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Broadcom Shares Rise 60% in a Year: Is There More Room for Growth?
ZACKS· 2026-02-23 16:30
Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) shares have increased by 60% over the past 12 months, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 25.2% and the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry's return of 53.2% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - AVGO's gross margin guidance for fiscal 2026 is soft due to a higher mix of AI revenues, a sequential decline in non-AI semiconductor revenues, and modest growth expectations for the Infrastructure Software segment [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $10.25 per share, indicating a 50.3% growth from fiscal 2025, with revenues expected to reach $95 billion, suggesting a 48.7% growth [10] - For the first quarter of fiscal 2026, earnings are estimated at $2.03 per share, reflecting a 26.9% growth year-over-year, with revenues projected at $19.27 billion, indicating a 29.2% growth [11] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - AVGO faces strong competition from NVIDIA, AMD, and Skyworks, with NVIDIA benefiting from demand for its Hopper and Blackwell architectures, and AMD seeing growth from its EPYC and Instinct processors [5] - Skyworks is experiencing increased demand across edge IoT, automotive, and infrastructure markets, further intensifying competition for AVGO [5] Group 3: Growth Drivers - Broadcom's growth prospects are bolstered by rising AI revenues, with expectations for fiscal 2026 AI revenues to double to $8.2 billion, supported by a backlog exceeding $10 billion [6][7] - The company has launched innovative products, including the first Wi-Fi 8 silicon solutions and next-generation BCM4918 processing units, enhancing its portfolio in broadband and 5G infrastructure [8] - AVGO's networking portfolio is benefiting from strong demand for Tomahawk 6 products and has a rich partner base that includes major companies like OpenAI, Walmart, and NVIDIA [9] Group 4: Valuation and Investment Outlook - AVGO shares are trading at a premium valuation, with a forward price/sales ratio of 14.71X, compared to the sector's 6.47X and the industry's 8.36X [12] - Despite margin headwinds, Broadcom's expanding AI portfolio and strong partner relationships indicate solid top-line growth potential, justifying the premium valuation [15] - Broadcom currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), suggesting that investors should consider accumulating the stock [16]
Wall Street Sees 29% Upside for Broadcom After Recent Selloff
247Wallst· 2026-02-16 19:39
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts see a potential 29% upside for Broadcom (AVGO) following a recent selloff, despite concerns over valuation and guidance after a significant earnings report [1]. Financial Performance - Broadcom reported a $73 billion AI backlog but experienced an 11% drop in stock price after earnings due to valuation concerns [1]. - The company anticipates Q1 2026 AI revenue to double year-over-year to $8.2 billion, indicating strong growth potential [1]. Market Sentiment - Retail investor interest surged, with mentions of Broadcom peaking at 96 comments on Reddit on February 16 [1]. - Cathie Wood's ARK Invest purchased $10.7 million worth of AVGO shares, and Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Associates added 320,349 shares, reflecting bullish sentiment among analysts [1]. Analyst Ratings - Out of 43 top analysts, 38 rated Broadcom as "Strong Buy" or "Buy," with a consensus 12-month price target of $420.04, suggesting a 29% upside [1]. - DA Davidson issued a "Neutral" rating due to valuation concerns and risks associated with hyperscalers potentially building chips in-house [1]. Strategic Factors - Broadcom's backlog includes orders from five hyperscale customers for custom AI chips, enhancing revenue visibility [1]. - The company expects operating margin dollars to grow through scale leverage, supported by customer diversification and strong demand for its products [1]. Insider Activity - CEO Hock Tan sold 130,000 shares, and Director Henry Samueli sold 391,339 shares, raising questions about insider confidence in the company's future [1]. - Tan cautioned that the $73 billion backlog should not be viewed as guaranteed revenue, describing it as a "moving target" [1]. Competitive Landscape - Broadcom trades at 68 times trailing earnings, compared to NVIDIA's 45 times, with NVIDIA having higher profit margins [1]. - Analysts project Broadcom's free cash flow to grow from $26.9 billion in 2025 to $107 billion by 2029, indicating strong financial health [1].
AMD Rides on Expanding Enterprise Partner Base: More Upside to Come?
ZACKS· 2026-01-22 18:35
Core Insights - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is poised for growth in 2026, driven by an expanding enterprise footprint and a strong partner network, including collaborations with major companies like Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), HPE, Oracle, Google, Microsoft, Alibaba, and IBM [1] Group 1: Partnerships and Collaborations - AMD and TCS are working together to create industry-specific AI and Generative AI solutions, integrating Ryzen CPU-powered client solutions for workplace transformation and utilizing EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs for modernizing hybrid cloud environments [2] - The collaboration with HPE is expected to enhance the adoption of AMD's "Helios" rack-scale AI architecture [2] Group 2: Technology and Infrastructure - AMD's Helios rack-scale platform is designed for yotta-scale AI infrastructure, capable of delivering up to 3 AI exaflops and optimized for energy-efficient training of trillion-parameter models [3] - Oracle Cloud Infrastructure will be the first to launch an AI supercluster using AMD's Helios rack design, while OpenAI has chosen AMD as a preferred partner for building 6 gigawatts (GW) of next-generation AI computing capacity, starting with 1 GW of AMD Instinct MI450 GPUs in the second half of 2026 [3] Group 3: Market Potential and Growth Projections - AMD's expanding product portfolio, including the Instinct MI400 series and Ryzen AI processors, positions the company well for growth in the data center market, which is projected to reach a total addressable market of $1 trillion by 2030, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 40% from approximately $200 billion in 2025 [4] - Data center AI revenues are expected to grow at a CAGR of over 80% in the next 3-5 years, driven by demand for Instinct GPUs and a growing client base, including hyperscalers and sovereign opportunities [4] - Overall data center business revenues are anticipated to see a CAGR of more than 60%, while total revenues are expected to grow at a rate greater than 35% over the same period [4] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - AMD faces tough competition from NVIDIA and Broadcom in the data center space, with NVIDIA's products being widely adopted for AI computing and Broadcom experiencing significant demand for its networking products and custom AI accelerators [5][6] Group 5: Stock Performance and Valuation - AMD shares have increased by 103.1% over the trailing 12 months, significantly outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 19.1% [7] - The stock is currently considered overvalued, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 9.18X compared to the sector's 7.18X, and it holds a Value Score of F [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AMD's first-quarter 2026 earnings is $1.20 per share, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth [13]
New Wi-Fi 8 Expands AVGO's Connectivity Portfolio: What's Ahead?
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 17:35
Core Insights - Broadcom (AVGO) is expanding its Wireless Device Connectivity solutions with the launch of the BCM4918 accelerated processing unit (APU) and two new dual-band Wi-Fi 8 devices, BCM6714 and BCM6719, which enhance throughput and enable secure, power-efficient applications for residential users [1][9] Product Development - The new platform integrates compute acceleration, advanced networking, and robust security, catering to the demands of an AI-driven connected ecosystem [2] - The BCM4918 APU is a highly integrated system-on-chip that combines high-performance CPU computing, on-device AI/ML inference, advanced networking offload, and cryptographic acceleration [2] Financial Performance - Broadcom's Semiconductor Solutions segment, which includes the Wireless Device Connectivity business, accounted for 58% of fiscal 2025 revenues [3] - The company anticipates first-quarter fiscal 2026 AI revenues to double year over year to $8.2 billion, with total Semiconductor revenues expected to reach $12.3 billion, indicating a 50% year-over-year growth [4] - The current order backlog for AI switches exceeds $10 billion, driven by the popularity of the 102-terabit per second Tomahawk 6 switch [4] Competitive Landscape - Broadcom faces significant competition in the semiconductor market from NVIDIA and Marvell Technology, both of which are experiencing strong growth driven by AI and high-performance computing demands [5][6][7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Broadcom shares have appreciated 50.7% over the past year, outperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 25.7% [8] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month price/earnings ratio of 32.33X, compared to the sector's 27.84X, indicating a premium valuation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $9.86 per share, reflecting a 44.6% growth from fiscal 2025 [15]
Broadcom(AVGO) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-11 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for fiscal year 2025 grew 24% year on year to a record $64 billion, driven by AI semiconductors and VMware [5] - Q4 total revenue was a record $18 billion, up 28% year on year, exceeding guidance due to better-than-expected growth in AI semiconductors and infrastructure software [6] - Q4 consolidated adjusted EBITDA reached a record $12.12 billion, up 34% year on year [6][12] - Gross margin for Q4 was 77.9% of revenue, better than guidance due to higher software revenues and product mix [12] - Free cash flow in Q4 was $7.5 billion, representing 41% of revenue [15] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Semiconductor revenue for Q4 was $11.1 billion, with year-on-year growth accelerating to 35%, driven by AI semiconductor revenue of $6.5 billion, which was up 74% year on year [6][14] - Infrastructure software revenue for Q4 was $6.9 billion, up 19% year on year, with total contract value booked exceeding $10.4 billion [10][14] - Non-AI semiconductor revenue for Q4 was $4.6 billion, up 2% year on year, with a forecast of approximately $4.1 billion for Q1, flat from a year ago [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI networking demand is strong, with a current order backlog for AI switches exceeding $10 billion [8] - Total order backlog for AI components is over $73 billion, expected to be delivered over the next 18 months [9] - Infrastructure software backlog increased to $73 billion, up from $49 billion a year ago [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company expects AI revenue to continue to accelerate and drive most of its growth, while non-AI semiconductor revenue is anticipated to remain stable [11] - Infrastructure software revenue is expected to grow at a low double-digit percentage, driven by VMware growth [11] - The company is focusing on advanced packaging capabilities in Singapore to address supply chain challenges [34][35] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that spending momentum for AI is expected to continue accelerating into 2026 [5] - There is a recognition of the challenges in the non-AI semiconductor market, with limited signs of recovery in enterprise spending [10][80] - Management expressed confidence in the ability to meet demand despite potential supply chain bottlenecks [74] Other Important Information - The company announced a 10% increase in its quarterly common stock cash dividend to $0.65 per share, marking the 15th consecutive increase since initiating dividends in fiscal 2011 [17] - The company has extended its share repurchase program, with $7.5 billion remaining through the end of calendar year 2026 [17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on AI backlog and customer-owned tooling - Management confirmed the $73 billion backlog for AI components and emphasized that bookings are expected to continue growing [22][23] - Management downplayed the notion of customers moving towards complete self-sufficiency in tooling, suggesting that custom AI accelerators will still be necessary [25] Question: Impact of TPU sales on market dynamics - Management indicated that TPU sales are primarily a substitution for GPUs and that moving to custom accelerators is a long-term strategic decision [28] Question: Supply chain resiliency and bottlenecks - Management acknowledged challenges in the supply chain but expressed confidence in their ability to manage and mitigate these issues through advanced packaging initiatives [74] Question: Expectations for AI revenue growth in fiscal 2026 - Management noted that while they expect AI revenue to continue accelerating, they refrained from providing specific guidance for the full year [50] Question: Clarification on OpenAI contract - Management confirmed that the OpenAI agreement is a multi-year journey and will not contribute significantly in 2026 [54][57] Question: Diversity of growth among existing customers - Management indicated that growth is well spread out among existing customers, with significant contributions from XPUs and related components [66]
Broadcom(AVGO) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-12-11 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consolidated revenue for Q4 2025 reached a record $18 billion, up 28% year on year, driven by strong growth in AI semiconductors and infrastructure software [5][12] - For fiscal year 2025, consolidated revenue grew 24% year on year to a record $64 billion, with AI revenue increasing 65% to $20 billion [4][15] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was a record $12.12 billion, up 34% year on year, representing 68% of revenue [5][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Semiconductor revenue for Q4 was $11.1 billion, up 35% year on year, with AI semiconductor revenue of $6.5 billion, up 74% year on year [5][13] - Infrastructure software revenue for Q4 was $6.9 billion, up 19% year on year, with total contract value booked exceeding $10.4 billion [10][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - AI networking demand is strong, with a current order backlog for AI switches exceeding $10 billion [8][9] - Non-AI semiconductor revenue for Q4 was $4.6 billion, up 2% year on year, but flat sequentially due to wireless seasonality [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company expects AI revenue to continue to accelerate and drive most of its growth, while non-AI semiconductor revenue is anticipated to remain stable [11][17] - Infrastructure software revenue is expected to grow at a low double-digit percentage, driven by VMware growth [11][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that spending momentum for AI is expected to continue accelerating into 2026, with a forecast of $19.1 billion in consolidated revenue for Q1 2026, up 28% year on year [11][17] - The company anticipates that the AI backlog of $73 billion will be delivered over the next 18 months, with expectations for further bookings [9][31] Other Important Information - The company announced a 10% increase in its quarterly common stock cash dividend to $0.65 per share, marking the 15th consecutive increase since initiating dividends in fiscal 2011 [16] - The company has a gross principal fixed-rate debt of $67.1 billion with a weighted average coupon rate of 4% [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on AI backlog and customer-owned tooling - Management confirmed the $73 billion backlog for AI components and expressed confidence in continued bookings, stating that the concept of customer-owned tooling is overblown [20][21][24] Question: Impact of TPUs on market dynamics - Management indicated that the transition from GPUs to TPUs is a transactional move, while developing custom accelerators is a long-term strategic decision [27][28] Question: AI revenue growth expectations - Management acknowledged the dynamic nature of AI backlog and indicated that while they initially projected 60%-70% growth for AI revenues in 2026, the trend appears to be accelerating [46][47] Question: OpenAI contract details - Management confirmed that the OpenAI contract is a multi-year journey, with significant contributions expected from 2027 to 2029, but not much in 2026 [52][74] Question: Supply chain resiliency and bottlenecks - Management expressed confidence in supply chain management and indicated that they are addressing potential bottlenecks proactively [67][70]
Broadcom Rides on Strong AI Demand: What's the Path Ahead?
ZACKS· 2025-07-11 16:06
Core Insights - Broadcom is experiencing significant growth in AI revenues, reporting a 46% year-over-year increase to $4.4 billion in Q2 of fiscal 2025, with AI networking revenues surging over 170% [1][10] - The company anticipates AI semiconductor revenues to reach $5.1 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2025, indicating a potential 60% year-over-year growth [2][10] - Broadcom's Ethernet-based networking portfolio, including Tomahawk switches and Jericho routers, is widely adopted by major hyperscalers like Google, Meta, and Microsoft, highlighting the importance of networking in AI workloads [3] AI Technology and Innovations - The launch of the next-generation Tomahawk 6 Ethernet switch, capable of 102.4 Tbps, aims to address networking bottlenecks in high-performance AI systems [4][10] - Innovations such as Cognitive Routing 2.0 and co-packaged optics are designed to enhance AI-scale fabrics, further solidifying Broadcom's position in the AI market [4] Competitive Landscape - NVIDIA remains a dominant player in the AI semiconductor market, offering high-performance GPUs and cloud solutions that drive scalable AI deployment [6] - Intel is advancing its AI strategy with new CPU and GPU architectures aimed at edge and data center workloads, indicating increased competition in the AI semiconductor space [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Broadcom's stock has returned 18.8% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Electronics - Semiconductors industry, which grew by 15% [8] - The company is currently trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 18.11X, significantly higher than the industry average of 8.72X, suggesting potential overvaluation [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 fiscal 2025 earnings is $1.66 per share, reflecting a 33.87% year-over-year growth [14]
Marvell's AI Bet: Will NVLink and UALink Drive Custom Chip Wins?
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 14:41
Core Insights - Marvell Technology (MRVL) is enhancing its position in AI infrastructure by expanding its custom chip capabilities, integrating new components to improve performance and scalability across large-scale systems [1][6] Financial Performance - In Q1 FY26, Marvell reported record Data Center revenues of $1.44 billion, representing a 76% increase year over year, driven by the rapid scaling of custom AI silicon [2][10] - Marvell's forward price-to-sales ratio is 7.36X, which is lower than the industry average of 8.15X [13] Strategic Developments - Marvell partnered with NVIDIA in May 2025 to offer NVLink Fusion technology, enhancing the flexibility of its custom cloud platform silicon for next-generation AI infrastructure [3] - The introduction of a new multi-die packaging solution based on proprietary interposer technology aims to improve die-to-die interconnect efficiency, reduce power consumption, and lower product costs [4] - Marvell launched the Ultra Accelerator Link (UALink) scale-up solution, providing an open-standards-based interconnect platform that enhances compute utilization and reduces latency [5] Competitive Landscape - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is advancing its AI solutions through the acquisition of ZT Systems, which will reduce deployment time for hyperscalers [7] - Broadcom (AVGO) reported a 170% year-over-year increase in AI networking revenues, now comprising 40% of its total AI semiconductor revenues, and introduced the Tomahawk 6 switch to enhance AI cluster performance [8] Market Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Marvell's fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 earnings indicates year-over-year growth of 77.71% and 27.73%, respectively, with recent upward revisions in earnings estimates [16]
Broadcom(AVGO) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-07 06:33
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was a record $14.9 billion, up 25% year on year [7][26] - Consolidated adjusted EBITDA reached a record $10.1 billion, up 41% year on year [7] - Gross margin was 79.1% of revenue, better than guidance due to higher infrastructure software revenue and a favorable semiconductor revenue mix [27] - Operating income was $9.8 billion, up 44% year on year, with an operating margin of 66% [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Semiconductor revenue was $8.2 billion, representing 55% of total revenue, up 11% year on year [28] - AI revenue within the semiconductor segment was $4.1 billion, up 77% year on year, with expectations for Q2 AI revenue to grow to $4.4 billion, up 44% year on year [7][16] - Infrastructure software revenue was $6.7 billion, up 47% year on year, driven by VMware integration [20][30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Non-AI semiconductor revenue was $4.1 billion, down 9% sequentially due to seasonal declines in wireless [16] - Broadband showed a double-digit sequential recovery, while server storage was down single digits but expected to rise in Q2 [17] - Enterprise networking remained flat, and wireless was flat year on year, with expectations for Q2 to remain the same [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is increasing R&D investments in AI technologies, focusing on next-generation accelerators and networking solutions [8][37] - Broadcom aims to support hyperscale customers in developing AI clusters, with a serviceable addressable market estimated between $60 billion to $90 billion by fiscal 2027 [11][12] - The strategy includes transitioning from perpetual licenses to full subscription models in software, with a focus on VMware's VCF [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the AI market, noting strong demand from hyperscalers and ongoing investments in AI infrastructure [8][63] - Concerns about geopolitical tensions and tariffs were acknowledged, but management indicated no immediate impact on current design wins or shipments [62][86] - The company expects total semiconductor revenue to grow 2% sequentially and 17% year on year in Q2, with infrastructure software revenue expected to be approximately $6.5 billion, up 23% year on year [19][24] Other Important Information - Free cash flow for Q1 was $6 billion, representing 40% of revenue [32] - The company ended Q1 with $9.3 billion in cash and $68.8 billion in gross principal debt, having reduced debt by a net $1.1 billion during the quarter [34] - The company paid $2.8 billion in cash dividends and repurchased $2 billion worth of shares [35] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the trend you're seeing with new customers? - Management noted that the four new engagements are not yet defined as customers, as they are still in the development phase [41][46] Question: Can you provide insights on the second half AI profile? - Management refrained from speculation but indicated that improved networking shipments are encouraging for Q2 [52][56] Question: Are you seeing disruption from tariffs and other dynamics? - Management acknowledged concerns but emphasized that the current disruption is positive, driven by generative AI advancements [62][63] Question: How do you view design wins and deployments? - Management clarified that design wins are only counted when products are in production at scale, emphasizing a selective approach to partnerships [78][81] Question: Are there concerns about new regulations impacting shipments? - Management expressed no current concerns regarding regulations affecting existing design wins [86] Question: How do you see the importance of networking in AI deployments? - Management highlighted that performance is the primary driver for hyperscalers when selecting networking solutions [98][100] Question: Will the new customer engagements impact the projected unit growth? - Management confirmed that the new engagements are not included in the current market estimates, as they are still in the partner phase [108]