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蓝思科技:营收稳健增长,扣非利润持续高增-20250418
Orient Securities· 2025-04-18 14:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 26.50 CNY based on a 25x PE valuation for 2025 [2][5][11]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve robust revenue growth, with projected revenues of 54,491 million CNY in 2023, increasing to 143,201 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.5% [4][10]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 3,021 million CNY in 2023 to 8,890 million CNY in 2027, with a significant increase of 46.3% in 2025 [4][10]. - The company has shown strong performance in Q1 2024, with a revenue of 170 million CNY, a 10% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 4.3 million CNY, up 39% year-on-year [10]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 93,978 million CNY, 117,906 million CNY, and 143,201 million CNY respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.5%, 25.5%, and 21.5% [4][10]. - The company's gross margin is expected to slightly decline from 16.6% in 2023 to 15.1% in 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to improve from 5.5% to 6.2% over the same period [4][10]. - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to rise from 6.7% in 2023 to 13.6% in 2027, indicating improved profitability and efficiency [4][10]. Business Performance - The company has successfully integrated vertically, enhancing its global production capacity to ensure supply security, with significant revenue contributions from smartphone and computer-related businesses [10]. - The company is expanding into new growth areas such as AI glasses, humanoid robots, and AIPC, collaborating with leading brands to drive future revenue growth [10].