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VONG vs. MGK: Is Diversified Growth or Mega-Cap Concentration Better for Investors?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 23:25
Core Insights - The article compares two low-cost Vanguard ETFs, the Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) and the Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF (VONG), focusing on their diversification, sector exposure, and risk profiles for growth-focused investors [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Overview - Both MGK and VONG are passively managed funds from Vanguard that target U.S. large-cap growth stocks, with an expense ratio of 0.07% for both [3]. - As of December 27, 2025, MGK has a 1-year return of 17.59% and a dividend yield of 0.37%, while VONG has a 1-year return of 15.46% and a higher dividend yield of 0.45% [3]. Group 2: Performance & Risk Metrics - Over the past five years, MGK has a maximum drawdown of -36.02%, compared to VONG's -32.72%, indicating MGK's higher volatility [4]. - An investment of $1,000 in MGK would have grown to $2,080 over five years, while the same investment in VONG would have grown to $2,010 [4]. Group 3: Portfolio Composition - VONG tracks the Russell 1000 Growth Index, holding 391 stocks with a significant allocation of 55% in technology, while MGK is more concentrated with only 66 stocks and a 58% allocation in technology [5][6]. - The top holdings for both funds include Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft, but MGK has higher individual weights in these stocks, leading to greater concentration risk [6]. Group 4: Investment Implications - VONG offers greater diversification with nearly 400 stocks, reducing concentration risk compared to MGK's 66 stocks [7]. - While MGK has outperformed VONG in the past year and five years, the marginal difference in performance suggests that MGK's higher risk may not have yielded significantly better returns [8]. - Future performance may favor MGK if the tech sector continues to thrive, but VONG's diversification could mitigate risks during potential tech downturns [9].
Buy and Hold: 5 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks to Own Through 2035
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 22:45
Core Insights - The artificial intelligence (AI) market is projected to grow from over $270 billion today to more than $5.2 trillion in the next decade, indicating significant investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Company Summaries - **Nvidia**: Dominates the accelerator chip market with a 92% market share in data centers, providing essential compute power for AI. The company has a $500 billion order backlog, showcasing its strong momentum [5][7]. - **Alphabet**: Leverages its extensive ecosystem, including Google apps and YouTube, to enhance its AI capabilities. The company has developed its own AI chip, the Tensor Processing Unit (TPU), and is positioned as a competitor to Nvidia in the AI chip market [8][9]. - **Microsoft**: Operates Azure, the second-largest cloud services platform, and holds a 27% stake in OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT. The company benefits from a stable software business and has a history of increasing dividends for 23 consecutive years [10][12]. - **Amazon**: Operates Amazon Web Services (AWS), the leading cloud services provider, and has an $8 billion stake in Anthropic, a competitor to OpenAI. The company's diverse business model supports long-term growth, with AI serving as an additional growth driver [13][14]. - **Palantir Technologies**: Focuses on custom software applications and has seen growth since launching its AI platform, AIP. The company has a significant opportunity for customer acquisition, which could drive future growth [15][17].
SOXL vs. QLD: Which Leveraged ETF Delivers Bigger Gains for Investors?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 22:41
Core Insights - The ProShares Ultra QQQ ETF (QLD) and the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) provide leveraged exposure to technology stocks but have different strategies and risk profiles [1][2] Group 1: Cost and Size - QLD has an expense ratio of 0.95% and assets under management (AUM) of $10.6 billion, while SOXL has a lower expense ratio of 0.75% and AUM of $13.6 billion [3] - The one-year return for QLD is 24.95%, compared to SOXL's 44.62%, indicating SOXL's higher recent performance [3] - SOXL offers a higher dividend yield of 0.53% versus QLD's 0.18% [3] Group 2: Performance and Risk Comparison - Over five years, QLD has a maximum drawdown of -63.68%, while SOXL has a significantly higher drawdown of -90.46% [4] - An investment of $1,000 in QLD would grow to $2,591 over five years, whereas the same investment in SOXL would only grow to $1,491 [4] Group 3: Portfolio Composition - SOXL focuses exclusively on the semiconductor industry, holding around 40 stocks, with major positions in Broadcom, Nvidia, and Advanced Micro Devices [5] - QLD provides broader exposure, with 55% of its assets in technology stocks, 15% in communication services, and 13% in consumer cyclicals, featuring top holdings like Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft [6] Group 4: Investment Implications - SOXL is characterized by higher potential returns due to its 3x leverage on the semiconductor sector, which is known for its volatility [7][9] - QLD, with its 2x leverage and broader focus, presents a less risky option, appealing to investors seeking a more diversified approach [8][10]
Prediction: This Will Be Micron Technology's Stock Price in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 22:15
Core Viewpoint - Micron Technology's stock has seen a remarkable increase of 228% in 2026, driven by strong revenue and earnings growth due to favorable demand-supply dynamics in the memory market [1][2]. Financial Performance - Micron's revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 reached $13.6 billion, marking a 57% year-over-year increase, with adjusted earnings soaring by 167% to $4.78 per share [4]. - The company anticipates a significant revenue increase of 132% year-over-year in the current quarter, projecting revenue of $18.7 billion, while non-GAAP earnings are expected to rise by 440% to $8.42 per share [5]. Market Dynamics - The demand for memory chips, particularly for artificial intelligence (AI) applications in data centers, is driving a shortage in supply, leading to increased prices [6]. - Samsung has raised memory chip prices by 60%, and prices for server memory could potentially double by the end of 2026, affecting prices for smartphones and PCs as well [7]. Capital Expenditure and Supply Challenges - Micron has increased its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure forecast to $20 billion, up from $18 billion, to enhance production capacity [9]. - Despite the increase in capital spending, Micron's CEO indicated that the company can only meet 50% to two-thirds of the demand from key customers in the medium term [10]. Future Earnings Potential - Consensus estimates suggest Micron's earnings could jump by 284% to $31.88 per share in the current fiscal year, with a potential total earnings estimate of $36.66 per share over the next four quarters [12][13]. - Based on a forward earnings multiple of 25, Micron's stock could potentially reach $916, more than triple its current price, making it an attractive investment opportunity [14].
2 Top High-Yielding Dividend ETFs to Buy for 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 21:45
Core Insights - Investing in high-dividend yield ETFs can enhance portfolio diversification and provide steady income, appealing to long-term investors and those nearing retirement [1][2] - Quality high-yield ETFs typically consist of mature and financially stable companies, making them attractive for wealth compounding through reinvested dividends [2] Group 1: SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF - The SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF (SPYD) tracks the top 80 high-dividend-yielding companies in the S&P 500, trading at approximately $43 per share with a trailing 12-month dividend yield of about 4.5% [4][5] - The ETF has a low expense ratio of 0.07%, meaning a $10,000 investment incurs only $7 in annual fees, and it currently manages over $7.3 billion in net assets [4][5] - The fund's top sector exposures include real estate (21.4%), utilities (13.4%), financials (17.3%), and consumer staples (16.3%), with minimal tech sector exposure of less than 2% [5][6] - Since its inception in 2015, the ETF has delivered a total return of about 130%, significantly lower than the S&P 500's over 300% return in the same period [6] Group 2: Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF - The Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) trades around $28 per share with a yield of approximately 3.8%, aiming to mirror the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index [9][10] - The ETF focuses on companies with strong balance sheets and consistent dividend payments, holding around 100 stocks, including major names like Bristol Myers Squibb and Coca-Cola [10][12] - With an expense ratio of 0.06%, the fund has nearly $73 billion in assets under management and has delivered a total return of over 200% over the last decade, translating to an annualized return of about 11% to 12% [12][13]
Nvidia Has Tumbled From All-Time Highs in October. Here's What's Next.
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 21:00
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia reached a $5 trillion market value at the end of October but has since decreased to a $4.4 trillion value, indicating a nearly 10% drop from its peak [1] Group 1: Market Position and Performance - Nvidia remains a leader in the AI sector, significantly outperforming the market this year [1] - The current market capitalization of Nvidia is approximately $4.6 trillion, with a stock price of $190.66 [5] - The stock has experienced a day's range between $189.63 and $192.69, with a 52-week range of $86.62 to $212.19 [6] Group 2: Product Development and Competition - Nvidia has maintained its competitive edge by continuously innovating and releasing new, advanced products, particularly in the GPU market [3] - The company is focusing on vertically integrated products that attract high-paying clients, creating high barriers to entry for competitors [4] - Major competitors like Amazon and Alphabet are developing their own AI chips, indicating a growing competitive landscape [6] Group 3: Future Outlook - Nvidia is expected to continue launching new technologies, but as competition intensifies, growth may decelerate [7] - The stock price is adjusting to a more realistic valuation, suggesting that while Nvidia may still outperform the market next year, it is unlikely to achieve the extraordinary gains seen in the past [7]
Better High-Return ETF: SOXL vs. SPXL
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 20:05
Core Insights - The Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares ETF (SPXL) and the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares ETF (SOXL) differ significantly in sector concentration, risk profile, and performance volatility, with SOXL exhibiting higher volatility and a stronger focus on technology [1][2]. Group 1: Cost and Size - SPXL has an expense ratio of 0.87% while SOXL has a lower expense ratio of 0.75%, making them comparably priced for leveraged funds [4]. - As of December 18, 2025, SPXL reported a 1-year return of 27.2% compared to SOXL's 38.6% [3]. - SPXL has assets under management (AUM) of $6.0 billion, while SOXL has a significantly larger AUM of $13.9 billion [3]. Group 2: Performance and Risk Comparison - Over a five-year period, SPXL experienced a maximum drawdown of 63.84%, whereas SOXL faced a more severe drawdown of 90.51% [5]. - An investment of $1,000 in SPXL would have grown to $3,078 over five years, while the same investment in SOXL would have only grown to $1,280 [5]. Group 3: Portfolio Composition - SOXL is concentrated entirely in the semiconductor sector, with 100% of its assets in technology and only 44 holdings, including major positions in Advanced Micro Devices, Broadcom, and Nvidia [6]. - SPXL provides broader sector diversification by tracking the entire S&P 500, with technology making up 36% of its holdings, and top positions including Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft [7]. Group 4: Investment Implications - SOXL is suited for investors looking to capitalize on the semiconductor industry's growth, particularly due to the rise of artificial intelligence, but this focus increases risk [9]. - SPXL offers a more diversified investment approach, which may provide a buffer against sector-specific downturns, making it a relatively safer option compared to SOXL [10].
Is AbbVie a Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 19:30
Core Viewpoint - AbbVie has shown strong financial performance and growth potential, making it an attractive investment option heading into 2026 [2][3][11] Financial Performance - AbbVie's revenue increased by 8% year over year to $44.5 billion in the first nine months of the year [3] - Adjusted earnings per share declined to $7.29 from $7.96, primarily due to acquisition-related charges, but this is not a major concern [3] - The company projects high single-digit revenue growth through 2029, indicating sustained financial momentum [3] Growth Drivers - AbbVie has revised its 2027 sales projections for Skyrizi and Rinvoq, increasing it by $4 billion, which are key growth drivers [5] - Other contributors to growth include Vraylar for schizophrenia and Qulipta for migraines [6] - Humira, despite losing patent exclusivity, generated $3.3 billion in sales in the first nine months of 2025, although its revenue declined by 55% year over year [6] Challenges - The U.S. government has targeted Vraylar for drug price negotiations, effective in 2027, but management does not expect significant long-term impacts [7] - AbbVie anticipates no loss of patent exclusivity for major growth drivers through the end of the decade [7] Valuation and Dividend - AbbVie is trading at 16.1 times forward earnings, below the healthcare sector average of 18.2, suggesting reasonable valuation [9] - The company's PEG ratio is currently 0.4, indicating that shares are undervalued [10] - AbbVie has a strong dividend program, with a forward yield of 3% and a cash payout ratio of 61.8%, making it a Dividend King with 54 consecutive annual dividend increases [10][11]
2 Red-Hot Growth Stocks to Buy in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 19:00
Core Investment Thesis - Figma and CoreWeave are positioned to benefit from the expanding artificial intelligence (AI) market, making them attractive long-term investment opportunities [1][3]. Figma Overview - Figma is a developer of cloud-based user interface (UI) and user experience (UX) design tools, experiencing significant growth with a 45% year-over-year increase in customers generating at least $10,000 in annual recurring revenue (ARR), reaching 10,517 customers [5]. - The company's total revenue rose by 48% to $749 million, with a net dollar retention rate of 134%, indicating strong customer loyalty and growth potential [5][9]. - Figma's tools are lightweight and scalable, operating natively in web browsers, which enhances collaboration among users [6]. - The market capitalization of Figma is currently $19 billion, with a valuation of 15 times its projected 2026 sales [8]. - Analysts project Figma's revenue to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27% from 2024 to 2027, reaching $1.53 billion, while narrowing its net loss from $732 million to $331 million [9]. CoreWeave Overview - CoreWeave transitioned from an Ethereum mining company to a provider of cloud-based GPU services for AI and machine learning tasks, operating 33 data centers across the U.S. and Europe [10]. - The company offers a cost-effective solution for AI software companies, processing tasks approximately 35 times faster and 80% more cost-effectively than larger cloud platforms [11]. - CoreWeave's revenue surged by 738% in 2024, reaching $1.92 billion, with expectations of a CAGR of 116% from 2024 to 2027, potentially reaching $19.2 billion [13]. - The market capitalization of CoreWeave is $38 billion, with a valuation of three times its projected 2026 sales, indicating a potentially attractive investment despite concerns over rising debt and dilution [14].
Interested in Applied Digital? Mark Your Calendars for Jan. 7.
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-27 18:51
Core Viewpoint - Applied Digital is positioned as a key player in the growth of artificial intelligence (AI) by designing and operating data centers that cater to the high computing demands of AI technology. The company's share price has increased by 263% in 2025, indicating strong market interest and potential for continued growth in 2026 [1]. Financial Performance - The company will release its earnings report for Q2 of the 2026 fiscal year on January 7, with a conference call scheduled for 5 p.m. ET [3]. - In Q1 of the 2026 fiscal year, Applied Digital reported revenue of $64.2 million, reflecting an 84% year-over-year increase. Analysts project an average revenue of $82 million for Q2, which, if exceeded, would suggest ongoing success in securing new deals [4]. - The company reported a net loss of $26.2 million in Q1, with negative cash flow of $82 million. There is an expectation for these figures to improve as the company aims for profitability [5]. Market Data - Applied Digital has a market capitalization of $6.7 billion, with a current share price of $24.02. The stock has experienced a 52-week range between $3.31 and $40.20 [6]. - The gross margin for the company stands at 14.46%, indicating the percentage of revenue that exceeds the cost of goods sold [6].