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Gold Touches $5,000 As Inflation Drops To 2.4%, Polymarket Traders Expect $5,500 By Q3 - SPDR Gold Shares (ARCA:GLD)
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 16:16
Group 1: Inflation Data - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.4% year-over-year in January, below the 2.5% consensus estimate, marking the lowest inflation reading since May 2025 [2] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, decreased to 2.5% annually from December's 2.6%, the lowest level since March 2021 [2] - Month-over-month, core CPI increased by 0.3%, meeting expectations [2] Group 2: Federal Reserve and Rate Cuts - Softer inflation data supports expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with markets pricing in at least two cuts in 2026 despite a stronger-than-expected jobs report [3] - Polymarket indicates a 69% probability of gold reaching $5,500 or higher by the end of June, reflecting bullish sentiment [4] - The market also shows a 27% probability for two rate cuts this year, with three cuts closely behind at 26% [4] Group 3: Gold Market Dynamics - Central banks are accumulating gold at a record pace, reassessing geopolitical neutrality after the 2022 freeze of approximately $300 billion in Russian reserves [5] - Thinner inventories in London have created conditions for price squeezes, with rallies accelerating as investor flows absorb remaining metal [5] - Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, while cooler inflation readings support continued Federal Reserve easing [5]
Unpacking the Latest Options Trading Trends in Broadcom - Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO)
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 16:00
Group 1 - Investors have taken a bullish stance on Broadcom, with significant options trades indicating potential upcoming movements [1] - The overall sentiment among big-money traders is mixed, with 46% bullish and 33% bearish positions noted [2] - Major market movers are focusing on a price band between $170.0 and $520.0 for Broadcom over the last three months [3] Group 2 - Recent options trading patterns show significant interest in Broadcom, with a snapshot of volume and open interest trends indicating liquidity levels [4] - Analysts have provided mixed ratings for Broadcom, with an average target price of $378.33 from three experts [5] - Current trading volume for Broadcom is 4,973,258, with the stock price at $330.09, reflecting a decrease of -0.96% [6]
Spotlight on Baidu: Analyzing the Surge in Options Activity - Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU)
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 16:00
Core Insights - Financial giants have shown a bearish sentiment towards Baidu, with 46% of traders exhibiting bearish tendencies compared to 33% bullish [1] - The options history indicates a total of 15 unusual trades, with puts valued at $538,287 and calls at $1,214,125 [1] Options Analysis - Whales have targeted a price range for Baidu between $60.0 and $210.0 over the last three months, based on volume and open interest [2] - The analysis of volume and open interest is crucial for understanding liquidity and interest levels in Baidu's options [3] Company Overview - Baidu is the largest internet search engine in China, holding over 50% market share in 2024, generating 70% of its core revenue from online marketing services [4] - The company is also focused on growth initiatives in artificial intelligence cloud, video streaming, voice recognition technology, and autonomous driving [4] Current Market Position - A professional analyst has set an average price target of $147.0 for Baidu, maintaining an Equal-Weight rating [6] - Current trading volume for Baidu stands at 2,499,745, with the stock price at $136.76, reflecting a decrease of -1.17% [7] - The stock may be approaching oversold conditions according to RSI indicators, with an earnings announcement expected in 13 days [7]
Moderna Promises Revenue Growth In 2026, Even As FDA Flu Vaccine Setback Looms
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 15:59
Core Insights - Moderna reported a fourth-quarter loss of $2.11, which was better than the expected loss of $2.59 and an improvement from a loss of $2.91 a year ago [1] - Quarterly sales reached $678 million, exceeding the expected $626.097 million, primarily driven by COVID vaccine sales [1] - Total revenue decreased by 30% year over year, mainly due to lower COVID vaccine sales volume compared to the previous year [2] Financial Performance - Product sales in the U.S. were $264 million, while international markets contributed $381 million [2] - Moderna's total revenue for 2025 is targeted at $1.94 billion, with expectations of up to 10% revenue growth [5] - Projected costs for 2026 include approximately $0.9 billion for cost of sales, $3.0 billion for R&D expenses, and $1.0 billion for SG&A expenses [5] Strategic Developments - CEO Stéphane Bancel highlighted the launch of a third product and the establishment of three international manufacturing sites, alongside a significant reduction in annual operating expenses by approximately $2.2 billion [3] - The company aims for revenue growth through mNEXSPIKE expansion and international strategic partnerships [4] Regulatory Challenges - Moderna received a refusal-to-file letter from the FDA regarding its investigational influenza vaccine, mRNA-1010, which could impact its vaccine franchise and breakeven guidance for 2028 [6][7] - Analysts noted that the refusal significantly lowers the probability of success for mRNA-1010 and affects the potential U.S. sales of related products [8] Market Reaction - Following the news, Moderna shares increased by 7.58% to $43.15 [10]
Nucor, Cleveland-Cliffs, Alcoa Slide As Trump Reportedly Mulls Steel & Aluminum Tariff Rollback
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 15:50
Core Viewpoint - The potential rollback of tariffs on steel and aluminum is causing significant market reactions, with producers experiencing declines in stock prices due to fears of increased foreign competition and reduced domestic pricing power [1][2][5] Group 1: Market Reactions - Steel and aluminum producers saw stock declines of 5-6% in early trading as investors anticipated renewed competition and softer pricing [1] - Cleveland-Cliffs, focused on U.S. steel, faced sharper declines, while Alcoa, an aluminum producer, also dropped due to concerns over lower pricing [2] Group 2: Impact of Tariff Changes - Tariffs have historically supported U.S. producers by maintaining margins and limiting cheaper imports; a rollback would reduce this support [2] - The removal of tariffs is expected to compress multiples for producers, indicating a direct relationship between protection and market premiums [3] Group 3: Potential Sector Rotation - The decline in metal producers may signal a rotation towards sectors that could benefit from lower input costs, such as automakers, machinery manufacturers, and construction companies [4] - Easing tariffs could improve margins for downstream industries, suggesting a classic cost-relief trade scenario [4] Group 4: Broader Implications - Policy shifts regarding tariffs can rapidly alter the landscape of entire sectors, with recent years seeing tariffs significantly influence the earnings of U.S. steel and aluminum companies [5] - The market is already adjusting to the potential changes, indicating that even hints of tariff reversals can introduce volatility [5]
Upstream Bio's Selloff May Be 'Overdone,' But Analyst Highlights Asthma Drug's Competitive Edge Concerns
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 15:45
Core Viewpoint - Upstream Bio Inc. shares have experienced a significant decline of over 54% following recent clinical trial results for its asthma treatment, indicating potential concerns among investors regarding the company's competitive positioning in the market [1][3]. Clinical Trial Results - The VALIANT trial reported a statistically significant 56% reduction in the annualized asthma exacerbation rate (AAER) for the 100 mg every 12 weeks dosing compared to placebo, alongside improvements in lung function and a high transition rate of over 90% of eligible patients to the long-term extension study [2]. Analyst Insights - Analyst William Blair noted that while biomarker results for verekitug appeared strong, the lower exacerbation reduction at the 400 mg Q6M dosing raised concerns about its competitive positioning against other candidates in Phase II/III development [3]. - Analyst Matt Phipps commented that the nearly 50% drop in shares is perceived as excessive, as the thymic stromal lymphopoietin (TSLP) space is viewed as a winner-take-all scenario for the first to commercialize a Q6M dosing regimen [4]. Stock Performance and Momentum - Currently, Upstream Bio's stock is trading 10.2% above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and 30.5% above its 100-day SMA, indicating strong short-term momentum, with a 12-month surge of 292.24% [4]. - The stock's Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45.37, indicating neutral territory, while the MACD is below its signal line, suggesting bearish pressure [5]. Analyst Consensus and Price Targets - The stock holds a Strong Buy rating with an average price forecast of $49.00, with recent analyst actions including targets of $51.00, $43.00, and $40.00 from Mizuho, LifeSci Capital, and Evercore ISI Group respectively [6]. - As of the latest publication, Upstream Bio shares were down 11.33% at $12.69, with key resistance at $33.50 and key support at $12.00 [6].
US Stocks Edge Lower; Advance Auto Parts Posts Upbeat Earnings - Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP), Braiin Limited - Common Stock (NASDAQ:BRAI)
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 15:13
U.S. stocks traded lower this morning, with the Dow Jones index falling around 0.1% on Friday.Following the market opening Friday, the Dow traded down 0.13% to 49,387.55 while the NASDAQ fell 0.23% to 22,545.67. The S&P 500 also fell, dropping, 0.04% to 6,830.79.Check This Out: How To Earn $500 A Month From Goldman Sachs Stock Ahead Of Q4 EarningsLeading and Lagging SectorsUtilities shares gained by 1.5% on Friday.In trading on Friday, communication services stocks fell by 0.6%.Top HeadlineAdvance Auto Part ...
US Stocks Edge Lower; Advance Auto Parts Posts Upbeat Earnings
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 15:13
U.S. stocks traded lower this morning, with the Dow Jones index falling around 0.1% on Friday.Following the market opening Friday, the Dow traded down 0.13% to 49,387.55 while the NASDAQ fell 0.23% to 22,545.67. The S&P 500 also fell, dropping, 0.04% to 6,830.79.Check This Out: How To Earn $500 A Month From Goldman Sachs Stock Ahead Of Q4 EarningsLeading and Lagging SectorsUtilities shares gained by 1.5% on Friday.In trading on Friday, communication services stocks fell by 0.6%.Top HeadlineAdvance Auto Part ...
Moolec Science (MLEC) Stock Explodes 90% After GLA Update
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 15:11
Moolec Science stock is showing exceptional strength. What’s behind MLEC gains?GLASO Results Drive Investor Focus On MLEC StockThe program produced oil with about 45% gamma-linolenic acid after standard U.S. crushing, which the company says is among the highest levels reported at commercial scale.Moolec cultivated about 1,100 acres of engineered safflower in its 2025 campaign, with average yields near 2,200 pounds per acre, a 57% year-over-year increase from roughly 1,400 pounds per acre in 2024. Management ...
Enbridge Stock Is Trending Higher Today: What's Happening?
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 15:02
Core Viewpoint - Enbridge Inc's shares are experiencing an upward trend following the release of fourth-quarter results that exceeded expectations in both revenue and earnings [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted EPS was reported at 63 cents, surpassing the 60 cent estimate, while revenue reached $12.32 billion, exceeding the consensus of $11.75 billion [2] - For the full year, adjusted EBITDA was $20.0 billion, reflecting a 7% increase from 2024, and distributable cash flow rose 4% to $12.5 billion [2] Consistent Performance and Dividend Increase - The company has met or exceeded its financial guidance for 20 consecutive years, attributed to its "low-risk commercial framework" [3] - Enbridge raised its quarterly dividend by 3% to 97 cents per share, marking the 31st consecutive annual increase [3] Future Outlook and Growth Initiatives - The company reaffirmed its 2026 outlook, projecting adjusted EBITDA between $20.2 billion and $20.8 billion and DCF per share of $5.70 to $6.10 [4] - Enbridge anticipates annual growth of about 5% in EBITDA, EPS, and DCF per share beyond 2026 [4] - In 2025, Enbridge placed $5 billion worth of organic projects into service and approved $14 billion in new projects, increasing its secured backlog to $39 billion, approximately 35% higher than the previous year [4] Analyst Sentiment - Analyst target prices for Enbridge have been consistently increasing, with RBC Capital raising its target from $67 to $72 while maintaining an 'Outperform' rating [5] - Argus Research also maintained a positive outlook, raising its target price from $50 to $54 [5] Stock Performance - Enbridge shares were up 1.85% at $52.80, reaching a new 52-week high [7]