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第一上海:维持中国神华“买入”评级 目标价47.7港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-05 06:21
公司前三季度业绩下滑的主要归因在于核心的煤炭业务。公司煤炭销售量为3.165亿吨,同比下降 8.4%。第三季度单季商品煤产量为0.86亿吨,销量为1.12亿吨,显示出一定的去库存或外购煤贸易活 动。"量价齐跌"是煤炭板块面临的主要挑战。国内煤炭市场在2025年面临需求放缓和价格回档的双重压 力,直接导致了公司煤炭销售收入的下降。但公司凭藉卓越的成本管控能力,前三季度自产煤单位生产 成本164.4,同比下降3.1%,环比持续优化。充分证明了公司在生产运营环节的精细化管理水准和内在 效率,是其盈利韧性的关键来源。 电力及其他非煤板块逆势增长,一体化协同效应显著 在煤炭主业面临挑战时,公司的电力、铁路、港口等非煤业务展现了强大的"压舱石"作用。电力业务方 面,受益于煤价下行带来的燃料成本同比下降7.8%,电力板块的盈利能力得到显著改善,前三季度毛 利率同比上升3.2个百分点。这完美诠释了一体化模式的内部对冲机制,煤价下跌虽然影响煤炭销售利 润,但却能提升发电业务的毛利率。运输业务(铁路、港口)以及煤化工业务相关业务盈利能力也保持稳 健或有所改善,为公司贡献了稳定的利润和现金流。 受煤炭行业整体供给过剩影响,公司前三 ...
煤炭股再度活跃 中煤能源(01898.HK)涨4.01%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-05 06:16
每经AI快讯,煤炭股再度活跃,截至发稿,中煤能源(01898.HK)涨4.01%,报11.93港元;力量发展 (01277.HK)涨3.16%,报1.63港元;兖矿能源(01171.HK)涨2.8%,报11.38港元;中国神华(01088.HK)涨 0.87%,报41.62港元。 ...
港股异动 | 煤炭股再度活跃 当前煤炭供需均出利好 机构看好煤价有望继续提升
智通财经网· 2025-11-05 06:11
消息面上,近期,受冬季用煤需求增加,供应限制等因素驱动,煤价上涨。方正证券指出,当前煤炭行 业的供给侧收紧成为投资主题,四季度迎峰度冬需求下,煤炭供大于求的局面有望扭转,煤价也有望继 续提升,伴随着供给收缩、需求起量,煤炭供需格局或有所好转,未来也可展望对于进口煤的限制。该 行认为长协占比较高的神华、中煤业绩稳定性较强,如果煤价继续反弹,低估值弹性标的兖矿能源(港 股)也有望迎来估值修复。 智通财经APP获悉,煤炭股再度活跃,截至发稿,中煤能源(01898)涨4.01%,报11.93港元;力量发展 (01277)涨3.16%,报1.63港元;兖矿能源(01171)涨2.8%,报11.38港元;中国神华(01088)涨0.87%,报 41.62港元。 ...
中国神华20251104
2025-11-05 01:29
中国神华 20251104 今年第三季度煤炭价格反弹,但中国神华的产量环比仍在上升,未受减产影响。 请问这是为什么? 中国神华受政策影响较小,主要因其上市公司身份使其生产合规,未受 超产煤矿的限制影响。尽管上半年需求不佳,三季度价格回升,但全年 外购煤采购量仍未达进度,四季度将尽力追赶,但最终达成情况取决于 市场。 长协机制基准价为 675 元/吨,预计调整概率不大。公司一季度和三季 度长协履约率超 100%,二季度略降,但仍满足 90%的国家考核要求。 月度长协范围宽泛且持续调整,年底争取提供更清晰的数据口径。 内部自供电厂煤炭约七八千万吨,含自产和外购煤,比例取决于电厂位 置。新建矿井方面,新街一井和二井预计 2029 年投运,太阳沟预计 2028 年四季度投产,新街三井和四井处于前期勘探阶段。 新街一井、二井总投资 300 亿,产能 1,600 万吨,投资额较高是由于采 用斜井井工开采方式,深度超过 700 米,且包含洗煤厂建设。该投资不 包括矿权价值。公司已为这几个矿准备了必要的产能指标。 个别矿区可能因煤层变薄逐步退出,但过程缓慢,可通过技术进步维持 生产。公司没有明确的单位产能减少目标,只要煤矿能 ...
财经早报:央行恢复暂停近10个月的国债买卖操作 外资机构纷纷上调中国GDP增速预期丨2025年11月5日
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-11-05 00:13
Core Points - The People's Bank of China has resumed government bond trading operations after a nearly 10-month pause, injecting 20 billion yuan into the banking system to support the real economy and stabilize market expectations [3] - Multiple foreign institutions have raised their GDP growth forecasts for China, reflecting optimism about the country's economic prospects, particularly in technology and export growth [7][6] - The eighth China International Import Expo has opened, showcasing innovations and products from over 4,100 foreign companies, emphasizing China's commitment to global trade and cooperation [8] Group 1 - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant decline, with major tech companies losing a combined market value of approximately 3.2 trillion yuan in a single day [4][21] - Analysts predict further downturns in the U.S. market, with concerns about high valuation levels and potential corrections of 10% to 20% in the next 12 to 24 months [13][21] - The Chinese public fund management industry is seeing growth, with the total net asset value of public funds reaching 36.74 trillion yuan, a nearly 7% increase from the previous quarter [10] Group 2 - The "national team" of investors in China holds nearly 4 trillion yuan in A-share stocks, with a strong preference for financial stocks [11] - The demand for flu medications has surged, leading to increased competition among companies in the pharmaceutical sector [19] - The travel market is experiencing a boost due to the announcement of a nine-day Spring Festival holiday in 2026, significantly increasing inquiries for long-distance travel [9] Group 3 - The restructuring plan for Suning Group was rejected, leading to a significant drop in the company's stock price by 7.86% [16] - Reddick plans to acquire a 20.41% stake in Shanghai Aoyi Technology for approximately 160 million yuan, marking its entry into the brain-computer interface sector [17] - The public offering of shares by Visual China is in the planning stages, with no confirmed timeline yet [33]
“国家队”近4万亿持仓曝光:重仓金融,不忘加码科技
三季报披露完毕,"国家队"的持仓线路图也浮出水面。数据显示,截至三季度末,"国家队"资金(包括证金公司、中央汇金、证金资管,下 同)重仓持有超222只A股股票,合计市值逼近4万亿,金融股依然是"国家队"的最爱,前十大重仓股中,除了中国神华之外,其余9只均来自 金融板块,持仓市值最大的个股是中国银行,截至三季度末的市值过万亿。 | 证券简称 | | 持股总额(亿元) | | 持股总数(亿股) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 中国银行 | | | 10284.53 | 1985.43 | | 农业银行 | | 9577.25 | | 1435.87 | | 工商银行 | | 9302.73 | | 1274.35 | | 中金公司 | 714.25 | | | 19.36 | | 中国平安 | 699.50 | | | 12.69 | | 新华保险 | 677.55 | | | 11.08 | | 中信建投 | 639.94 | | | 23.86 | | 中国人寿 | 327.19 | | | 8.25 | | 申万宏源 | 301.46 | | | 56.56 | | ...
中国神华(601088.SH)2025年半年度权益分派:每股派0.98元
Ge Long Hui· 2025-11-04 21:03
股权登记日2025年11月7日,现金红利发放日2025年11月10日。 格隆汇11月3日丨中国神华(601088.SH)发布2025年半年度权益分派实施公告,本次利润分配以方案实施 前的本公司总股本198.69亿股为基数,每股派发现金红利人民币0.98元(含税),共计派发现金红利人 民币194.71亿元(含税)。其中,A股股本164.91亿股,派发A股现金红利人民币161.61亿元(含税)。 ...
港股通央企红利ETF天弘(159281)跌0.29%,成交额7058.70万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 07:20
Core Points - Tianhong CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (159281) closed down 0.29% on November 4, with a trading volume of 70.587 million yuan [1] - The fund was established on August 20, 2025, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1] - As of November 3, the fund's latest share count was 225 million, with a total size of 231 million yuan [1] - Over the past 20 trading days, the fund's cumulative trading amount reached 1.16 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 58.005 million yuan [1] - The current fund manager is He Yuxuan, who has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 1.18% during the tenure [1] Holdings Summary - The top holdings of Tianhong CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF include: - COSCO Shipping Holdings (0.85% holding, 218,000 shares, market value of 2.9175 million yuan) [2] - Orient Overseas International (0.40% holding, 10,500 shares, market value of 1.3717 million yuan) [2] - China Foreign Transport (0.33% holding, 270,000 shares, market value of 1.1396 million yuan) [2] - China Petroleum (0.32% holding, 162,000 shares, market value of 1.0973 million yuan) [2] - CITIC Bank (0.32% holding, 175,000 shares, market value of 1.1136 million yuan) [2] - CNOOC (0.29% holding, 58,000 shares, market value of 1.0041 million yuan) [2] - China Shenhua Energy (0.29% holding, 30,500 shares, market value of 982,600 yuan) [2] - China Pacific Insurance (0.29% holding, 164,000 shares, market value of 1.0107 million yuan) [2] - China Unicom (0.28% holding, 104,000 shares, market value of 952,800 yuan) [2] - Agricultural Bank of China (0.27% holding, 189,000 shares, market value of 933,900 yuan) [2]
部分煤炭股继续上扬 安监趋严下旺季煤价有望上涨 机构看好煤炭周期与红利双逻辑
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 06:33
开源证券指出,多数煤企依然保持了高分红的意愿,中报仍有6家上市煤企发布中期分红方案(中国神 华/山西焦煤(000983)/陕西煤业(601225)/上海能源(600508)/兖矿能源(600188)/中煤能源)。 资本市场在全球政经高度不确定以及国内稳经济的预期下,投资行为存在情绪上的脉冲,煤炭板块具备 周期与红利的双重属性,当前煤炭持仓低位,基本面已到拐点右侧,已到布局时点。 部分煤炭股继续上扬,截至发稿,力量发展(01277)涨5.19%,报1.62港元;易大宗(01733)涨4.6%,报 0.91港元;中煤能源(601898)(01898)涨2.63%,报11.71港元;中国神华(601088)(01088)涨1.3%,报 41.98港元。 消息面上,申万宏源表示,大秦铁路(601006)检修结束,调入量环比回升、但同比仍偏低。同时,中 央安全生产考核巡查组将于11月全面进驻,主产区安监形势趋于严峻,进一步强化市场对供给收紧的预 期。展望后市,预计11月后安监趋严;运费上涨带来发运倒挂、与冬季取暖旺季需求共振,预计动力煤 价格修整后将上涨。 ...
部分煤炭股继续上扬 力量发展(01277.HK)涨5.19%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-04 03:37
每经AI快讯,部分煤炭股继续上扬,截至发稿,力量发展(01277.HK)涨5.19%,报1.62港元;易大宗 (01733.HK)涨4.6%,报0.91港元;中煤能源(01898.HK)涨2.63%,报11.71港元;中国神华(01088.HK)涨 1.3%,报41.98港元。 ...