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BTC死生之地,選擇生!再創新高?ETH穩穩的!
朋友們大家好,大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅,現在是2025年 8月22日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣是把前面的 低點來了一個跌破 然後就出現了反彈 很多朋友可能會說是因為這樣的新聞 那樣的新聞導致它上漲 那麼這種上漲了之後你隨便解讀都無所謂 重要的是在上漲之前 你怎麼樣去判定 它來到什麼位置 以及什麼樣的時間出現反彈 這個才是重要的 來到前面的低點 實際上是我們最近一直所期待的 因為之前的這樣一個低點 實際上只是把前面的高點這樣子測了一下 給人一種感覺回踩企穩 所以在任何時候做多 他都會把止損放在下面 那麼在昨天的節目中 我也是提醒大家 之前的低點是大概率會到的 那麼很多人在這邊就要去做多 然後你可以看到往下面一來 他們的止損可能就被打掉了 那麼最近這一段時間的更新 我的主題就是提醒大家 留意這一帶的價格反應 如果說是跌破收回 這是非常清晰的做多的信號 如果跌破了回抽沒有站上去 那是非常清晰的做空的計劃 那麼這個是非常清晰的 哪怕是在昨天的行情更新中 我也說這是一個非常 清晰明確的做多的機會 那麼今天早盤時間我就發現 他來到下面 把前面這樣 ...
本周热点:做空亏麻了,谁来救救我
集思录· 2025-08-15 14:09
记录下,这次牛市什么时候结束 当别人晒出五年、十年的高收益,多数集友为什么不相信? https://www.jisilu.cn/question/512225 关注集思录微信 快捷查询: 搜索公众号"jisilu8"添加我们 特别提示 本文不构成任何投资建议,仅为信息分享。任何因本文导致的投资行为发生的亏损,本公众号 及作者概不承担任何责任。 集思录(www.jisilu.cn)是一个以数据为本的投资理财社区,专注于新股、可转债、债券、封闭 基金等数据服务。我们的理念是在保证本金安全的前提下,使资产获得稳健增长。 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/512382 做空亏麻了,谁来救救我 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/512268 不懂为什么有人看空 https://www.jisilu.cn/question/512404 ...
马斯克喊话做空者:在特斯拉实现自动驾驶前还搞空仓的话,就等着被彻底消灭吧
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-15 05:31
IT之家8月15日消息,特斯拉CEO埃隆・马斯克昨天下午在 X 平台对做空者放话,称做空特斯拉股票的 人将被"彻底消灭"(obliterated)。 | | Equity | Call | | Het | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | e p Value து பதி | Value | Put Value | Long/Short 4 | | Owner | ($1000) | ($1000) | ($1000) | ($1000) | | MUFG Securities EMEA plc | 894 | 3,811,920 | 7,941,500. | 4,128,686 | | Jane Street Group, LIC | 000'698 | 7,079,033 | -10,719,169 | 2,770,435 | | Citadel Advisors LIC | 63,626 | ELO'ERS'E | -11,128,538 | -1.381.839 | | ADAPT Investment Managers SA | 13,562 | 41,296 ...
一口气了解期货
小Lin说· 2025-07-31 09:30
期货市场概述 - 期货市场是全球最大、最活跃的交易市场,成交面值甚至超过外汇市场 [1] - 期货合约是甲乙双方约定在未来特定时间以约定价格交易特定商品的合约 [1] - 期货最初用于商品供应商对冲风险,如小麦农商锁定未来卖出价,面粉厂锁定未来买入成本 [1] - 期货市场不仅追踪石油、大豆、黄金等大宗商品价格,还追踪股票、国债等虚拟资产和金融资产,甚至可以追踪股指等虚无指标 [1][2] 期货交易特点与应用 - 期货交易可用于对冲、投机,本质上是对未来价格的对赌,一切指标皆可期货化、交易化 [1][2] - 市场上绝大多数期货交易者不在交割日持有到期,而是在交割日前清仓 [2] - 期货产品主要包括利率类(如SOFR期货)、股票类(如股指期货)和大宗商品类 [2][3] - 期货交易具有高杠杆、易于做空和隐秘性三大特点 [3] 期货市场风险与案例 - 对冲基金利用期货市场进行投机,例如可可豆期货暴涨案例,对冲基金押注可可豆减产 [1] - 索罗斯利用期货做空英镑,通过期货市场放大攻击力,对现货市场产生压力,最终导致英镑崩盘 [4][5] - 亚洲金融危机中,空头们做空东南亚货币,与东南亚央行在外汇储备上进行博弈,核心战场也在期货市场 [5]
金信期货日刊-20250718
Jin Xin Qi Huo· 2025-07-18 01:25
金信期货日刊 本刊由金信期货研究院撰写 2025/07/18 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.,LTD 玻璃价格下跌后,是否能继续做多 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品,为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益,请勿复制、传播、销售,否则将承担法律责任!包图网将对作品进行维权,按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿! GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.,LTD ibaotu.com 热点聚焦 从基本面看,房地产需求持续疲软,虽有光伏需求支撑,但难以完全抵消地产拖累,且玻璃社会库存同比 增加,供应压力较大。不过,金晶科技等生产线冷修,日熔量减少对供应形成边际支撑,可能限制价格跌 幅。 | 主力动向 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | GOLDTRUST | FUTURES | CO.,LTD | | 感谢您下载包图网平台上提供的PPT作品,为了您和包图网以及原创作者的利益,请勿复制、传播、销售,否则将承担法律责任!包图网将对作品进行维权,按照传播下载次数进行十倍的索取赔偿! | ibaotu.com | | 从产业资讯看,7月16日讯,据SMM了解,今日安徽地区一座设计产能为75 ...
英特尔(INTC.US)、特斯拉(TSLA.US)领衔!小摩披露下半年美股最佳做空名单
智通财经网· 2025-07-15 07:23
Capital Goods/Industrial Sector - Warner Enterprises (WERN.US) faces a weak freight market with oversupply and low demand, leading to declining freight rates [1] - Kennametal (KMT.US) experiences sales decline due to weak end markets and profit margin pressure from tariff policies [1] - The Middleby Corp (MIDD.US) may see further demand suppression and profit margin pressure in food service and processing due to price increases from tariffs [1] Consumer Sector - Rivian Automotive (RIVN.US) is expected to face increased EBITDA losses and cash outflows due to subsidy reductions and tariff policies [2] - Tesla (TSLA.US) is threatened by subsidy cuts impacting already thin profit margins and potential issues with its autonomous taxi project [2] - Beyond Meat (BYND.US) is struggling with industry decline and cash flow issues, raising doubts about its ability to operate independently [2] - Choice Hotels International (CHH.US) is projected to maintain low single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth through 2027, lagging behind peers [2] Building Products Sector - Installed Building Products (IBP.US) is expected to underperform peers due to a strong stock price increase and high valuation compared to historical averages [3] - LGI Homes (LGIH.US) faces moderate downside risk in valuation despite a low price-to-book ratio if return on equity declines [3] - NVR Inc. (NVR.US) has lower EPS expectations compared to market consensus, indicating potential underperformance [3] - Stanley Black & Decker (SWK.US) has a target valuation multiple significantly lower than its current stock price, suggesting further valuation compression [3] - Whirlpool (WHR.US) is likely to underperform peers due to a significant stock price increase and high historical valuations [3] Restaurant Sector - Cheesecake Factory (CAKE.US) stock price reflects full value even considering growth potential from Flower Child, with traditional business margins peaking [4] - Shake Shack (SHAK.US) relies heavily on marketing to drive same-store traffic growth, facing challenges due to high absolute prices [4] Energy Sector - Canadian Solar (CSIQ.US) faces risks from oversupply and low prices, potentially needing to sell equity in new U.S. manufacturing assets [6] - ChargePoint (CHPT.US) encounters challenges in hardware growth due to slowing EV growth and high interest rates [6] - Nabors Industries (NBR.US) has a higher debt burden than industry average, with equity positioned unfavorably despite comparable cash flow metrics [6] - Vital Energy (VTLE.US) is expected to have limited cash flow post-2026, compounded by high debt levels and shorter inventory turnover cycles [6] Financial Sector - Circle Internet Group (CRCL.US) may face valuation reassessment due to slower-than-expected USDC growth and regulatory uncertainties [7] - Lincoln National (LNC.US) has cautious business outlook with limited capital flexibility, making it vulnerable to macroeconomic downturns [7] - Lineage (LINE.US) may lower performance guidance in its upcoming earnings report [7] - Howard Hughes Holdings (HHH.US) faces potential pressure on land sales due to a weak housing market [7] - Comerica (CMA.US) anticipates limited loan growth in late 2025 due to high macroeconomic uncertainty and ongoing commercial real estate challenges [7] - Texas Capital Bancshares (TCBI.US) is in the early stages of investment banking, with high costs limiting overall profitability contributions [7] Healthcare Sector - Moderna (MRNA.US) is unlikely to show positive performance in the short term due to ongoing cash burn and regulatory/legal challenges [8] - Precigen (PGEN.US) has a cautious outlook on FDA approval for its vaccine, with slow commercialization expected even if approved [8] - Myriad Genetics (MYGN.US) faces limited incremental buyers, with investors favoring high-growth diagnostics companies [8] - Integra LifeSciences (IART.US) is expected to lag due to reliance on second-half performance and non-conservative 2025 guidance [8] Materials Sector - CF Industries (CF.US) faces significant capital expenditures for building blue ammonia plants, which may limit free cash flow and suppress stock prices [9] Media and Telecom Sector - SBA Communications (SBAC.US) may lower financial expectations for 2026 due to limited rental income growth and pressures from Latin American operations [10] - Snap (SNAP.US) struggles with transitioning to direct response advertising, facing volatility in brand advertising spending [11] - Bumble (BMBL.US) experiences user and paid user declines during its transformation phase, with potential profit margin compression from renewed brand marketing [11] - Paramount Global (PARA.US) continues to face revenue pressures, with previous merger guidance potentially disappointing [11] - Altice USA (ATUS.US) incurs higher costs from marketing investments aimed at boosting user growth, impacting EBITDA [11] Technology Sector - Mobileye Global (MBLY.US) is seen as overvalued with a high forward P/E ratio compared to its revenue growth [12] - Super Micro Computer (SMCI.US) may face downward revisions in expectations due to lower-than-expected profit margins despite strong AI server demand [12] - Lightspeed POS (LSPD.US) is advised to observe execution effectiveness amid fierce competition from well-capitalized domestic rivals [12] - Western Union (WU.US) faces limited opportunities for market outperformance due to restrictive immigration policies and soft remittance volumes [12] - Intel (INTC.US) struggles with challenges in catching up on process technology and stabilizing market share in client/server CPUs [12] - Skyworks Solutions (SWKS.US) anticipates weaker demand in the second half of the year due to tariff and trade factors [12]
美国做空机构Grizzly Research称对小马智行(PONY.O)做空。小马智行(PONY.O)下跌近2%。
news flash· 2025-07-10 13:47
Group 1 - Grizzly Research, a short-selling firm, has announced a short position against Pony.ai (PONY.O) [1] - Following the announcement, Pony.ai's stock price declined by nearly 2% [1]
赚钱有多难?
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-20 07:35
Group 1 - David Einhorn is a prominent figure in the financial world, known for his remarkable courage and success as a hedge fund manager and a "dragon slayer" who challenges corporate giants [3][4][20] - Einhorn founded Greenlight Capital in 1996 with a modest initial investment of $900,000, achieving an impressive annualized return of over 25% over the next decade [6][8][23] - His investment strategy combines value investing with short selling, allowing him to thrive in both bull and bear markets [9][11] Group 2 - Despite a strong long-term annualized return, many investors who entered at the wrong time faced significant losses, highlighting the paradox that high returns do not equate to high profits [24][26][50] - Greenlight Capital's assets under management peaked at approximately $12 billion in 2014, just before entering a challenging period for the firm [29][31] Group 3 - Einhorn's downfall over the past decade is attributed to a combination of macroeconomic changes, ineffective strategy, and poor risk management [52][90] - He identified three emerging forces in the market that undermined traditional value investing: passive index funds, quantitative trading, and retail speculation [56][58][59] Group 4 - In 2015, Greenlight Capital experienced a significant decline, with a 20.2% drop in net value, primarily due to poor performance in major holdings [63][66] - The firm faced substantial losses from concentrated positions in companies like SunEdison, Consol Energy, and Micron Technology, which saw stock price declines of 74%, 77%, and 59% respectively [66][67] Group 5 - Einhorn's long battle with Tesla, which he viewed as overvalued, resulted in significant losses for Greenlight Capital, particularly in 2018 when the firm lost 34% [71][76] - The market's shift towards narrative-driven investments left Einhorn's traditional valuation methods ineffective, leading to a prolonged struggle for the firm [86][88] Group 6 - The evolution of market dynamics post-2008, characterized by low interest rates and the rise of growth stocks, further complicated Einhorn's investment approach [88][90] - Einhorn's story serves as a cautionary tale about the challenges of investing, emphasizing the need for risk management and adaptability in changing market conditions [90][92]
【知识科普】散户可以使用场外期权做空吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-12 14:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article discusses whether retail investors can short-sell using over-the-counter (OTC) options, highlighting that while theoretically possible, practical barriers exist for retail participation [1][4]. Group 2 - OTC options are characterized by non-standardized contracts negotiated directly between parties, offering high flexibility but also high entry barriers primarily aimed at institutional investors [4][7]. - Retail investors can theoretically short-sell by buying put options or selling call options, but face significant practical limitations such as qualification requirements and high transaction costs [7][8]. Group 3 - Qualification requirements for retail investors include having a net asset of at least 50 million yuan and financial assets of at least 20 million yuan, along with three years of investment experience [8]. - Domestic regulations impose additional restrictions, with retail investors needing to meet the "532 criteria," while overseas platforms may offer OTC options but come with regulatory and currency risks [8]. Group 4 - Alternative methods for retail investors to short-sell include margin trading, index futures, standardized exchange options, and short-selling ETFs or funds, each with its own set of requirements and risks [8].
股市北上,商品南下,到底谁错了?
雪球· 2025-06-09 07:36
以下文章来源于思想钢印 ,作者思想钢印 思想钢印 . 雪球2020年度十大影响力用户,私募基金经理 风险提示:本文所提到的观点仅代表个人的意见,所涉及标的不作推荐,据此买卖,风险自负。 作者:思想钢印9999 来源:雪球 01 924后的 " 分手 " 上半年的股市可谓有惊无险 , 赚钱机会多多 , 但隔壁的商品市场就是完全两样的风景 , 大部 分工业品都是 " 一路南下派 " , 几乎被空头力量主导 , 偶尔借停产检修或宏观利好反弹一把 , 也成为 " 每涨卖机 " 。 国内上市的67个商品期货品种中 , 主力合约价格年初以来下跌的有39个 , 看上去没有那么惨 ? 你再看上涨的28个品种中 , 几乎都是金银和农产品 , 工业品只有铜 、 铝 、 锡三个国际定 价的有色品种和尿素这个严格出口管制的农化产品 。 像焦煤 、 玻璃 、 甲醇 、 塑料 、 橡胶 、 纯碱 、 螺纹钢这一类重要的大宗商品 , 都是跌幅巨大 。 上半年这一轮工业品的下跌 , 实际上是在延续21年以来的商品熊市 : 焦煤主力合约上半年跌了34% , 从21年最高点跌了80% ; 玻璃主力合约上半年跌了25% , 从21年最高点跌了68 ...