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苑东生物20260104
2026-01-04 15:35
Summary of Conference Call for Yuan Dong Bio (苑东生物) Company Overview - **Company**: Yuan Dong Bio (苑东生物) - **Industry**: Pharmaceutical, focusing on drug development and research Key Points R&D Performance and Future Outlook - Yuan Dong invests 20% of its revenue annually in R&D, ranking among the top in the A-share market [3] - The company is transitioning from high-end generic drugs to more competitive controlled narcotics, achieving significant results [3] - Two Class II controlled narcotics, Nabuphine and Butorphanol, are expected to be approved in 2024, with sales projected to grow from 60 million RMB in 2025 to over 200 million RMB by 2026 [3][4] - The company faces challenges in the non-controlled antagonist product segment due to centralized procurement impacts, and its efficiency in developing new Class I drugs is lagging behind competitors [3][5] Strategic Developments - The Shanghai Chaoyang platform enhances the company's capabilities in developing Class I new drugs, particularly the IKZF13 molecular glue for multiple myeloma, which has a significant market potential [6][7] - HP001, a new drug in clinical trials, shows promising results with an objective response rate (ORR) of 83.3% in high-dose groups, outperforming some combination therapies [10] Competitive Landscape - The company is monitoring competition from BeiGene and Nurix in the BTK ProTech product space, with HP002 aiming to replicate BeiGene's success [11] - VAVONE molecular glue HP003 is being developed to target autoimmune oral therapies, showing better efficacy than existing products [12] Future R&D Directions - The company plans to extend its R&D focus to the Dac platform, utilizing molecular glue as a payload, with promising preliminary data [13] - Key developments expected by 2026 include significant data from VIV1 molecular glue, BDK protect IND, and IKZF13 molecules [13] Financial Projections - The overall valuation of the company is projected to reach 25.5 billion RMB by 2026, with the main business valued at approximately 8 billion RMB [14] - Anticipated profits for 2025 are estimated between 270 million to 280 million RMB, with a growth rate of over 20% expected to continue [14][15] Additional Insights - The company has faced challenges in the past few years, particularly in the Class I new drug sector, with only one drug entering Phase I clinical trials in the last decade [5] - The focus on improving R&D efficiency and quality is expected to positively influence future operational trends [15]
英维克20260104
2026-01-04 15:35
Summary of the Conference Call on Liquid Cooling Industry and Company Insights Industry Overview - The liquid cooling industry is expected to have significant growth in the coming years, with a market size projected to reach over 100 billion by 2026, driven by advancements from companies like NVIDIA and ASIC [3][5] - The penetration rate of liquid cooling technology is currently low but is anticipated to increase steadily, leading to further growth in 2027 and 2028, even if the overall computing power supply chain does not see substantial growth [3][5] Company Insights: 英维克 (Invech) Competitive Advantages - 英维克 has a notable competitive edge in the overseas market, with no significant generational gap in technology compared to international peers, and some products even outperforming them [6] - The company is actively establishing its brand and distribution channels in overseas markets, which is crucial for its growth [6] - 英维克's full-chain capability allows it to provide comprehensive solutions to customers, making it a rare and valuable asset in the current market [6][11] Growth Potential - The company has immense growth potential in the next few years, with the possibility of doubling its growth if it successfully integrates into customer supply chains by 2026 [7] - If 英维克 can secure its position and expand its product offerings within client ecosystems, it could see substantial profit margins, indicating that a market valuation of 100 billion is just the beginning [7] Market Position - Chinese companies, including 英维克, are gaining ground in the global liquid cooling market, with product performance reaching international standards [8] - 英维克's strategy includes addressing brand localization challenges and leveraging its full-chain capabilities to penetrate international markets effectively [8] Financial Performance and Strategy - 英维克 has demonstrated consistent revenue and profit growth since its IPO, a rarity in the cooling industry [15] - The company emphasizes a platform-based R&D model, optimizing structural design for cost efficiency, and prioritizing innovation, such as the introduction of evaporative cooling products [15][13] Market Share and Product Strategy - 英维克 ranks among the top two in the indirect evaporative cooling market, alongside major players like Huawei, due to its innovative products and increasing market penetration [16] - The transition from traditional cooling systems to indirect evaporative cooling has significantly enhanced the company's revenue potential, increasing its value capture from 20-30% to 100% [17] Future Outlook - 英维克's strategic focus on liquid cooling technologies, starting from CDU (Central Processing Unit) and expanding into related electronic cooling technologies, showcases its strong innovation and R&D capabilities [18] - The company is expected to solidify its position in the market by 2026, setting the stage for further growth in 2027 and 2028, with a long-term view suggesting it will become a leading representative of quality cooling solutions in both domestic and international markets [18]
联创光电20260104
2026-01-04 15:35
Summary of the Conference Call for 联创光电 Company Overview - **Company**: 联创光电 (Lianchuang Optoelectronics) - **Industry**: Commercial Aerospace, Controlled Nuclear Fusion, Laser Anti-Drone Technology Key Points Commercial Aerospace Prospects - **Significant Potential**: The company shows promising prospects in the commercial aerospace sector, particularly in electromagnetic launch systems, which can significantly reduce launch costs compared to traditional fuel systems [3][4] - **First Engineering Order**: The company secured its first engineering order in commercial aerospace with a contract worth 19.6 million yuan for the Ziyang Commercial Aerospace Launch Technology Research Institute project, marking a successful delivery and experience accumulation for future bulk orders [3][4] Controlled Nuclear Fusion - **Investment Surge**: Controlled nuclear fusion is viewed as the ultimate energy source, with 2025 expected to be a capital expenditure year. The bidding amount in this sector surged to 4 billion yuan by November 2025, indicating increased market investment [5][6] - **Market Opportunities**: The company is well-positioned in the controlled nuclear fusion market, particularly in the design and production of high-temperature superconducting magnets, which account for approximately 40% of the value in Tokamak devices. Participation in the Nanchang Spark 1 reactor project could yield around 5 billion yuan in orders [5][6] Laser Anti-Drone Technology - **Product Development**: The company has made significant progress in the laser anti-drone sector, with products "光刃一代" and "光刃二代" completing design, development, and acceptance testing. These products are aimed at short-range drone strikes and are expected to have a broad market outlook as demand increases [7] Financial Performance - **Improved Profitability**: The company has enhanced its management capabilities and adjusted its business structure, leading to improved profitability. For the first three quarters of 2025, the gross margin reached 19.7%, and the net margin was 18.2% [8] - **Future Earnings Forecast**: Projected overall earnings for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 565 million yuan, 693 million yuan, and 827 million yuan, respectively. The expected growth rate for 2025 is 135%, with subsequent years around 20%. These forecasts do not include potential contributions from emerging businesses like controlled nuclear fusion and commercial aerospace [9] Risks and Challenges - **Emerging Technology Uncertainty**: The company faces risks related to the uncertainty of emerging technologies, including controlled nuclear fusion, high-temperature superconducting magnets, and laser anti-drone systems [10] - **Market Demand Fluctuations**: Variability in market demand could impact order volumes, and intensified industry competition may compress profit margins [10] Additional Insights - **Stable Investment Returns**: The company's investment returns from its equity stakes have shown stable growth, reaching 380 million yuan in the first three quarters of the year, an increase of approximately 50-60 million yuan year-on-year [8]
天阳科技20260104
2026-01-04 15:35
Summary of Conference Call on Digital Currency Developments Industry Overview - The discussion primarily revolves around the development and implications of the digital renminbi (RMB) in the context of the financial technology industry and its potential impact on traditional banking systems and international payments. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Expansion of Digital RMB Functionality** The digital RMB has evolved from being merely an electronic version of cash to being included in the deposit category, allowing it to perform more traditional currency functions such as inter-company settlements and contract transfers. This transition enhances its application scope significantly [3][4][5]. 2. **Cross-Border Payment Implications** The promotion of digital RMB could lead to a profound impact on cross-border payments, especially if China establishes a currency swap system with other countries through the CIPS (Cross-Border Interbank Payment System). This could create an international settlement ecosystem based on digital RMB, positioning China as a currency issuer [3][10]. 3. **Anti-Money Laundering and Fraud Prevention** Digital RMB features full traceability and immutability, which are advantageous in combating money laundering and telecom fraud. As its application expands, its role in fighting illegal activities is expected to strengthen [3][4]. 4. **Comparison with Stablecoins** Unlike stablecoins, which are typically issued by private entities, digital RMB is issued by the central bank, providing a stronger credit foundation. This centralization allows it to better meet regulatory requirements such as KYC (Know Your Customer) and anti-money laundering standards, offering more efficient and compliant financial services [5][6]. 5. **Banking System Adjustments** Banks will need to overhaul their core systems to accommodate the digital RMB as a new payment medium. This includes adjustments to account structures and payment settlement systems. Tianyang Technology can support these changes by providing necessary system modifications [7][11]. 6. **Future of Digital RMB in Cross-Border Transactions** The future of digital RMB appears promising, particularly in cross-border settlements. A complete digital RMB ecosystem could facilitate transactions between domestic and foreign enterprises, reducing complexity and enhancing transparency and security [10]. 7. **Impact of Policy Changes** Policy changes are expected to necessitate significant system overhauls, but the complexity and workload may not be excessively high. The central bank's push for digital RMB will likely encourage state-owned enterprises to adopt it for various applications, expanding its use beyond pilot programs [11][12]. 8. **Asset-Liability Management for Commercial Banks** The transition of digital RMB from M0 to M1 will not fundamentally alter the operations of commercial banks, as it will essentially become a form of time deposit. However, the implications for asset-liability management and interest margins will need to be monitored [12]. 9. **Tianyang Technology's Role** Tianyang Technology is actively involved in the construction of relevant systems and plans to increase investment in collaboration with the People's Bank of China and clearinghouses. The company aims to adapt to the new demands arising from the digital RMB landscape [13]. 10. **Digital RMB's Unique Features** Digital RMB stands out from existing payment methods like Alipay and WeChat Pay due to its central bank backing, enhanced security through blockchain technology, and its potential to bypass the SWIFT system for international transactions. This positions it as a significant innovation in the financial technology sector [16]. Additional Important Insights - The digital RMB's development is not solely aimed at circumventing the SWIFT system but also focuses on enhancing payment security in international trade and building a comprehensive credit system through blockchain technology [15]. - The balance between inclusivity and anonymity in digital wallets may present challenges, particularly regarding the treatment of different wallet types under deposit insurance policies [15].
能科科技20260104
2026-01-04 15:35
Summary of the Conference Call for Nengke Technology Industry Overview - Nengke Technology operates in the commercial aerospace sector, focusing on satellite and rocket development since its establishment in 2006. The company has extensive experience in industrial software, digital product development, manufacturing, and operations, actively exploring the application of AI technology in these areas [3][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **Client Base and Orders**: Nengke Technology has served over 200 clients, completing more than 500 orders with a total value exceeding 1 billion RMB. In the aerospace and aviation sectors, the order amounts each exceed 500 million RMB [3][4]. - **Digital Solutions**: The company provides comprehensive digital solutions for rocket and satellite development, covering all stages from early product task profiling to post-launch operations. This includes product definition, architecture design, component assembly, testing, and system integration [3][5]. - **Collaboration with Blue Arrow Aerospace**: Nengke Technology has built a full lifecycle management platform for Blue Arrow Aerospace, integrating mechanical, electronic, electrical, and software design into a unified development system, thereby supporting the construction of a digital rocket development system [6]. - **Collaboration with Tianbing Technology**: The company has developed a complete design and R&D system for Tianbing Technology, enhancing R&D efficiency and product reliability from early concept design to detailed engineering drawing generation and final manufacturing [6]. - **Digital Applications in Rocket Development**: The digital applications in rocket product development include material management, mechanical design, electrical design, and software design. The company implements data governance projects to build enterprise-level big data platforms, improving operational management and iteration levels [7][9]. - **Simulation Technology**: Simulation technology plays a crucial role in rocket engine development, allowing for virtual verification of product design indicators, significantly reducing the number of physical experiments required [9][16]. - **AI Applications**: AI technology is applied in quality inspection, CAD drawing recognition, knowledge database construction, and quality management processes, enhancing efficiency and reducing error rates in aerospace manufacturing [11][16][17]. Additional Important Information - **Long-term Client Relationships**: Nengke Technology has a long service cycle, witnessing and continuously supporting clients throughout the entire product development and operational process. The company is familiar with client upgrade rhythms, allowing it to better meet client needs [12]. - **Accounts Receivable**: The company experiences some delays in accounts receivable due to industry characteristics but maintains a relatively safe overall position. It primarily serves large industry clients, which are expected to have strong future payment capabilities [15]. - **Future Focus**: Nengke Technology plans to continue focusing on industrial software, industrial data, and AI agents, with an emphasis on digital transformation technologies in the aerospace sector to enhance overall business efficiency [11].
机械行业2026年策略-人形机器人产业
2026-01-04 15:35
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the **robotics industry**, specifically the **humanoid robot sector** and its investment strategies for 2026, emphasizing technology-driven growth and overseas market opportunities [2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Investment Strategy**: The 2026 investment strategy in the mechanical industry revolves around two main themes: technology-driven growth and reshaping value through international expansion [2]. - **Humanoid Robot Performance**: The humanoid robot sector experienced significant fluctuations in 2025, with notable stock performances, such as **Hengbo Co.** increasing over **500%**, and **Zhejiang Longtai** over **400%**. The total market capitalization reached **42 billion RMB** [4]. - **Development Logic**: The development of the humanoid robot industry follows a "hardware first, software defined, scene is king" logic, where hardware solutions are established, and future growth relies on software algorithms and data models [5]. - **Key Components**: In 2026, there is a consensus on core components like reducers and screws, with a clear path for cost reduction and high-performance motor requirements [6]. - **Market Demand**: By 2026, domestic sales of humanoid robots are expected to reach **100,000 units**, with several thousand units sold overseas, primarily for data collection purposes [11]. Additional Important Insights - **Material Innovations**: Lightweight materials such as magnesium-aluminum alloys, stainless steel, carbon fiber, and PEEK are being explored to enhance the performance of humanoid robots [10]. - **Sensor Development**: Various sensors, especially tactile sensors, are crucial for data accuracy and training effectiveness, with diverse technological routes being explored [9]. - **Investment Opportunities**: The report highlights potential investment opportunities in the supply chain, particularly focusing on companies like **CATL**, **Tianqi Lithium**, and **Enjie** that are expected to perform well in the long term [15]. - **Market Dynamics**: The humanoid robot market is anticipated to enter a consolidation phase starting in 2026, with a focus on capitalizing on companies that can survive and thrive in this evolving landscape [14]. Conclusion - The humanoid robot industry is poised for significant growth driven by technological advancements and market demand, with a strong emphasis on software development and international market expansion. Investors are encouraged to focus on key players in the supply chain and emerging technologies that will shape the future of this sector [17].
巴比食品20260104
2026-01-04 15:35
Summary of the Conference Call for Babi Foods Company Overview - **Company**: Babi Foods - **Industry**: Food and Beverage, specifically focusing on dumplings and buns Key Developments - Babi Foods has made significant progress in the past year, particularly in promoting its new handmade dumpling store model, which began trials in the second half of 2025, achieving daily sales exceeding 10,000 yuan per store [3][4] - The company currently operates three business segments: traditional bun shops, group meals, and the new handmade dumpling stores [3] - Traditional bun shop sales turned positive in the second half of 2025, while the handmade dumpling stores are expected to become a new growth engine [3][4] Growth Potential - Market expectations suggest that Babi Foods could open around 100 new stores in Q1 2025, with total new store openings for the year potentially reaching hundreds to over a thousand [3][4] - Even if daily sales per store decrease to 6,000-7,000 yuan, annual revenue could still reach approximately 2 million yuan per store, contributing about 600,000 yuan to Babi's revenue [3][4] - The new dumpling stores are larger, offer more dining options, and have a richer product structure, leading to a faster return on investment despite higher initial costs [3][5] Market Positioning - Babi Foods entered the dumpling market due to its large potential and lack of leading chain brands, with over 30,000 dumpling shops nationwide but no dominant players [6] - The dumpling product line is versatile and suitable for various dining occasions, enhancing its market appeal [6] Financial Projections - Babi Foods is projected to achieve a profit of approximately 340 million yuan in 2026, with a target market capitalization exceeding 10 billion yuan, indicating a potential upside of 30%-50% [4][14] - Each new or remodeled dumpling store is expected to generate an additional revenue increment of about 160 million yuan for every 200 stores, contributing around 20 million yuan in profit [12] Operational Advantages - The company has established five major factories nationwide, providing significant supply chain advantages and strong management capabilities [9] - Babi Foods is focused on ensuring the replicability of its new store model, with plans to promote successful outcomes at the 2026 franchisee conference [10] Investment Recommendations - Given the successful achievement of 2025 goals and the validated replicability of its business model, Babi Foods is expected to enter an accelerated growth phase in 2026 [14] - The company is recommended as a strong investment opportunity within the food and beverage sector, characterized by high growth potential and clear industry logic [14]
生益科技-覆铜板工厂调研:AI 产能扩张;2026 年上半年涨价趋势延续
2026-01-04 11:35
Summary of Shengyi Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Shengyi Technology (600183.SS) - **Industry**: Copper Clad Laminate (CCL) and Printed Circuit Board (PCB) manufacturing - **Headquarters**: Dongguan, China - **Market Focus**: Consumer electronics, communication, automotive, and data center markets - **Revenue Breakdown**: CCL business accounted for 68% of total revenues in 1H25, followed by PCB business at 29% [3][4] Key Points CCL Price Trends - Shengyi has raised CCL prices multiple times in the past 3-6 months due to rising raw material costs, particularly fiberglass cloth, driven by the ramp-up of AI infrastructure [4] - Management expects the price hike trend to continue into 1H26E, influenced by sustained demand for AI PCBs and a slow response from upstream suppliers to expand capacity [4][8] Margin Improvement - Management is optimistic about margin expansion in the coming years, primarily due to a shift towards high-end CCL products for AI PCBs, which offer higher margins compared to mainstream CCL [4][8] - The product mix has been improving, with expectations for large-scale deliveries of high-end CCL for China CSPs and AI chip manufacturers starting in 2026E [8] Capacity Expansion Strategy - Shengyi plans a 5-year capacity expansion strategy, focusing on AI CCL capacity in the upcoming year, with gradual expansions thereafter based on market demand and supply dynamics [9] - The company has established production sites in Mainland China and overseas (including Thailand) to better serve global-tier clients amid geopolitical tensions [9] Market Dynamics - The demand for high-end CCL is rising not only in AI PCB applications but also in other sectors such as LEO satellites and flexible printed circuits (FPC) used in consumer and automotive electronics [8] - Management is closely monitoring market conditions to optimize the pace of new production line setups, aiming to avoid supply surplus while benefiting from fast capacity ramp-up [9] Competitive Landscape - Shennan Circuits (002916.SZ) is also expanding into AI PCB, having started mass production for AI accelerators and other advanced applications, which aligns with the positive outlook for high-end CCL shipments [2] Additional Insights - The ongoing transition towards AI technologies is expected to significantly influence the demand for high-end CCL, positioning Shengyi favorably in the market [4][8] - The company's proactive approach in capacity planning and product mix enhancement is likely to support its growth trajectory and margin improvement in the competitive landscape of the PCB industry [9]
珂玛科技-产能扩张 + 本土 SPE 客户渗透推动陶瓷元件放量;买入评级
2026-01-04 11:35
Summary of Kematek (301611.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Kematek (301611.SZ) - **Industry**: Semiconductor manufacturing, specifically focusing on ceramic components and devices Key Points and Arguments 1. **Capacity Expansion and Client Penetration**: Kematek is positioned as a key beneficiary of China's semiconductor capacity expansion and the growth of advanced nodes, providing structural ceramic components and devices. The company is expected to deepen its cooperation with local SPE clients through R&D validation, leading to increased allocations from these clients as semiconductor capital expenditure rises in China [1][2][3] 2. **Revenue Growth Projections**: - For 4Q25, revenues are projected to grow by 15% year-over-year (YoY) to Rmb278 million, supported by capacity expansion and increased orders from local SPE clients. This is a slight decrease from the 18% YoY growth observed in 3Q25 [2] - Looking ahead, revenues are expected to grow by 41% YoY in 2026, driven by improved yield rates and volume ramp-up of ceramic heaters, alongside continuous capacity expansion [2] 3. **Earnings Revisions**: - Earnings estimates for 2026-2030 have been revised upwards by 1% to 2%, primarily due to higher revenues from ceramic components and devices. The gross margin (GM) is expected to slightly decrease by 0.2 to 0.1 percentage points due to changes in product mix [3] 4. **Gross Margin Improvement**: The gross margin for 4Q25 is expected to improve to 53.9%, up from 51.1% in 3Q25, attributed to a shift in product mix towards higher-margin ceramic devices [2] 5. **Target Price Adjustment**: The target price for Kematek has been raised to Rmb99.7 from Rmb87.7, maintaining a "Buy" rating. This adjustment is based on a target P/E multiple of 58.5x for the period of 2H26-1H27, reflecting the company's expected net income growth of 28% YoY [1][10] 6. **Key Risks**: Potential risks include slower-than-expected semiconductor capital expenditure expansion in China and delays in product line expansion and supply chain diversification [10][12] Additional Important Information - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb37.9 billion (approximately $5.4 billion) [13] - **Earnings Estimates**: - 2025E Revenue: Rmb1,072 million - 2026E Revenue: Rmb1,516 million - 2027E Revenue: Rmb2,097 million [7] - **Profitability Metrics**: - Expected GM for 2026: 62.0% - Expected Operating Profit Margin (OPM) for 2026: 44.4% [7] This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call regarding Kematek's performance, projections, and strategic positioning within the semiconductor industry.
胜宏科技-工厂调研:高速数据驱动 AI PCB 新产能爬坡与产品结构升级
2026-01-04 11:35
Summary of Victory Giant (300476.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: Victory Giant (300476.SZ) - **Industry**: PCB (Printed Circuit Board) manufacturing - **Products**: Offers MLPCB (Multi-layer PCB), HDI (High-Density Interconnect), single/double layer PCB, FPC (Flexible Printed Circuit), etc. - **End Markets**: AI data centers, automobiles, telecom, smart terminals - **Global Presence**: Operations in mainland China, Malaysia, Vietnam, and Thailand [3][4] Key Points Discussed 1. Capacity Expansion - **Accelerated AI PCB Capacity Expansion**: Victory Giant is expanding its AI PCB capacity more rapidly than before, with plans for two new larger factories in HuiYang and capacity expansion in Thailand and Vietnam. Management emphasized that the time required to ramp up new capacity has decreased due to strong partnerships with major clients and experience in product verification [4][10]. 2. Technological Advantages - **MLPCB and HDI Expertise**: The company has developed mass production capabilities for HDI (28-layers) and MLPCB (70-layers), which are crucial for the new specifications of AI server platforms. Management noted that equipment parameters and material formulas significantly impact performance and yield rates, particularly in laser drilling and copper fill plating processes [5][9]. 3. Dollar Content Upgrade Opportunities - **Revenue Growth from Dollar Content Upgrades**: Management anticipates that upgrades in dollar content will drive revenue growth for AI PCBs. This is attributed to the shift towards new AI platforms with higher speeds (800G / 1.6T and above), which require PCBs with more layers and high-end CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) materials. The company is committed to R&D for new technologies, including 30-layer HDIs and 100+ layer MLPCBs [10][4]. 4. Market Outlook - **Positive Industry Outlook**: The management's comments align with a positive outlook for the China PCB industry, particularly for high-end PCB and CCL suppliers. The expected strong demand for AI PCBs is anticipated to benefit local suppliers as they expand capacity to meet growing needs [2][4]. 5. Customer Penetration - **Continuous Customer Penetration in AI Infrastructure**: Victory Giant is focused on increasing its customer base in AI infrastructure, which includes solutions for AI accelerator cards, AI servers, data center switches, UBB, SSDs, DDR, and optical transceivers [3][4]. Additional Insights - **Strategic Partnerships**: The company’s ability to ramp up capacity quickly is supported by deep partnerships with major clients, which enhances its competitive edge in the market [4][10]. - **Focus on R&D**: Continuous investment in research and development is crucial for maintaining technological leadership and meeting the evolving demands of the AI sector [10][4]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call regarding Victory Giant's strategic initiatives, market positioning, and growth prospects in the PCB industry.