therapy market, with a strong demand growth trajectory [7] - The market for anti-amyloid therapy has more than doubled, indicating a growing acceptance and utilization of these therapies [11] - The company is seeing increased use of blood-based diagnostics, which has improved patient eligibility for treatment [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on growing its pipeline with new collaborations and acquisitions, including the acquisition of Alcyone Therapeutics to enhance patient experience [6][7] - The strategic emphasis is on launching new medicines and expanding the early-stage pipeline, with a goal to build a bridge to growth [12][23] - The company aims to maintain a strong balance sheet while investing in pre-launch activities for its lupus and nephrology portfolio [34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future growth of its products, particularly with expected approvals for key therapies like Litifilimab and Spinraza [18][34] - The company anticipates a decline in total revenue by a mid-single-digit percentage for 2026, primarily due to competitive pressures in the MS market [35] - Management highlighted the importance of upcoming phase 3 data readouts and the potential for new product launches to drive future growth [47][49] Other Important Information - The company has transformed its development pipeline to focus on high-scientific conviction programs with significant commercial potential [23][24] - The company is preparing for multiple key data readouts in the next 18 months, which are expected to drive momentum in its pipeline [20][25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you walk us through the cadence of Leqembi sales growth this year? - Management indicated a persistency rate of about 70% for patients transitioning to maintenance therapy, with expectations for continued sequential growth [38][39] Question: When do you think Biogen's top line could return to growth? - Management noted that growth products have outstripped declines in the MS portfolio, but positive phase 3 results and potential acquisitions are crucial for returning to growth [45][47] Question: How important is the eGFR endpoint for Felzartamab? - Management emphasized the importance of the eGFR endpoint while also focusing on the primary endpoint, with ongoing evaluations for other transplant indications [68][70] Question: What impact could high-dose Spinraza approval have on top-line growth? - Management expressed optimism about the potential for increased sales from high-dose Spinraza, particularly in the context of efficacy versus convenience [74][76]
“瘦身术”砍成本+押注阿尔茨海默病药等新药产品线 百健(BIIB.US)利润展望强于预期
智通财经网· 2026-02-06 12:41
Core Viewpoint - Biogen (BIIB.US) reported its Q4 2025 earnings and future outlook, indicating that cost-cutting measures are mitigating the impact of declining sales in its multiple sclerosis (MS) business, with 2026 profit projections exceeding Wall Street expectations [1][2] Financial Performance - Q4 2025 total revenue was approximately $2.3 billion, a slight year-over-year decline of 7%, while adjusted EPS was $1.99, both exceeding Wall Street forecasts [1][2] - For the full year 2025, total revenue was $9.891 billion, reflecting a 2% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EPS at $15.28, down 7% year-over-year, but still above analyst expectations [2] Product Performance - Sales of the drugs Skyclarys and Spinraza fell short of analyst expectations, with Spinraza affected by shipping delays outside the U.S. [1] - Leqembi, a new Alzheimer's treatment, generated approximately $134 million in Q4 2025, showing a sequential increase from $121 million in the previous quarter, but still facing growth constraints due to systemic bottlenecks [2][4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on reducing reliance on its neuroscience portfolio by acquiring Reata to enhance its rare disease offerings and shifting R&D focus towards immunology [3][5] - Cost discipline has been emphasized, with significant job cuts and reductions in spending since the current CEO took office over three years ago [4] Regulatory Developments - The FDA is expected to make a decision on a higher dose of Spinraza by April 2026, which has been approved in Japan and Europe [6] - Biogen is also awaiting key trial data for a new Alzheimer's drug and a lupus treatment, which could further diversify its product pipeline [6]
New Drugs Take Center Stage as Biogen Heads Into Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2026-02-03 14:00
Key Takeaways BIIB will report Q4 results on Feb. 6, with consensus estimate for sales at $2.21B & EPS at $1.60 per share.Biogen faces MS drug declines from generics, but Vumerity, Skyclarys and Zurzuvae can show growth.BIIB's Alzheimer's revenues may have risen as U.S. Leqembi sales improve.Biogen (BIIB) will report fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on Feb. 6, before market open. In the last reported quarter, the company's earnings beat expectations by 23.65%. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourt ...