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Argentina After the Vote: Milei’s Mandate, Markets’ Rally, and the Pain Ahead
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-01 14:00
Argentine Economic & Political Landscape - President MLE's victory provides an opportunity to implement economic reforms in Argentina [1] - The election outcome led to bond appreciation and increased debt ratings, benefiting investors [2] - Businesses in Argentina, like textile manufacturers, have experience dealing with high inflation, sometimes adjusting prices multiple times a month [5][6] - Business owners in Argentina face significant challenges due to the country's economic and political instability [7][8] US Intervention & Financial Mechanisms - The US Treasury, under President Trump, established a $20 billion swap line and spent over $1 billion in currency markets to support the Argentine Peso [8] - The US Treasury considered a $20 billion swap line with Argentina's Central Bank, along with potential FX intervention [9][10] - The outright purchases of Argentinian pesos by the US Treasury expose them to the risk of peso devaluation [13] - A hypothetical 8.5% appreciation of the peso post-election could have yielded $80 million on a $1 billion investment, but these gains are subject to exchange rate fluctuations [16] Challenges & Future Outlook - Argentina's economy experienced a recession with inflation exceeding 200% [20] - The effectiveness of US intervention depends on addressing the fundamental forces driving the peso's depreciation [20][25] - While inflation has decreased from approximately 150% to 40%, high bank interest rates remain a concern for businesses [26]
Larry Summers on the Fed’s Cut and a Tariff Truce with China
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-01 12:00
Federal Reserve Policy - The Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates for the second time was viewed as the right move, prioritizing inflation control over unemployment concerns [1][2] - The Fed signaled a return to data dependence, avoiding commitment to further rate cuts [2] - Losing credibility around inflation, especially with massive deficits and political pressure, poses a greater risk than a potential slowdown [3] - Disagreements within the Fed, reflected in dissents, highlight the confusion in the economic picture [9][10] - The Fed will stop the roll off of the balance sheet as of December 1st [11] Inflation and Tariffs - Arguments suggesting that inflation is near the 2% target if tariffs are excluded are viewed skeptically, reminiscent of the "transitory inflation" idea [6][7][8] - Cherry-picking components that have risen is not considered a sound method for analyzing inflation [9] US-China Relations - Avoiding a spiral into massive confrontation and economic conflict with China is a positive outcome [16] - The impact of US-China relations on the US economy will not be determined by soybean sales [17] - Technology, particularly competition in artificial intelligence, remains a key issue in US-China relations [17] - Export controls on advanced microchips between the US and China present a difficult set of issues, balancing national defense with technological development [19][20]
Nvidia CEO Outing Heats Up Korea’s Fried Chicken Stocks
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-01 08:09
A viral moment of Nvidia’s Jensen Huang having chimaek (fried chicken and beer) in South Korea may have made investors hungry as well. Huang sent Korean fried chicken stocks soaring after his outing with Samsung's Jay Y Lee and Hyundai's Chung Euisun. ...
ECB's Kocher says bar is not higher for possible December rate cut
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-01 07:00
Given that uh nothing changed compared to the last meeting, um the assessment was that the three main policy rates are appropriate, we continue to stay in a good place and uh we left it where they are actually. >> So does that mean that the bar is now higher for a December rate cut. >> Um no uh not at all.Um it's clear that we have a meeting by meeting approach. Uh we know that the uncertainty uh is high. It depends a bit on the uh shift of risks but also of course whether some of the risks that we all know ...
#AI is hitting the job market like a tsunami, IMF's Georgieva says
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-01 06:30
AI Impact on Labor Markets - AI is expected to have a widespread impact across various sectors [1] - AI's influence on jobs is estimated to affect 40% of jobs globally [1] - In advanced economies, AI is projected to affect 60% of jobs [1] - Some jobs will become more productive, while others will disappear due to AI [1] Labor Market Readiness - The impact of AI on the labor market is likened to a tsunami [2] - The report questions whether the labor market is adequately prepared for the changes brought about by AI [2]
Parents Are Spending $100,000 to Chase Youth Baseball Glory
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-01 04:01
Youth baseball isn't a pastime anymore. It's an industry. And for families chasing big league dreams, the price tags can be staggering.Take Striker Pence, a 16-year-old phenom throwing 100 mph fast balls. His family has already spent over $100,000 on equipment, travel, and showcase tournaments, all to help him and his baseball playing brothers get noticed by scouts. But the Pences aren't alone.>> Across the US, millions of families are pouring money into youth sports to the tune of 40 billion last year alon ...
Federal Ruling Orders Trump to Use Emergency SNAP Funding, But Will He?
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-31 22:42
To his first about the ruling from these two judges today and the extent to which SNAP benefits will be or not be made whole on this government shutdown. I mean, we have to start off that. We need to get here.Right. You shouldn't need to have to sue the administration to do its job. You know, national organizations and advocates have been calling for USDA to issue these contingency research funding.And we are thrilled at what both judges, both in the Massachusetts and Rhode Island. But the two separate laws ...
Three Key Races to Watch Ahead of Election Day 2025
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-31 22:09
Is this case closed. Is the race over. We're seeing multiple polling data showing double digit gains for Mr.. Mamdani. What's your take on this. Yeah, I think for a while it's been clear that Zoran Mamdani is on track to win the mayoral race in New York City.And I don't think anything we've seen over the past couple of weeks in terms of the early vote has changed that view at all. I think it's clear that Andrew Cuomo has a bit of a ceiling, and I haven't seen any indication, any movement in polling that has ...
Nobel Peace Prize Winner Says Maduro’s Time Is Up in Venezuela
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-31 21:01
You had a very timely guest on your program. You sat down with Maria Corina machado just three weeks after she won the Nobel Peace Prize. And my understanding, she's she's in hiding.You did this interview with her from from hiding. Yes, It's a remote interview. She has been giving some interviews since she got the Nobel Peace Prize three weeks ago.And from her point of view, that is a very welcome international spotlight on the issue of Venezuela, which had really receded from international attention in man ...
Summers happy Trump-Xi summit didn't "spiral out of control" #shorts #trump #xijinping #politics
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-31 20:51
I think the most important thing is what didn't happen. This situation didn't spiral out of control into massive confrontation and economic conflict and it was managed in a way that avoided uh what potentially could have been very unfortunate and destabilizing outcomes. And that's the good news. And I think it genuinely is uh good news.When one judges the prosperity of the United States in this period or the wisdom of economic policy in this period, it is not going to be about the level of soybean sales uh ...