朋友們，2025年8月27日 華爾街早盤時間，我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣目前是把之前的支撐 阻力互換位跌下來 但是目前好像要嘗試站回去的感覺 我們可以看一下日線級別 最後的收線是在這一條線的附近 那麼現在又再度的臨近了 有沒有可能在這邊盤整一下然後站上去 如果說站上去 它確實有可能這邊是一個小小的假跌破 但是這樣一個假跌破 我是覺得可能會來到這樣的一個位置 就差不多了好吧 這個是日線級別 告訴我們這個地方好像是有一定的支撐在 因為原先這一帶有個盤子對不對 好像往這邊測試有一點企穩的感覺 從日線級別來說 這是一根還不錯的陽線 因為像以前還比較它的長 那麼收線在這個地方 就是表明它在消耗這一帶的拋壓 如果說能夠消耗殆盡的話 我是覺得它有可能是站上去的好吧 這個是日線級別 我們看一下4小時從4小時級別來看 我們發現比特幣好像是跌下來 這邊盤整盤整有一點跌不下去的感覺 然後拉升上來測試了這一代現在再度測試 如如果說是這個樣子最後站上去 我會覺得這邊是一個做短多的位置 好不好 4小時級別還不是那麼的清晰 我們來看一小時級別 它為什麼來到這邊測試已經往下面跌 那是因為原來 ...

Market Analysis & Trading Strategies - The analysis indicates a potential MACD divergence on Bitcoin's weekly chart, suggesting caution despite recent price movements [1] - A key support level has been breached on the daily chart, with no immediate recovery, prompting consideration of shorting opportunities [1] - The report suggests two strategies: one involves shorting below the M-neckline with a stop-loss on any recovery, and the other involves waiting for a rebound to identify potential shorting opportunities [1] - Ethereum's potential resistance levels are identified around 0.66% to 0.68%, with a further level at 4800, suggesting possible areas for selling [3] Risk Management & Investment Philosophy - The firm advocates for a long-term "buy the dips" strategy for Bitcoin, rather than attempting to time the market through high-frequency trading [1] - The analysis suggests using futures or options to hedge against potential losses in spot holdings during market downturns [1] - The firm cautions against novice traders using contracts or options, recommending these tools only for experienced traders [1] - The analysis highlights the risk of shorting, noting that a breakout could lead to a rally towards $120,000 [1] Technical Analysis & Potential Scenarios - The report identifies a potential head and shoulders pattern breakdown, providing a rationale for short positions [1] - The analysis suggests that if Bitcoin holds its current support, a rebound is possible, but cautions against excessive optimism [2] - Ethereum has filled a gap and is testing a previous consolidation area, with a potential for further adjustment [3]

Market Analysis of Bitcoin - Bitcoin's weekly chart shows potential consolidation within a distribution range, despite recent volatility, with the price testing previous highs and recovering [1] - A bearish MACD divergence on the weekly chart suggests potential selling pressure from spot holders, reminiscent of a previous divergence that led to a price decline [1] - A break below the recent lows, coupled with the MACD divergence, could indicate a significant downward move for Bitcoin [1] - On the daily chart, Bitcoin's price has broken below a support level that previously triggered strong rebounds, indicating a weakening trend [1] - A potential shorting opportunity may arise if Bitcoin rebounds to the 0618%-066% Fibonacci retracement level after the recent sharp decline [1] - Failure to hold the current support level could lead to further price declines, with any subsequent rallies presenting shorting opportunities [1] Market Analysis of Ethereum - Ethereum experienced a potential "fake breakout" at the $4,000 level, followed by a decline, suggesting a possible distribution phase [1] - A shift in market structure is observed on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, indicating a potential downward trend for Ethereum [1] - Ethereum's rally from $2,000 to the current level may warrant profit-taking at the $4,000 resistance [1]

Market Analysis & Trading Signals - Bitcoin experienced a dip below previous lows before rebounding, presenting a buying opportunity based on a "break below and reclaim" strategy [1] - Ethereum showed a similar pattern, breaking below a descending trendline and then rapidly rising, indicating a potential bullish signal [2] - The analyst suggests two trading plans for Ethereum: If it breaks through the resistance level and doesn't fall back, continue to be bullish; if it breaks through and quickly falls back, consider a bearish position [2] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of observing price action and volume, particularly at the $120,000 level for Bitcoin, to identify potential distribution patterns [1] Risk Management & Potential Scenarios - The analyst is still cautious about a potential Wyckoff distribution scenario, suggesting awareness of top risks if clear distribution patterns emerge [1] - A potential MACD divergence on the weekly chart for Bitcoin is noted, indicating a possible weakening of the upward trend [1] - The analyst advises against chasing the price after a $5,000 surge and warns of the proximity to the 0618% Fibonacci retracement level [1] - The analyst suggests taking partial profits around the $120,000 level for Bitcoin and considering short positions if bearish divergence appears [1] General Trading Philosophy - The analyst stresses the importance of patience and avoiding panic during market dips, viewing them as potential buying opportunities [1] - The analyst advises against blindly following news and instead focusing on understanding market mechanics and liquidity grabs [1] - The analyst emphasizes adapting to market trends rather than rigidly sticking to personal predictions, advocating for an open mind and flexible strategy [2]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's daily chart shows a potential deceptive rebound, with a high probability of retesting previous lows and breaking through the support level around previous highs [1] - A break below the previous low could trigger a significant downward trend, especially considering the approaching MACD death cross on the weekly chart, reminiscent of the situation at $60,000 that led to a drop to $10,000 [1] - If Bitcoin breaks below and then recovers, a rally to retest the high point is possible, followed by consolidation, during which a Wyckoff distribution pattern should be monitored [1] - Ethereum is currently showing more strength than Bitcoin, typical of the later stages of a bull market, but any rally should be viewed as a "last hurrah" with clear profit-taking plans [1] Technical Indicators & Trading Strategy - Traders should be cautious of relying too heavily on indicators, as both bullish and bearish signals can be found at any time; the key is to use familiar indicators consistently and understand when to apply them [1] - For Ethereum, a strong hourly candlestick pattern after breaking and recovering from previous lows, and testing the descending trend line, could signal a potential rebound [1]

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年8月20日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣仍然是在往下面跌 跌到前面這個地方好像就差那麼一點點 就出現了反彈 它是不是偷跑了 我個人是覺得如果說它更往下面來一些 可能會更加的清晰 如果說來到下面跌破了然後收回來 這是一個非常好切入做多的機會 因為止損非常的清晰 就是把之前這樣一個低點的下面設定止損 對不對 或者說跌到這個地方 直接跌破往下面走 這個也是非常清晰的做空的交易 目前來說快要臨近了就出現反彈 在以往的案例中 其實這種成功率不是特別的高 但如果說真要這麼走了 我真的是一點看法都沒有 因為很多時候行情它未必是如我們所願的 而且行情的走勢中不是所謂的走勢 它都按照一個既定的 技術分析的模型來走的 有時候它就莫名其妙的就這樣子走了 如果說這邊出現反彈 如果把下面就是不跌破 有沒有一些什麼樣的交易機會 我嘗試一下 比如說在這邊畫根下降趨勢線 目前來說你會發現 它好像就在下降趨勢線附近 而且我稍後給你講 以太也是一個樣子 那麼目前來說 好像是把前面的低點 在華爾街早盤時間 出現了一個跌破 ...

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年 8月19日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看我們發現比特幣 好像沒有 出現非常像樣的反彈 而是急切的繼續在往下跌 那麼我非常留意的就是前面這一帶的高點 那麼這一帶的高點是不能夠被跌回來的 如果說它跌回來了 我想說周線級別跌的交叉 很可能馬上就會發生 我們來看一下好像越來越臨近了的感覺 那麼如果說跌下來 我會覺得接下來會有比較大幅度的下跌 那麼如果說它小級別還可以往下面跌一下 迅速的收回來 我會認為這邊仍然有可能可能會出現反彈 然後在這邊做更長時間的盤整 這樣的一個盤整我到時候就會留意 它有沒有可能是一個 威科夫的派發區間 那麼目前來說做了一次網上面的假突破 是不是完完全全的派發完了 還是說有可能繼續盤整 然後再度的沖高 那麼任何時候在這樣一個區間內的沖高 我個人都覺得是非常值得留意 看有沒有做空機會的 為什麼除了周線級別的MACD背離以外 我們也可以看到這邊的波波浪 好像是一次一次的往上走 而且我昨天畫了兩個非常有意思的圖 一個有沒有可能底下是一個盤整的區間 還不算是一個波浪式的上漲 那麼有沒有可能上 ...

Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as suitable for technical analysis [1] - Binance is mentioned for spot trading with up to 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX is noted as a reliable platform with low fees [1] - Bitget is promoted for copy trading, especially for beginners [1] Educational Resources and Community - Free one-month membership trial available upon registration and deposit (or reactivating old accounts) [1] - Customer support is available via Discord community (@tiahelper) [1] - Additional resources include a Twitter account, courses, and a Telegram channel [1] Market Analysis and Trading Strategies - Focus on technical analysis, including Dow Theory, Wave Theory, Fibonacci, Harmonic Patterns, and Natural Trading Theory [1] - Mentions of Gann Theory and references to classic trading literature like "Reminiscences of a Stock Operator" by Jesse Livermore [1] Cryptocurrency and Market Focus - Discussion of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies like Dogecoin, Solana, Cardano, BNB, XRP, DOT, AVAX, LUNA, and UNI [1] - Mentions of Bitcoin contracts, options, and ETFs [1] - Includes hashtags related to Bitcoin halving in 2024, price predictions, and daily analysis [1]

Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms - The document promotes Bybit as suitable for technical analysis [1] - Binance is recommended for spot trading with a fee reduction of up to 40% [1] - OKX is highlighted as a reliable platform with low fees [1] - Bitget is presented as a platform for copy trading, especially beneficial for beginners [1] Promotional Offers - Users can get a free one-month membership trial by registering and depositing funds or reactivating old accounts [1] Topics Covered - The document covers various topics including Bitcoin, Ethereum, technical analysis, Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci sequence, harmonic patterns, Gann theory, and more [1] - It also mentions concepts like hardware wallets, Bitcoin contracts/options/ETFs, and trading strategies such as bottom fishing, going long/short, and hedging [1] Social Media and Community - The document provides links to a Discord community, Twitter, a course website, and a Telegram channel [1]

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好，這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年 8月14日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣今天是一根大陰線 雖然說還有一些時間才會收線 但就目前來說 這樣的一根k線是應該提醒我們這邊 可能會有很大的拋壓 因為你可以看到 最近這段時間有沒有出現這樣的k線 其實沒有出現 那麼再往前面來一點點 那麼這個實際上是5月份的時候 有出現過一次看跌吞沒 但是這邊又再度出現了 那麼是不是要進入一段時間的盤整 還是說完完全全的到頂了好吧 我們看到更小的時間級別 這個是比特幣4小時級別 從4小時級別來看 之前是把前面的這樣的一些高點來到了 而且突破前面的高點 我當時有和大家說 我做多的目標位 其實就是是在這些高點的上面 那麼後面有一點往下面跌 但是來到這裡的時候 出現了一個盤口的看漲背離 然後就再繼續往上漲 我會認為他們還是大概率會來到的 然後他就來 到了之後我就密切的關注 看這邊的價格行為到底怎麼回事 那麼你可以看到來到這邊的時候 4小時級別是一根倒紡錘 那就是一個需要我們留意 而且迅速的又跌了回來 如果說用一小時級別來看的話 就會非常的清晰這是什 ...