Core Insights - Major blue-chip stocks mostly rose, with HSBC Holdings closing at 102.033 HKD, down 0.07% from the previous close, while Tencent Holdings closed at 634.928 HKD, up 1.18% [2] Stock Performance Summary - Tencent Holdings: Latest price at 627.500 HKD, increased by 19.500 HKD, representing a 3.21% rise; ADR price at 634.928 HKD, up by 7.428 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3] - Alibaba Group: Latest price at 161.900 HKD, increased by 7.500 HKD, representing a 4.86% rise; ADR price at 168.452 HKD, up by 6.552 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3] - HSBC Holdings: Latest price at 102.100 HKD, increased by 1.200 HKD, representing a 1.19% rise; ADR price at 102.033 HKD, down by 0.067 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3] - AIA Group: Latest price at 72.100 HKD, increased by 3.050 HKD, representing a 4.42% rise; ADR price at 72.889 HKD, up by 0.789 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3] - BYD Company: Latest price at 104.800 HKD, increased by 1.600 HKD, representing a 1.55% rise; ADR price at 106.041 HKD, up by 1.241 HKD compared to the Hong Kong stock [3]

Earnings Expectations - Earnings expectations for Q3 are down 2% quarter over quarter, similar to the setup seen in Q2 [2] - In Q2, consensus earnings expectations for the broader market (excluding technology) were about 2.5%, while realized earnings growth was 8.5%, indicating significant upside potential [3] Market Performance - The Dow and S&P indices experienced their best week since August, reflecting a positive sentiment in the market [1] - Despite some sectors underperforming, such as regional banks and oil, defensive sectors like healthcare, utilities, and gold are performing well [5] Sector Analysis - Regional banks have underperformed by more than 25 percentage points compared to large banks since early 2023, suggesting a preference for large banks as a safer investment [8] - The oil sector is facing challenges due to excess supply following the end of the US driving season, leading to a lack of allocation in energy assets [7] Investment Strategy - The strategy involves not completely rotating away from AI and tech stocks but also considering buying dips in banks and exploring opportunities in manufacturing-sensitive sectors like industrials [9] - Gold is being recommended alongside tech stocks, driven by factors such as China's gold stockpiling and central bank diversification, rather than solely as a hedge against currency debasement [10][14]

Company News - China Mobile (00941.HK) reported a total operating revenue of 794.7 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, with a net profit of 115.4 billion yuan, up 4% [1] - As of September 30, communication service revenue was 683.1 billion yuan, a 0.8% increase year-on-year, while sales of products and others were 111.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.7% [1] - Mobile internet traffic increased by 8.3% year-on-year, with a mobile ARPU of 48.0 yuan [1] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (宁德时代) (03750.HK) achieved revenue of approximately 283.07 billion yuan from January to September, a year-on-year increase of 9.28%, with a net profit of approximately 49.03 billion yuan, up 36.2% [1] Financing and Buyback Dynamics - HSBC Holdings (00005.HK) repurchased 4.64 billion HKD worth of shares, totaling 4.5664 million shares, at prices ranging from 100.6 to 102.4 HKD [6] - Mengniu Dairy (02319.HK) repurchased shares worth 10.14 million HKD, totaling 700,000 shares, at prices between 14.37 and 14.52 HKD [6] - Lianyi Technology (09959.HK) repurchased shares worth 743.93 million HKD, totaling 2.45 million shares, at prices ranging from 2.97 to 3.07 HKD [7]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed at approximately 25,247 points on October 17, indicating a significant decline, having breached key technical levels such as the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [1][2] - The market sentiment is affected by this drop, with many investors feeling psychological pressure due to the volatility [2] Technical Analysis - Currently, there are 8 buy signals and 7 sell signals for the HSI, suggesting a slight bias towards buying in the short term [3][7] - The immediate support level for the HSI is around 24,800 points; if this level is breached, the next support is approximately 23,700 points [4][5] - Investors are advised to select products with recovery prices further from the support level to mitigate risks associated with sudden market declines [5] Individual Stock Analysis Meituan (03690) - Meituan's stock price has also been declining, closing at 94.5 HKD, having breached the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [9] - The first support level is around 91.1 HKD; if this is broken, the next support is at approximately 85.8 HKD [9][10] - Technical signals for Meituan show 9 buy signals and 4 sell signals, indicating a slight preference for buying [12] Contemporary Amperex Technology Co. (03750) - The stock closed at 521.5 HKD, down from a high of 614 HKD, with a neutral technical signal showing 5 buy and 5 sell signals [14][15] - The support level is around 477 HKD, which is close to the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands [15] China Mobile (00941) - China Mobile's stock closed at 85.3 HKD, maintaining a neutral technical signal with potential resistance at 88.5 HKD [17][18] - If the stock price continues to rise, it could reach 91.8 HKD if it breaks the resistance level [17] China National Petroleum Corporation (00857) - The stock closed at 7.32 HKD, with a bearish technical signal showing 8 sell signals and 5 buy signals [23][24] - The first resistance level is at 7.5 HKD, and if this is surpassed, it could rise to 7.7 HKD [23] HSBC Holdings (00005) - HSBC's stock closed at 100.9 HKD, just above the support level of 96.7 HKD [29][30] - The technical signals show 8 buy signals and 7 sell signals, indicating a slight preference for buying [32]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley maintains an "overweight" rating for both HSBC Holdings (00005) and Standard Chartered (02888), with a preference for Standard Chartered in the six-month investment outlook [1] Group 1: Target Prices and Ratings - HSBC's target price is maintained at HKD 122, while Standard Chartered's target price is raised from HKD 162 to HKD 168 [1] Group 2: Short-term Impact and Performance - The planned privatization of Hang Seng Bank (00011) has already been reflected in HSBC's stock price, and investors may refrain from factoring in long-term synergies until more quantitative guidance is provided by management [1] - The third-quarter performance will be a key driver for short-term stock prices, with trading fees and credit costs related to Hong Kong commercial real estate being critical variables [1] Group 3: Market Reactions and Opportunities - On October 17, Standard Chartered's stock fell by 5.1%, underperforming the Hang Seng Index and HSBC by 2.6 and 3.1 percentage points, respectively, likely due to investor risk aversion stemming from U.S. credit risk events [1] - The company views any further stock price adjustments as a buying opportunity, given Standard Chartered's limited direct exposure to the U.S. market and its strengthened risk management measures in recent years [1] - Financial market volatility may positively impact Standard Chartered's market revenue in the fourth quarter [1]

另外，渣打股价于10月17日下跌5.1%，跑输恒生指数及汇控分别2.6及3.1个百分点，可能是由于投资者 因美国信贷风险事件而采取避险情绪。该行认为，若股价进一步调整，将是买入机会，因渣打对美国市 场的直接敞口有限，且近年来加强了风险管理措施，导致风险敞口收缩。此外，金融市场波动可能对渣 打第四季度的市场收入构成正面影响。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根大通发布研报称，对汇丰控股(00005)及渣打集团(02888)均维持"增持"评级， 但在六个月投资展望上更偏好渣打，该行维持汇控目标价122港元，上调渣打目标价由162港元升至168 港元。 该行认为，计划私有化恒生银行(00011)对汇丰控股短期影响已反映在股价中，投资者可能在管理层提 供更多量化指引前，不会计入长期协同效应。第三季度业绩将成为短期股价的驱动因素，交易费用及香 港商业地产敞口导致的信贷成本将是关键变动因素。 ...

智通财经APP讯，汇丰控股(00005)发布公告，于2025年10月17日斥资4798.65万英镑回购494.29万股股 份;斥资4.64亿港元回购456.64万股股份。 ...

格隆汇10月20日丨汇丰控股(00005.HK)公告，10月17日耗资4.64亿港元回购456.64万股，每股回购价 100.6-102.4港元。 ...

FF305 | | | 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： HSBC Holdings plc 滙豐控股有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年10月20日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00005 | 說明 | | 普通股(每股0.50美元) | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 ...

相关事件 摩根大通发表报告，认为计划私有化恒生银行对汇丰控股短期影响已反映在股价中，投资者可能在管理 层提供更多量化指引前，不会计入长期协同效应。第三季度业绩将成为短期股价的驱动因素，交易费用 及香港商业地产敞口导致的信贷成本将是关键变动因素。 另外，渣打股价于10月17日下跌5.1%，跑输 恒生指数及汇控分别2.6及3.1个百分点，可能是由于投资者因美国信贷风险事件而采取避险情绪。该行 认为，若股价进一步调整，将是买入机会，因渣打对美国市场的直接敞口有限，且近年来加强了风险管 理措施，导致风险敞口收缩。此外，金融市场波动可能对渣打第四季度的市场收入构成正面影响。 该 行对汇控及渣打均维持"增持"评级，但在六个月投资展望上更偏好渣打，该行维持汇控目标价为122港 元，渣打目标价由162港元上调至168港元。 汇丰控股(00005.HK)10月16日耗资2.1亿港元回购209.5万股 汇丰控股(00005.HK)10月15日耗资3105.01万 港元回购30万股 汇丰控股(00005.HK)10月16日耗资2.1亿港元回购209.5万股 汇丰控股(00005.HK)10月15 日耗资3105.01万港元回购30 ...