麦总这些观点我还挺认同的，不过做空这里，我会感觉反而是逐仓高倍杠杆空一些小币会好很多，因为一旦空军变多，小币庄又会去爆空教育空军一旦向下的流动性不够了，向上的流动性太多，资金操纵就会往上，除非彻底没人玩了这里的低倍杠杆更适合主流大币种憨厚的麦总 (@Michael_Liu93):写篇“熊市生存手册”，每个都是我自己吃过亏教过学费，到现在仍然记忆犹新的，做到这些至少会让你避开大的坑，保证你活下来，希望你能谨记。1. https://t.co/ywgNnEEvRU ...

朋友們 2025年10月17日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的周線圖 因為今天是華爾街時間的周一 我們來看一下周線級別 那麼周線來說 毫無疑問是把前面的低點出現了跌破 而且沒有收回去 我們可以把原先的這一帶 視作是一個盤整的什麼區間 那是一個吸籌的區間嗎 很多人說這是一個吸籌 吸籌完了還要再往上面漲 這不是一個吸籌區間 這是一個很明顯的 逐漸放大的一個派發區間 而且來到這邊的時候 我一再提醒大家 好像看起來有那麼一點派發的感覺 而且在這邊我自己也有做空 而且在節目裡面還受到了非常多的質疑 為什麼要這邊做空 然後在節目裡面好像要謝罪一樣 為什麼要做空 我要譴責你 但是你可以看到它確實就是一個派發區間 它確實就走出來 而且派發區間 如果說把標志性的低點 出現了一個跌破 這個不是一個很好的情況 那麼目前來看它有沒有回抽測試 沒有還在繼續往下跌 那麼幾乎每一個小時它就在不斷的創新低 那麼昨天周日的時候 在美股開盤前 我看到的情況是什麼 我看到的是baby的 b本位的資金費率 一點都沒有下去的跡象 單從這個參數來說確實還不太支持反彈 因為我們以往的經驗如果說要反彈的話 通常會有負的資金分離 而且會 ...

Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry, known as the "Big Short," has closed his Scion fund and clarified that his short position is significantly smaller than reported, leading to a decline in Nvidia's stock price by over 3% [1][8]. Group 1: Fund Closure and Short Position Clarification - Burry's Scion Asset Management has officially terminated its registration with the SEC as of November 10 [1]. - He stated that the reported "9.12 billion USD short" was a media miscalculation, with his actual investment being only 9.2 million USD [1][4]. - Burry disclosed holding 50,000 put options for Palantir, expiring on January 15, 2027, with a strike price of 50 USD, costing him 9.2 million USD in total [4][5]. Group 2: Market Impact and Future Announcements - The media's misinterpretation of Burry's positions contributed to a broader decline in U.S. tech stocks [4]. - Burry also holds 10,000 put options for Nvidia, expiring on December 17, 2027, but did not disclose the purchase price [5]. - He hinted at a significant announcement on November 25, suggesting that current market conditions will eventually be clarified [7].

Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry, known as the "Big Short," has closed his Scion fund and clarified that his short position is significantly smaller than reported, leading to a decline in Nvidia's stock price [2][3][4]. Group 1: Fund Closure and Short Position - Burry's Scion Asset Management has terminated its registration with the SEC as of November 10 [4]. - He refuted media claims of a $1 billion short position, stating his actual investment was only $9.2 million [3][6]. - The fund's 13F filing revealed holdings in put options for AI companies Palantir and Nvidia, which contributed to a drop in tech stocks [6][8]. Group 2: Details of Short Positions - Burry holds 50,000 put options for Palantir with a strike price of $50, costing $9.2 million at a purchase price of $1.84 per option [6][8]. - He also possesses 10,000 put options for Nvidia with a strike price of $110, but the purchase price was not disclosed [8]. - The media often misinterprets the notional value of options as the actual investment amount, leading to confusion [8]. Group 3: Market Reaction - Following the news of Burry's actions, Nvidia's stock opened lower, dropping over 3% [14].

1.上次0.09是被 mmt带的，有人做空mmt 爆仓，连带平仓插针2.这种持仓限制几乎个不可能有人会去操盘的。3x3万刀，2x5万刀。2.1因为持仓限制，所以不会有人这么麻烦开这么多小号，所以就没有对手盘2.2因为持仓限制，所以拉盘也需要很多号，很多资金，对手盘都没多少，所以也不会有人去操盘。Yuyue 🥊 (@yuyue_chris):看着觉得是蛋糕，套多少赚多少，实际看看 $MON 的合约持仓量呢？4M 的合约持仓。加上其他市场算上 Hyperliquid 15M（实际按币安算法需要减半，7.5M）满打满算 11.5M 的合约持仓量定了接近 6B 的盘前价格，咱就是说这个盘子能去无脑做空吗？之前也不是没爆到过 0.09 https://t.co/jWm52qyxI4 ...

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) has seen its stock price drop over 30% from its peak in June, with a current price of 42.1 HKD, reflecting a decline of 3.08% as of the latest report [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock price of Xiaomi has decreased by over 30% since its highest point in June [1] - As of the latest report, the stock is trading at 42.1 HKD with a trading volume of 30.76 billion HKD [1] Group 2: Hedge Fund Activity - Recent data from Goldman Sachs indicates a 53% increase in short positions against Xiaomi by hedge funds over the past week [1] - The selling pressure from pension funds and hedge funds has dominated the market in the last two weeks [1] Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment is turning cautious ahead of Xiaomi's third-quarter earnings report scheduled for November 18 [1] - Hedge funds view Xiaomi as a consensus short/sell target in the short term due to a lack of catalysts [1] Group 4: Analyst Downgrades - Goldman Sachs has recently lowered its target price for Xiaomi, citing several factors [1] - Key reasons for the downgrade include rising storage chip prices impacting smartphone gross margins, a slowdown in AIoT business growth to single digits, and delays in the second phase of electric vehicle factory affecting deliveries [1]

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi Group's stock has declined over 30% from its peak in June, with a current drop of 3.08% to HKD 42.1, amid increasing short-selling activity by hedge funds [1][1][1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Xiaomi's stock price has fallen to HKD 42.1, representing a decline of over 30% since June's highest point [1] - The trading volume reached HKD 30.76 billion, indicating significant market activity [1] Group 2: Hedge Fund Activity - Hedge fund short positions on Xiaomi surged by 53% in the past week, reflecting growing bearish sentiment [1] - Recent data shows that selling pressure from pension funds and hedge funds has dominated the market in the last two weeks [1] Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Investor sentiment is turning cautious ahead of Xiaomi's third-quarter earnings report scheduled for November 18 [1] - Feedback from hedge funds suggests that Xiaomi is viewed as a consensus short/sell target in the short term due to a lack of catalysts [1] Group 4: Analyst Outlook - Goldman Sachs has lowered its target price for Xiaomi, citing rising storage chip prices that suppress smartphone gross margins [1] - The growth rate of Xiaomi's AIoT business has slowed to single digits, and delays in the electric vehicle phase two factory are impacting deliveries [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs indicates that market sentiment is turning cautious ahead of Xiaomi Group-W's (01810) earnings report, with hedge funds increasing their short positions significantly [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment and Hedge Fund Activity - Hedge fund short positions in Xiaomi have increased by 53% over the past week, according to Goldman Sachs' sales department [1] - Institutional trading led by pension funds and hedge funds has shown a net selling trend over the past two weeks [1] - Hedge funds view Xiaomi as a consensus short/sell target in the short term due to a lack of catalysts [1] Group 2: Factors Affecting Market Sentiment - Concerns over safety, production delays, and weak demand for electric vehicles despite recent promotional activities are contributing to negative market sentiment [1] - Market sentiment has deteriorated sharply compared to earlier this year when optimism about Xiaomi's entry into the electric vehicle sector had driven its stock price up [1] Group 3: Stock Performance and Analyst Predictions - Xiaomi's stock price has fallen over 25% since peaking in early July [1] - Goldman Sachs analysts have lowered Xiaomi's target price by more than 10% due to profit margin pressures from rising memory chip prices [1] - The company is expected to report a 23% year-over-year revenue growth in its third-quarter earnings on November 18 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs indicates that as Xiaomi Group-W (01810) approaches its earnings report, market sentiment is becoming cautious, leading hedge funds to increase their short positions against the company [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment and Hedge Fund Activity - In the past week, short positions on Xiaomi have increased by 53% in Goldman Sachs' main trading book [1] - Institutional trading led by pension funds and hedge funds has shown a net selling trend over the past two weeks [1] - Hedge funds view Xiaomi as a consensus short/sell target in the short term due to a lack of catalysts [1] Group 2: Factors Affecting Market Sentiment - Concerns over safety, production delays, and weak demand for electric vehicles despite recent promotional activities are negatively impacting market sentiment [1] - Market sentiment has deteriorated sharply compared to earlier this year when optimism about Xiaomi's entry into the electric vehicle sector had driven its stock price up [1] Group 3: Stock Performance and Analyst Predictions - Since peaking in early July, Xiaomi's stock price has fallen by over 25% [1] - Goldman Sachs analysts have recently lowered Xiaomi's target price by more than 10% due to profit margin pressure from rising memory chip prices [1] - The company is expected to announce a 23% year-over-year revenue growth in its third-quarter earnings report on November 18 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market experienced a decline on November 4, with technology stocks leading the drop, influenced by notable short-selling activities by Michael Burry, who has bet over $1 billion against companies like Nvidia [2] Summary by Relevant Categories Company Actions - Michael Burry has invested approximately $1.1 billion in put options for Nvidia and Palantir Technologies, indicating a strategy to profit from potential declines in their stock prices [2] - In addition to the bearish positions, Burry also purchased call options for Halliburton and Pfizer, suggesting a mixed investment strategy [2] Market Impact - The decline in the stock market was particularly pronounced in the technology sector, reflecting investor sentiment influenced by Burry's significant short positions [2]