Core Insights - The Morningstar 2026 Global Outlook Report highlights intermediate bonds as a potential solution for fixed income investors seeking additional yield in 2026 as rate cuts are anticipated [1][2]. Fixed Income Advantages of Intermediate Bonds - Intermediate bonds, maturing in five to ten years, provide a balance between mitigating rate risk and enhancing yield potential in a changing economic environment [2][3]. - These bonds offer yields comparable to cash rates and benefit from capital appreciation as they approach maturity, especially if central banks cut rates [3]. Investment Options - The Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV) is recommended for those seeking exposure to intermediate bonds, tracking the Bloomberg U.S. 5–10 Year Government/Credit Float Adjusted Index [3]. - For investors willing to accept more credit risk for higher yields, the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Corporate Bond ETF (VCIT) focuses on high-quality corporate bonds with similar maturity dates [4]. - The Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF (VGIT) is suitable for those wanting to maintain a low-risk profile while still pursuing yield potential from intermediate bonds [6]. Market Conditions - The report notes that US investment-grade bonds have historically offered an extra 132 basis points of yield over US Treasuries, but the current spread is near historical lows at just over 70 basis points, despite deteriorating company fundamentals [6]. - The tightening credit spreads between corporate bonds and Treasuries are a consideration for fixed income investors evaluating corporate bond exposure [5]. Fund Characteristics - All three mentioned funds (BIV, VCIT, VGIT) feature a low expense ratio of 5 basis points or $5 per every $10,000 invested [7].

UK holdings of Treasuries have almost doubled in the past five years - Javier Ghersi Britain has overtaken China as the second-largest holder of US debt as UK hedge funds target Donald Trump’s America. UK holdings of US government bonds, known as Treasuries, have almost doubled in the past five years to hit $865bn (£648bn), according to official US data. The dramatic shift in foreign ownership reflects the growing prevalence of hedge funds over central banks as buyers of US Treasuries, and the emergence ...

Bloomberg Treasuries closed out their worst week in eight months as conflicting economic data challenged expectations for how much the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates next year. US 10- and 30-year yields rose four basis points on Friday to finish a week in which they spiked the most since April, when havoc erupted in global financial markets after the US administration rolled out its tariffs agenda. Most Read from Bloomberg While traders widely expect the Fed to cut interest rates next week, j ...

genius act. Photo by BeInCrypto A powerful and unusual wave of global capital is rushing into US markets. Foreign investors are buying American equities at a record pace, Treasury demand is reshuffling at a structural level, and domestic inflows are accelerating into year-end. At the same time, US consumer debt has hit its highest level in history. For crypto and equity investors, the scale and direction of these flows signal a major shift in risk appetite and global macro positioning. Foreign Investors ...

Pedestrians walk along Wall Street, near the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York. Bond traders are bracing for a deluge of data that will solidify expectations for how quickly the Federal Reserve will continue the interest-rate cuts that have driven US Treasuries to the biggest gains since 2020. Most Read from Bloomberg The end of the government shutdown means that agencies will start releasing key reports that were held back since the start of October, including the September employment report on ...

President Donald Trump displays signed funding legislation to reopen the US government, on Nov. 12. Treasuries sustained small losses as the longest government shutdown on record ended and expectations for another Federal Reserve interest-rate cut next month eroded further. Most Read from Bloomberg Yields were higher by as much as three basis points, led by tenors more sensitive to changes in Fed policy. The odds of a December rate cut assigned by the market have slipped amid cautious commentary by sever ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record third quarter revenues of $737 million, a 31% increase from $561 million a year ago [4] - Adjusted earnings grew by 22.4% to $155.1 million, with post-tax adjusted earnings increasing by 11.5% to $141.1 million, resulting in post-tax adjusted earnings per share of $0.29 [12] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 10.7% to $167.6 million [12] - Liquidity as of September 30 was $924.7 million, up from $897.8 million at year-end 2024 [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ECS revenues grew by 114% to $241.6 million, driven by OTC and strong organic growth [6] - Rates revenues increased by 12.1% to $195.3 million, reflecting higher volumes across major interest rate products [7] - Foreign exchange revenues rose by 15.9% to $106.7 million, primarily due to growth in emerging market currencies [7] - Credit revenues increased by 1.6% to $69.1 million, driven by higher credit derivative volumes [7] - Equities revenues grew by 13.2% to $60.4 million, reflecting strong volumes in European and US equity markets [7] - Data, network, and post-trade revenues grew by 11.9% to $34.3 million, excluding Capital Lab [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - EMEA revenues increased by 37.4%, Americas revenues by 28.1%, and Asia-Pacific revenues by 17.4% [11] - The US Treasury market share grew to an all-time high of 37%, significantly outpacing the market [5] - FMX UST generated record average daily volume of $59.4 billion, more than 12% higher compared to last year [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing profitability and margins through a $25 million cost reduction program, expected to be completed by year-end [5] - The company aims to continue growing SOFR ADV and open interest, with expectations for similar adoption in US Treasury Futures offerings in 2026 [9][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver strong growth despite a mixed macro environment, highlighting the strength and scale of its global platform [4] - The company anticipates fourth quarter revenues between $720 million and $770 million, representing approximately 30% growth at the midpoint [13] - Pre-tax adjusted earnings are expected to be in the range of $152.5 million to $167.5 million, indicating approximately 24% earnings growth at the midpoint [13] Other Important Information - The company has reapproved a share repurchase authorization for up to $400 million [12] - The fully diluted weighted average share count for adjusted earnings was 494.2 million shares, a slight decrease compared to previous periods [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What allowed BGC to outperform some industry proxies despite a slowdown in on-exchange volumes? - Management attributed the strong performance to targeted growth within the ECS sector and the hiring of around 150 new brokers, which helped generate significant revenues [16] Question: Can you elaborate on the strong growth in FMX and expectations for FCM onboardings? - Management noted that FMX has successfully onboarded 11 FCMs and achieved significant growth in SOFR futures ADV and open interest, with expectations for continued growth in US Treasury futures [18][20] Question: What contributed to the strong share growth in FMX cash markets? - Management indicated that the growth was due to increased adoption by FMX partners and the platform becoming a viable alternative to existing market options [23] Question: How much leverage does the energy segment have to higher adoption of cloud and AI? - Management acknowledged involvement in energy procurement for data centers, indicating a growing relationship with clients in that sector [25] Question: Can electronic credit revenues grow at a similar pace as Tradeweb or MarketAxess? - Management expressed confidence that electronic credit revenues can grow at competitive rates, with ongoing launches of new electronic protocols [27][28]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - BGC Group reported record third quarter revenues of $737 million, a 31% increase from $561 million a year ago [4] - Adjusted earnings grew by 22.4% to $155.1 million, with post-tax adjusted earnings increasing by 11.5% to $141.1 million, resulting in post-tax adjusted earnings per share of $0.29 [11] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 10.7% to $167.6 million [11] - The company’s liquidity was $924.7 million as of September 30, compared to $897.8 million at year-end 2024 [11] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - ECS revenues grew by 114% to $241.6 million, driven by OTC and strong organic growth [6] - Rates revenues increased by 12.1% to $195.3 million, reflecting higher volumes across major interest rate products [6] - Foreign exchange revenues rose by 15.9% to $106.7 million, primarily due to growth in emerging market currencies [6] - Credit revenues increased by 1.6% to $69.1 million, while equities revenues grew by 13.2% to $60.4 million [6] - Data, network, and post-trade revenues grew by 11.9% to $34.3 million, excluding Capital Lab [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - EMEA revenues increased by 37.4%, Americas revenues by 28.1%, and Asia-Pacific revenues by 17.4% [10] - FMX UST generated record third quarter average daily volume of $59.4 billion, up more than 12% year-over-year, with market share reaching a record 37% [8] - SOFR Futures saw both average daily volume and open interest increase more than threefold compared to the previous quarter [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing profitability and margins through a $25 million cost reduction program, expected to be completed by year-end [5] - BGC Group aims to continue growing its market share in various asset classes and geographies, leveraging its global platform [4] - The company is prioritizing the growth of SOFR ADV and open interest, with expectations for similar adoption in US Treasury Futures offerings in 2026 [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver strong growth despite a mixed macro environment, highlighting the strength and scale of its global platform [4] - The outlook for the fourth quarter of 2025 anticipates revenues between $720 million and $770 million, representing approximately 30% growth at the midpoint [13] - Pre-tax adjusted earnings are expected to be in the range of $152.5 million to $167.5 million, indicating approximately 24% earnings growth at the midpoint [14] Other Important Information - The company’s fully diluted weighted average share count for adjusted earnings was 494.2 million shares, a slight decrease compared to the previous year [11] - BGC Group's board reapproved a share repurchase authorization for up to $400 million [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: What allowed BGC to outperform some industry proxies despite a slowdown in on-exchange volumes? - Management attributed the strong performance to targeted growth within the ECS sector and the hiring of around 150 new brokers, which helped gain market share [17] Question: Can you elaborate on the strong growth in FMX and expectations for FCM onboardings? - Management noted that FMX is in its second year, with significant growth in SOFR futures and onboarding of 11 FCMs, indicating a positive trajectory for future growth [19][20] Question: What contributed to the strong share growth in FMX cash markets? - The growth was attributed to the hard work over several years and further adoption by FMX partners, positioning it as a viable alternative to existing market leaders [25] Question: How does the energy segment leverage higher adoption of cloud and AI? - Management indicated that while direct revenue impact may be limited, there is involvement in energy procurement for data centers, benefiting from relationships established through Newmark [27] Question: What is the outlook for electronic credit revenues? - Management expressed confidence in the growth potential of electronic credit, highlighting the launch of new electronic protocols and the shift towards more electronic markets [29][30]

Jerome Powell at the Federal Reserve Board open meeting in Washington, DC, on Oct. 24. Treasuries edged lower ahead of a widely expected interest-rate cut by the Federal Reserve with traders focused on comments by Chair Jerome Powell for clues on the central bank’s next move. Yields on 10-year notes rose two basis points to 3.99% after falling the previous two sessions, while monetary policy-sensitive two-year notes held steady around 3.49% Wednesday morning. Most Read from Bloomberg Traders have fully ...

Core Insights - For the first time since the mid-1990s, foreign central banks hold more gold than U.S. Treasuries, indicating a significant shift in global financial safety and trust perspectives [1] - Central banks are on track to purchase approximately 900 tonnes of gold in 2025, marking the fourth consecutive year of purchases exceeding twice the long-term average [2] - The longest streak of gold buying by central banks has reached 16 years, reversing a trend of net selling that lasted over two decades prior to 2010 [3] Central Bank Activity - In the first half of 2025, 23 countries expanded their gold reserves, reflecting a persistent trend where central banks cannot stop buying gold [4] - The rise in gold prices is linked to the decline of the Federal Reserve's reverse-repo balances, indicating a shift in liquidity management [4][5] - Gold is increasingly viewed as a reliable asset, transitioning from merely an inflation hedge to a form of pristine collateral [5] Trust and Financial Stability - The widening trust gap in U.S. Treasuries is highlighted by the government spending nearly 23 cents of every dollar on interest, alongside declining foreign confidence due to political gridlock and escalating debt [6]