Core Viewpoint - The report indicates that Xilinmen (603008.SH) has shown steady growth in its financial performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with a revenue increase of 3.68% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 6.45% year-on-year, highlighting the company's resilience and strategic initiatives in the smart sleep sector [1][3]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Xilinmen achieved a revenue of 6.196 billion yuan, up 3.68% year-on-year, and a net profit of 399 million yuan, up 6.45% year-on-year [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.176 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.78%, with a net profit of 133 million yuan [1]. Market Strategy - Xilinmen's offline growth turned positive in Q3, while its e-commerce performance exceeded expectations, contributing to a significant 14.1% growth in brand retail business [1]. - The company has made substantial investments in the smart sleep sector, with the Aise Baobao smart mattress series being a key initiative, having established over 200 retail outlets in major cities and covering major e-commerce platforms [3]. Technological Advancements - As of September 2025, Xilinmen has applied for a total of 2,795 patents, with 2,224 effective patents, including 30 international patents and 54 domestic invention patents, which bolster the competitiveness of its smart products [3]. - The company's strong technological foundation is expected to support ongoing product innovation and competitive differentiation in the market [3]. Market Sentiment - In the past six months, 10 institutions have released research reports on Xilinmen, with a majority rating the stock positively, indicating a general market optimism regarding the company's smart sleep strategy [3][4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate (Maintain)" [3] Core Views - The company has shown steady performance in its mid-year results and is embracing the technology sleep sector [5] - The company is expected to maintain growth in its OEM and engineering businesses, with retail anticipated to stabilize in Q4 [5] - The company is transitioning from traditional manufacturing to technology-enabled sleep solutions, successfully launching the aise smart mattress series [5] Financial Summary - Total shares outstanding: 368.29 million [1] - Market price: 17.80 CNY [1] - Market capitalization: 6,555.61 million CNY [1] - Revenue forecast for 2023A: 8,678 million CNY, with a growth rate of 11% [3] - Net profit forecast for 2023A: 429 million CNY, with a growth rate of 81% [3] - Expected revenue for 2025E: 9,162 million CNY, with a growth rate of 5% [3] - Expected net profit for 2025E: 467 million CNY, with a growth rate of 45% [3] - Expected EPS for 2025E: 1.27 CNY [3] Business Performance - In the first three quarters, the company achieved revenue of 6.2 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 3.7% [5] - The gross margin for Q3 was 35.58%, a decrease of 0.91 percentage points [5] - The company’s online sales grew by 32.3% year-on-year, while offline sales decreased by 4.3% [5] - The company’s operating cash flow improved significantly, with a net cash flow of 115 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 183.13% [5] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 91.6 billion CNY, 98.6 billion CNY, and 106.1 billion CNY, with respective growth rates of 5%, 7.6%, and 7.6% [5] - Net profit projections for the same period are 4.7 billion CNY, 5.5 billion CNY, and 6.1 billion CNY, with growth rates of 45%, 18%, and 10% [5] - The company is expected to maintain a net asset return rate of around 11% in 2025E [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [4] Core Views - The company is expected to see stable growth in its OEM and engineering businesses, with retail sales anticipated to stabilize and recover in Q4 [3] - The company is transitioning from traditional furniture manufacturing to becoming a technology-driven sleep solution provider, with a focus on smart sleep products [6] - The company reported a revenue of 4.021 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 1.6%, and a net profit of 266 million yuan, up 14% year-on-year [5] Financial Summary - The company achieved a gross margin of 36.28% in the first half of 2025, an increase of 1.51 percentage points, and a net profit margin of 6.63%, up 0.72 percentage points [6] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 9.21 billion, 9.97 billion, and 10.79 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.5%, 8.2%, and 8.3% respectively [6] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.8 yuan per 10 shares, accounting for 39.03% of the net profit for the first half of the year [5]