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【首席观察】“影子美联储”的真相
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-06-17 12:42
Core Insights - The emergence of stablecoins, particularly USDC, is reshaping the global financial ecosystem, with Circle's recent IPO highlighting the growing significance of digital currencies [2][3] - Stablecoins are increasingly being recognized as "shadow central banks," influencing U.S. Treasury yields and the broader financial market [3][4] Company Developments - Circle Internet Group went public on June 5, raising $1.1 billion with an initial share price of $31, which surged by 168% on the first day [2] - Following the IPO, Circle executives sold 3.55 million shares valued at approximately $104 million, leading to an over 8% decline in the stock price shortly after [2] Industry Trends - Major payment organizations like Visa and Mastercard are integrating stablecoin settlements, while companies like Walmart are testing enterprise stablecoins for commercial viability [2] - The global stablecoin market surpassed $250 billion by May 2025, with USDT and USDC accounting for over 85% of the market share [5] Regulatory Landscape - The U.S. Senate is set to vote on the "GENIUS Act," which aims to guide and establish a national framework for stablecoin innovation [2][6] - Regulatory concerns are rising as stablecoins may bypass capital flow controls and complicate central banks' macroeconomic management [6][7] Economic Implications - Stablecoins are becoming significant players in the U.S. Treasury market, with projections indicating they could purchase $40 billion in short-term U.S. Treasuries in 2024 [3] - The concentration of stablecoin reserves poses potential risks, such as liquidity crises, which could lead to significant fluctuations in Treasury yields [4][5] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the global capital market may enter a phase of asset trust reconstruction, potentially leading to liquidity tightening and increased risk premiums [5] - The evolving landscape of stablecoins indicates a shift towards a new monetary framework, with countries worldwide considering how to develop their stablecoin policies [6][7]
香港立法放行稳定币,3家机构加紧筹备合资公司
21世纪经济报道· 2025-05-23 12:29
Core Viewpoint - Hong Kong's Legislative Council has passed the Stablecoin Ordinance, establishing a licensing system for fiat-backed stablecoin issuers to enhance regulatory frameworks for virtual asset activities and promote financial innovation [2][8]. Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The Stablecoin Ordinance is expected to come into effect within the year, allowing the industry sufficient time to understand the licensing requirements [2][8]. - The licensing system includes transitional arrangements to help the industry comply with the new regulations [7][8]. - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) is developing a regulatory framework for stablecoin issuers due to the increasing interconnectivity between traditional finance and virtual asset markets [7][8]. Group 2: Industry Participation - Five institutions are participating in the first batch of stablecoin issuers, with three of them forming a joint venture to apply for a license to issue a stablecoin pegged to the Hong Kong dollar [4][5]. - The joint venture includes Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong), Animo Brands Limited, and Hong Kong Telecommunications, highlighting cross-industry collaboration [4][5]. - Other participants include JD Group's JD Blockchain Technology (Hong Kong) and Yuan Coin Innovation Technology, with plans to issue the HKDR stablecoin on the Ethereum platform [4][6]. Group 3: Strategic Goals and Applications - The joint venture aims to explore the role of stablecoins in financial and payment markets, with a focus on enhancing local and cross-border payment experiences [5][6]. - The stablecoin is seen as a mature use case within the Web 3.0 ecosystem, with potential applications in retail, corporate, and institutional sectors [5][6]. - JD Group plans to leverage stablecoin operations to support its global supply chain and cross-border payments, indicating a broader ambition for international reach [6].