Gold Market Outlook - Goldman Sachs认为，由于各国央行（尤其是新兴市场央行）为实现储备多元化而持续购买黄金，且黄金供应无法快速响应需求，因此长期看好黄金，预计2026年金价将上涨[1][2] - 各国央行购买黄金，是为了对冲美元资产的风险，类似于一种金融对冲[5][6] - 中国央行的黄金储备占比约为10%，而发达国家央行的黄金储备占比超过70%，因此中国和其他新兴市场央行有理由继续增加黄金储备[4][5] - 随着美联储降息预期，ETF对黄金的配置也在增加，进一步加剧了对有限实物黄金的竞争[3] European Natural Gas Market - 欧洲已经逐渐摆脱对俄罗斯天然气的依赖，增加了液化天然气的进口[7] - 预计2025年将是全球液化天然气供应大幅增长的七年中的第一年，这将缓解欧洲的天然气供应压力，从而对欧洲天然气价格构成下行压力[7][8] - 俄罗斯和乌克兰之间的和平协议可能会加速并加剧欧洲天然气价格的下跌[9] Crude Oil Market - Goldman Sachs的基本假设是委内瑞拉石油产量维持现状，即日产约90万桶原油[9][10] - 市场对委内瑞拉局势变化（如政权更迭）可能导致石油供应增加的担忧，已经对远期石油价格产生了一定的影响[10][11] - 即使没有委内瑞拉额外的石油供应，预计明年WTI原油均价为每桶52美元，因为巴西和圭亚那等地的项目将增加石油供应[12]

Financial Performance - The company reported record earnings and record yields [2] - Yields were up over 55% on top of approximately 11% the prior year [2] - Projects a normalized 3% yield increase for 2026 [3] Consumer Behavior & Market Trends - Consumers prioritize spending on significant experiences like vacations with friends and family [5] - The company enters 2026 with the highest book point aligned with last year, at higher prices [6] - Consistent customer bases exist for cruises ranging from short trips to 130-night world cruises [6] - Strong business performance is observed across contemporary, premium, and luxury segments [7] - The cruise industry offers a compelling "price to experience ratio" compared to land-based alternatives [8] - The company is improving its position in the mainstream vacation consideration set [8][9]

Financial Performance & Challenges - FedEx faces a $600 million negative impact from the grading of its MD11 planes and weakness in its freight division [1] - JP Morgan and other analysts are raising their price targets for FedEx, praising the quarter's performance [2] - FedEx's freight segment experienced a 2% revenue decrease and a 4% drop in average daily shipments [4] Strategic Initiatives & Market Dynamics - FedEx is benefiting from increased pricing power, higher fuel surcharge that began on Cyber Monday, and improving operations in Europe [3] - US tariffs are changing trade flows, with FedEx capitalizing on decreasing China to US volumes and increasing intra-Asia traffic [3] - FedEx is gaining market share, with about half of its revenue growth coming from B2B gains and strength in BTOC [5] - The administration's crackdown on non-US truck drivers and illegitimate trucking schools could be a tailwind for FedEx rates [4] - FedEx is spinning off its freight division and separating trucking and e-commerce businesses [7]

Existing home sales in November rose 0.5% to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 4.13% million units. That is right along expectations. Sales down 1% from November of last year.Now, this count is based on closing. So, contracts likely signed in September and October when mortgage rates initially came down a little bit but then stayed in a very tight range. The headline on this report is supply.It is coming down again. We've reported on more sellers delisting their homes. There were 1.43% 43 million uni ...

Our next guest does believe that there is in fact some good signs for 26. Joining us here at Post 9 today is GMO's co-head of asset allocation, Ben Ink. Ben, welcome.It's good to have you. >> Thanks very much for having me. >> What What do you think at least the first half looks like >> of 2026.Uh, you know, we're nervous because the US market is very expensive and very reliant on the AI trade. Uh, I'm actually more worried about what happens after the the giant IPOs that people are talking about come to ma ...

>> OVER $7. >> TRILLION WORTH. >> I KNOW IT'S A REALLY BIG DAY IN THE MARKETS SEEM TO BE SO FAR, BUT IT'S STILL EARLY.>> YES. LET'S BEGIN THOUGH, WITH THE BIG EARNINGS ON THE DAY. GABBY FONROUGE IS WATCHING SOME OF THEM, INCLUDING NIKE FOR US TODAY.HEY, GABBY. FRA HEY, CARL. SORRY ABOUT THAT.SHARES OF NIKE ARE MOVING LOWER TODAY AFTER A MIXED EARNINGS REPORT LAST NIGHT. BUT NIKE, IT'S A BIT OF A MIXED BAG BECAUSE THEY BEAT EXPECTATIONS ON BOTH THE TOP AND BOTTOM LINES. THEY SAW SALES GROW 9% IN NORTH AMERIC ...

Let's continue the conversation right here with Toron Slack. He's chief economist at Apollo Global Management. Um, you have a favorite in that Fed race, by the way.Well, so I don't have a personal favorite, but I think it's clear that the market is trying to chew hard on which of these candidates will have implications for what's happening, especially of course in rates. What the conclusion of course here is that it all becomes about can the new fetcher persuade the other FOMC members about whatever his vie ...

Regulatory Changes & Political Landscape - The DEA is directed to reclassify cannabis from schedule 1 to schedule 3, easing restrictions on medical research, banking, and taxes [1] - A Medicare pilot program will allow some seniors to receive up to $500 per year in hemp-derived CBD products starting in April [2] - Congress passed a ban on all hemp products starting November 2026, including CBD products under the pilot program [2] - The White House will work with Congress to update the statutory definition of final hemp-derived cannabinoid products [3] Industry Dynamics & Lobbying - There has been growing industry engagement and intensified lobbying in Washington [3] - The president shared a medical CBD commercial produced by a longtime friend [4] - Cannabis's influence in DC has seen an uptick year-over-year [6] Strategic Considerations - The executive order is testing a limited medically focused path to reform [4] - The move is appealing to states already moving ahead and keeping tighter controls in place as the 2026 election cycle approaches [4] - The president may see this as appealing to younger and senior voters as the 2026 midterm election process approaches [6]

here at Post9 today is Jeffrey's equity analyst Randy Connor. Randy, welcome back. Good to see you.>> How are you. >> I let before before we get to the just buy it part, what do you do about China if you're Nike right now. >> Look, I I think what the market's missing about Nike is the company is making progress where it is distorting resources and time and effort.And that's in North America first and running. The company talked about uh China on their call last night to say, "Look, we're going to focus on C ...

When an AI agent is given autonomy, money, and human colleagues, what happens. Our next guest participated in Anthropic's Project Vend experiment where AI ran the Wall Street Journal's office vending machine, and the project took some surprising twists and turns. Joining us this morning is Joanna Stern, Wall Street Journal personal technology columnist and CNBC contributor.Joanna, happy Friday. You must know all that this made the rounds all around the street and beyond. For those who haven't gotten to the ...