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BTC總算突破!是真是假?突破做多,反手做空?
Market Analysis - The analysis suggests Bitcoin might be breaking out of a consolidation phase on the daily chart, after a prolonged period of sideways movement with parallel highs and lows [1] - A cup and handle pattern appears to be forming, with the handle coinciding with a full moon cycle, which the analyst considers significant despite skepticism from some [1] - The analyst suggests that if Bitcoin holds above the previous high, it could signal the start of a rally; however, a drop below this level could indicate a false breakout and a potential shorting opportunity [1] - On the hourly chart, Bitcoin has surpassed a previous resistance level, potentially turning it into support; a sustained position above this level could lead to rapid gains [1] - Despite price increases, there's evidence of short positions increasing, suggesting potential buying pressure from spot markets aiming to push prices higher [1] - The analyst suggests a long position with a stop-loss below the current level, targeting a 066%-068% increase, around $120,000, while being cautious about setting targets too high due to a potential market structure shift [1] - A break below the parallel highs would signal a clear shorting opportunity, potentially targeting a $5,000-$6,000 drop [1] - Ethereum is showing signs of support and a potential rebound, but its movement is contingent on Bitcoin's performance, particularly whether Bitcoin can maintain its position above the parallel highs [1] Trading Strategy - Consider a long position with a stop-loss below the current level, targeting a 066%-068% increase, around $120,000 [1] - If Bitcoin fails to hold above the previous high, consider a short position targeting a $5,000-$6,000 drop [1] Risk Management - A drop below the previous high could indicate a false breakout and a potential shorting opportunity [1] - Be cautious about setting targets too high due to a potential market structure shift [1]
BTC潛在杯柄突破?最好先向下!ETH完全換手中……
朋友們,2025年9月9日華爾街 早盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 那麼以往我錄節目有時候會等一下 看有沒有什麼新的行情走出來再更新 但是最近這種行情它都是在這邊盤整 所以我就覺得沒有什麼要等一下的必要 因為我相信它待會 仍然是在這樣一個地方盤整 所以就晚更新不如早更新 給大家看一看目前它是在怎麼樣 然後目前我們可以看到 它仍然是在這樣的一帶支撐 阻力互換位盤整對不對 沒有往上面走 也沒有往下面跌 我個人是認為它既然是跌了那麼久之後 我會認為它有反彈 但是反彈最好是把下面的低點出現跌破 收回去再反彈 那麼這個你可能會覺得不如來到 這個上面好 來到上面也是可以,如果說來到上面 我會看這邊 會不會是一個杯柄形態的真實的突破 如果說突破 那麼這個地方也是一個考慮做多的位置 然後止損是它重新跌回來以後 我個人是覺得如果說 它先選擇往下跌,跌破收回 然後再上漲這樣的一個做多的位置 成功的概率可能要比杯柄的突破 要更高一些 但就目前來說它既沒有往上面突破 也沒有往下面跌破 我們就留心一下看它什麼時候來 而且任何時候 只要在這樣一個區間內 不上來也不下來 我們就要慎重一點 不要在這邊去嘗試賭空 或者賭 ...
BTC將反彈?盤整夠久,即將有動作!先去哪邊?
朋友們,2025年9月8日華爾街 早盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的周線圖,因為今天是周一 我們來看一下上周的周線收得怎麼樣 上周的周線我們可以看到是一根陽線 但是好像來到之前的支撐阻力互換位 這一帶 好像受到了一點點的阻礙 然後最後還是收線在下面 但是我是覺得這種k線 很有可能是一個假的訊號 因為我們可以看到 來到這個上面之後 做假突破一直連續了下跌一個月 那麼有沒有可能跌到下面是給人一種感覺 好像是主力互換位失去了 然後要在這個地方去做空 然後可能會有一個小小的反彈 我可能會傾向於認為 它有可能會出現一個反彈 尤其是我們可以看到之前連續下跌的時候 在這三個禮拜我們可以看到成交量 其實還是在不斷的縮減的 那麼來到上個禮拜的時候 我們發現好像陽線 是比之之前要多那麼一點點 我會認為如果說一個反彈 可能會比較的好吧 這個是周線級別的k線形態 但是每個周線級別 我都會把 MACD拿出來給大家看一下 我們可以看到MACD這邊 你可以看到更高的高點 但是這邊沒有更高的高點 出現了一個看跌的背離 然後死叉之後就連續下跌了兩三個禮拜 我是覺得如果說小級別有出現反彈的話 那麼也不要忘記危險的信號 不要覺得說每 ...
BTC漲不上去!難漲也難跌,到底去哪裡?ETH呢?
朋友們大家好,大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年 9月5日華爾街早盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看我們發現非常的有意思 那麼昨天它一度是在支撐阻力互換位附近 受到了阻礙 然後就往下面跌 那麼今天早盤時間竟然往上面沖了一下 但是依然是沒有站上去 表明著說目前這一帶 還有比較大的阻力 那麼現在又繼續往下面跌 我個人是覺得 現在出現了一個 比較有意思的情況 我們可以看一下 這個上面是一個平行的高點 下面是一個平行的低點 那麼這就看哪邊先來打到 實際上如果說 你在這個支撐阻力互換位附近 嘗試要去賭多或者賭空 我個人都認為真的就是在賭博 因為它並不是特別清晰的位置 如果說它來到這邊 做出一小時級別的假突破 在這個地方做空是可以的 如果說它沒有先上去 而是盤整盤整 然後往下面跌 把下面的平行的低點出現了跌破 然後收回來那麼一小時級別 有一根大陽線的話 就可以考慮在這邊去做多 我個人認為 如果說先來到這邊 可能會比較的好 那麼如果說反彈的話 我依然是留意0.618%之類的位置 然後在這邊看看有沒有出現頹勢 就目前來說如果說去看盤口還是看其他的 我都覺得沒有什麼參考因素 ...
比特幣反彈受阻!支撐阻力線,實在難上!跌到哪去?
朋友們大家好,大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年9月4日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣 就在原先的支撐 阻力互換位 好像就受到了阻礙 那麼昨天的時候我這邊畫了一個小區間 我認為這一帶有可能會受阻 那麼你可以看到好像就有點漲不上去 然後有一點回來 那麼回來的話是不是要繼續往下面跌 我的預期是什麼 實際上在周末的時候 我在這邊畫畫了一個圖 我會覺得如果說再往下面來 可能會比較的好 這是最理想的情況 而且我在這邊畫了一個小小的箭頭 什麼意思呢 我個人是覺得 如果說趕到滿月 這個時間點再往上面漲可能會比較好 我們可以看到新月滿月最近還是蠻重要的 比如說滿月開始出現上漲滿月上漲 然後新月下跌 新月下跌 那麼很快大概在附近就是滿月的時間 我當然覺得第一個位置 可能這一單會有一定的支撐 如果說這一帶守不住再往下面跌 跌到前面的低點 把這樣的一些低點都出現跌破然後收回 如果說剛好是在一個滿月的周期 而且小級別有這樣強勢的顯現 我會覺得可能是比較好做多的位置 目前來說它好像確實就是這麼走的 還沒有什麼意外 我們就耐心的看一看好不好 這個是日線級別了 ...
BTC繼續反彈!臨近阻力位,是上是下?關鍵分界!
Cryptocurrency Market Analysis - Bitcoin is experiencing a rebound but has not yet established a higher high, facing resistance at a potential support/resistance flip zone [1] - Ethereum shows signs of a potential upward trend, possibly outperforming Bitcoin in the short term, with decreasing selling volume and a breakout above a descending trendline [1] Trading Strategy - For Bitcoin, the analyst suggests waiting for a clear breakout and retest of the support/resistance level or a false breakdown below a parallel low before considering a long position [1] - For Ethereum, the analyst suggests looking for potential support levels on pullbacks for possible long entries [1] - The analyst advises against joining the current consolidation phase, recommending waiting for a clearer trend to emerge before taking a position [1] Risk Management - The analyst notes that Bitcoin's weekly chart shows signs of weakness, suggesting caution if the price rebounds to the 0.06% to 0.68% Fibonacci retracement level, which could present a shorting opportunity [1] - The analyst highlights the presence of stop-loss orders below parallel lows in Bitcoin, indicating potential for a false breakdown before a significant rally [1]
比特幣反彈!這次漲到哪?做空機會?ETH呢?
Market Analysis - Bitcoin shows signs of a potential rebound after a false breakout from its peak, but lacks clear entry points for short positions [1] - A short-term upward trend for Bitcoin is anticipated, potentially influenced by the upward movement of gold [1] - Ethereum may continue to rise if Bitcoin increases, as its market structure has not shifted, and selling volume is decreasing [1] Trading Strategy - Consider short positions in Bitcoin in the medium to long term, especially at higher price points [1] - A potential short entry point for Bitcoin is around 13,000, with a clear stop-loss level [1] - Another potential short entry point for Bitcoin is near the previous high point, around 120,000, coinciding with the 0.66%-0.68% Fibonacci retracement level [1] Risk Management - Traders should identify stop-loss levels before initiating trades [1] - The area around 120,000 is noted as a high-liquidity zone and a potential reversal point for Bitcoin [1] External Factors - The US stock market opened weaker, but Bitcoin showed resilience, possibly due to the stock market's previous gains and Bitcoin's prior decline [1] - The analysis considers the correlation between Bitcoin and gold, noting that gold is trending upwards while Bitcoin has been declining [1]
BTC周線走壞!現貨賣不賣?合約做空?我的想法……
Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a bearish trend, breaking a support level, with increasing trading volume indicating potential further decline [1] - The analysis suggests a possible completion of a 5-wave upward pattern, indicating a potential A-B-C corrective wave downwards [1] - A bearish divergence on the weekly MACD indicator suggests a potential correction, with the price already breaking a key support level [1] Investment Strategies - For short-term Bitcoin investors aiming for high-frequency trading, selling at current levels to secure profits is advisable [1] - For long-term Bitcoin investors, a strategy of accumulating more Bitcoin during significant price drops (potentially around late 2026 or 2027) is suggested [1] - The analysis suggests that those who accumulate Bitcoin during market downturns tend to outperform those who attempt high-frequency trading [1] - For Ethereum, if it fails to break above $4,000, selling at high levels is recommended, prioritizing Bitcoin for long-term holdings [1] Trading Recommendations - For contract trading, waiting for a rebound to establish short positions is recommended, targeting previous high points as initial profit targets [1] - Two contract trading strategies are suggested: one involves opening a short position with a stop-loss order, while the other involves waiting for a rebound to a higher level before opening a short position [1]
BTC徹底跌破!事出反常?兩年來第一次!得改變思維!
朋友們大家好,大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年8月29日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣昨天一度要站回去 但是並沒有成功 雖然說日線級別收在這個上面 按照以往的經驗來說 大概率是會有反彈的 但是這一次並沒有成功 而是繼續往下跌 那麼往上面站回去的這樣的一個地方 反倒是成為一個多頭的陷阱 因為重新站上去 按照以往非常多次的經驗來說 都是延續了上漲 但是這一次並沒有這個樣子 那麼我給大家複盤一下 原來這種站回去並不是一次兩次三次 而是非常多次在什麼地方 我們原先在這邊有給大家畫出來過 從比較大的周線級別這樣子看 會比較的清晰 幾乎每一次 把前面的這種支撐 主力互換位跌破 然後收回跌破收回獵殺止損收回 在這邊都有出現反彈 那麼這一次好像有那麼一點點的事出有變 那是不是有什麼異常的情況 更加讓我想起周線級別的MACD死叉 我們我們可以看到仍然是在死叉的路上 那麼好像一般的支撐主力互換位 已經不能夠扛住了 我是覺得可能有一些大資金 用現貨再往下面賣 他們有一點要考慮出逃的感覺好吧 這個是日線級別告訴我的 而而且讓我想起在這邊可以看一下 好像 ...
BTC翻回!如果撐住,將去12萬?ETH反彈受阻?
Market Analysis - Bitcoin experienced a test near previous highs, followed by a rebound and a subsequent small dip below prior lows, resulting in a $4-5 thousand rebound [1] - A bearish crossover on the weekly chart led to a price decrease, attributed to large-scale Bitcoin selling, breaking a support-turned-resistance level [1] - A bullish daily candle suggests a potential Bitcoin rebound, with target price levels near previous highs around $120 thousand [1] - Ethereum showed signs of weakness after a false breakout at previous highs, testing a prior consolidation area on the daily chart before rebounding [1] Technical Indicators and Trading Strategies - Fibonacci retracement levels indicate a confluence zone around 618%-66% aligning with previous highs [1] - A 4-hour chart analysis reveals a breakout above a key support-turned-resistance level, signaling a potentially favorable situation [1] - Hourly chart analysis shows a significant bullish candlestick followed by consolidation and gap-filling, suggesting a possible upward trajectory [1] - The analyst suggests monitoring order book dynamics for bullish divergence, indicating a healthy rebound [1] - The analyst advises caution against excessive optimism during rallies, suggesting potential opportunities to establish short positions for hedging purposes, given the weekly bearish divergence [1] Risk Management - The analyst emphasizes the importance of having a consistent trading plan [1] - The analyst notes that weekly bearish divergence doesn't guarantee an immediate price drop, but rather a potential for decline after encountering resistance [1]