Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a bearish trend, breaking a support level, with increasing trading volume indicating potential further decline [1] - The analysis suggests a possible completion of a 5-wave upward pattern, indicating a potential A-B-C corrective wave downwards [1] - A bearish divergence on the weekly MACD indicator suggests a potential correction, with the price already breaking a key support level [1] Investment Strategies - For short-term Bitcoin investors aiming for high-frequency trading, selling at current levels to secure profits is advisable [1] - For long-term Bitcoin investors, a strategy of accumulating more Bitcoin during significant price drops (potentially around late 2026 or 2027) is suggested [1] - The analysis suggests that those who accumulate Bitcoin during market downturns tend to outperform those who attempt high-frequency trading [1] - For Ethereum, if it fails to break above $4,000, selling at high levels is recommended, prioritizing Bitcoin for long-term holdings [1] Trading Recommendations - For contract trading, waiting for a rebound to establish short positions is recommended, targeting previous high points as initial profit targets [1] - Two contract trading strategies are suggested: one involves opening a short position with a stop-loss order, while the other involves waiting for a rebound to a higher level before opening a short position [1]

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年8月29日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣昨天一度要站回去 但是並沒有成功 雖然說日線級別收在這個上面 按照以往的經驗來說 大概率是會有反彈的 但是這一次並沒有成功 而是繼續往下跌 那麼往上面站回去的這樣的一個地方 反倒是成為一個多頭的陷阱 因為重新站上去 按照以往非常多次的經驗來說 都是延續了上漲 但是這一次並沒有這個樣子 那麼我給大家複盤一下 原來這種站回去並不是一次兩次三次 而是非常多次在什麼地方 我們原先在這邊有給大家畫出來過 從比較大的周線級別這樣子看 會比較的清晰 幾乎每一次 把前面的這種支撐 主力互換位跌破 然後收回跌破收回獵殺止損收回 在這邊都有出現反彈 那麼這一次好像有那麼一點點的事出有變 那是不是有什麼異常的情況 更加讓我想起周線級別的MACD死叉 我們我們可以看到仍然是在死叉的路上 那麼好像一般的支撐主力互換位 已經不能夠扛住了 我是覺得可能有一些大資金 用現貨再往下面賣 他們有一點要考慮出逃的感覺好吧 這個是日線級別告訴我的 而而且讓我想起在這邊可以看一下 好像 ...

Market Analysis - Bitcoin experienced a test near previous highs, followed by a rebound and a subsequent small dip below prior lows, resulting in a $4-5 thousand rebound [1] - A bearish crossover on the weekly chart led to a price decrease, attributed to large-scale Bitcoin selling, breaking a support-turned-resistance level [1] - A bullish daily candle suggests a potential Bitcoin rebound, with target price levels near previous highs around $120 thousand [1] - Ethereum showed signs of weakness after a false breakout at previous highs, testing a prior consolidation area on the daily chart before rebounding [1] Technical Indicators and Trading Strategies - Fibonacci retracement levels indicate a confluence zone around 618%-66% aligning with previous highs [1] - A 4-hour chart analysis reveals a breakout above a key support-turned-resistance level, signaling a potentially favorable situation [1] - Hourly chart analysis shows a significant bullish candlestick followed by consolidation and gap-filling, suggesting a possible upward trajectory [1] - The analyst suggests monitoring order book dynamics for bullish divergence, indicating a healthy rebound [1] - The analyst advises caution against excessive optimism during rallies, suggesting potential opportunities to establish short positions for hedging purposes, given the weekly bearish divergence [1] Risk Management - The analyst emphasizes the importance of having a consistent trading plan [1] - The analyst notes that weekly bearish divergence doesn't guarantee an immediate price drop, but rather a potential for decline after encountering resistance [1]

朋友們，2025年8月27日 華爾街早盤時間，我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣目前是把之前的支撐 阻力互換位跌下來 但是目前好像要嘗試站回去的感覺 我們可以看一下日線級別 最後的收線是在這一條線的附近 那麼現在又再度的臨近了 有沒有可能在這邊盤整一下然後站上去 如果說站上去 它確實有可能這邊是一個小小的假跌破 但是這樣一個假跌破 我是覺得可能會來到這樣的一個位置 就差不多了好吧 這個是日線級別 告訴我們這個地方好像是有一定的支撐在 因為原先這一帶有個盤子對不對 好像往這邊測試有一點企穩的感覺 從日線級別來說 這是一根還不錯的陽線 因為像以前還比較它的長 那麼收線在這個地方 就是表明它在消耗這一帶的拋壓 如果說能夠消耗殆盡的話 我是覺得它有可能是站上去的好吧 這個是日線級別 我們看一下4小時從4小時級別來看 我們發現比特幣好像是跌下來 這邊盤整盤整有一點跌不下去的感覺 然後拉升上來測試了這一代現在再度測試 如如果說是這個樣子最後站上去 我會覺得這邊是一個做短多的位置 好不好 4小時級別還不是那麼的清晰 我們來看一小時級別 它為什麼來到這邊測試已經往下面跌 那是因為原來 ...

Market Analysis & Trading Strategies - The analysis indicates a potential MACD divergence on Bitcoin's weekly chart, suggesting caution despite recent price movements [1] - A key support level has been breached on the daily chart, with no immediate recovery, prompting consideration of shorting opportunities [1] - The report suggests two strategies: one involves shorting below the M-neckline with a stop-loss on any recovery, and the other involves waiting for a rebound to identify potential shorting opportunities [1] - Ethereum's potential resistance levels are identified around 0.66% to 0.68%, with a further level at 4800, suggesting possible areas for selling [3] Risk Management & Investment Philosophy - The firm advocates for a long-term "buy the dips" strategy for Bitcoin, rather than attempting to time the market through high-frequency trading [1] - The analysis suggests using futures or options to hedge against potential losses in spot holdings during market downturns [1] - The firm cautions against novice traders using contracts or options, recommending these tools only for experienced traders [1] - The analysis highlights the risk of shorting, noting that a breakout could lead to a rally towards $120,000 [1] Technical Analysis & Potential Scenarios - The report identifies a potential head and shoulders pattern breakdown, providing a rationale for short positions [1] - The analysis suggests that if Bitcoin holds its current support, a rebound is possible, but cautions against excessive optimism [2] - Ethereum has filled a gap and is testing a previous consolidation area, with a potential for further adjustment [3]

Market Analysis of Bitcoin - Bitcoin's weekly chart shows potential consolidation within a distribution range, despite recent volatility, with the price testing previous highs and recovering [1] - A bearish MACD divergence on the weekly chart suggests potential selling pressure from spot holders, reminiscent of a previous divergence that led to a price decline [1] - A break below the recent lows, coupled with the MACD divergence, could indicate a significant downward move for Bitcoin [1] - On the daily chart, Bitcoin's price has broken below a support level that previously triggered strong rebounds, indicating a weakening trend [1] - A potential shorting opportunity may arise if Bitcoin rebounds to the 0618%-066% Fibonacci retracement level after the recent sharp decline [1] - Failure to hold the current support level could lead to further price declines, with any subsequent rallies presenting shorting opportunities [1] Market Analysis of Ethereum - Ethereum experienced a potential "fake breakout" at the $4,000 level, followed by a decline, suggesting a possible distribution phase [1] - A shift in market structure is observed on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, indicating a potential downward trend for Ethereum [1] - Ethereum's rally from $2,000 to the current level may warrant profit-taking at the $4,000 resistance [1]

Market Analysis & Trading Signals - Bitcoin experienced a dip below previous lows before rebounding, presenting a buying opportunity based on a "break below and reclaim" strategy [1] - Ethereum showed a similar pattern, breaking below a descending trendline and then rapidly rising, indicating a potential bullish signal [2] - The analyst suggests two trading plans for Ethereum: If it breaks through the resistance level and doesn't fall back, continue to be bullish; if it breaks through and quickly falls back, consider a bearish position [2] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of observing price action and volume, particularly at the $120,000 level for Bitcoin, to identify potential distribution patterns [1] Risk Management & Potential Scenarios - The analyst is still cautious about a potential Wyckoff distribution scenario, suggesting awareness of top risks if clear distribution patterns emerge [1] - A potential MACD divergence on the weekly chart for Bitcoin is noted, indicating a possible weakening of the upward trend [1] - The analyst advises against chasing the price after a $5,000 surge and warns of the proximity to the 0618% Fibonacci retracement level [1] - The analyst suggests taking partial profits around the $120,000 level for Bitcoin and considering short positions if bearish divergence appears [1] General Trading Philosophy - The analyst stresses the importance of patience and avoiding panic during market dips, viewing them as potential buying opportunities [1] - The analyst advises against blindly following news and instead focusing on understanding market mechanics and liquidity grabs [1] - The analyst emphasizes adapting to market trends rather than rigidly sticking to personal predictions, advocating for an open mind and flexible strategy [2]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's daily chart shows a potential deceptive rebound, with a high probability of retesting previous lows and breaking through the support level around previous highs [1] - A break below the previous low could trigger a significant downward trend, especially considering the approaching MACD death cross on the weekly chart, reminiscent of the situation at $60,000 that led to a drop to $10,000 [1] - If Bitcoin breaks below and then recovers, a rally to retest the high point is possible, followed by consolidation, during which a Wyckoff distribution pattern should be monitored [1] - Ethereum is currently showing more strength than Bitcoin, typical of the later stages of a bull market, but any rally should be viewed as a "last hurrah" with clear profit-taking plans [1] Technical Indicators & Trading Strategy - Traders should be cautious of relying too heavily on indicators, as both bullish and bearish signals can be found at any time; the key is to use familiar indicators consistently and understand when to apply them [1] - For Ethereum, a strong hourly candlestick pattern after breaking and recovering from previous lows, and testing the descending trend line, could signal a potential rebound [1]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin is currently experiencing a downward trend in the daily chart, with a potential rebound near previous lows [1] - A break below the previous low, followed by a quick recovery, could present a buying opportunity, while a sustained break could signal a shorting opportunity [1] - A potential rebound might target the $120,000 level, coinciding with a 0.66%-0.68% retracement level and a price vacuum, before potentially continuing the downward trend [1] - Ethereum is showing a clearer upward trend after retesting the 4,100 level and rebounding, with potential for a 1-2-3 breakout pattern [1] - A potential target for Ethereum is 4,878.35%, with traders advised to consider stop-loss strategies and monitor for a breakout of the descending trendline [1] Trading Strategies - For Bitcoin, traders should monitor smaller timeframes for a potential breakout of the descending trendline, which could signal a buying opportunity following a 1-2-3 pattern [1] - A confirmed break below the recent low for Bitcoin would trigger a shorting opportunity, especially if the price fails to quickly recover [1] - For Ethereum, aggressive traders might consider a long position after a false break below previous lows, while more conservative traders should wait for a descending trendline breakout and a 1-2-3 pattern confirmation [1] Risk Management - Traders should be aware of potential "Wyckoff distribution" patterns, where repeated stop-loss hunting without sustained price increases could indicate institutional selling [1] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of setting clear stop-loss levels based on previous lows or trendline breaks to manage risk [1] - The potential for altcoins to rally alongside Ethereum is noted, but it's also mentioned that this often occurs near the end of market cycles [1]

Market Analysis & Potential Risks - Bitcoin is showing signs of weakness with a potential for a significant drop if key support levels are breached, specifically the previous high point which, if broken, could trigger a bearish weekly MACD crossover [1] - The analyst is closely watching for a potential Wyckoff distribution pattern, suggesting possible shorting opportunities if rallies occur within the identified range, especially given the weekly MACD divergence [1] - Historical Bitcoin halving cycles suggest a potential peak approximately 500+ days post-halving, aligning with the next month, which could present a major top if preceded by a period of consolidation and a final surge [1] - Ethereum is currently retesting previous highs and could continue its upward trend after a period of consolidation, but a failure to hold these levels could lead to a significant correction [2] Trading Strategies & Key Levels - The analyst advises caution against buying dips, suggesting that any downward movements should be viewed with skepticism until a clear bottom is established [1] - A break below 111,870 USDT on the Baby Bitcoin chart could signal a distribution phase, warranting close monitoring [1] - For Ethereum, a break of the downward trendline followed by a successful retest could present a short-term buying opportunity, while a failure to rebound after hitting key support levels would negate the bullish outlook [2] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of avoiding the "fish head and tail" of market trends, focusing instead on capturing the main body of the trend and being wary of chasing tops or trying to time the absolute bottom [1]