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申万宏源:维持中国民航信息网络“买入”评级 民航IT领军 复苏与成长并进
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-15 03:51
Core Viewpoint - The report maintains a "buy" rating for China Civil Aviation Information Network (00696), citing the recovery of the civil aviation industry, increased marketing investments, and improved operational efficiency as key factors for growth [1] Group 1: Company Overview - China Civil Aviation Information Network is a leading supplier of IT solutions for the aviation travel industry in China, deeply involved in the construction, technological iteration, and service upgrades of civil aviation information systems since its inception [2] - The company is one of the top three global GDS suppliers, with a global market share of approximately 28% and a domestic market share of around 95% [2] Group 2: Industry Growth - The civil aviation industry's growth is positively correlated with the company's performance, with a strong relationship between aviation information technology services and flight booking volumes [3] - The number of travelers is expected to reach new highs, with the company's ETD system projected to handle 732 million flight bookings in 2024, surpassing the peak in 2019 [4] - Over the next decade, the per capita flight frequency in China is expected to double, with a CAGR of approximately 6%, and the number of airports increasing from 263 to 400, with a CAGR of around 4% [4] Group 3: Market Opportunities - The launch of the "official direct sales platform" by Hanglv Zongheng in July 2025 marks the company's entry into the trillion-yuan OTA market, addressing airlines' over-reliance on traditional OTAs [5] - Airlines are expected to return to near breakeven in 2024, which will positively impact the company's average selling price (ASP) [4]
中国民航信息网络(00696.HK):民航IT领军 复苏与成长并进
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-13 04:29
Core Viewpoint - The company, China Civil Aviation Information Network, is a leading supplier of IT solutions for the aviation industry in China, deeply integrated with the development of civil aviation information systems and poised for growth as the industry recovers and expands [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - The company has evolved from its inception in 1984, participating in the establishment and upgrading of civil aviation information systems, and is now the largest GDS supplier in China with a global market share of approximately 28% and a domestic market share of about 95% [1]. - The company is set to launch the "Civil Aviation Official Direct Sales Platform" in July 2025, marking its entry into the trillion-yuan OTA market [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The civil aviation industry is expected to see a steady increase in passenger numbers, with the company's ETD system projected to handle 732 million flight bookings in 2024, surpassing the peak in 2019 [1]. - The number of airports in China is anticipated to grow from 263 to 400 over the next decade, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4% [1]. Group 3: Financial Performance - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of airlines, with airlines nearing breakeven in 2024, which will positively impact the company's average selling price (ASP) [2]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 2.21 billion, 2.43 billion, and 2.65 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [2]. Group 4: Strategic Outlook - The company aims to leverage its relationship with China Aviation Information Technology and its partnership with Meituan to become a leading OTA platform, competing with major players like Ctrip and Tongcheng [2]. - The company maintains a "Buy" rating based on the recovery of the civil aviation industry and improved operational efficiency [2].