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These 3 worst-performing stocks of 2025 could be your best buying opportunity
Finbold· 2025-09-22 10:25
Core Insights - The S&P 500 has reached record highs in 2025, but some individual stocks have experienced significant declines, with the worst performers losing between 47% and 62% of their value this year [1][2]. Group 1: Worst Performing Stocks - The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) is the worst performer, down 62.2% due to concerns over ad spending and competition, yet it maintains a strong position in programmatic advertising and high client retention [2][3]. - Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU) has dropped 55.6% as North American demand slows, but it continues to show strong margins and brand loyalty while expanding internationally [2][7]. - Centene Corp. (NYSE: CNC) is down 47.6% amid regulatory uncertainty and reimbursement concerns, but it remains a major provider of government-backed healthcare plans with a diversified portfolio [2][11]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The Trade Desk's stock is trading at multi-year lows, presenting potential upside once industry challenges are resolved, currently priced at $44.47 [4]. - Lululemon's stock correction may offer a discounted entry point into a globally recognized brand, currently valued at $169.62 [8]. - Centene's scale and cost efficiency suggest that its recent selloff may be sentiment-driven, with potential for recovery once policy risks stabilize, last valued at $31.77 [13].
The Trade Desk's Next Decade: 3 Tailwinds Investors Shouldn't Overlook
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-22 08:45
Core Viewpoint - The Trade Desk is positioned to benefit from three significant megatrends in digital advertising, despite facing short-term challenges such as slower growth and increased competition [1] Group 1: Connected TV (CTV) - The U.S. connected TV ad spend is projected to grow from $30 billion in 2024 to nearly $40 billion by 2027, with a global market expected to expand from $268 billion in 2024 to $531 billion by 2030, indicating a substantial opportunity for The Trade Desk [3][4] - The Trade Desk operates as an independent demand-side platform, providing advertisers access to premium streaming inventory across various publishers, which positions it favorably against competitors like YouTube and Facebook [3][4] - The company’s partnerships with major streaming services such as Disney+ and Netflix, along with its Unified ID 2.0 initiative, enhance its competitive edge in the CTV space [3] Group 2: Retail Media - Retail media is emerging as a new advertising frontier, allowing brands to place ads directly on retailer websites and apps, which is more effective due to the use of first-party purchase data [5][6] - The global retail media market is expected to reach $177 billion by 2025, indicating rapid growth in this advertising channel [6] - The Trade Desk has established itself in this sector by powering retailer ad networks outside of Amazon, exemplified by its partnership with Walmart Connect [7][8] Group 3: International Expansion - The Trade Desk currently generates most of its revenue in the U.S., but the international advertising market presents a significant growth opportunity, with global digital ad spend projected to reach $1.1 trillion by 2025 [9][10] - Only 12% of The Trade Desk's revenue comes from international markets, highlighting the potential for substantial growth if the company can replicate its U.S. success abroad [9][10] - Capturing even a small share of the global ad spend outside the U.S. could result in tens of billions in additional revenue capacity for The Trade Desk [10] Group 4: Long-term Growth Potential - Despite current challenges, The Trade Desk is at the center of three rapidly growing areas in digital advertising: CTV, retail media, and international expansion, which are expected to drive long-term growth [12] - These markets collectively represent several hundred billion dollars of addressable spend in the coming years, positioning The Trade Desk as a leading independent DSP [12][13] - The company does not need to dominate every segment but must remain a trusted alternative to larger competitors, which is crucial for patient investors [13]
The Trade Desk (TTD) Q2 Revenue Up 19%
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-08 00:55
Core Insights - The Trade Desk reported Q2 2025 GAAP revenue of $694 million, a 19% increase year-over-year, exceeding Wall Street estimates of $685.47 million [1][5] - Non-GAAP earnings per share for Q2 2025 were $0.41, significantly above the expected $0.18, reflecting strong topline performance [1][5] - Despite revenue growth, the company experienced margin compression due to rising operating costs, with adjusted EBITDA margin declining from 41% in Q2 2024 to 39% in Q2 2025 [1][5] Financial Performance - Q2 2025 GAAP revenue was $694 million, up from $585 million in Q2 2024, marking an 18.6% year-over-year increase [2] - Non-GAAP EPS increased by 5.1% from $0.39 in Q2 2024 to $0.41 in Q2 2025 [2] - Adjusted EBITDA grew 12% year-over-year to $271 million, while GAAP net income rose to $90 million from $85 million in Q2 2024 [2][5] Business Model and Strategy - The Trade Desk operates as an independent buy-side partner, focusing on programmatic digital advertising without owning media supply, which has helped retain over 95% of clients for 11 years [3][4] - The company emphasizes leadership in connected TV (CTV) advertising and innovation through AI-powered tools, such as the Kokai platform, which has improved campaign performance for users [4][6] - Investment in privacy and transparency is a strategic priority, with initiatives like Unified ID 2.0 and OpenPath enhancing audience targeting and supply chain transparency [8][9] Market Position and Growth - The Trade Desk continues to gain market share in programmatic advertising, with significant growth attributed to its long-term strategy and product upgrades [6] - The Kokai platform is utilized by about two-thirds of clients, leading to a 24% reduction in cost per conversion and a 20% decrease in cost per acquisition [6] - The company is expanding its omnichannel reach through new partnerships and international growth, particularly in retail media [7] Operational Insights - Operating costs increased by 36.7% year-over-year, contributing to margin compression despite higher adjusted EBITDA [10] - The company reported $1.7 billion in cash and short-term investments with no debt, indicating a strong financial position [10] - Share repurchases totaled $261 million, supporting shareholder returns and offsetting dilution from stock-based compensation [10] Future Outlook - For Q3 2025, management projects revenue of at least $717 million and adjusted EBITDA of around $277 million [11] - The company will continue to invest in AI, product capabilities, and transparency tools while navigating macroeconomic uncertainties affecting advertising budgets [12]
The Trade Desk Stock Climbs Higher on S&P 500 Debut as ANSYS Drops Out
ZACKS· 2025-07-16 14:20
Core Insights - The Trade Desk Inc. (TTD) will join the S&P 500 on July 18, 2025, replacing ANSYS Inc. (ANSS), which is being acquired by Synopsys Inc. (SNPS) [1] - Following the announcement, TTD shares rose by 6.6% to $80.40, indicating strong investor sentiment [1] - TTD operates a leading demand-side platform (DSP) focused on data-driven advertising, aiming for revenue growth and profitability through its Connected TV (CTV) offerings and flagship products [2] Company Overview - TTD is positioned to benefit from the projected growth in the global digital ad spending market, expected to reach $1,483 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 9.47% from 2025 to 2034 [3] - The company is focusing on expanding its global footprint and partnerships while maintaining its innovation edge [2][3] Financial Performance - For Q2, TTD anticipates revenue of at least $682 million, reflecting a 17% year-over-year growth, despite macroeconomic challenges [4][10] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be around $259 million [4] - TTD's shares have increased by 59.9% over the past three months, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Services industry and S&P 500 composites, which rose by 20.6% and 18.2%, respectively [11] Competitive Landscape - TTD competes with major players like Amazon (AMZN) and Alphabet (GOOGL) in the ad tech space, focusing on independent, cross-channel programmatic buying [5][7] - While Amazon leverages its first-party data for targeted ads, TTD offers a neutral ad platform targeting the open internet, which is particularly relevant in ad-supported streaming [7] Valuation Metrics - TTD currently trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 12.57X, significantly higher than the industry average of 5.44X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTD's earnings has remained stable over the past 60 days, with no revisions [13][14]
Can Trade Desk Sustain Double-Digit Revenue Growth Amid Headwinds?
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 16:00
Company Overview - The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) anticipates revenues of at least $682 million for Q2 2025, reflecting approximately 17% year-over-year growth, a slowdown from the 25% growth recorded in Q1 2025, indicating a potential maturation in its growth cycle [1] - Rising operating expenses surged 21.4% year-over-year to $561.6 million, primarily due to investments in enhancing platform capabilities [3] - TTD's adjusted EBITDA is expected to be $259 million, with a margin of nearly 38%, which is 400 basis points higher than in Q1 2025, attributed to targeted investments in infrastructure and talent [6] Market Conditions - The company faces rising macroeconomic uncertainty and escalating trade tensions, which could impact advertising budgets and programmatic demand, particularly affecting large global brands [2] - The growth in Connected TV (CTV) adoption is a significant driver for TTD's growth strategy, with global ad spend projected to rise in CTV and retail media [4] Innovation and Product Development - TTD's flagship products, including Kokai, Unified ID 2.0, and OpenPath, are gaining traction, with two-thirds of clients using the AI platform Kokai, which has reduced costs per conversion by 24% and per acquisition by 20% [5] Competitive Landscape - Taboola.com Ltd. (TBLA) reported Q1 revenues of $427 million, a 3% increase, with expectations for Q2 2025 revenues between $438 million and $458 million, indicating a solid growth trajectory [7] - PubMatic, Inc. (PUBM) expects Q2 revenues between $66 million and $70 million, focusing on high-growth segments like CTV and maintaining financial discipline with projected adjusted EBITDA of $9 million to $12 million [8] Valuation Metrics - TTD's shares have decreased by 23.3% over the past year, contrasting with the Zacks Internet -Services industry's decline of 1.4% [11] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 11.86X, significantly higher than the industry's average of 5.31X [12]
TTD Global Momentum Increases as International Growth Overtakes U.S.
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 13:56
Core Insights - The Trade Desk (TTD) has achieved significant international growth, outpacing North America for the ninth consecutive quarter, with North America still accounting for 88% of advertising spend [1][9] - Connected TV (CTV) is a major growth driver for TTD, with over 90 million households reached and strong performance in international markets, particularly in Europe and Asia [2][9] - TTD's AI platform, Kokai, is gaining traction, with two-thirds of clients using it, leading to a reduction in costs per conversion and acquisition [3][9] Company Performance - TTD expects revenues of at least $682 million for Q2 2025, reflecting a 17% year-over-year growth, assuming stable market conditions [4] - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be around $259 million for the same quarter [4] - TTD's shares have decreased by 28.7% over the past year, contrasting with a 4.3% decline in the Zacks Internet-Services industry [10] Market Outlook - The global digital ad spending market is projected to reach $1,483 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 9.47% from 2025 to 2034, with TTD well-positioned to benefit from this growth [5] - The rise of CTV and retail media is expected to drive increased ad spending, providing TTD with opportunities to expand its international revenue base [5] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Magnite Inc. and PubMatic, Inc. are also experiencing growth in the CTV space, with significant contributions to their revenues from programmatic ad spending [6][7] - Magnite reported a 19% year-over-year increase in CTV contribution, while PubMatic has achieved over 80% adoption among top streaming platforms [6][7] Valuation Metrics - TTD trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 10.79X, which is higher than the industry average of 5.01X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTD's earnings has remained unchanged over the past 30 days [12]
2 Ad Tech Stocks That Could Help Make You a Fortune
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-19 08:00
Industry Overview - The ad tech industry is experiencing solid growth and has significant upside potential, driven by advancements in connected TV, retail media, better ad targeting, and AI improvements [2] - Major players like Alphabet and Meta Platforms are leading the industry, but there are other companies also benefiting from this growth [2] Company: Roku - Roku's stock price has declined over 80% from its peak in 2021 due to a post-pandemic slowdown in the streaming industry [4] - The company has undergone layoffs and a business reset but is now positioned for growth, with a 16% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.02 billion in the first quarter [6] - Roku's stock price surged after announcing an exclusive integration with Amazon's demand-side platform, indicating potential market share gains [7] - With a market cap of $11 billion, Roku is well-positioned to capitalize on the growth in connected TV, with the potential for significant stock price appreciation [8] Company: The Trade Desk - The Trade Desk is a leading independent demand-side ad tech platform known for its innovative technologies, including its AI platform Kokai and cookieless tracking protocol [9] - The stock is currently trading down 50% from its peak, presenting a buying opportunity, despite a disappointing earnings report in February [10] - In the first quarter, The Trade Desk reported a 25% year-over-year revenue growth to $616 million, demonstrating resilience in various market conditions [11] - The company is well-positioned for continued growth, supported by its cookieless tracking solution and expanding customer ecosystem [12]
Should You Buy These Beaten-Down Nasdaq-100 Stocks?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-18 09:25
Core Viewpoint - The Nasdaq-100 index includes innovative companies like Datadog and The Trade Desk, which are currently trading below their recent highs but still present attractive long-term growth prospects [1] Datadog - Datadog's shares are down 17% year to date, but the company has seen a rebound following strong earnings reports [2] - The company reported a 25% year-over-year revenue growth to $762 million in Q1, alleviating concerns about software spending due to potential economic downturns [5] - High demand for AI monitoring tools is driving growth, with Datadog signing 11 deals worth at least $10 million each in the quarter [6][7] - Datadog's revenue is currently $2.8 billion, serving a market projected to reach $81 billion by 2028, indicating significant growth potential [9] The Trade Desk - The Trade Desk, a leading digital ad-buying platform, has experienced a 34.5% decline in shares year to date but has shown recovery with a 29% increase since its earnings report on May 8 [2][13] - The company reported a 25% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1, indicating healthy ad spending on its platform despite earlier concerns about a slowdown in the ad market [13] - The Trade Desk is capitalizing on the $1 trillion ad market with its Unified ID 2.0 and AI-powered Kokai platform, which enhances ad performance measurement and improves returns on ad spending [14] - The stock's forward price-to-earnings ratio has decreased to 44, making it more attractive for investors compared to earlier in the year [15] - Analysts project an annualized earnings growth rate of 31% for The Trade Desk, suggesting strong long-term returns for investors [16]
Should You Hold or Sell The Trade Desk Stock Post Q1 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-05-13 16:25
Core Viewpoint - The Trade Desk (TTD) has experienced a significant decline in stock price, down 32.5% year to date, despite a strong Q1 performance that saw revenues increase by 25% [1][16]. Company Performance - TTD reported Q1 revenues of $616 million, exceeding management's guidance of at least $575 million, with adjusted EBITDA of $208 million, reflecting a 34% margin compared to 33% in the previous year [3][4]. - Customer retention for the quarter was over 95%, indicating strong client loyalty [3]. - The Kokai platform is now utilized by two-thirds of clients, ahead of schedule, and is expected to achieve 100% adoption by year-end [5]. - The acquisition of Sincera is expected to enhance TTD's programmatic advertising capabilities [6]. Financial Metrics - Net cash provided by operating activities was $291.4 million, with free cash flow at $230 million [4]. - Adjusted earnings per share increased by 27% year over year to 33 cents [4]. Market Environment - The digital advertising industry remains highly competitive, with major players like Alphabet and Amazon posing challenges to TTD's market position [8]. - Increasing macroeconomic uncertainty and trade tensions are anticipated to squeeze advertising budgets, potentially impacting TTD's revenue growth [7][10]. Revenue Composition - TTD's revenue sources are heavily concentrated, with 88% derived from North America and only 12% from international markets, limiting growth potential [9]. Cost Structure - Total operating costs surged by 21.4% year over year to $561.6 million, driven by investments in platform capabilities [10]. Valuation Concerns - TTD's stock is trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 12.99X, significantly higher than the industry average of 4.75X, indicating a lofty valuation [15][16]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have revised earnings estimates downward over the past 30 days, reflecting bearish sentiment towards TTD's stock [10][16].
5 Historically Cheap Growth Stocks to Buy With Confidence in the Wake of the Nasdaq Correction
The Motley Fool· 2025-03-27 09:06
Market Overview - The stock market experienced significant downturns, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite declining by 8.6%, 10.1%, and 13.7% respectively between February 19 and March 13 [2] - The S&P 500 quickly recovered from correction territory, while the Nasdaq Composite followed shortly after [3] Investment Opportunities The Trade Desk - The Trade Desk's shares are over 57% below their all-time high, presenting a buying opportunity despite near-term economic concerns [4] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from rising digital advertising spending, particularly through its Unified ID 2.0 technology [5] - The forward P/E ratio of 27 is significantly lower than its average of nearly 89 over the past five years, indicating a potential value buy [6] PayPal Holdings - PayPal's total payment volume increased by 10% to $1.68 trillion in 2024, despite modest active account growth [8] - The appointment of CEO Alex Chriss is expected to drive innovation and cost-cutting measures, enhancing profitability [9] - PayPal's forward P/E ratio of 12.6 represents a 37% discount compared to its average over the last five years [10] Amazon - Amazon's future growth is heavily reliant on its AWS segment, which is the leading cloud infrastructure provider [12] - The company is also expanding its advertising and subscription services, with both segments showing double-digit sales growth [13] - Shares are currently priced at approximately 12.2 times forecast cash flow for 2026, which is 42% below its historical average [14] BioMarin Pharmaceutical - BioMarin focuses on rare diseases, providing it with unique pricing power and limited competition [15] - The company's top-selling drug, Voxzogo, generated $735 million in sales, a 56% increase from the previous year [16] - BioMarin aims to reach $4 billion in annual sales by 2027, a 40% increase from 2024 sales of $2.85 billion [17] - The forward P/E ratio of 13.5 is 64% below its average over the past five years [18] Alphabet - Alphabet is positioned as a strong investment opportunity, with a dominant market share in internet search [20] - The company's future growth is expected to be bolstered by its Google Cloud platform, particularly with the integration of AI solutions [21] - Shares can be purchased for 16.4 times forecast earnings in 2026, a 27% discount to its five-year average [22]