中兴通讯20240624 会议实录 1、估值分析 今天向大家汇报我们对中兴通讯当前的投资观点。公司近期在底部 抬高震荡，目前估值约为12倍左右，今年的市盈率水平相对较低。 我们近期发布了一份深度报告，重点梳理了公司的推进逻辑。总体 上，我们认为在当前较低估值的状态下， 一旦行业或公司在某些业 务上有进展，后续仍有一定的反弹空间。大家可以持续关注公司在 算力领域和低空经济领域相关业务的拓展。因为这份报告主要由我 们的分析师袁文忠撰写，大家如果熟悉的话，也知道袁工在通信行 业工作多年，对公司非常了解。 好的，我将从公司整体发展及其在行业下行中的受益情况，为大家 做一个总体汇报。首先，我想稍微复盘一下公司过往的发展历史。 在我们的交流过程中，投资人关注公司的同时，可能对其过往，特 别是2018年的经历不太了解。因此，基于我们对公司多年来成长 ...

保隆科技 20240624_原文 发言人 00:00 发言人 01:16 发言人 01:44 然后讲国产替代，大家会说这个价格战对吧？价格战减配，减配就要么用原来的，要么不用。 这些他从市场上确实也能够找到一些兑现。但是具体到宝龙科技而言的话，我们认为导致它目 前逻辑变弱，或者大家担忧变弱的一些东西，很多都没有兑现，或者说并没有真正落实到公司 更多资料加入知识星球:水木调研纪要 关注公众号:水木纪要 2024 年 06 月 25 日 08:26 各位尊敬的投资者大家，我是海通汽车首席刘一鸣。非常感谢大家在周一的一大早上 8 点 15 来 加入我们这个 815 招文这一档。我们今天给大家汇报介绍的是宝龙科技的投资逻辑和一些近期 的更新。宝龙科技其实也是关注度很高的一个股票。公司主要逻辑是成长方面，空悬和这个传 感器，这两个是比较强的成长。同时这个价值方面，公司旗下有迪尔公司做这个售后的，这部 分其实是非常强的一个业绩的确定性。其实今年以来，公司说实话逻辑没有发生过什么变化， 但是调整幅度很大，其实我们也是观察到很多类似走势，公司是的一个同样的问题，就是，没 有新逻辑。然后原有逻辑，一是被预期的比较充分，二是市场 ...

韦尔股份 20240624_原文 2024年06月24日 23:37 发言人 00:00 尊敬的各位投资者，大家下午好。欢迎各位波荣参加维尔股份2023年度及2024年第一季度业绩说明会。 我是韦尔股份董事会秘书任斌，也是本次业绩说明会的主持人。首先衷心感谢上海证券交易所上证路演中 心长期以来对维尔股份的支持，感谢贵司搭建的投资者交流平台，帮助公司传递投资价值。自上市以来， 韦尔股份与广大投资者保持着良好的互动和交流，我们坚信，广大投资者的高度信任与大力支持将是维尔 股份持续发展的重要支撑。希望通过本次交流活动，我们能够让广大投资者能够更充分的了解公司的发展 战略以及近期取得的重大突破。接下来请允许我为大家介绍出席本次会议的公司领导，他们分别是维尔股 份总经理王松先生，维尔股份董事兼财务总监贾渊先生，韦尔股份独立董事朱丽萍先生。 发言人 01:10 今天业绩说明会的主要环节如下，首先由公司总经理王松先生致辞。随后王松先生及贾跃先生将针对公司 近期的经营情况向各位投资人进行汇报。最后我们将进入互动交流的环节，由公司管理层与现场的嘉宾进 行问答交流。最后公司管理层还将通过网络文字互动的形式与广大投资者进行线上交流 ...

华虹公司 20240624_原文 2024年06月24日 23:37 发言人 00:00 参加本次会议。会议即将开始，请稍后。Thanks for your participation. The meeting is ready to start. 发言人 00:22 感谢大家参加本次会议。会议即将开始，请稍后。Thanks for your participation. The meeting is ready to start. Please, please remain on the line. 发言人 00:45 感谢大家参加本次会议。会议即将开始，请稍后。Thanks for your participation. The meeting is ready to start. Please remain on the line. 发言人 01:08 感谢大家参加本次会议。会议即将开始，请稍后。Thanks for your participation. The meeting is ready to start. Please remain on the line. 发言人 01:32 感谢大家参加 ...

至2023年，受原材料价格下滑、新能源高压线束占比提升、客户 5 订单相对稳定及人工效率提升等因素影响，公司毛利率和净利率明 显回升。2023 年，毛利率同比提升2 个百分点至12.9%,净利润同比增长32%至5410万元。 6 3、汽车线束市场前景 展望未来，随着问界、理想、蔚来、特斯拉等限售产品的放量，整 体产能利用率和人效的提升，公司盈利能力有望持续改善。在讲完 公司的基本概况后，我们再来看一下整个汽车线束行业的发展趋势、 市场空间以及竞争格局。 首先是汽车线束的发展趋势。总体来看，电动化和智能化的发展增 加了对高压和高速线束的需求，导致单车线束的价值量从传统的 2500~3500元提升到6000元以上。 传统汽车线束主要包含发动机线束、仪表线束、顶棚线束等。低档 燃油乘用车的单车线束价值量约为2500元，中高档燃油乘用车的 单车线束价值量约为3500~4500元。电动化的发展新增了对高压 线束的需求。传统燃油车的动力结构主要由发动机和变速箱构成， 电气结构主要是低压平台，电压通常为12伏、24伏或48伏，全 部采用低压线束。新能源汽车通过电池、电机、电控组成的"三电 系统"取代了传统的发动机和变速箱动 ...

国泰君安期货私募净值跟踪（2024年06月14日） ...

通富微电报告解读240624中泰_原文 2024年06月24日 09:54 发言人1 00:00 Thanks for大家好，欢迎参加中泰电子AI系列第十讲通富微电报告解读电话会议。下面开始播报免责声 明。声明，播报完毕后，主持人可直接开始发言。本次电话会议服务于中泰证券正式签约客户，为C公 开交流活动，未经中泰证券授权，请勿对外传播本次会议的内容包括但不限于视频、音频、文字记录内 容等信息，感谢您的理解与配合。中泰证券对违反上述要求的行为保留追究法律责任的权利。市场有风 险投资需谨慎，本会议信息仅供参考，不代表任何投资建议。本公司不对任何人因使用本会议中的信息 所引致的任何损失负担任何责任。 发言人2 00:48 各位尊敬的投资人，大家早上好，我是中泰电子尤凡。今天很荣幸给大家汇报我们AI系列的第十讲通富 微电的一个覆盖报告的解读，标题是24Q1业绩改善，然后AI碰撞龙头静候景气复苏。我们这边在线上 的时候，同步也有一个PT，大家如果方便的话也可以看一下那个PPT。然后在线的投资人的话，我这边 就语音汇报。 发言人2 01:16 整体上来讲的话，就是说通富它属于咱们先进封装的一个核心公司。整体的框架其实分为 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a year-on-year growth of over 50% and a double-digit quarter-on-quarter growth for Q2, maintaining its annual guidance for a 50% increase [35][41] - Current capacity utilization is around 60%, which is higher than previously communicated expectations of reaching over 50% by year-end [35][36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates that the order growth and revenue will not differ significantly, with order growth expected to exceed 50% year-on-year [41] - The gross margin and net margin are expected to show slight improvements compared to Q1, with no further declines anticipated [36][37] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has observed a positive trend in orders from major domestic clients, with both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases [62] - The demand from overseas clients remains strong, with expectations of revenue growth exceeding 50% year-on-year [39] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is actively advancing its production capabilities in Singapore, with plans to invite clients for factory inspections in July and August [24] - The management remains optimistic about the overall industry demand for the coming year, supported by favorable policies in Southeast Asia [50][51] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence that the current regulatory issues will be resolved quickly, although a specific timeline could not be provided [48] - The company is not currently seeing substantial impacts from recent U.S. restrictions on semiconductor investments, and it is optimistic about its strategic positioning in Singapore [62] Other Important Information - The company is focusing on refining its internal management and has plans for significant capital expenditures, particularly for the Beijing factory [59] - The management is adjusting the proportion of R&D expenses while maintaining an absolute increase in R&D investment [58] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the reason for the inquiry notice received by the company? - The inquiry is related to a sensitive matter involving the freezing of shares held by the major shareholder, which is under investigation [8][9] Question: What is the expected timeline for resolving the current regulatory issues? - Management indicated that they expect a quick resolution but could not provide a specific timeline due to the involvement of government departments [48] Question: How is the company performing in terms of order growth and gross margin? - The company expects order growth to exceed 50% year-on-year, with gross margin showing slight improvements compared to previous quarters [41][36] Question: What is the outlook for overseas customer demand? - Demand from overseas clients is projected to remain strong, with expectations of significant revenue growth [39] Question: Are there any impacts from recent U.S. restrictions on semiconductor investments? - Currently, there are no substantial impacts observed, and the company is optimistic about its operations in Singapore [62]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The relative valuation percentile for high dividend stocks is currently at 87.6% (PE perspective) and 76.6% (PB perspective), indicating that while there is still room before reaching "very expensive" levels, it is approaching extremes [9][20] - Year-to-date, both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks with high dividend yields have outperformed indices, reflecting a shift in market dynamics [7][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The simulated chip sector, including companies like 圣邦股份 and 纳芯微, has reached an inventory turning point, with revenue and year-on-year growth rates showing signs of recovery since Q1 2023 [6] - The motorcycle market, particularly for 250cc+ models, saw sales of 77,000 units in May 2024, a year-on-year increase of 57.9%, indicating strong demand in this segment [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for AI-related power supply systems is expected to reach a market size of 1 billion euros in the coming years, driven by the increasing power requirements of AI servers [6] - The overseas market for all-terrain vehicles is anticipated to improve as inventory depletion comes to an end, with a significant portion of high-value U/Z series products still having room for growth [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The focus on high dividend stocks is expected to remain strong, with the potential for continued outperformance in the face of economic uncertainties [19] - Companies are advised to pay attention to the domestic production of critical components such as sensors and electronic skin, which are seen as key growth areas [16] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management highlighted that the current economic uncertainties in China are higher than in the past, but the probability of high dividend stocks outperforming in the long term remains relatively high [19] - The management also noted that the high dividend yield strategy has been significantly driven by a convergence of risk preferences in the market [18] Other Important Information - The "夸父" humanoid robot showcased at HDC2024 demonstrates advanced capabilities, including multi-modal task planning and adaptability to various environments, indicating a significant leap in domestic intelligent robotics [20] - The market is witnessing a shift in focus towards high dividend assets as economic conditions evolve, with expectations of sustained demand for these assets [12][19] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the prospects for high dividend stocks in the current market? - The core reason for the significant outperformance of high dividend stocks over the past two and a half years has been the convergence of risk preferences [18] - Despite the current economic uncertainties, the long-term outlook for high dividend stocks remains positive, with a higher probability of continued outperformance [19]

Financial Data and Key Indicator Changes - The company's revenue for 2023 was 5,242 million, a decrease of 3.7% compared to 2022, which had a revenue of 5,445 million [6] - Operating profit for 2023 was 428 million, down 44.5% from 771 million in 2022 [6] - Net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 466 million, a decline of 39.4% from 769 million in 2022 [6] - The earnings per share for 2023 was 1.01, down from 1.67 in 2022 [6] - The gross margin for 2023 was 36.9%, compared to 39.3% in 2022 [6] Business Line Data and Key Indicator Changes - The smart software business generated revenue of 1,416 million in 2023, a decrease of 25.12% year-on-year [21] - The smart connected vehicle business achieved revenue of 2,337 million, an increase of 30.34% year-on-year [21] - The smart IoT business reported revenue of 1,489 million, down 15.45% year-on-year [21] - The combined revenue from the smart connected vehicle and smart IoT businesses accounted for 72.99% of total revenue in 2023 [21] Market Data and Key Indicator Changes - The company has a global presence with operations in 43 regions, allowing it to stay ahead of market trends and customer needs [19] - The shift towards AI PCs and the adoption of Arm architecture is becoming a focal point for major manufacturers, indicating a growing market opportunity [34][40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on a "technology + ecosystem" platform development strategy, emphasizing collaboration with leading OS, chip, and AI platform manufacturers [16][19] - The strategic partnership with Qualcomm positions the company favorably in the emerging AI PC ecosystem [34] - The company aims to explore new application scenarios for edge AI, indicating a commitment to innovation and growth in this area [1] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the impact of macroeconomic conditions and significant investments in AI on short-term performance, but remains optimistic about long-term growth prospects [21] - The company plans to continue its focus on the second growth curve (existing business + edge intelligence) and the third growth curve (edge intelligence + innovative business) [1] Other Important Information - The company has implemented a stock incentive plan to align employee interests with long-term growth, with performance targets set for revenue growth over the next three years [19][20] - The company has a strong R&D team of over 11,705 personnel, reflecting its commitment to innovation and technology development [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for AI PC adoption? - The company noted that the rapid development of edge AI and the introduction of AI PCs by major manufacturers like Microsoft and Qualcomm indicate a significant market opportunity [34][40] Question: How does the company plan to manage the impact of AI investments on short-term performance? - Management emphasized a focus on long-term growth and innovation, despite short-term pressures from increased investments in AI [21] Question: What is the company's strategy regarding partnerships in the AI ecosystem? - The company highlighted its strategic collaboration with Qualcomm as a key advantage in positioning itself within the AI PC ecosystem [34]