Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ:URBN) is one of the most undervalued retail stocks to invest in. In a report released on September 18, Ike Boruchow from Wells Fargo maintained a Hold rating on Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ:URBN) and set a price target of $75.00. Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN): It’s An “Outlier,” Says Jim Cramer However, while UBS maintained a Neutral rating on the stock on September 2, it raised its price target on Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ:URBN) to $79 from $78, telling investors in ...

TCW funds, an investment management company, released its “TCW Relative Value Mid Cap Fund” second-quarter 2025 investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. The second quarter started with a sharp decline driven by the Liberation Day tariffs announcement by President Trump, but a 90-day pause on certain tariffs led to a strong recovery, propelling the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to new highs. U.S. equities continued to rise in May and June, supported by better-than-expected corporate results and po ...

Key Takeaways Wolverine reported broad-based Q2 growth, led by Saucony's 41.5% y/y revenue jump and record sales.Merrell marked its fourth straight quarter of growth with lighter, faster trail footwear driving demand.Sweaty Betty and Wolverine delivered margin expansion through campaigns, innovation and premium launches.Wolverine World Wide, Inc. (WWW) delivered strong brand results in the second quarter of 2025, with Saucony leading the portfolio. The brand posted a 41.5% year-over-year revenue increase, a ...

Core Insights - Urban Outfitters, Inc. reported record net income of $143.9 million and earnings per diluted share of $1.58 for the three months ended July 31, 2025, and a record net income of $252.2 million and earnings per diluted share of $2.73 for the six months ended July 31, 2025 [1][13]. Financial Performance - Total Company net sales for the three months ended July 31, 2025, increased by 11.3% to a record $1.50 billion, while for the six months, net sales increased by 11.0% to $2.83 billion [2][3]. - Retail segment net sales increased by 7.8% for the three months and 7.1% for the six months, with comparable Retail segment net sales rising by 5.6% and 5.2%, respectively [2][3]. - Subscription segment net sales surged by 53.2% for the three months and 56.1% for the six months, driven by a significant increase in average active subscribers [2][3]. - Wholesale segment net sales increased by 18.1% for the three months and 21.0% for the six months, primarily due to increased sales to specialty customers [2][3]. Brand Performance - Comparable Retail segment net sales growth was observed across all brands: Free People (6.7% for three months, 5.0% for six months), Anthropologie (5.7% for three months, 6.3% for six months), and Urban Outfitters (4.2% for three months, 3.2% for six months) [2][3]. - The company opened 27 new retail locations during the six months, including 19 Free People stores, 4 Anthropologie stores, and 4 Urban Outfitters stores [15]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit rate increased by 113 basis points for the three months and 191 basis points for the six months compared to the previous year, with gross profit dollars rising by 14.8% to $566.2 million for the three months and by 17.0% to $1.06 billion for the six months [6][8]. - Selling, general and administrative expenses increased by 12.5% for the three months and 10.4% for the six months, with a notable increase in marketing expenses to support customer growth [10][11]. Tax and Shareholder Returns - The effective tax rate decreased to 21.5% for both the three and six months ended July 31, 2025, compared to 23.0% and 23.2% in the prior year periods [12]. - The company repurchased and retired 3.3 million shares for approximately $152 million during the six months ended July 31, 2025, with 14.7 million shares remaining under the repurchase program [14].

Core Insights - Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) reported strong fiscal 2026 results with retail comparable sales increasing by 4.8% year over year, driven by positive gains in both digital and retail store sales [1][10] - The company experienced significant growth in wholesale revenues, which rose by 24.2%, led by Free People's 25.6% growth and FP Movement's 78% surge [4][10] Retail Performance - Anthropologie achieved a 6.9% retail comparable sales growth, marking its 10th consecutive quarter of growth, supported by strong performance in both stores and digital channels [2] - Free People recorded a 3.1% retail comp, with FP Movement delivering a 6% retail comp and 16% total retail growth [2] - Urban Outfitters saw its first positive global retail comp in several quarters at 2.1%, with Europe up 14%, despite a 4% decline in North America [3] Wholesale Performance - Wholesale revenues increased significantly, with Free People's growth at 25.6% and FP Movement's at 78%, attributed to strong full-price sales and new label introductions [4][10] - The focus on aligned partnerships and brand integrity contributed to improved profitability [4] Future Outlook - For the fiscal second quarter, URBN anticipates mid-single digit retail comps for Anthropologie and Free People, low single digit growth for Urban Outfitters, and low double digit wholesale gains [5] - The company plans to open 64 new stores in fiscal 2026, emphasizing innovation and strategic wholesale growth to maintain momentum [5] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors include Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO) and Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK), with SHOO experiencing a decline in wholesale revenues while Deckers reported a 26.7% increase in wholesale net sales [6][7][8] Valuation and Estimates - URBN shares have gained 42.5% year to date, contrasting with the industry's decline of 12.9% [9] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15.02X, below the industry average of 17.56X, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate indicating a year-over-year earnings growth of 21.9% for fiscal 2026 [11][12]

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation's first-quarter fiscal 2026 performance was driven by strong demand for its flagship brands, HOKA and UGG, with HOKA's revenues increasing by 19.8% year over year to $653.1 million and UGG's revenues growing by 18.9% to $265.1 million [1][9] Brand Performance - HOKA maintained strong momentum with successful product launches, including the Arahi 8, and is expected to continue its growth trajectory with upcoming models such as Mafate 5 and Mach 3 [2] - UGG expanded its product offerings beyond cold-weather items, introducing versatile styles like the PeakMod clog and Lowmel sneaker, aligning with casual fashion trends [3] International Growth - Deckers reported a 49.7% year-over-year increase in international revenues in the first quarter, with both HOKA and UGG contributing significantly [4] Future Projections - For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, Deckers anticipates net sales between $1.38 billion and $1.42 billion, with HOKA expected to grow by 10% and UGG projected to increase in the mid-single digits [4][9] Competitive Landscape - Wolverine World Wide and Urban Outfitters are key competitors in the footwear market, with Wolverine's brands showing strong growth and Urban Outfitters' portfolio delivering positive performance [5][6][7] Valuation Metrics - Deckers shares have declined by 49.9% year to date, compared to a 12.6% decline in the industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 15.77X, below the industry average of 17.64X, indicating a favorable valuation [11] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Deckers' fiscal 2026 earnings suggests a year-over-year decline of 1.1%, while fiscal 2027 estimates indicate an 8.3% increase [12]

Core Insights - Investors should conduct a thorough analysis of a company's financial background rather than relying solely on real-time stock numbers to make informed investment decisions [1] - The interest coverage ratio is a critical metric that indicates a company's ability to meet its interest obligations, with a higher ratio suggesting better financial health [4][5] Company Performance - Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) has an impressive interest coverage ratio and has gained 56.2% over the past year, with a projected EPS growth of 22.2% [10][12] - Ingredion Incorporated (INGR) also shows strong performance with a Zacks Rank of 2, a VGM Score of A, and a projected EPS growth of 6.8%, having risen 11% in the past year [10][12] - The Walt Disney Company (DIS) carries a Zacks Rank of 2 and has a projected EPS growth of 16.3%, with a stock increase of 29% in the past year [10][13] - Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) has a robust interest coverage ratio and is projected to have an EPS growth of 43.8%, with shares rising 20.4% in the past year [10][15] Investment Strategy - A favorable investment strategy includes selecting stocks with an interest coverage ratio above the industry average, a Zacks Rank of 1 or 2, and a VGM Score of A or B for optimal results [8][11] - Additional criteria for stock selection include a minimum price of $5, strong historical and projected EPS growth compared to the industry median, and substantial trading volume [9][10]

Retail Industry Overview - U.S. retail sales declined for the second consecutive month in May, falling 0.9% month over month to $715.4 billion, marking the steepest decline since January [1][8] - The decline in retail activity was primarily driven by a 3.5% drop in motor vehicle purchases, alongside notable decreases in building materials (down 2.7%) and gasoline (down 2%) [2][8] - More than half of the 13 major retail categories tracked reported lower sales in May, indicating broader weakness in consumer spending [2] Consumer Sentiment and Economic Factors - Tariff threats and geopolitical tensions are negatively impacting consumer sentiment, suggesting that the earlier spike in sales was a reaction to anticipated economic challenges rather than a sustained spending trend [3] - The current economic uncertainties are prompting a cautious approach among consumers, reflected in the recent retail sales data [3] Investment Opportunities in Retail Stocks - Companies such as Sprouts Farmers Market, Urban Outfitters, BJ's Wholesale Club, and Costco are identified as better positioned to navigate shifts in consumer behavior due to their strategic initiatives [3][8] Company-Specific Insights Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) - SFM is focusing on product innovation, competitive pricing, and targeted marketing to expand its customer base and meet evolving consumer preferences [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SFM indicates a projected growth of 13.7% in sales and 35.5% in earnings per share (EPS) for the current financial year [8] Urban Outfitters (URBN) - URBN is leveraging its multi-brand strength and digital reach, with major brands showing momentum across both digital and physical channels [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for URBN suggests growth of 8.5% in sales and 22.2% in EPS for the current financial year [11] BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ) - BJ's Wholesale is focusing on membership growth and digital innovations, enhancing its omnichannel capabilities and customer value [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for BJ indicates growth of 5.5% in sales and 6.2% in EPS for the current financial year [12] Costco (COST) - Costco is effectively navigating market fluctuations through strategic investments and a strong emphasis on its membership model [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Costco forecasts growth of 8% in sales and 12% in EPS for the current financial year [14]

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation's performance is primarily driven by strong consumer demand for its flagship brands, HOKA and UGG, with year-over-year sales growth of 10% and 3.6% respectively in Q4 FY25 [1][9] Brand Performance - HOKA's sales reached $2.2 billion in FY25, reflecting a 23.6% year-over-year increase, supported by new product launches and international expansion, particularly in EMEA and China [4][2] - UGG generated $2.5 billion in sales for FY25, marking a 13.1% year-over-year growth, with a focus on expanding its product line beyond cold-weather offerings [4][3] International Growth - HOKA's international revenues grew by 39% year-over-year, now accounting for 34% of total brand sales, while UGG's international revenues increased by 20%, representing 39% of total sales [4][2] Competitive Landscape - Key competitors in brand innovation include Wolverine World Wide, Inc. and Urban Outfitters Inc., with Wolverine's Saucony and Merrell brands showing strong revenue growth [5][6] - Urban Outfitters' brand portfolio also demonstrated positive performance, with notable increases in net sales for its brands [7] Financial Performance and Valuation - Deckers' shares have declined by 50% year-to-date, compared to a 17.6% decline in the industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 16.45X, slightly below the industry's average of 17.01X [10] - Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a projected earnings decline of 4.4% for FY26, with a potential recovery of 9.1% in FY27 [11]

Financial Performance - URBN's total sales for Q1 FY'26 increased by 11% to a record $1.33 billion[7, 12] - Gross profit increased by 20% to $489 million, with the gross profit rate increasing by 278 bps to 36.8%[8, 28] - Operating income increased by 72% to $128 million, and the operating income rate increased by 343 bps to 9.6%[10, 34] - Net income for the quarter was a record $108 million, or $1.16 per diluted share[11, 39] Segment Performance - Retail segment sales increased by 6% to $1.13 billion, with comparable sales up by 5%[7, 12] - Wholesale segment sales increased by 24% to $75 million, driven by a 26% increase in Free People wholesale sales[7, 13] - Subscription segment sales increased by 60% to $124 million, primarily driven by a 53% increase in average active subscribers[7, 13, 25] Brand Performance - Anthropologie sales increased by 8% to $570 million[14] - Free People sales increased by 11% to $353 million, with Free People brand sales up by 6% and FP Movement brand sales up by 29%[16] - Urban Outfitters sales increased by 1% to $274 million[19] Other Key Metrics - Total inventory increased by 15% to $664 million[42] - The company repurchased 3.3 million shares for $152 million at an average price of $46.40 per share[47]