朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年 6月16日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的周線圖 因為今天是華爾街時間的周一 我們來看一下上周的周線收得怎麼樣 我們可以看到的是上周的周線是十字線 而且很有意思的是和之前這一周是一樣的 你可以看到原先這邊是下影線比較長 是因為它把前面的低點出現了一個跌破 然後收了回來 然後來到這一周的時候 它是來到上面把之前 4小時級別 非常關鍵的一個缺口補了一下 然後就往下跌 收成了和之前一樣的十字線 那麼在目前一個位置 你會覺得它是一個相對高點 還是一個相對低點呢 毫無疑問我是認為 它是在一個相對高的地方 而且是在之前ALL TIME HIGH的地方 來到這邊收成十字線 表明著說多空之間的力量還是比較的均衡 那麼很多人在這個地方認為 它會再繼續創新高 來到20萬來到50萬 但是有一些資金在這個時候 出現了見好就收的情況 所以在這邊是分歧非常的大 但是我是認為這上面你可以看到 它還不是那種 典型的頂部的感覺 如果說頂部的感覺 那麼最好是像前面這一周的周線一樣 先把前面的低點出現一個跌破收回 那麼也就是說如果說 上周的k線是這個樣子 它 ...

Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as a preferred platform for technical analysis [1] - Binance offers a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX provides commission waivers [1] - Pionex is recommended for grid trading [1] Cryptocurrency Topics and Analysis - Mentions various cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Binance Coin (BNB), Ripple (XRP), Polkadot (DOT), Avalanche (AVAX), and Luna/Terra [1] - Focuses on technical analysis concepts such as Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci sequence, Harmonic patterns, and Gann theory [1] - Discusses trading strategies including longing, shorting, and hedging [1] - Includes topics like Bitcoin halving in 2024, Bitcoin ETFs, and Bitcoin mining [1] Resources and Community - Provides links to a Discord server, Telegram channels, a Twitter account, and online courses [1] - Offers customer support via Discord/Telegram [1]

Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms & Promotions - Bybit is highlighted as a preferred platform for technical analysis [1] - Binance offers a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX provides commission waivers [1] - Pionex is recommended for grid trading [1] Cryptocurrency & Blockchain Topics - Mentions of Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Binance Coin (BNB), Ripple (XRP), Polkadot (DOT), Avalanche (AVAX), and Luna/Terra [1] - Discussion of technical analysis concepts including Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci, Harmonic Patterns, and Gann Theory [1] - References to Bitcoin halving in 2024, Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin futures, and hardware wallets [1] - Mentions of stablecoins like Tether (USDT) [1] Trading Strategies & Concepts - Discussion of trading strategies such as going long, going short, hedging, and bottom fishing ("抄底") [1] - Mentions of contract trading and margin trading [1] Social Media & Community - Promotion of Discord and Telegram communities for support and announcements [1] - Links to Twitter and a course website [1]

Market Analysis & Predictions - The analysis suggests a potential "trap" at the parallel highs, indicating a possible short-term downward movement before a potential upward surge [1] - The analyst anticipates a possible B-wave pullback in Bitcoin's price, but remains confident in reaching higher levels [1] - The analyst estimates a 75%-80% probability of Bitcoin revisiting its all-time high [1] - Ethereum shows signs of a potential breakout, but a failure to sustain upward momentum could lead to further consolidation [1] - The analyst identifies the 2900 level as a critical resistance for Ethereum, with a successful breakthrough potentially leading to new all-time highs [1][2] Technical Indicators & Observations - A "morning star" candlestick pattern on Bitcoin's daily chart suggests a potential bottom, but the analyst expresses caution due to the context and lower trading volume [1] - The analyst points out a gap in the 4-hour chart of Bitcoin, suggesting a possible retest of lower levels [1] - The analyst notes a decrease in open interest during Bitcoin's consolidation phase, coupled with bearish divergence, indicating potential downward pressure [1] - Ethereum's recent price action shows a "cross star", with substantial trading volume, which could signal potential exhaustion of the uptrend if the price retraces [1] Exchange Recommendation - Bybit is recommended as the most suitable exchange for technical analysis, while Binance is preferred for spot trading due to its 40% fee reduction [2]

Bitcoin Analysis - The analysis suggests a potential pullback to fill gaps from rapid gains and test previous upper shadows, viewing any subsequent dip as a B-wave correction after an A-wave rise, seeking support for further upward movement [1] - The report highlights the importance of observing price action near the previous all-time high after breaking parallel highs, cautioning against potential false breakouts if the upward movement is too rapid [1] - The analysis identifies a 4-hour chart gap that remains valid, noting previous resistance around the 0618%-066% retracement level of a prior all-time high fakeout [1] - The report points out a small-scale bearish divergence, with increasing long positions failing to drive prices higher, suggesting a possible A-wave correction and a need to fill lower gaps [1] Ethereum Analysis - Ethereum's chart pattern shows a breakout from a downtrend line followed by consolidation, currently in a daily chart consolidation range, potentially forming a fake breakout pattern [1] - The recommendation is to take profits on 50% or more of long positions due to the ongoing consolidation, with a plan to re-enter if the price drops lower to clear out long stop-losses [2] - The analysis indicates that an AMD (accumulation, manipulation, distribution) pattern has completed, advising against chasing further gains at the current level [2] Trump Coin Analysis - Trump coin is showing a lack of trading volume, suggesting a potential further decline to fully fill the gap, with a recommendation to monitor for increased volume and a breakout of a downtrend line before considering a trade [2]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a strong bullish signal after breaking previous lows to fill gaps, primarily aiming to liquidate leveraged positions [1] - The analysis suggests a potential ABC three-wave pattern with a C-wave target around $110,000 (11万) or even retesting the all-time high, contingent on the strength of the A-wave and funding rates [1] - Ethereum's (以太) price action is currently lagging behind Bitcoin, suggesting it's being driven more by Bitcoin's momentum than its own intrinsic strength [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst advises against shorting Bitcoin when the funding rate is negative, as this often precedes further upward movement [1] - The analyst suggests considering long positions on Bitcoin during pullbacks, especially near the daily chart's support levels, potentially around the 618% or 66% Fibonacci retracement levels [2] - The analyst suggests caution if Bitcoin quickly approaches and breaks the all-time high with high volume, indicating a potential fakeout and subsequent correction [2] Risk Assessment - The analyst expresses concern about a potential fake breakout at the all-time high, especially if accompanied by high trading volume, which could lead to a significant pullback [2] - The analyst notes that Ethereum (以太) may not be a strong buy currently due to its underperformance compared to Bitcoin and its dependence on Bitcoin's price action [2]