Flash | Vehicle business: Leoni business performed better than expected especially execution. The original target is breakeven, but now could exceed this target likely this year. Its prior 2027 profit target could achieve one year ahead. The first three years will focus on operation improvement and profitability. Luxshare will then leverage Leoni global exposure to expand North America business. Key customer business: Luxshare is positive to wearable devices for 2026 (like smart watch, TWS buds). Smartphone ...

Core Insights - Lumentum (LITE) has shown significant stock performance, with shares increasing by 61.8% in the past month, outperforming the industry and broader sector [1] - Year-to-date, LITE shares have surged 209.5%, significantly outperforming peers such as Coherent and Ciena, while Marvell Technology has seen a decline [2] Financial Performance - Lumentum's first-quarter fiscal 2026 revenues reached $533 million, with over 60% derived from AI infrastructure and cloud demand [3] - The components business reported revenues of $379 million, marking a 64% year-over-year increase and an 18% sequential rise, driven by strong demand for laser chips and related products [4] - The company anticipates fiscal second-quarter revenues between $630 million and $670 million, with expected earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $1.30 to $1.50 [9][10] Market Position and Growth Drivers - Lumentum's growth is fueled by strong demand for laser chips and optical transceivers, particularly in data centers and AI infrastructure [3][4] - The company is expanding its manufacturing capacity, expecting a 40% increase in laser chip production, which is anticipated to enhance earnings due to higher gross margins [5] - Lumentum is positioned as a leading provider of optics for AI scaling, with long-term growth expected from cloud transceivers and optical circuit switches [6] Competitive Landscape - Lumentum faces competition from Coherent, Ciena, and Marvell Technology in the AI infrastructure market, but its strong portfolio helps it maintain a competitive edge [7] - The company expects to capture a significant share of the market with its advanced optical modules and transceivers [7] Future Outlook - The company projects continued growth in AI infrastructure, with expectations of half of the sequential growth in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 coming from component products for cloud applications [8]

Core Insights - Diamond Hill Capital's "Select Fund" underperformed the Russell 3000 Index in Q3 2025, returning 4.98% compared to the index's 8% gain [1] - Coherent Corp. (NYSE:COHR) was highlighted as a top contributor, with a one-month return of 22.40% and a 52-week gain of 49.35% [2][3] Company Performance - Coherent Corp. closed at $138.06 per share on October 29, 2025, with a market capitalization of $21.666 billion [2] - The company is experiencing strong demand for its data center-related products, particularly optical transceivers, which is driving its growth [3] Hedge Fund Interest - Coherent Corp. was held by 66 hedge fund portfolios at the end of Q2 2025, an increase from 61 in the previous quarter [4] - Despite its potential, the company is not among the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds, with some analysts suggesting that certain AI stocks may offer better upside potential [4]

Summary of J.P. Morgan's Cloud Capex Outlook Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Cloud Capital Expenditures (Capex)** outlook for the **datacenter** sector, particularly among the **Top 4 U.S. Cloud Service Providers (CSPs)**, which include Meta, Google, Amazon, and Microsoft [1][3][8]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Capex Growth for 2025**: - Datacenter capex growth is now projected to be nearly **+60% year-over-year (y/y)** in 2025, up from a previous forecast of **+40%** [1][3][8]. - This growth translates to an increase of over **$100 billion** in 2025, marking the largest annual increase to date, surpassing the previous record set in 2024 [1][3][8]. 2. **Capex Growth for 2026**: - For 2026, growth expectations have been revised to **+30% y/y**, representing an increase of more than **$80 billion** [1][3][8]. 3. **Investment Drivers**: - The surge in capex is primarily driven by investments in **AI** and related infrastructure, with robust double-digit growth across all U.S. hyperscalers [1][3][8]. - Additionally, investments from **Tier 2 CSPs** and **neoclouds** are expected to grow significantly, with estimates suggesting a rise to nearly **$80 billion** in 2026, up from less than **$60 billion** in 2025 [1][3][8]. 4. **Equipment Categories**: - While high-cost **servers** with advanced **XPUs** will dominate the expansion, there is also a notable increase in spending on **networking equipment** such as datacenter switches, optical transceivers, and DCI solutions [1][3][8]. 5. **Company Coverage**: - J.P. Morgan remains optimistic about companies that support AI infrastructure demands, particularly in networking. Companies highlighted include **Arista (ANET)**, **Celestica (CLS)**, **Ciena (CIEN)**, **Coherent (COHR)**, **Lumentum (LITE)**, and **Fabrinet (FN)**, all rated as **Overweight (OW)** [1][3][8]. Additional Important Insights - The report indicates that the **datacenter capex** from a sample of public Tier 2 U.S. CSPs and emerging neoclouds is expected to grow over **+100% y/y** in 2025, surpassing the average spend from the Top 4 CSPs prior to 2023 [4][34]. - The anticipated growth for Tier 2 and neoclouds in 2026 is projected at **+35% y/y**, again outpacing the Top 4 CSPs [4][34]. - The report emphasizes that the sample excludes many private companies, which are also expected to show robust spending intentions for 2025 and beyond [4][34]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the J.P. Morgan report on the cloud capex outlook, highlighting significant growth trends and investment opportunities within the datacenter sector.

Core Thesis - Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) is positioned as a speculative yet promising beneficiary of the ongoing data center buildout, with significant growth potential driven by increasing demand for optical transceivers [2][5] Industry Overview - U.S. data center construction is projected to reach 10GW annually through 2030, leading to a surge in demand for optical transceivers, a market expected to grow from $15 billion today to $35 billion by 2029 [2] Company Performance - AAOI has been approved as a supplier for major hyperscalers including Microsoft and Meta, with Amazon likely to follow, supported by SEC filings indicating a potential $4 billion supply agreement [3] - Q2 revenue for AAOI increased by 139% year-over-year, with trailing twelve-month revenue up 77%, and current quarterly sales at $103 million projected to rise by 12-23% in the near term [3] Market Potential - If AAOI maintains its current 2% market share, revenues could exceed $1 billion by 2029, suggesting a potential doubling of market cap [4] - Regaining a 5% market share could lead to revenues approaching $2.5 billion, implying a market value near $9 billion and a stock price above $140, compared to the current price of $26 [5] Investor Sentiment - Past quality issues in 2018 have negatively impacted investor sentiment, contributing to high options volatility and cautious valuation [4] - Management's insider buying and increasing ties with hyperscalers indicate confidence in the company's execution capabilities [4]

Core Insights - Oracle's shares surged by 36% following a significant earnings report, driven by a 359% increase in remaining performance obligations, totaling $455 billion [1] - The company anticipates generating $144 billion in cloud infrastructure revenue by fiscal year 2030, which is eight times the expected $18 billion for fiscal year 2025 [1] Group 1: Oracle's Impact on Data Center Expansion - Oracle plans to build an additional 37 data centers to meet the demands of major clients like Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft [2] - The expansion of data centers is expected to lead to increased purchases of related components, creating opportunities for other companies in the sector [2] Group 2: Beneficiary Stocks - Credo Technology Group, which specializes in active electrical cables, is positioned to benefit significantly from Oracle's data center expansion, with shares rising 10% following Oracle's announcement [3][4] - Applied Optoelectronics, valued at approximately $1.7 billion, sells optical transceivers and saw its shares increase by 17% after Oracle's news, indicating potential for growth despite being a smaller player [9] - Coherent, a larger company with a market capitalization of $16 billion, also produces optical transceivers and generated nearly $950 million in revenue from data center markets, showing a more stable investment compared to smaller firms [12][13]

Core Insights - Marvell Technology's optics business is experiencing significant growth due to the industry's shift towards 1.6 Terabit optical interconnects, with AI and cloud computing driving demand for its electro-optics products [1][10] - The introduction of co-packaged optics solutions enhances interconnect density, reach, and scalability, making them suitable for AI networking needs [2][10] - Marvell's Silicon Photonics Light Engines support speeds up to 6.4T, facilitating the scaling of large AI workloads, and the company anticipates continued growth in its optics solutions in the upcoming quarter [3][10] Financial Performance - Marvell Technology reported a 63% year-over-year revenue growth in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with a projected revenue of $8.22 billion for fiscal year 2026, indicating a 42.6% year-over-year increase [4][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate suggests earnings growth of 77.7% for fiscal 2026 and 27.73% for fiscal 2027, with upward revisions in estimates over the past 60 days [13] Competitive Landscape - Competitors such as Broadcom and Coherent Corp. are emerging as significant players in the optics space, particularly in AI infrastructure and data centers [5][6] - Broadcom competes directly with Marvell in high-speed PAM4, Ethernet PHYs, and optics for hyperscale AI networks [6] - Coherent's offerings in optical components and transceivers overlap with Marvell's light engine products, benefiting from the growth in AI and machine learning workloads [7] Valuation Metrics - Marvell Technology's forward price-to-sales ratio stands at 6.95X, which is lower than the industry average of 8.66X, indicating potential valuation attractiveness [11]

Summary of Lightwave Logic (LWLG) Conference Call - May 21, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Lightwave Logic (LWLG) - **Industry**: AI Hardware and Electro-Optic Polymers - **Market Size**: AI market valued at over $20 billion, projected to reach $30 billion by 2028 [2][3] Core Technology and Business Model - **Unique Material**: Lightwave Logic has developed electro-optic polymers with unique properties that enhance connectivity and bandwidth in AI data centers [2][3] - **Revenue Streams**: The company generates revenue through material sales and licensing/royalty fees, targeting gross margins exceeding 60% at scale [5][39] - **Modulator Functionality**: The electro-optic polymer acts as a modulator, enabling data transmission over fiber optics at speeds exceeding 100 billion times per second [7][8] Market Challenges and Opportunities - **AI Data Centers**: The need for high-speed interconnections in AI factories creates a demand for advanced optical solutions, with a projected market for optical transceivers exceeding $25 billion by 2028 [13][14] - **Competitive Landscape**: Traditional technologies are reaching their limits, creating an opportunity for Lightwave Logic's unique materials to fill the gap [35][36] - **Total Addressable Market**: The company estimates a serviceable market of $1 to $2.5 billion for its modulators within the broader optical communication market [14][39] Customer Engagement and Development Timeline - **Customer Traction**: The company is targeting multiple design wins by 2028, with a focus on major silicon photonics design houses [15][16] - **Development Cycle**: The typical cycle from customer engagement to revenue generation takes 18 to 24 months, with current progress indicating potential for three to five customers in prototype stage by the end of 2025 [21][22] Financial Position and Capitalization - **Financial Health**: Lightwave Logic has a solid balance sheet with no debt, having invested over $100 million in technology and production capabilities [3][41] - **Operational Expenses**: The company has been burning approximately $20 million annually, with adequate financing in place for the next couple of years [42][43] Investor Considerations - **Market Positioning**: The company is positioned to address a significant industry challenge with a unique material, which is rare in the market [48][49] - **Transparency and Credibility**: The CEO emphasizes the importance of transparency regarding customer traction and progress to rebuild investor confidence [45][49] Conclusion - **Value Proposition**: Lightwave Logic presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its innovative technology, strong market demand, and strategic positioning within the rapidly growing AI infrastructure sector [48][49]