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US Economics Analyst Investor Expectations for the Second Trump Administration (MericleWalker)
Andreessen Horowitz· 2024-12-29 16:48
Goldman Sachs US Economics Analyst Views varied more widely on potential spending cuts from the planned Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). Exhibit 4 shows that 42% of investors expect insignificant or quite modest spending cuts, 19% expect cuts amounting to $25-100bn, and 32% expect spending cuts of over $100bn or 0.3% of GDP per year. Exhibit 4: Investor Expectations for Spending Cuts from the Department of Government Efficiency Vary More Widely 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 No view Insignificantly Less than ...
The New York Times-26.12.2024
-· 2024-12-26 15:09
**Industry or Company Involved**: Not explicitly mentioned in the provided text. **Key Points and Arguments**: * **General Observations**: * The text covers a wide range of topics, including politics, sports, entertainment, technology, and social issues. * It includes various perspectives and opinions on these topics. * The text is primarily focused on current events and trends. * **Specific Points**: * **Politics**: The text discusses the incoming Trump administration, the potential impact of his policies, and the ongoing debate over immigration enforcement. * **Sports**: The text covers various sports events and issues, including the NBA's potential expansion to Mexico City and the challenges it may face. * **Entertainment**: The text discusses various entertainment topics, including reality TV, film reviews, and music. * **Technology**: The text explores the potential slowing down of AI progress and the challenges faced by companies like Telegram. * **Social Issues**: The text addresses various social issues, including the mpox epidemic in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the challenges faced by women with facial hair, and the impact of climate change. **Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content**: * **The mpox epidemic in the Democratic Republic of Congo**: The text highlights the challenges faced by the country in containing the epidemic, including limited resources, bureaucracy, and stigma associated with the disease. * **The challenges faced by women with facial hair**: The text explores the societal pressures and stigma faced by women with facial hair, as well as the growing movement advocating for body positivity and self-expression. * **The potential slowing down of AI progress**: The text discusses the challenges faced by AI companies, such as a lack of data and the need for new methods of training AI systems. **Summary**: The provided text offers a snapshot of current events and trends across various industries and sectors. It highlights the complexity of the issues being discussed and the diverse perspectives held by different stakeholders.
The Washington Post-26.12.2024
-· 2024-12-26 15:09
A2 EZ rE the washington post . thursday, december 26, 2024 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-------|-------|---------------------|---------------------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | CONTENT © 2024 | | | | | | The Washington Post | | | | | | | | | | | | | Year 148, No. 54077 | | 1 KLMNO NEWSPAPER DELIVERY For home delivery comments or concerns contact us at washingtonpost.com/subscriberservices or send us an email at homedelivery@washpost.com or call 202-334-6100 or 800-477-4 ...
The Wall Street Journal-26.12.2024
-· 2024-12-26 15:09
****** THURSDAY, DECEMBER 26, 2024 ~ VOL. CCLXXXIV NO. 150 WSJ.com HHHH $5.00 Business & Finance CONTENTS Arts in Review..... A11 Business & FinanceB2,3,10 Crossword................ A12 Equities........................ B6 From Page One.... A8 Heard on Street.. B12 Markets & Finance B10 Opinion................ A13-15 Personal Journal A9-10 Sports.......................... A12 Technology................ B4 U.S. News.............. A2-4 World News......... A5-7 > s 2024 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Rese ...
China Materials_ Weekly Monitor_ Winter Seasonality Cuts Starting
China Securities· 2024-12-26 03:08
Source: CISA, Mysteel, Morgan Stanley Research Exhibit 58: Weekly Cement Shipments in Central China -60% -30% 0% 30% 60% - 100 200 300 400 500 20022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024 Source: SMM, Morgan Stanley Research China Materials: Feb-24 Lab-grown Diamond Trade Data (18 Mar 2024) Greater China Materials: China Gold - Adding Alpha to Beta (11 Dec 2024) Zijin Mining Group: Asia Pacific Summit 2024 Feedback (21 Nov 2024) Huaxin Cement Co: Milestone Acq ...
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharma_ Risk Reward Update
Bazaarvoice· 2024-12-26 03:07
Morgan Stanley Research 9 Keymed Biosciences Inc. (2162.HK) O (08/10/2021) HK$31.85 M Update | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|-------| | Everest Medicines Ltd (1952.HK) E (03/15/2024) HK$46.80 \nHUTCHMED (China) Ltd (0013.HK) E (04 ...
Consumer Credit Activity Tracker
Counterpoint Research· 2024-12-26 03:07
-30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 4Q12 4Q15 4Q18 4Q21 4Q24 Net Tightening vs. Easing Lending Standards - Auto Tightening Easing M O R G A N S T A N L E Y R E S E A R C H | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |----------|-------------|-------|--------------------|-------------------------| | | | | | | | Mortgage | Credit Card | Auto | Economic Activity | Sentiment / Conditions | Source: Dealertrack, Morgan Stanley Research. Consumer Credit Activity Tracker Source: Manheim, Morgan Stanley Research. Morgan S ...
US Machinery_ Tariffs 2.0. Mon Dec 23 2024
US Machinery • DE. In both FY23 and FY24, less than 5% of U.S. sales were manufactured in Mexico. DE relies heavily on its skilled U.S. workforce to design and build advanced equipment, with more than 75% of its products sold in the U.S. being assembled domestically. The Agriculture and Turf division is a net exporter, which positions the company well to handle potential changes in trade policies. • CNH. It manufactures large equipment in the U.S., with planters made in Canada, and does not produce small an ...
China Optical Transceiver_ Nov-24 Exports_ Jiangsu +40% Y_Y; Sichuan +182% Y_Y
-· 2024-12-26 03:07
Flash | 22 Dec 2024 20:51:23 ET │ 11 pages Nov-24 Exports: Jiangsu +40% Y/Y; Sichuan +182% Y/Y CITI'S TAKE Jiangsu optical transceiver export value in Nov-24 maintained steady momentum, recording +40% YoY or -2% MoM at Rmb1.8bn, per Customs data. Sichuan transceiver export value in Nov-24 rose +182% YoY or +33% MoM to Rmb1.1bn, a historical high, boding well for a strong 4Q24 for Eoptolink. We believe Sichuan's strong export value indicates robust 4Q24 demand, though somehow in-price, while the MoM decline ...
US Daily_ A Retrospective on 10 Questions for 2024 (Mericle)
DataEye研究院· 2024-12-26 03:07
Our answer: Yes. 8. Will the Fed cut at least four times? 1. Will GDP grow faster than consensus and the FOMC expect? Our answer: Yes. Verdict: Correct. Our strong growth forecast was our core out-of-consensus view for 2024. At the end of 2023, the Bloomberg consensus forecast for 2024 Q4/Q4 GDP growth was just 0.9% and the FOMC's forecast was just 1.4%, likely because many forecasters still expected pain from the lagged impact of past rate hikes. We forecasted 2% growth because our analysis suggested that ...