Macro Strategy - The report highlights that export control measures on key metals have become a crucial advantage for China in the context of major power competition, particularly against the US and EU [8][9] - China's leading position in key metals is attributed to its resource advantages and a complete industrial system, which is difficult for developed economies to replicate in the short term [8] Fixed Income - The bond market is expected to face challenges in 2026, with less likelihood of a one-sided decline in interest rates as seen from 2022 to 2024, suggesting a need for a more flexible trading strategy [10] - The report notes that the 10-year government bond yield increased slightly to 1.8425% during the week, reflecting market reactions to policy announcements [10] Industry Analysis Minshi Group (敏实集团) - Minshi Group is a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural parts, benefiting from the acceleration of electric vehicle adoption in Europe, particularly in the battery box business [22][24] - The company is expanding into humanoid robotics and liquid cooling for servers, which are expected to open new growth opportunities [22][24] - Profit forecasts for Minshi Group indicate net profits of 2.753 billion, 3.257 billion, and 3.878 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding EPS of 2.34, 2.76, and 3.29 yuan, and P/E ratios of 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46 respectively [22] Zhongwei Company (中微公司) - Zhongwei Company plans to acquire Hangzhou Zhonggui to enhance its capabilities in CMP equipment, which is crucial for semiconductor manufacturing [7] - The acquisition aims to strengthen Zhongwei's competitiveness in complete process solutions, complementing its existing dry process equipment [7] - Profit forecasts for Zhongwei Company remain at 2.44 billion, 3.41 billion, and 4.46 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with dynamic P/E ratios of 70, 50, and 38 respectively [7]

Core Viewpoint - Minth Group is a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural components, focusing on electric vehicle (EV) battery boxes and expanding into humanoid robotics and liquid cooling technologies, presenting new growth opportunities [1][3]. Group 1: Battery Box Business - The battery box is a critical component for the safety and protection of battery modules in electric vehicles, with the market size in China projected to reach 31.8 billion yuan in 2024 and 78.2 billion yuan by 2030 [2]. - In Europe, the battery box market for new energy passenger vehicles is expected to grow from 9.4 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.9 billion yuan by 2030 [2]. - Minth has established deep partnerships with various automotive manufacturers globally, leveraging its expertise in aluminum alloy materials and processes to penetrate the battery box market [2]. Group 2: Humanoid Robotics and Liquid Cooling - Minth is applying its manufacturing advantages from the automotive sector to the humanoid robotics field, focusing on integrated joint modules, robotic skin, smart masks, and structural components [3]. - The demand for server liquid cooling is driven by energy efficiency requirements and increased cabinet power density, with Minth leveraging its technology and global production capacity to enter this market [3]. - The company has secured orders from AI server manufacturers, with deliveries expected to start by the end of 2025 [3]. Group 3: Financial Projections - The projected net profits for Minth from 2025 to 2027 are 2.753 billion yuan, 3.257 billion yuan, and 3.878 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 2.34 yuan, 2.76 yuan, and 3.29 yuan [3]. - The expected price-to-earnings ratios for the same period are 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46, indicating a favorable investment outlook [3].

Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry is at a new crossroads in 2026, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) boom and the rise of smart technology. Investment opportunities lie in commercial vehicles and two-wheeled vehicles, focusing on finding resilient alpha varieties and embracing the next industrial trends of smart technology and robotics/AIDC [4][10]. Group 1: Automotive Sector Investment Strategy - The automotive industry should reference the years 2011 and 2018 for strategic insights. The focus is on finding resilient alpha varieties and embracing the next industrial trends, particularly in smart technology and robotics/AIDC [4][10]. - The total domestic demand for passenger vehicles in 2026 is expected to be 22 million units, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, while the demand for new energy vehicles is projected to reach 13.2 million units, an increase of 6.4% [5][10]. - The wholesale sales of heavy trucks are forecasted to be 1.16 million units in 2026, with a year-on-year increase of 1.5%. Domestic sales are expected to decline by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are projected to rise by 18.8% to 390,000-400,000 units [5][27]. Group 2: Key Investment Opportunities - In the bus sector, the top picks are Yutong Bus and Jinlong Automobile. For motorcycles, the preferred choices are Chunfeng Power and Longxin General. In the heavy truck sector, China National Heavy Duty Truck and Weichai Power are favored. For passenger vehicles, BYD is the primary choice, with Jianghuai Automobile as a secondary option. In the parts sector, Fuyao Glass, Xingyu Co., and Minth Group are recommended [6][10]. - The L4 RoboX investment opportunities focus on the B-end software sector over C-end hardware. Preferred stocks include XPeng Motors, Horizon Robotics, and others in the H-share market, while A-share selections include Qianli Technology and Desay SV [7][10]. - The robotics and AIDC investment opportunities are highlighted, with a focus on the upcoming Optimus V3 overseas and the rapid development of domestic robotics. Key selections include Top Group for robotics and liquid cooling, and Junsheng Electronics for robotics [7][10]. Group 3: Market Forecasts - The passenger vehicle market is expected to see a total sales volume of 22 million units in 2026, with a year-on-year decrease of 3.5%. New energy vehicle sales are projected to reach 13.2 million units, an increase of 6.4% [5][17]. - The heavy truck market is forecasted to have a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with domestic sales declining by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are expected to rise by 18.8% [5][27]. - The bus sector is anticipated to maintain a strong export growth rate of over 30%, with domestic sales expected to reach 81,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 3% [5][32]. Group 4: Motorcycle Market Insights - The motorcycle industry is projected to have total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, a year-on-year increase of 14%. The large-displacement motorcycle segment is expected to reach 1.26 million units, a 31% increase [5][34]. - Domestic sales of large-displacement motorcycles are expected to reach 430,000 units, a 5% increase, while exports are projected to be 830,000 units, a 50% increase [5][35]. Group 5: Future Trends and Innovations - The penetration rate of smart driving technology in new energy vehicles is expected to rise to 40% by 2026, with significant growth in the use of domestic chips [22][23]. - The heavy truck export market is expected to recover, with significant growth in regions such as Southeast Asia and Africa, driven by local infrastructure and mining demands [28][29].

Core Viewpoint - Minth Group (00425) announced the issuance of a total of 490,000 shares due to the exercise of stock options on December 19, 2025 [1] Group 1 - The company is set to issue 490,000 shares as a result of stock option exercises [1]

智通财经APP讯，敏实集团(00425)发布公告，于2025年12月19日，因购股权获行使发行合计49万股。 ...

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 敏實集團有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年12月19日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00425 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | 已發行股份總數 | | | | 已發行股 ...

Core Conclusions - The 2026 automotive industry investment strategy emphasizes "breaking old and establishing new," suggesting that the industry is at a crossroads similar to 2011 and 2018, with the end of the electric vehicle (EV) boom and the rise of smart technology [2][3] - The report predicts a total domestic demand of 22 million vehicles in 2026, a decrease of 3.5% year-on-year, with new energy vehicle (NEV) sales expected to reach 13.2 million, an increase of 6.4% [2][10] - The commercial vehicle sector is expected to see a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with a slight increase of 1.5% year-on-year, while the bus sector is projected to maintain strong export growth [2][19] Passenger Vehicle Sector - The passenger vehicle sector is projected to experience a total sales volume of 22 million units in 2026, with NEV sales expected to reach 13.2 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.4% [2][10] - The report highlights the impact of a 5% purchase tax on NEVs starting January 1, 2026, which is expected to support domestic demand [10] - Key investment opportunities include BYD and Jianghuai Automobile in the passenger vehicle sector [2][3] Commercial Vehicle Sector - The heavy truck segment is forecasted to have a wholesale volume of 1.16 million units in 2026, with domestic sales expected to decline by 5.5% to 770,000 units, while exports are projected to grow by 18.8% [2][15] - The bus sector is expected to see a total domestic sales volume of 81,000 units, with exports anticipated to grow by over 30% [2][19] Motorcycle Sector - The motorcycle industry is expected to achieve total sales of 19.38 million units in 2026, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with large-displacement motorcycles projected to grow by 31% [2][22] - Domestic sales of large-displacement motorcycles are expected to reach 430,000 units, while exports are projected to grow significantly [22] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies key investment opportunities across various segments, including Yutong Bus and King Long in the bus sector, and Spring Power and Longxin General in the motorcycle sector [2][3] - The focus on L4 RoboX investment opportunities highlights the importance of software over hardware in the autonomous driving sector, with recommended stocks including XPeng Motors and Horizon Robotics [2][3] Growth Trends - The report anticipates a continued focus on smart technology and robotics, with significant growth expected in the L4 RoboX industry and AIDC (Automated Identification and Data Capture) sectors [2][3] - The penetration rate of smart driving technology in new energy vehicles is expected to reach 40% by 2026, with a notable shift in chip supplier market shares [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities has initiated coverage on Minth Group (00425), highlighting it as a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural components, with a strong focus on electric vehicle (EV) battery boxes and structural components, and expanding into humanoid robotics and liquid cooling sectors for new growth opportunities [1] Group 1: Electric Vehicle Battery Box Business - The battery box is a critical component for the safety and protection of battery modules in electric vehicles, with the market size expected to grow significantly as EV penetration increases. The estimated market size for China's new energy passenger vehicle battery boxes is projected to reach 31.8 billion yuan in 2024, increasing to 78.2 billion yuan by 2030. In Europe, the market is expected to grow from 9.4 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.9 billion yuan by 2030 [2] - Minth Group has established deep partnerships with various automotive manufacturers, leveraging its expertise in aluminum alloy materials and processes to quickly enter the battery box market, benefiting from the rising electrification rates in Europe, which has led to continuous growth in revenue and profitability [2] Group 2: Humanoid Robotics and AI Liquid Cooling - Minth Group is applying its manufacturing advantages from the automotive sector to the humanoid robotics field, focusing on integrated joint modules, robotic electronic skin, smart masks, wireless charging, and structural components, while collaborating with major players in the humanoid robotics industry [3] - In the AI liquid cooling sector, driven by energy consumption requirements and increased cabinet power density, Minth Group is leveraging its technology reserves in battery boxes and liquid cooling plates, along with its global production capacity and long-term partnerships with leading server manufacturers, to quickly enter the market and has already secured orders from AI server manufacturers, with deliveries expected to start by the end of 2025 [3] Group 3: Profit Forecast - Dongwu Securities forecasts Minth Group's net profit attributable to shareholders to be 2.753 billion yuan in 2025, 3.257 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.878 billion yuan in 2027, with earnings per share (EPS) projected at 2.34 yuan, 2.76 yuan, and 3.29 yuan respectively. The price-to-earnings ratios are expected to be 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46 for the same years [4]

Core Viewpoint - Dongwu Securities has initiated coverage on Minth Group (00425), highlighting it as a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural components, with a strong focus on electric vehicle (EV) battery boxes and body structure components, and potential growth in humanoid robots and liquid cooling sectors [1] Group 1: Electric Vehicle Battery Box Business - The battery box is a critical component for the safety and protection of battery modules in electric vehicles, with the market size expected to grow significantly as EV penetration increases. The estimated market size for China's new energy passenger vehicle battery boxes is projected to reach 31.8 billion yuan in 2024 and 78.2 billion yuan by 2030, while Europe's market is expected to grow from 9.4 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.9 billion yuan by 2030 [2] - Minth Group has established deep partnerships with various automotive manufacturers, leveraging its expertise in aluminum alloy materials and processes to quickly enter the battery box market, benefiting from the rising electrification rates in Europe, leading to continuous growth in revenue and profitability [2] Group 2: Humanoid Robots and AI Liquid Cooling - Minth Group is expanding its manufacturing advantages from the automotive sector into the humanoid robot field, focusing on integrated joint modules, robotic skin, smart masks, wireless charging, and structural components, while collaborating with major domestic players in the humanoid robot industry [3] - In the AI liquid cooling sector, driven by energy consumption requirements and increased cabinet power density, Minth Group is leveraging its technology reserves and global production capacity to quickly enter the market, having already secured orders from AI server manufacturers, with deliveries expected to start by the end of 2025 [3] Group 3: Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 2.753 billion yuan, 3.257 billion yuan, and 3.878 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with earnings per share (EPS) forecasted at 2.34 yuan, 2.76 yuan, and 3.29 yuan respectively, reflecting price-to-earnings ratios of 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46 [4] - As a leading global supplier of automotive exterior and structural components, Minth Group is well-positioned to benefit from the accelerated electrification of passenger vehicles in Europe, while also exploring new growth opportunities in humanoid robots and liquid cooling technologies [4]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, Minth Group [1]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a global leader in automotive exterior and structural components, focusing on electric vehicle (EV) battery boxes and expanding into humanoid robotics and liquid cooling technologies, which are expected to drive future growth [8][13]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Minth Group is a globally recognized supplier of automotive exterior and structural components, with a product system based on various new materials and surface treatment technologies. The company has established four major product lines and is heavily investing in the electric vehicle sector, becoming the largest supplier of battery boxes and structural components [8][13]. Battery Box Business Development - The battery box is a critical component for electric vehicle battery modules, and its market is expected to grow significantly as EV penetration increases. The report estimates that the Chinese battery box market will reach 31.8 billion yuan in 2024 and 78.2 billion yuan by 2030, while the European market is projected to grow from 9.4 billion yuan in 2024 to 29.9 billion yuan by 2030 [8][45][47]. Robotics and Liquid Cooling - Minth is leveraging its automotive manufacturing expertise to enter the humanoid robotics sector, focusing on integrated joint modules and other robotic components. Additionally, the company is making strides in the AI liquid cooling market, driven by increasing energy efficiency requirements and partnerships with leading server manufacturers [8][18]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.75 billion yuan, 3.26 billion yuan, and 3.88 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 2.34 yuan, 2.76 yuan, and 3.29 yuan for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 11.91, 10.07, and 8.46 [1][8].