Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 8.00 per share, indicating a potential upside of 25% from the current price of HKD 6.41 [5][10]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 profit decline was influenced by poor wind resources and rising operating expenses, with revenue dropping by 19% year-on-year to HKD 81.40 billion and net profit decreasing by 22.07% to HKD 19.02 billion [7][8]. - The company plans to start new renewable energy projects totaling 5.5 GW in 2025, with 5 GW expected to be operational, including 3.2 GW of wind power and 1.7 GW of solar power [3][8]. - The company possesses high-quality existing assets that ensure stable performance, benefiting from favorable regulatory conditions in Shandong and Guangdong provinces [4][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 81.40 billion, a 19% decrease year-on-year, and a net profit of HKD 19.02 billion, down 22.07% [7]. - The total power generation for Q1 was 202.86 billion kWh, a decline of 4.42% year-on-year, but a growth of 8.81% when excluding the impact of thermal power divestiture [7][8]. Project Development - The company aims to initiate 5.5 GW of new renewable energy projects in 2025, with 5 GW expected to be commissioned, including 3.2 GW of wind and 1.7 GW of solar [3][8]. - As of March 2025, the company’s total installed capacity reached 41.15 million kW, with wind power accounting for 30.44 million kW and solar power approximately 10.70 million kW [3][8]. Asset Quality - The company’s existing assets are of high quality, providing stable returns, supported by regulatory frameworks that ensure the profitability of existing projects [4][9]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the wind power sector, with a competitive advantage in market transactions due to its substantial existing asset base [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 8.00 per share, indicating a potential upside of 25% from the current price of HKD 6.41 [5][10]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 decreased by 19% year-on-year to HKD 81.40 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 22.07% to HKD 19.02 billion, primarily due to poor wind resources and rising operating expenses [7][8]. - The company plans to start new renewable energy projects totaling 5.5 GW in 2025, with 5 GW expected to be operational, including 3.2 GW from wind and 1.7 GW from solar [3][8]. - The company holds high-quality existing assets that ensure stable performance, benefiting from favorable regulatory conditions in regions like Shandong and Guangdong, which support the profitability of existing projects [4][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a total generation of 202.86 billion kWh, a decrease of 4.42% year-on-year, but a growth of 8.81% when excluding the impact of thermal power divestiture. Wind power generation increased by 4.37% [7][8]. - The company’s operating expenses rose by 14% year-on-year, driven by higher depreciation, labor, and maintenance costs [7]. Project Development - As of March 2025, the company’s total installed capacity reached 41.15 million kW, with wind power accounting for 30.44 million kW and solar power approximately 10.70 million kW. The company has secured development indicators for 14.72 GW, including 6.37 GW for wind and 8.35 GW for solar [3][8]. Asset Quality - The company is positioned as a leader in the wind power sector, with a significant share of high-quality existing assets. The stability of revenue from these assets is expected to provide a competitive advantage in market transactions [4][9].

证券研究报告 公用事业 | 电力 港股|公司点评报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 18 日 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 邓思平 SAC：S1350524070003 dengsiping@huayuanstock.com 联系人 投资评级： 买入（维持） ——风况不佳拖累业绩 关注全面入市下的建设拐点 投资要点： 风险提示：补贴政策变动、新能源市场化政策变动、"以大代小"相关政策变化。 | 盈利预测与估值（人民币） | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入（百万元） | 37642 | 37070 | 34930 | 36848 | 39035 | | 同比增长率（%） | -5.6% | -1.5% | -5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | | 归母净利润（百万 ...

港股公司报告 | 公司点评 龙源电力（00916） 证券研究报告 装机持续扩张，风资源拖累业绩 事件： 公司发布 2025 年一季度业绩。一季度公司实现营收 81.40 亿元，同比增长 0.92%；完成归母净利润 19.77 亿元，同比降低 21.82%。 点评 一季度新增投产装机 36 兆瓦，累计装机达 41.1GW 一季度公司新增投产控股装机容量 36.25 兆瓦，其中新增投产风电 34.75 兆瓦、光伏 1.5 兆瓦；减少生物质发电控股装机容量 30.00 兆瓦，系龙源 友谊生物质发电有限公司破产清算。截至 2025 年 3 月末，公司控股装机容 量为 41.1GW，其中风电装机为 30.4GW，光伏装机为 10.7GW，其他可再 生能源装机为 0.006GW。2025 年公司计划新开工新能源项目 5.5GW，投产 5GW。 一季度风电发电量小幅增长，光伏发电量高增 一季度公司风电平均利用小时数为 585 小时，同比下降 55 小时，主要系公 司部分大容量项目所在区域风资源水平同比下降。从电量情况来看，一季 度公司完成发电量 202.86 亿千瓦时，同比下降 4.42%，剔除火电影响同比 增长 8.81 ...

交银国际研究 公司更新 | 新能源 | 收盘价 | 目标价 | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 4 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 港元 6.10 | 港元 7.81↓ | +28.0% | | 龙源电力 (916 HK) 1 季度盈利受制于经营开支上升 个股评级 买入 1 年股价表现 资料来源 : FactSet 4/24 8/24 12/24 4/25 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 916 HK 恒生指数 股份资料 | 52周高位 (港元) | 8.29 | | --- | --- | | 52周低位 (港元) | 5.31 | | 市值 (百万港元) | 20,239.07 | | 日均成交量 (百万) | 76.36 | | 年初至今变化 (%) | (5.28) | | 200天平均价 (港元) | 6.32 | | 资料来源 : FactSet | | 郑民康 wallace.cheng@bocomgroup.com (852) 3766 1810 文昊, CPA bob.wen@bocomgroup.com (86) ...

交银国际研究 公司更新 | 新能源 | 收盘价 | 目标价 | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 4 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 港元 6.10 | 港元 7.81↓ | +28.0% | | 1 年股价表现 资料来源 : FactSet 4/24 8/24 12/24 4/25 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 916 HK 恒生指数 股份资料 | 52周高位 (港元) | 8.29 | | --- | --- | | 52周低位 (港元) | 5.31 | | 市值 (百万港元) | 20,239.07 | | 日均成交量 (百万) | 76.36 | | 年初至今变化 (%) | (5.28) | | 200天平均价 (港元) | 6.32 | | 资料来源 : FactSet | | 郑民康 wallace.cheng@bocomgroup.com (852) 3766 1810 文昊, CPA bob.wen@bocomgroup.com (86) 21 6065 3667 龙源电力 (916 HK) 1 季度盈利受制于经 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內 容 概 不 負 責，對 其 準 確 性 或 完 整 性 亦 不 發 表 任 何 聲 明，並 明 確 表 示，概 不就因本公告全部或任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致之 任 何 損 失 承 擔 任 何 責 任。 截至二零二五年三月三十一日止三個月 未經審計之合併業績 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.09條及香港 法例第571章《證 券 及 期 貨 條 例》第XIVA部 項 下 內 幕 消 息 條 文 作 出。 龍 源 電 力 集 團 股 份 有 限 公 司（「本公司」）及 其 附 屬 公 司（「本集團」）截 至 二 零 二 五 年 三 月 三 十 一 日 止 三 個 月 未 經 審 計 之 合 併 業 績 如 下。 截 至 二 零 二 五 年 三 月 三 十 一 日 止 三 個 月，本 集 團 收 入 人 民 幣81.40億 元， 比去年同期持續經營收入增長0.92%，其中，風電分部收入人民幣73.68億元， 比去年同期 減 少1.89%，光伏分部收入人民幣7.15億 元，比 去 年 同 期 增 長 43.09%，其 他 ...

Financial Performance - The company reported a profit of RMB 8.42 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 20.2%[11]. - Revenue for 2023 is reported at RMB 39,862 million, a slight decrease from RMB 39,872 million in 2022[21]. - Net profit attributable to equity holders for 2023 is RMB 6,425 million, compared to RMB 7,432 million in 2022, reflecting a decline of approximately 13.6%[25]. - The company's operating revenue for 2024 was RMB 31.370 billion, a 5.9% increase from RMB 29.631 billion in 2023, driven by a 3.4% increase in wind power sales to RMB 28.666 billion and a 51.7% increase in solar power sales to RMB 2.441 billion[152]. - The group's operating profit for 2024 was RMB 12.615 billion, a 9.0% increase from RMB 11.571 billion in 2023, mainly due to higher sales volume and average selling prices in the wind division[176]. - Net profit for 2024 reached RMB 7.686 billion, reflecting a 14.5% increase from RMB 6.710 billion in 2023, driven by improved performance in the wind division[185]. Installed Capacity and Generation - In 2024, the company achieved a total installed capacity of 41.14 GW, with 30.41 GW from wind power, maintaining its industry-leading position[6]. - The total electricity generation for the year was 75.546 billion kWh, with an average wind power utilization of 2,190 hours, exceeding the industry average by 63 hours[11]. - The company secured new development indicators of 14.72 GW and added 7.48 GW of new installed capacity in 2024, setting a historical record for production scale[10]. - The total installed capacity for wind power reached 30,408.77 MW in 2023, with a significant increase from 28,667 MW in 2020[27]. - In 2024, the total installed capacity of renewable energy held by the company reached 41,143.20 MW, including 30,408.77 MW of wind power and 10,698.33 MW of solar power[131]. - The company's cumulative renewable energy generation in 2024 was 68,383,219 MWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.76%, with solar generation rising by 72.13%[121]. Operational Efficiency and Innovations - The company implemented a new operational inspection model, with long-cycle continuous operation units accounting for 60%, an increase of 14 percentage points year-on-year[7]. - The company has introduced a digital transformation plan, launching the "Longteng No. 1" smart management platform and achieving significant advancements in digital capabilities[13]. - The company is focusing on digital transformation with the launch of the "Longteng No. 1" smart management platform and the establishment of a comprehensive meteorological big data pool[145]. - The company has developed a smart production management system that has been recognized as an excellent case in equipment management within the power industry[63]. - The company is enhancing its marketing capabilities by analyzing market data to optimize trading strategies and improve risk management mechanisms[146]. Market Expansion and International Presence - The company has made significant progress in overseas market expansion, with projects in South Africa and Cambodia totaling 0.88 GW[10]. - The company has expanded its operations internationally, with projects in Canada, South Africa, and Ukraine, demonstrating its commitment to global renewable energy development[37]. - The company has established a presence in international markets with 100% ownership in subsidiaries like Longyuan Canada Renewable Energy and Longyuan South Africa Renewable Energy[50]. - The Canadian wind power project generated 239,880 MWh in 2024, while the South African project produced 784,509 MWh, demonstrating strong operational performance[139]. Sustainability and ESG Initiatives - The company aims to enhance its global competitiveness in the renewable energy sector, focusing on clean energy contributions and carbon neutrality goals[38]. - Longyuan Power was recognized as a "Pioneer 100" company in ESG by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, marking its continuous excellence in environmental, social, and governance performance[79]. - The company is committed to sustainability and aims to contribute to China's energy transition through its renewable energy initiatives[47]. - The company is committed to enhancing the utilization rate of renewable energy and reducing reliance on fossil fuels as part of its strategic goals[113]. - The company aims to integrate ESG indicators into project management to create exemplary projects in the power industry[129]. Challenges and Future Outlook - The average utilization hours for wind power in 2024 were 2,190 hours, a decrease of 156 hours from 2023, but still 63 hours above the industry average[121]. - The average wind speed in project areas decreased by 0.2 m/s in 2024, impacting wind generation performance[121]. - The company plans to enhance project construction management and implement new technologies to improve project profitability[129]. - Future outlook includes continued investment in renewable energy projects, with a focus on wind and solar power generation[54]. - The company is actively pursuing market expansion strategies, particularly in the renewable energy sector across various regions[54].

公用事业 上 市 公 司 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势： -2% 48% 98% 04/08 05/08 06/08 07/08 08/08 09/08 10/08 11/08 12/08 01/08 02/08 03/08 HSCEI 龙源电力 2025 年 04 月 08 日 龙源电力 (00916) 资料来源：Bloomberg ——电价企稳业绩回升 承诺三年分红规划 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 联系人 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 04 月 07 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港币） | 5.98 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 7262.72 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 8.30/5.12 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 499.92 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 3,317.88 | | 汇率（人民币/港币） | 1.0798 | 朱赫 (8621)23297818× z ...

公司更新 | 新能源 收盘价 | | 目标价 | | 潜在涨幅 | 2025 年 4 月 1 日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 港元 | 6.23 | 港元 | 8.00 | +28.4% | | | 龙源电力 (916 HK) | | | | | | 交银国际研究 2024 年风电电价优于预期，订出 3 年派息政策应受投资者欢迎 个股评级 买入 1 年股价表现 资料来源 : FactSet 4/24 8/24 12/24 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 916 HK 恒生指数 股份资料 | 52周高位 (港元) | 8.29 | | --- | --- | | 52周低位 (港元) | 5.31 | | 市值 (百万港元) | 20,670.39 | | 日均成交量 (百万) | 69.63 | | 年初至今变化 (%) | (3.26) | | 200天平均价 (港元) | 6.34 | | 资料来源 : FactSet | | 郑民康 wallace.cheng@bocomgroup.com (852) 3766 18 ...