Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several companies in the automotive sector, indicating an expected performance that will exceed the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [5][22]. Core Insights - The change in subsidy policies has led to the disappearance of the tail effect in Q4 2025, resulting in a reduction of demand overdraw for 2026. In December 2025, the number of insured vehicles was 2.278 million, down 16.4% year-on-year but up 13.6% month-on-month. The total number of insured vehicles for the year reached 23.047 million, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles rising to 54.0%, an increase of 7.1 percentage points year-on-year [4][7][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Subsidy Policies - The report highlights that the changes in subsidy policies have caused consumers to adopt a wait-and-see approach, leading to a decrease in demand overdraw for 2026. The expectation is that as replacement subsidy application channels open, pent-up demand will materialize, and the domestic terminal market will trend towards "price increase and stable volume" [4][7]. 2. PHEV Market Share Tracking - The focus is on the performance of PHEV market shares, particularly for BYD and Geely, as the "mid-level assisted driving equity" leads to share differentiation. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring configuration adjustments and terminal discount changes to understand further market share differentiation [9][16]. 3. Recent Report Insights - The report notes that the passenger vehicle inventory saw a slight reduction in December 2025, with an estimated 1.5 million vehicles in demand waiting to be fulfilled. The overall industry theme for 2025 was "emerging from deflation," with a judgment of "stable volume and slow price increase" being validated. The outlook for 2026 remains "price increase and stable volume," differing from market consensus due to regulatory changes and risk-return assessments [16][17]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "shelf-style" investment approach, recommending various companies across the passenger vehicle chain. Right-side targets include Geely, BYD, and others, while left-side targets include Great Wall Motors and Changan Automobile. In the commercial vehicle chain, recommended companies include China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Weichai Power [17].

招商证券国际发表研报指，德国计划于本月正式重启电动车补贴政策，有望短期提振欧洲新能源车需 求。而敏实集团作为欧洲电池盒龙头，去年上半年市占率超过35%，对欧洲新能源销量具高度敏感性， 随着传统车厂今年推出多款新能源车型，集团的核心业务预计将同步实现复苏。机器人业务方面，集团 已与龙头机器人客户建立供应链关系，预计订单交付等信息成为股价催化剂。至于新业务，AI液冷已 进入交付阶段，未来订单交付有望持续增长。该行维持对敏实集团"增持"评级。 ...

Market Overview - The Greenland incident has concluded, leading to a rebound in the US stock market, with the S&P 500 index experiencing a notable recovery [1] - Trump announced a framework for future agreements regarding Greenland and the Arctic during his speech at the World Economic Forum, which alleviated market concerns [1] - The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) discussed a compromise where Denmark would transfer small parcels of land in Greenland to the US for military base construction [1] Commercial Aerospace - SpaceX, led by Elon Musk, is actively pursuing an IPO plan aimed for completion by July this year [3] - Blue Origin, owned by Jeff Bezos, announced the launch of TeraWave, a satellite internet service, with plans to deploy over 5,000 satellites by the end of 2027 [3] - Companies like Junda Co. are focusing on space photovoltaic battery products and commercial aerospace investments, leading to significant stock price increases [3] Automotive Industry - The German government is set to restart its electric vehicle subsidy policy, with plans to allocate €3 billion by 2029 to support low-income families in purchasing zero-emission vehicles [4] - Companies like Minth Group are positioned as key suppliers for European electric vehicle platforms and are expanding their operations in robotics and semiconductor supply chains [4] Real Estate and Construction - Hong Kong's real estate market is showing signs of recovery, with a revised forecast predicting an 8% increase in residential property prices by 2026 [6] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development in China has released guidelines to enhance housing quality, promoting the use of green building materials [6] Semiconductor Industry - Semiconductor companies like SMIC are benefiting from the domestic demand surge, with a reported revenue of ¥49.51 billion for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting an 18.22% year-on-year increase [9] - The company has achieved a net profit of ¥3.818 billion, a 41.09% increase year-on-year, driven by rising demand for AI computing and domestic substitution [9][12] - SMIC's production capacity utilization rate reached 95.8%, with a significant increase in average selling prices due to a shift in product mix [10][11]

香港联交所最新资料显示，1月21日，独立非执行董事莫贵标减持敏实集团(00425)1.4万股，每股作价 32.5港元，总金额为45.5万港元。减持后最新持股数目为3.6万股。 ...

智通财经APP获悉，香港联交所最新资料显示，1月21日，独立非执行董事莫贵标减持敏实集团 (00425)1.4万股，每股作价32.5港元，总金额为45.5万港元。减持后最新持股数目为3.6万股。 ...

每经AI快讯，部分智驾概念股走高，截至发稿，敏实集团(00425.HK)涨12.95%，报38.56港元；博泰车 联(02889.HK)涨7.26%，报245.4港元；耐世特(01316.HK)涨4.39%，报7.37港元；德昌电机控股 (00179.HK)涨3.88%，报30.54港元。 ...

每经AI快讯，部分智驾概念股走高，截至发稿，敏实集团(00425.HK)涨12.95%，报38.56港元；博泰车 联(02889.HK)涨7.26%，报245.4港元；耐世特(01316.HK)涨4.39%，报7.37港元；德昌电机控股 (00179.HK)涨3.88%，报30.54港元。 ...

消息面上，1月7日，三部门联合印发《上海高级别自动驾驶引领区"模速智行"行动计划》，加速智能网 联技术创新向产业竞争力转化，有望推动上海高级别自动驾驶由示范走向规模化商业化。近日，广东省 人民政府办公厅印发《广东省人工智能赋能交通运输高质量发展若干政策措施》。 平安证券认为，自动驾驶技术走向量产应用。当前获批的L3车型的运行条件还存在诸多限制。智能驾 驶的商业化进程有望在2026年加速。尽管目前L3车型的运行条件还存在诸多限制，但L3车型的准入获 批意味着智驾在技术、政策端的进步，为后续智驾的商业化进程奠定基础。2026年智能驾驶的商业闭环 有望进一步打通。 智通财经APP获悉，部分智驾概念股走高，截至发稿，敏实集团(00425)涨12.95%，报38.56港元；博泰 车联(02889)涨7.26%，报245.4港元；耐世特(01316)涨4.39%，报7.37港元；德昌电机控股(00179)涨 3.88%，报30.54港元。 ...

花旗发表报告，对敏实集团开启90天上行催化剂观察，目标价为46港元，评级"买入"。报告指，AI液冷 产品的大规模交付很可能已于1月开始，预期敏实在AI液冷领域将进一步获得订单。另外，该行认为德 国重新推出的补贴政策可能为敏实欧洲销售带来上行风险。其他催化剂因素包括铝价上涨的影响可控； 墨西哥关税上调的影响有限，2026年料涉及约100万美元；机器人业务2026年营收贡献约1亿元；估值具 吸引力，股息率达3.8%，派息率达40%。 ...

花旗发布研报称，对敏实集团(00425)开启90天上行催化剂观察，目标价46港元，评级"买入"。 报告指，AI液冷产品的大规模交付很可能已于1月开始，预期敏实在AI液冷领域将进一步获得订单。另 外，该行认为德国重新推出的补贴政策可能为敏实欧洲销售带来上行风险。其他催化剂因素包括铝价上 涨的影响可控;墨西哥关税上调的影响有限，2026年料涉及约100万美元;机器人业务2026年营收贡献约1 亿元人民币;估值具吸引力，股息率达3.8%，派息率达40%。 ...