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eBay's rollercoaster: Stock dips, tariff deal sparks hope!
Youtube· 2025-11-02 23:01
Core Viewpoint - eBay's CEO highlights the potential benefits of the US-China tariff agreement for small businesses and eBay's marketplace, indicating a positive outlook for the upcoming holiday season despite a lowered guidance for growth [1][2][6]. Group 1: Business Performance - eBay reported a strong quarter with a Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) growth of 8% and a 13% year-on-year growth in the US business, which is considered a standout performance [4]. - The focus categories that eBay has invested in saw a year-on-year growth of 15%, indicating broad-based strength across various price points and categories [4][5]. - The company enters the holiday season with significant momentum, driven by strong consumer demand, particularly in the US market [5][7]. Group 2: Market Strategy - eBay's strategy focuses on providing value through used, pre-loved, and refurbished products, appealing to consumers looking for cost-effective options, especially in challenging economic conditions [8]. - The company is leveraging AI to enhance productivity and innovation, including features like visual intelligence for product listings and a new AI shopping assistant [11][12]. - eBay is investing in live commerce, which has shown substantial growth, with a reported run rate five times higher than the previous year [12][14]. Group 3: Financial Outlook - Despite a strong performance, eBay has provided guidance for a growth rate of 4% to 6% for the next year, which is characterized as strong mid-single-digit growth [6]. - The company maintains a disciplined approach to capital expenditures, spending about 4% to 5% of revenue, while efficiently utilizing its AI capabilities to drive technology advancements [15][16].
eBay(EBAY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew 8% to $20.1 billion, with revenue increasing over 8% to $2.82 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share rising over 14% year-over-year to $1.36 [5][27] - Non-GAAP operating income grew 9% year-over-year to $764 million, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 27.1% [27][32] - Free cash flow generated was $803 million, with cash and non-equity investments totaling $5.3 billion and gross debt at $6.8 billion [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Focus categories GMV growth accelerated to over 15%, with collectibles being the largest contributor, particularly in collectible card games and sports trading cards [5][7] - Motors Parts and Accessories (P&A) contributed significantly to GMV growth, with over 750 million live listings [9] - Fashion categories, including luxury and pre-loved apparel, also drove GMV growth, supported by partnerships like the one with Marks & Spencer [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. market GMV growth accelerated to nearly 13%, while international GMV grew nearly 4% on an FX-neutral basis [28][29] - The UK C2C initiative saw notable improvements, contributing to overall acceleration in UK volume growth [29][14] - The removal of the de minimis exemption for imports under $800 created challenges for cross-border trade into the U.S., impacting growth [22][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing its marketplace through innovations like eBay Live and AI-driven tools to improve user experience [12][25] - The acquisition of TIES aims to strengthen the company's position in the circular economy and expand its presence in the Nordics [15] - Continued investment in AI technologies is expected to transform the shopping experience and improve seller interactions [16][25] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged macroeconomic challenges but expressed confidence in the company's growth strategy and the resilience of its marketplace [5][24] - The company anticipates a modest deceleration in GMV growth in Q4 due to various headwinds, including the full impact of the de minimis change [33][34] - For 2026, the company plans for continued positive FX-neutral GMV and revenue growth, while being mindful of potential lapping dynamics [37][38] Other Important Information - The company returned approximately $760 million to shareholders through repurchases and cash dividends [27] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 71.6%, with total advertising revenue reaching $525 million, representing GMV penetration of 2.6% [30][31] - The company is committed to maintaining a strong culture and has received recognition for its workplace environment [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on AI's impact on eBay's business - Management highlighted AI's potential to unlock supply for consumers and enhance user experience through improved recommendations and search capabilities [44][46] Question: Margins and investment strategies - Management discussed balancing long-term growth with margin flow-through, noting increased product development expenses aimed at strategic initiatives [50][52] Question: Sustainability of growth in trading cards - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth of trading cards, attributing recent success to trust and innovation in the category [71]
eBay(EBAY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew 8% to $20.1 billion, with revenue increasing over 8% to $2.82 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share rising over 14% year-over-year to $1.36 [5][27] - Non-GAAP operating income grew 9% year-over-year to $764 million, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 27.1% [27][32] - Free cash flow generated was $803 million, with cash and non-equity investments totaling $5.3 billion and gross debt at $6.8 billion [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Focus categories GMV growth accelerated to over 15%, with collectibles being the largest contributor, particularly in trading cards [5][7] - Motors parts and accessories (P&A) contributed significantly to GMV growth, with over 750 million live listings [9] - Fashion categories, including luxury and pre-loved apparel, also drove GMV growth, supported by partnerships like the one with Marks & Spencer [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. GMV growth accelerated to nearly 13%, while international GMV grew nearly 4% on an FX-neutral basis [28] - The U.K. C2C initiative saw notable improvements, contributing to overall volume growth [29] - Cross-border trade faced challenges due to the removal of the de minimis exemption, impacting year-over-year volume growth [28][29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging AI to enhance the selling experience and improve buyer engagement through features like Magical Listing and AI shopping agents [16][25] - Expansion into live commerce through eBay Live is seen as a strategic growth vector, with significant momentum in the U.S. and plans for further expansion in Europe [12][25] - The acquisition of Tise aims to strengthen the company's position in the circular economy and enhance its presence in the Nordics [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged macroeconomic challenges but expressed confidence in the company's growth strategy and the resilience of its marketplace [5][24] - The outlook for Q4 includes expected GMV between $20.5 billion and $20.9 billion, reflecting durable growth trends [33] - Management highlighted the importance of balancing top-line growth with margin flow-through, indicating ongoing investments in strategic initiatives [52][41] Other Important Information - The company returned approximately $760 million to shareholders through repurchases and cash dividends [27] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 71.6%, with a slight decline attributed to managed shipping and traffic acquisition costs [31] - The company plans to repurchase approximately $2.5 billion of shares for the full year [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on AI's impact on eBay's business - Management discussed the potential of AI to unlock supply for consumers and enhance the shopping experience through improved recommendations and discovery [44][46] Question: Margins and investment strategies - Management elaborated on balancing long-term growth with margin flow-through, noting increased product development expenses and strategic investments [50][52] Question: Sustainability of growth in trading cards - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth of trading cards, driven by trust and innovation, while acknowledging that growth may not be linear [71]
eBay(EBAY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-29 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew 8% to $20.1 billion, with revenue increasing over 8% to $2.82 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share rising over 14% year-over-year to $1.36 [4][27] - Non-GAAP operating income grew 9% year-over-year to $764 million, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 71.6% and a non-GAAP operating margin of 27.1% [27][31] - Free cash flow reached $803 million, with cash and non-equity investments totaling $5.3 billion and gross debt at $6.8 billion [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Focus categories GMV growth accelerated to over 15%, with collectibles being the largest contributor, particularly in collectible card games and sports trading cards [4][5] - Motors Parts and Accessories (P&A) contributed significantly to GMV growth, with over 750 million live listings [7][8] - Fashion categories, including luxury and pre-loved apparel, also drove GMV growth, supported by partnerships like the one with Marks & Spencer [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. market GMV growth accelerated to nearly 13%, while international GMV grew nearly 4% on an FX-neutral basis [28][29] - The UK C2C initiative saw notable improvements in customer satisfaction and GMV growth, with the introduction of managed shipping [12][29] - The removal of the de minimis exemption for imports under $800 created challenges for cross-border trade into the U.S. [22][23] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging AI to enhance the selling experience and improve buyer engagement through features like Magical Listing and AI Shopping Agent [15][16] - Expansion of eBay Live into new markets is seen as a strategic growth vector, with significant momentum in the U.S. and UK [10][11] - The acquisition of TIES aims to strengthen the company's position in the circular economy and enhance its presence in the Nordics [13][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the durability of growth trends, despite facing macroeconomic challenges and changes in trade policy [4][28] - The company anticipates continued growth in focus categories and is investing in strategic initiatives to drive long-term growth [25][41] - For Q4, GMV is expected to be between $20.5 and $20.9 billion, with revenue guidance between $2.83 and $2.89 billion [33][34] Other Important Information - The company returned approximately $760 million to shareholders through repurchases and cash dividends [27] - The advertising revenue grew nearly 23%, with first-party ads contributing significantly to this growth [20][30] - The company plans to repurchase approximately $2.5 billion of shares for the full year [39] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on AI's impact on eBay's business - Management highlighted AI's potential to unlock supply for consumers and enhance user experience through improved recommendations and search capabilities [44][45] Question: Margins and investment strategies - Management discussed balancing long-term growth with margin flow-through, noting increased product development expenses aimed at strategic initiatives [48][49] Question: Sustainability of growth in trading cards - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth of trading cards, driven by trust and innovation, while acknowledging that growth may not be linear [64][66]
eBay(EBAY) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-29 21:30
Q3 2025 Performance Highlights - eBay's Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) reached $20.1 billion [7], exceeding guidance of $19.2 - $19.6 billion [43]. - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $2.8 billion [7], surpassing the guided range of $2.69 - $2.74 billion [43]. - Non-GAAP operating margin stood at 27.1% [7], hitting the high end of the guidance [43]. - Diluted Non-GAAP EPS was $1.36 [7], above the guidance of $1.29 - $1.34 [43]. - eBay has 16 million Enthusiast Buyers [7], defined as buyers with at least 6 purchase days and $800+ annual spend [9]. Category Growth & Strategic Initiatives - Focus Categories (Collectibles, Motors Parts & Accessories, Fashion) grew +15% year-over-year on an FX-Neutral basis [12], outpacing the rest of the marketplace by approximately 11 percentage points [12]. - eBay Live's annual GMV run-rate increased by approximately 5x year-over-year [14]. - Over $1 billion has been disbursed to sellers globally through financing partners since 2021 via Seller Capital [37]. Q4 2025 Guidance - GMV is projected to be between $20.5 - $20.9 billion [72], representing a 6%-8% spot growth [72]. - Revenue is expected to be in the range of $2.83 - $2.89 billion [72], indicating a 10%-12% spot growth [72]. - Non-GAAP operating margin is guided to be 25.8% - 26.3% [72]. - Diluted Non-GAAP EPS is projected to be $1.31 - $1.36 [72], reflecting a 5%-9% growth [72]. FY 2025 Guidance - GMV is expected to be $78.9 - $79.3 billion [73], with a 6% - 6% spot growth [73]. - Revenue is projected to be $10.97 - $11.03 billion [73], showing a 7% - 7% spot growth [73]. - Non-GAAP operating margin is guided to be 27.7% - 27.8% [73]. - Diluted Non-GAAP EPS is expected to be $5.42 - $5.47 [73], representing an 11% - 12% growth [73]. - The company anticipates approximately $1.5 billion in Free Cash Flow (FCF) in FY'25 [73].
eBay Gears Up to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Offing?
ZACKS· 2025-10-24 17:56
Core Insights - eBay is set to report its third-quarter 2025 results on October 29, with expected total revenues between $2.69 billion and $2.74 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 6.38% [1][10] - The projected diluted non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) for the third quarter is between $1.29 and $1.34, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 8% to 12% [1][10] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter 2025 revenues is $2.74 billion, with an earnings consensus of $1.33 per share, suggesting an 11.76% increase from the previous year [2] - eBay has consistently surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings in the last four quarters, with an average positive surprise of 3.35% [2] Growth Drivers - Strong U.S. demand and momentum in high-value categories, particularly collectibles and trading cards, are expected to positively influence eBay's performance [3] - The "eBay Live" platform has gained traction, contributing to increased buyer participation and transaction growth, especially in luxury segments [4] - Advertising growth and managed shipping monetization are anticipated to support revenue growth and expand high-margin revenue streams [5] - Investments in AI and automation, such as Magic Listings and Operator AI Shopping Assistant, are likely to enhance transaction efficiency and buyer retention [6] Challenges - eBay's performance may be negatively impacted by a weak macroeconomic environment in Europe, characterized by soft consumer demand and sluggish retail activity [7] - Muted GDP projections for 2025 indicate limited economic momentum in the European region [7] Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model predicts an earnings beat for eBay, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +1.09% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [8]
China turned livestreaming into a 24-hour sleepless hydra of a selling machine. Now the US is catching up.
Business Insider· 2025-10-17 00:31
Core Insights - Livestream shopping is gaining traction in the US, mirroring its success in China, with e-commerce platforms capitalizing on this trend [4][16] - Livestreamers engage audiences by promoting products, answering questions, and offering exclusive deals, creating a social shopping experience [3][8] Group 1: Livestreaming in China - Livestream commerce in China began to flourish in 2018, significantly driven by a challenge between Alibaba's Jack Ma and influencer Austin Li [5][6] - Austin Li, known as the "Lipstick King," sold 15,000 lipsticks in five minutes, showcasing the potential of livestreaming for sales [6] - Livestreams in China combine shopping with entertainment, creating a dynamic environment that encourages consumer engagement [7][8] Group 2: Growth in the US - In the past two years, livestream shopping has seen a 165% increase in shoppers during Black Friday and Cyber Monday on TikTok Shop, generating $100 million in sales [16] - A survey indicated that 45% of US adults had participated in live shopping events, highlighting the growing acceptance of this shopping format [17] - The collectibles market is particularly benefiting from livestreaming, with eBay's CEO noting that collectibles represent a $10 billion annual business for the platform [22] Group 3: Livestreamers' Experiences - Livestreamers enjoy flexible working hours and the ability to monetize their interests, although many supplement their income with other jobs [23][24] - The increasing number of livestreamers has led to audience dilution, affecting viewer counts for individual streamers [26] - Despite the challenges, livestreamers like Andrew Martin and Caleb Wessels value the interaction with their audience, even if their earnings are modest [27][28]
eBay Celebrates 30 Years of Creating Economic Opportunity for All as it Reinvents the Future of Ecommerce
Prnewswire· 2025-09-03 12:00
Core Insights - eBay celebrates its 30th anniversary, marking three decades of ecommerce success and its impact on the circular economy [1][2] - The company aims to leverage innovation and AI to enhance user experience and build a stronger marketplace for the future [2][4] Company Overview - eBay Inc. is a global commerce leader connecting millions of buyers and sellers across more than 190 markets [7] - In 2024, eBay enabled $75 billion of gross merchandise volume, showcasing its significant role in the ecommerce landscape [7] AI and Innovation - eBay utilizes AI to enhance discovery, trust, and engagement, enabling over 10 million sellers to create more than 200 million listings [4] - The company is reimagining ecommerce through initiatives like eBay Live, which fosters dynamic shopping experiences and strong seller engagement [5] Anniversary Celebrations - To commemorate its 30th anniversary, eBay is hosting special events in New York City, including the launch of the '95 Shop, which features nostalgic items and a "Greatest Hits" auction [8] - The immersive retail experience aims to blend 90s nostalgia with eBay's three decades of innovation in recommerce [8]
eBay (EBAY) Q2 Revenue Rises 6%
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-05 17:32
Core Insights - eBay reported Q2 2025 results that exceeded Wall Street expectations, with GAAP revenue of $2.73 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.37, reflecting a 6% and 16% year-over-year increase respectively [1][2][5] Financial Performance - GAAP revenue was $2.73 billion, surpassing the analyst consensus of $2.64 billion, and up from $2.57 billion in Q2 2024 [2][5] - Non-GAAP earnings per share reached $1.37, beating the estimate of $1.30 and representing a 16% increase from $1.18 in the previous year [2][5] - Free cash flow turned negative at ($441 million), a decline of $719 million from $278 million in the prior year [2][10] - Operating margin (non-GAAP) improved slightly to 28.4%, while GAAP operating margin decreased to 17.7% from 21.3% year-over-year [2][9] Business Model and Strategy - eBay operates a global online marketplace, generating revenue primarily from transaction fees, advertising services, and payments-related activities [3] - The company is focusing on technology advancements, particularly through AI features, to enhance the buying and selling experience [4] - Key strategic priorities include growing advertising revenue, maintaining a healthy marketplace ecosystem, and expanding targeted categories like pre-owned fashion and collectibles [4] Quarterly Highlights - Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) reached $19.5 billion, a 6% increase year-over-year, with U.S. GMV growing 7% and international GMV increasing 5% [5][6] - Active buyers rose to 134 million, a 1% increase from the previous year [6] - Advertising revenue totaled $482 million, contributing 2.5% of GMV, with first-party advertising products generating $455 million, up 19% from the prior year [6] Technological Developments - eBay launched "eBay Live" shopping in the UK and expanded the "eBay Live on Tour" initiative in the U.S. [7] - The company introduced an AI shopping agent and a generative AI video tool for sellers [7] - The Authenticity Guarantee program expanded, authenticating over 1 million items in a single quarter [7] Sustainability and Regulatory Engagement - eBay was recognized on TIME's World's Most Sustainable Companies 2025 list and Newsweek's America's Greenest Companies 2025 list [8] - The platform raised $47 million for charity and contributed to the formation of the bipartisan Recommerce Caucus in the U.S. Congress [8] Future Guidance - For Q3 2025, eBay expects revenue between $2.69 billion and $2.74 billion, indicating 3% to 5% year-over-year growth [11] - Non-GAAP earnings per share outlook is between $1.29 and $1.34, with GMV projected between $19.2 billion and $19.6 billion [11] - Management maintains a cautious outlook due to uneven international demand, particularly in the UK and Germany [11]
eBay(EBAY) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-30 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gross merchandise volume (GMV) grew by 4% to $19.5 billion, with revenue increasing by over 4% to $2.73 billion [9][35] - Non-GAAP operating income rose by 8% to $775 million, and non-GAAP earnings per share increased by 16% year over year to $1.37 [9][35] - The take rate was 14%, showing a modest year-over-year increase, with advertising, shipping, and financial services contributing positively [42][44] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Focus categories experienced GMV growth of over 10%, significantly outpacing core categories [10][36] - Collectibles, particularly trading cards, were the largest contributor to growth, with triple-digit GMV growth for Pokémon cards [10][11] - Motors, Parts, and Accessories contributed nearly one point of year-over-year GMV growth, driven by strength across major markets [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. market GMV growth accelerated to 7%, exceeding expectations due to healthy consumer demand [38][39] - International GMV grew nearly 2% on an FX neutral basis, with foreign exchange providing a tailwind [39][41] - The U.K. and Germany investments helped navigate lower growth environments, with cross-border volume growth remaining stable [40][41] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on enhancing the customer experience through generative AI, improving listing quality, and personalizing customer engagement [17][18][32] - eBay Live is a significant area of investment, aimed at transforming how enthusiasts discover and compete for high-demand inventory [22][23] - The company is expanding its Klarna partnership in the U.S. to attract younger demographics and improve conversion rates on high-ticket items [27][29] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the business performed well in July, reflecting sustained healthy consumer trends in the U.S. [46] - The outlook for Q3 anticipates GMV between $19.2 billion and $19.6 billion, with revenue growth expected to be modestly higher than GMV [47][50] - The company remains cautious about potential disruptions from tariffs and trade policy changes [47][50] Other Important Information - eBay was recognized as one of Time's World's Most Sustainable Companies and Newsweek's World's Greenest Companies 2025 [31] - The company returned approximately $760 million to shareholders through repurchases and cash dividends [35][45] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on marketing and AI's impact on traffic generation - Management highlighted a full funnel marketing approach and noted efficiencies in lower funnel marketing spend due to competitive dynamics [56][57] Question: Future category growth expectations - Management indicated that existing focus categories will continue to drive growth, with strong performance across collectibles and P&A [62][64] Question: U.S. market strength and international comparison - Management noted broad-based strength in the U.S. market, while Europe remains challenging, but investments are offsetting some macro trends [71][72] Question: Trading cards market sustainability - Management acknowledged that trading card growth is not linear but remains optimistic about long-term growth potential [88] Question: Margin recovery and operating leverage - Management emphasized that top-line growth leads to healthy margins, focusing on balancing growth and profitability [90][91]