Company News - Xpeng Motors (09868.HK) launched the world's first L3-level AI car, the Xpeng G7, with a starting price of 195,800 yuan [1] - Automotive dealer Anlijie announced a distribution agreement with Geely Automobile (00175.HK) to introduce Geely's new energy vehicles to the Italian market [1] - Alibaba (09988.HK) announced the pricing of a zero-coupon exchangeable bond issuance amounting to 12.023 billion HKD [1] - Sunac China (01918.HK) reported a contract sales amount of 23.55 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year decline of 10.39% [1] - Agricultural Bank of China (01288.HK) stated it will follow the latest trends in global stablecoins and cryptocurrencies, but currently has no plans to develop stablecoins [1] - China Merchants Bank (03968.HK) has been approved to establish China Merchants Financial Asset Investment Co., with a registered capital of 15 billion yuan [1] - The National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund Co., Ltd. reduced its stake in SMIC (00981.HK) from 5.01% to 4.97% as of July 2, with an average share price of 43.8988 HKD [1] - Yuexiu Property (00123.HK) reported a cumulative contract sales amount of approximately 61.5 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of about 11% [1] - Longyuan Power (00916.HK) completed a total power generation of approximately 39.6525 million MWh in the first half of the year, a year-on-year decrease of 1.07% [1]

证券代码：001289 证券简称：龙源电力 公告编号：2025-042 龙源电力集团股份有限公司 2025年6月发电量数据公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、误导 性陈述或者重大遗漏。 龙源电力集团股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"）2025 年 6 月按合并报 表口径完成发电量 5,781,238 兆瓦时，较 2024 年同期同比增长 1.56%，剔除火电 影响同比增长 18.07%。本月风电发电量同比增长 4.15%，光伏发电量同比增长 99.32%。 截至 2025 年 6 月 30 日，本公司 2025 年累计完成发电量 39,652,477 兆瓦时， 较 2024 年同期同比下降 1.07%，剔除火电影响同比增长 12.73%，其中风电增长 6.07%，光伏增长 71.37%。 1 | | 2025 年 6 月 | 2024 年 6 月 | 6 月同比 | 2025 年 | 2024 年 | 年累计发 电量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 业务板块及地区分布 | 发电量 | 发电量 | 变化率 | ...

Core Viewpoint - Longyuan Power (001289) announced that it achieved a total power generation of 5.7812 million MWh by June 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.56%, with an 18.07% increase when excluding the impact of thermal power generation [1] Group 1: Power Generation Performance - The total power generation for the period reached 5.7812 million MWh, with a year-on-year growth of 1.56% [1] - Excluding the impact of thermal power, the year-on-year growth in power generation was 18.07% [1] - Wind power generation increased by 4.15% year-on-year, while solar power generation saw a significant increase of 99.32% [1] Group 2: Cumulative Power Generation - As of June 30, 2025, the cumulative power generation was 39.6525 million MWh, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 1.07% [1] - When excluding the impact of thermal power, the cumulative power generation showed a year-on-year increase of 12.73% [1] - Wind power generation for the cumulative period grew by 6.07%, and solar power generation increased by 71.37% [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance and valuation of Longyuan Power, which closed at 16.48 yuan, up 1.85%, with a rolling PE ratio of 23.73, marking a new low in 17 days, and a total market capitalization of 137.77 billion yuan [1] - Longyuan Power's industry average PE ratio is 23.18, with a median of 19.90, placing the company at the 51st position in the industry ranking [1] - As of the first quarter of 2025, 15 institutions hold shares in Longyuan Power, including 10 funds, 4 others, and 1 trust, with a total holding of 4,923.13 million shares valued at 81.77 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - Longyuan Power's main business focuses on wind and solar power generation, with primary products being electricity and heat [1] - The latest performance report for the first quarter of 2025 shows that the company achieved an operating revenue of 8.14 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 19.00%, and a net profit of 1.90 billion yuan, down 22.07%, with a gross profit margin of 42.61% [1] - The PE (TTM) for Longyuan Power is 23.73, while the industry average is 23.18, and the industry median is 19.90 [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - The power sector is experiencing low attention, with thermal power growth turning positive in May, indicating a potential for long-term opportunities [1][4] - The report highlights that the thermal power sector is expected to maintain high growth rates despite low valuations, suggesting that it remains promising even if short-term declines occur due to coal price rebounds [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The power sector has seen adjustments recently, with specific companies showing varied performance: Huaneng Power International +1.1%, Huadian Power International -2.9%, China Yangtze Power -0.7%, and China Longyuan Power Group H -0.9% during the week of June 16-20 [4] - The electricity price in Jiangsu for June was set at 313 RMB/MWh, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 23.7% [4] Power Generation Data - In May, the national industrial power generation was 737.8 billion kWh, a year-over-year increase of 0.5%, while the social electricity consumption grew by 4.4% [5] - The year-over-year changes for different power sources in May were as follows: thermal power +1.2%, hydropower -14.3%, nuclear power +6.7%, wind power +11.0%, and photovoltaic +7.3% [5] Emergency Dispatch Pricing - The emergency dispatch pricing structure allocates 80% of net income to users in the exporting province and 20% to power plants, with losses borne entirely by users in the importing province [6] Regional Developments - The Xinjiang Tianshan Gobi wind and solar base, with a total capacity of 14.2 million kW, is expected to transmit 36 billion kWh annually to Chongqing, meeting nearly a quarter of its electricity demand [7] - Shandong province is promoting electric vehicle storage solutions to manage peak demand, with recent pilot programs showing significant participation and energy discharge [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for companies such as Funiu Co., Ltd. and Shenneng Co., Ltd. while cautiously recommending China General Nuclear Power and Anhui Energy [4][21]. Core Viewpoints - In May, the total electricity consumption reached 809.6 billion kWh, showing a year-on-year growth of 4.4%. The first industry saw an increase of 8.4%, the second industry 2.1%, the third industry 9.4%, and urban and rural residents' consumption 9.6% [2][22]. - The report highlights that coal prices are expected to remain low, benefiting thermal power generation, which is anticipated to improve performance in Q2. Companies are actively investing in wind power and cogeneration assets for long-term growth potential [4][19]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The electricity sector underperformed the broader market, with the public utility sector closing at 2355.40 points, down 1.13%, and the electricity sub-sector at 3131.64 points, down 1.31% [1][8]. - Among the electricity sub-sectors, photovoltaic generation fell by 1.57%, wind power by 1.28%, while thermal services rose by 2.08% [1][13]. Industry Data Tracking - The average price of thermal coal in the Bohai Rim region was 663.00 RMB/ton, with no change week-on-week [48]. - The report notes that the electricity market is experiencing a decline in coal and gas prices, with the average transaction price for coal in Guangdong dropping by 28.43% [69]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with stable performance and growth potential, particularly in thermal power and hydropower sectors, such as Changjiang Electric Power and Sichuan Investment Energy [4][20]. - It also suggests monitoring companies involved in asset restructuring and mergers, as these are expected to gain traction this year [20].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Citigroup maintains a "Buy" rating for Longyuan Power (00916) with a target price of HKD 7.1 [1] - In May, Longyuan Power's total electricity generation increased by 1.5% year-on-year to 6.68 billion kWh, driven by a significant rise in wind and solar power generation, which grew by 8.7% and 74.8% respectively [1] - The company has zero coal-fired power generation in May, down from 830 million kWh in the same period last year, due to plans to sell all coal-fired power plants in the second half of 2024 [1] Group 2 - For the first five months of the year, total electricity generation decreased by 1.5% year-on-year to 33.87 billion kWh, with wind and solar power generation increasing by 6.4% and 64.4% respectively, but not enough to offset the decline in coal-fired generation [1] - The average utilization hours of wind farms in May decreased by 0.8% year-on-year to 182 hours, and for the first five months, it fell by 2.9% to 958 hours, primarily due to reduced wind speeds and grid restrictions [1] - The regions with the highest growth in wind power output in May were Shanxi (up 64%), Henan (up 50%), and Jiangxi (up 47%), while Fujian and Xinjiang saw declines of 34% and 33% respectively [1] Group 3 - The decline in the monthly bidding market electricity price in Jiangsu province is expected to have a limited impact on Longyuan Power [2] - In June, the bidding market electricity price in Jiangsu fell by 23.7% year-on-year to RMB 312.8 per MWh, with total bidding generation of 4.88 billion kWh, of which wind power accounted for only 0.06 billion kWh or 1.2% [2] - Longyuan Power's wind power output in Jiangsu for 2024 and the first quarter of 2025 is projected to be 8.21 billion kWh and 3.39 billion kWh respectively, representing 9.7% and 11.6% of its total wind power output [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for several companies including China Nuclear Power, Funiu Co., and Huaneng Water Power, while providing a "Cautious Recommendation" for others like China General Nuclear Power and Longyuan Power [21][19]. Core Insights - The new energy installed capacity in Gansu has surpassed 70 million kilowatts, solidifying its dominant position in the province's energy mix, with a year-on-year growth of 25.25% [2][26]. - The National Energy Administration has initiated the first batch of pilot projects for the new power system, focusing on seven key areas including grid technology and virtual power plants [3][37]. - The report suggests that with the onset of the peak electricity consumption season in June and low coal prices, the performance of thermal power companies is expected to improve [3][19]. Summary by Sections Weekly Market Review - The electricity sector underperformed compared to the broader market, with the public utility sector index closing at 2376.19 points, down 0.14%, and the electricity sub-sector at 3165.47 points, down 0.34% [1][7]. - Among the electricity sub-sectors, photovoltaic power increased by 1.39%, while thermal and hydropower decreased by 0.57% and 1.85% respectively [13][19]. Gansu New Energy Capacity - As of the end of May 2025, Gansu's cumulative installed capacity reached 70.6246 million kilowatts, with wind and solar power each contributing over 32% to the total installed capacity [2][26]. - Gansu aims to reach 80 million kilowatts of installed renewable energy capacity by the end of 2025, with a target of 160 million kilowatts by 2030 [2][26]. National Energy Administration Initiatives - The pilot projects will explore new technologies and models for the new power system, focusing on areas such as intelligent microgrids and high-proportion renewable energy delivery [3][37]. - The report emphasizes the importance of these initiatives in enhancing the stability and efficiency of the power supply [3][37]. Investment Recommendations - The report highlights specific companies to watch, including Huadian International, Jingtou Energy, and Funiu Co. for thermal power, and Changjiang Electric Power and Chuan Investment Energy for hydropower [3][19]. - It also notes the potential for growth in companies involved in green electricity projects, particularly those benefiting from the implementation of the 136 document [3][19].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 8.00 per share, indicating a potential upside of 25% from the current price of HKD 6.41 [5][10]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 profit decline was influenced by poor wind resources and rising operating expenses, with revenue dropping by 19% year-on-year to HKD 81.40 billion and net profit decreasing by 22.07% to HKD 19.02 billion [7][8]. - The company plans to start new renewable energy projects totaling 5.5 GW in 2025, with 5 GW expected to be operational, including 3.2 GW of wind power and 1.7 GW of solar power [3][8]. - The company possesses high-quality existing assets that ensure stable performance, benefiting from favorable regulatory conditions in Shandong and Guangdong provinces [4][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 81.40 billion, a 19% decrease year-on-year, and a net profit of HKD 19.02 billion, down 22.07% [7]. - The total power generation for Q1 was 202.86 billion kWh, a decline of 4.42% year-on-year, but a growth of 8.81% when excluding the impact of thermal power divestiture [7][8]. Project Development - The company aims to initiate 5.5 GW of new renewable energy projects in 2025, with 5 GW expected to be commissioned, including 3.2 GW of wind and 1.7 GW of solar [3][8]. - As of March 2025, the company’s total installed capacity reached 41.15 million kW, with wind power accounting for 30.44 million kW and solar power approximately 10.70 million kW [3][8]. Asset Quality - The company’s existing assets are of high quality, providing stable returns, supported by regulatory frameworks that ensure the profitability of existing projects [4][9]. - The company is positioned as a leader in the wind power sector, with a competitive advantage in market transactions due to its substantial existing asset base [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 8.00 per share, indicating a potential upside of 25% from the current price of HKD 6.41 [5][10]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 decreased by 19% year-on-year to HKD 81.40 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 22.07% to HKD 19.02 billion, primarily due to poor wind resources and rising operating expenses [7][8]. - The company plans to start new renewable energy projects totaling 5.5 GW in 2025, with 5 GW expected to be operational, including 3.2 GW from wind and 1.7 GW from solar [3][8]. - The company holds high-quality existing assets that ensure stable performance, benefiting from favorable regulatory conditions in regions like Shandong and Guangdong, which support the profitability of existing projects [4][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a total generation of 202.86 billion kWh, a decrease of 4.42% year-on-year, but a growth of 8.81% when excluding the impact of thermal power divestiture. Wind power generation increased by 4.37% [7][8]. - The company’s operating expenses rose by 14% year-on-year, driven by higher depreciation, labor, and maintenance costs [7]. Project Development - As of March 2025, the company’s total installed capacity reached 41.15 million kW, with wind power accounting for 30.44 million kW and solar power approximately 10.70 million kW. The company has secured development indicators for 14.72 GW, including 6.37 GW for wind and 8.35 GW for solar [3][8]. Asset Quality - The company is positioned as a leader in the wind power sector, with a significant share of high-quality existing assets. The stability of revenue from these assets is expected to provide a competitive advantage in market transactions [4][9].