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极米科技(688696):新业务培育期盈利能力承压 期待Q4迎来业绩拐点
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 12:38
Core Insights - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of 700 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -10 million yuan, improving from -40 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - Gross margin reached 30.6%, up 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, while net profit margin was -1.3%, an improvement of 5.2 percentage points year-on-year [1] Domestic Sales Performance - The domestic market has entered a consolidation phase since 2025, leading to an improved competitive landscape [1] - The company has strengthened its market share through rapid product iterations and broader price coverage, launching several new products in the second half of the year [1] International Sales Outlook - The company is committed to expanding its brand internationally, with expectations for a recovery in overseas sales in Q4 after a slowdown due to team restructuring [1] New Business Development - The automotive and commercial sectors are progressing steadily, with expectations for a turning point in loss reduction in Q4 [1] - The automotive business is currently unprofitable but is expected to improve gross margins with cost reduction initiatives [1] - The commercial sector is anticipated to start shipments in the second half of the year, leveraging technological advantages [1] Financial Metrics - Gross margin improved significantly year-on-year, while operating expenses have been optimized [2] - Sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios were 16.7%, 5.0%, 14.1%, and -0.5% respectively, showing a notable reduction in sales expense ratio [2] Profit Forecast - The company is projected to see substantial profit recovery in its main business and reduced losses in new ventures, with expected net profits of 260 million, 510 million, and 650 million yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth of 115%, 97%, and 28% respectively [2] - Current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 32, 16, and 13 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [2]
极米科技(688696):新业务培育期盈利能力承压,期待Q4迎来业绩拐点
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-06 08:48
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is in a new business cultivation period with profitability under pressure, but an inflection point in performance is expected in Q4 [5] - The main business of home projection is operating steadily, with improvements in domestic sales and a potential recovery in overseas sales [6] - New business segments such as automotive and commercial are progressing steadily, with expectations for a reduction in losses in Q4 [6] - The gross profit margin has improved significantly year-on-year, and the expense ratio continues to optimize [6] - The company is projected to experience substantial growth in net profit from 2025 to 2027, with expected net profits of 258 million, 509 million, and 651 million yuan respectively [5][6] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is forecasted at 3,557 million yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 15.77%, followed by a recovery in 2024 with a forecast of 3,405 million yuan [5] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 30.6%, an increase of 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 4.08% in 2024 to 15.97% in 2027 [5][7] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 67.98 in 2024 to 12.55 in 2027, indicating improved valuation over time [5][7]