Group 1 - Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. (CPCAY) has shown a year-to-date performance increase of approximately 8%, outperforming the average loss of 6.5% in the Transportation sector [4] - The Zacks Rank for Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. is currently 2 (Buy), indicating a positive analyst sentiment with a 7.7% increase in the consensus estimate for full-year earnings over the past 90 days [3] - The Transportation - Airline industry, which includes Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd., has seen a collective gain of about 3.6% this year, further highlighting CPCAY's strong performance relative to its peers [6] Group 2 - LATAM (LTM) has also outperformed the Transportation sector with a return of 57.1% since the beginning of the year, and its current year EPS consensus estimate has increased by 13.7% over the past three months [4][5] - Both Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd. and LATAM are positioned well within the Transportation sector, suggesting potential for continued strong performance [7]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of value investing and highlights specific stocks, particularly Cathay Pacific Airways and LATAM Airlines Group, as strong value opportunities based on their financial metrics. Company Analysis - Cathay Pacific Airways (CPCAY) has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) and a Value grade of A, with a current P/E ratio of 8.84 compared to the industry average of 11.51. Over the past year, CPCAY's Forward P/E has ranged from 5.56 to 9.84, with a median of 7.65 [4] - CPCAY's P/B ratio is 1.36, significantly lower than the industry average of 3.66. Its P/B has fluctuated between 0.81 and 1.51 over the past year, with a median of 1.16 [5] - LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and a Value grade of A, with a Forward P/E ratio of 8.43 and a PEG ratio of 0.38, both favorable compared to the industry averages [6] - LTM's Forward P/E has varied from 6.73 to 9.37, with a median of 8.43. Its PEG ratio has ranged from 0.38 to 0.85, with a median of 0.59 [7] - LTM's P/B ratio is 14.37, which is higher than the industry average of 3.66. The P/B has been between 8.79 and 15.24 over the past year, with a median of 12.18 [7] Investment Opportunity - Both Cathay Pacific Airways and LATAM Airlines Group are identified as likely undervalued stocks, supported by their strong earnings outlook and favorable valuation metrics [8]

Core Viewpoint - Cathay Pacific Group has successfully emerged from the pandemic's impact and is entering a sustained profit cycle, with significant investments planned to enhance its competitive position as Hong Kong's main airline hub [2][3]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Cathay Group reported revenues of HKD 54.3 billion, a 9.5% increase year-on-year, while net profit was HKD 3.7 billion, reflecting a 1.1% growth [3]. - The group's associated companies reduced their losses to HKD 181 million, down from HKD 342 million in the same period last year [3]. - Passenger volume for Cathay Pacific and HK Express increased by 27.8% and 33.5%, respectively, with available seat kilometers rising by 26.3% and 38.3% [3]. - However, there was a notable decline in yield, with seat kilometer revenue dropping by 9.9% for Cathay Pacific and 27.3% for HK Express [3]. Strategic Investments - Cathay Group announced a total investment exceeding HKD 100 billion for fleet upgrades, cabin products, lounges, and digital transformation [2]. - The group has placed an order for 14 Boeing 777-9 long-range wide-body aircraft, with a catalog price of USD 8.1 billion, increasing its total order for this model to 35 [6][8]. - The new aircraft are expected to be delivered starting in 2027, featuring upgraded first-class products [6]. Market Dynamics - Cathay's summer flight capacity to North America increased by 50%, although it faced challenges due to uncertainties affecting passenger numbers from mainland China [4]. - Despite overall growth, HK Express has not yet turned a profit, raising concerns within the industry [4][5]. - The group remains confident in its dual-brand strategy, particularly with the upcoming third runway at Hong Kong Airport expected to boost the low-cost market [5]. Operational Expansion - Cathay Group achieved its goal of opening 100 new destinations in the first half of the year, with over 300 round-trip flights to 23 mainland destinations and nearly 100 flights to Europe [7][8]. - The group plans to further enhance its network in mainland China, with additional routes and increased flight frequency [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Cathay Pacific Airways [2][7]. Core Insights - Cathay Pacific Airways reported a 1.1% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, reaching HKD 3.651 billion, which aligns with expectations. The group's revenue grew by 9.5% year-on-year to HKD 54.309 billion [7]. - The airline's capacity and volume saw significant growth, with ATK increasing by 15.9% and RTK by 18.1% year-on-year. Passenger revenue per kilometer decreased by 12.3% due to increased capacity and competitive pricing [7]. - The company announced a mid-year dividend of HKD 0.20 per share, totaling HKD 1.288 billion, with a payout ratio reduced to 35% from 46% in 2024 [7]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Cathay Pacific Airways are as follows: - 2023: HKD 94.485 billion - 2024: HKD 104.371 billion - 2025E: HKD 111.696 billion - 2026E: HKD 118.254 billion - 2027E: HKD 123.679 billion - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: HKD 9.067 billion - 2024: HKD 9.607 billion - 2025E: HKD 7.792 billion - 2026E: HKD 9.790 billion - 2027E: HKD 10.906 billion - The report indicates a decrease in earnings per share for 2025 to HKD 1.21, with a projected PE ratio of 8.7 for 2025 [6][7].

摩根士丹利因客运收益率预测下调，将国泰航空2025—2027年净利润预测分别下调7%、5%及7%，若日 本及泰国航线需求复苏优于预期可能促使其看法转为积极。中美贸易前景及油价走势(占总成本约30%) 是影响货运业务势头和公司业绩的重要因素。鉴于营运前景存在不确定性，摩根士丹利维持国泰航 空"与大市同步"评级，并将目标价由12.1港元下调至10.8港元，认为7%股息收益率或可限制下行风险。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has downgraded Cathay Pacific's net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 7%, 5%, and 7% respectively, primarily due to a reduction in passenger yield expectations, partially offset by improved cost control [1] Group 1: Financial Forecasts - The target price for Cathay Pacific has been lowered from HKD 12.1 to HKD 10.8 [1] - The company maintains a "market perform" rating amid operational uncertainties, with a 7% dividend yield potentially limiting downside risk [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - A more positive outlook may emerge if demand for routes to Japan and Thailand recovers better than expected, supporting yield performance [1] - The outlook for Sino-US trade is a variable that could impact cargo business momentum [1] Group 3: Cost Considerations - Fuel costs account for approximately 30% of Cathay Pacific's total costs, making oil price trends a significant observation indicator [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has revised down its net profit forecasts for Cathay Pacific for 2025 to 2027 by 7%, 5%, and 7% respectively, primarily due to a reduction in passenger yield forecasts, partially offset by improvements in cost control [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The downward revision in net profit forecasts reflects a decrease in passenger yield expectations [1] - Capital expenditure forecasts have been increased [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - If demand for routes to Japan and Thailand recovers better than expected, it could support yield performance and lead to a more positive outlook [1] - The outlook for US-China trade is a variable that may impact cargo business momentum [1] Group 3: Cost Considerations - Fuel costs account for approximately 30% of Cathay Pacific's total costs, making oil price trends a significant observation indicator [1] Group 4: Rating and Target Price - In light of operational uncertainties, Morgan Stanley maintains a "market perform" rating for Cathay Pacific, with a target price reduced from HKD 12.1 to HKD 10.8 [1] - A 7% dividend yield may help limit downside risks [1]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley lowered Cathay Pacific's target price by 11%, from HKD 12.1 to HKD 10.8, with the highest target price reduced from HKD 18.3 to HKD 16.8, and the lowest target price from HKD 7.4 to HKD 6.3, maintaining a "market perform" rating [1] - The forecast for earnings in 2025-2027 was cut by 7%, 5%, and 7% respectively, due to a decline in passenger revenue assumptions and increased capital expenditures [1] - Cathay Pacific is expected to benefit from the recovery in demand in Hong Kong, but the cargo sector faces uncertainties [1] Group 2 - If the demand for routes to Japan and Thailand recovers faster than expected, the outlook could be more optimistic [1] - The outlook for the cargo business will be influenced by the Sino-U.S. trade prospects, and fluctuations in fuel prices are also critical [1] - There is a risk of a decline in the 2025 dividend yield, projected at 7% [1]

Group 1 - Cathay Pacific Group reported a revenue of HKD 54.309 billion for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 3.651 billion, up 1.1% [1] - The group experienced growth in both passenger and cargo capacity, aided by a decrease in fuel prices, although passenger ticket prices faced pressure, leading to a 12.3% decline in passenger yield and a 3.4% drop in cargo yield [1][2] - The group has opened 19 new routes in 2025, expanding its global passenger destinations to over 100, with a focus on strengthening connections with mainland China [2][3] Group 2 - Cathay Pacific's low-cost airline, HK Express, reported a net loss of HKD 524 million for the first half of 2025, transitioning from profit to loss compared to the previous year, primarily due to reduced travel demand to Japan [2] - The management expressed confidence in HK Express's long-term fundamentals, citing strong safety, punctuality, and cost efficiency metrics, while emphasizing the need for time to cultivate new routes [2][3] - The group is actively increasing its presence in mainland China, with plans to add new routes and enhance existing ones, including daily flights to Beijing and Shanghai [3][4] Group 3 - The proportion of mainland employees within Cathay Pacific is steadily increasing, with expectations to reach around 4,000 by the end of the year, contributing significantly to the overall workforce of over 30,000 [3][4] - The group is enhancing its digital and IT capabilities in the Greater Bay Area, with plans to double the size of its mainland IT team by the end of 2025 [4] - Cathay Pacific aims to facilitate travel for Greater Bay Area passengers to Hong Kong International Airport through improved logistics and services [4]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負 責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全 部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 CATHAY PACIFIC AIRWAYS LIMITED 國泰航空有限公司 (於香港註冊成立的有限公司) (股份代號：293) 公告 與香港太古集團進行的持續關連交易 謹此提述公司二零零四年十二月一日、二零零七年十月一日、二零一零年十月 一日、二零一三年十一月十四日、二零一六年八月十九日、二零一九年八月九 日及二零二二年八月十一日的公告，該等公告是有關公司與香港太古集團於二 零零四年十二月一日訂立的服務協議。服務協議將於二零二五年十月一日續 期，以延長協議期限三年，自二零二六年一月一日至二零二八年十二月三十一 日。 由於香港太古集團為公司的關連人士，因此根據上市規則第14A.31條，按照服 務協議進行的交易構成公司的持續關連交易，須符合上市規則第14A章的申 報、年度審核及公告規定。 服務協議於二零零四年十二月一日訂立，於二零零八年九月十八日修訂及重 列，並於二零一九年八月九日進一步修訂及重列，及將 ...