证券研究报告·海外公司点评·保险(HS) 友邦保险（01299.HK） 2025 年中报点评： NBV、NBV Margin 均提 升，中期每股股息同比+10% 买入（维持） | Table_EPS] [盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 保险收益（百万美元） | 17514 | 19314 | 20108 | 20968 | 21897 | | 同比（%） | 7.32% | 10.28% | 4.11% | 4.28% | 4.43% | | 税后营运利润（百万美元） | 6213 | 6605 | 7090 | 7666 | 8307 | | 同比（%） | -3.24% | 6.31% | 7.34% | 8.12% | 8.37% | | EPS（美元/股） | 0.36 | 0.65 | 0.70 | 0.82 | 0.93 | | EV（美元/股） | 6.42 | 6.57 | 6.95 | 7.39 | 7.88 | | P/EV | 1.49 | ...

上证报中国证券网讯（记者 何奎）8月21日，友邦保险发布截至2025年6月30日止6个月的财务业绩公告 显示，该公司拟派发中期股息每股49港仙，同比增长10%。 来源：上海证券报·中国证券网 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - AIA reported a 14% increase in the Value of New Business (VONB) to a record high of $2,800,000,000, with underlying free surplus generation per share growing by 10% and operating profit after tax per share rising by 12% [2][22] - The operating return on embedded value (ROEV) increased by 290 basis points to 17.8%, while the operating return on equity (ROE) reached a record 16.2% [22][34] - The company returned $3,700,000,000 to shareholders in the first half, with a 10% increase in the interim dividend per share declared by the Board [3][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Hong Kong, VONB reached a record $1,100,000,000, up 24%, driven by strong demand from both domestic customers and mainland Chinese visitors [3][4] - AIA China reported VONB of $743,000,000, with growth accelerating to 15% in the second quarter, supported by a professional agency model [5][8] - The ASEAN region saw VONB grow by 20% to over $1,000,000,000, with agency VONB up by 22% and partnerships up by 16% [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - AIA's new regions in Mainland China grew by 36% in the first half, contributing over 8% of AIA China's VONB [8] - The company remains the leading life and health insurer in ASEAN, with 95% of VONB coming from traditional protection and long-term savings products [10] - In India, Tata AIA Life's VONB increased by 38%, with the agency contributing more than half of the total VONB [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - AIA's growth strategy focuses on high-quality, profitable new business, leveraging its competitive advantages in distribution and innovative product offerings [12][14] - The company aims to capture the growing demand for life and health insurance in Asia, driven by favorable demographics and rising personal financial assets [13][40] - AIA is committed to integrating health care into its insurance solutions, enhancing customer value and supporting sustainable profitability [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in AIA's ability to deliver compounding new business growth, sustaining higher earnings and cash flow generation into the future [21][40] - The company highlighted the importance of maintaining a diversified portfolio of high-quality recurring profit streams that are resilient across economic cycles [3][12] - Management noted that Asia is the most attractive region for life and health insurance, with significant growth opportunities ahead [12][40] Other Important Information - AIA's agency remains the number one in Hong Kong and Macau, contributing significantly to growth, with a 35% increase in the agency's new business [4][15] - The company has implemented a robust capital management policy, targeting a payout ratio of 75% of annual net free surplus generation [36][101] - AIA has returned a total of $22,000,000,000 to shareholders since 2022, demonstrating its commitment to shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks [39][101] Q&A Session Summary Question: TSR guidance for 2026 and significance of India's new business value - Management acknowledged the importance of TSR and highlighted the direct returns to shareholders through increasing dividends and buybacks [45][49] - Regarding Tata AIA's performance, it was noted that India contributes approximately one-third of the group's new business value [46][55] Question: Growth ambition for AIA China and sustainability of ROE and ROEV - Management confirmed the ambitious 40% CAGR target for new regions in China, emphasizing a balance between stretch and quality [58][61] - The record highs in ROE and ROEV were attributed to high-quality new business and disciplined capital management [69][70] Question: Impact of competitive landscape changes in Hong Kong and future dividend expectations - Management indicated strong fundamentals in Hong Kong, with agency sales contributing significantly to growth despite competitive pressures [94][97] - The company remains flexible in its capital management, considering both dividends and buybacks for shareholder returns [101][102]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - AIA Group reported a 14% increase in the Value of New Business (VONB) to a record high of $2,800,000,000, with underlying free surplus generation per share growing by 10% and operating profit after tax per share rising by 12% [1][21] - The operating return on embedded value (ROEV) increased by 290 basis points to 17.8%, while operating return on equity (ROE) reached a record 16.2% [21][31] - The company returned $3,700,000,000 to shareholders in the first half, with a declared 10% increase in interim dividend per share [2][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Hong Kong, VONB reached $1,100,000,000, up 24%, driven by strong demand from both domestic customers and mainland Chinese visitors [2][3] - AIA's agency channel in Hong Kong saw a 35% increase in Direct Operating New Business (DOMB), supported by a larger active agent base and productivity gains [3] - AIA China reported VONB of $743,000,000, with growth accelerating to 15% in the second quarter, primarily driven by the professional primary agency [4][6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ASEAN region contributed over one-third of the group's VONB, with a 20% increase to over $1,000,000,000 for the first time [7] - In India, Tata AIA Life achieved a VONB growth of 38%, maintaining its position as a market leader in retail protection [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - AIA's strategy focuses on high-quality recurring profit streams in protection, health, and long-term savings, which are resilient across economic cycles [2][12] - The company aims to replicate its success in Mainland China, expecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 40% in new business from newly entered regions over the next five years [6][60] - AIA is leveraging its multichannel distribution platform and innovative product offerings to meet the growing needs of Asia's middle class and affluent populations [12][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in AIA's ability to deliver sustainable growth and long-term value for shareholders, citing strong fundamentals and a robust capital management policy [20][37] - The company highlighted the compelling demographics in Asia, with a rapidly expanding customer base for protection, health, and retirement needs [10][11] Other Important Information - AIA's integrated health care strategy is enhancing customer value and supporting sustainable profitability, with a focus on personalized health products [15][16] - The company has made significant investments in technology, including generative AI, to improve customer engagement and operational efficiency [18][19] Q&A Session Summary Question: TSR guidance for 2026 and significance of India's new business value - Management acknowledged the importance of TSR and highlighted the direct returns to shareholders through increasing dividends and share buybacks [42][47] - Regarding Tata AIA's contribution, it was noted that India's new business value is still below 5% of the total group new business value [43][50] Question: Growth ambition for AIA China and sustainability of ROE and ROEV - Management confirmed the ambitious 40% CAGR target for new regions in China, emphasizing a balance between stretch and quality [57][60] - The record high ROE and ROEV were attributed to high-quality new business and effective management of the in-force book [68][70] Question: Impact of competitive landscape changes in Hong Kong - Management indicated strong fundamentals in Hong Kong, with continued growth expected despite competitive pressures [93][96] - The launch of a new innovative long-term savings product was well received, contributing to sustained demand [89][98] Question: Future capital management and shareholder returns - Management reiterated a commitment to a prudent and progressive dividend policy, with flexibility to return excess capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [101][102]

2025 INTERIM RESULTS PRESENTATION 21 August 2025 DISCLAIMER This document ("document") has been prepared by AIA Group Limited (the "Company", and together with its subsidiaries, "AIA", the "Group" or "AIA Group") solely for use at the presentation held in connection with the announcement of the Company's financial results (the "Presentation"). References to "document" in this disclaimer shall be construed to include any oral commentary, statements, questions, answers and responses at the Presentation. No re ...

Core Insights - AIA Group reported a 14% year-on-year increase in new business value, reaching $2.838 billion, with a new business value margin rising to 57.7% [1] - Annualized new premiums increased by 8% to $4.942 billion, while post-tax operating profit rose by 6% to $3.609 billion [1] - The group's insurance services performance grew by 19% to $3.517 billion, driven by the compound effect of new business and positive claims experience [1] Business Performance - The contribution of contract service margin to post-tax operating profit was $3.043 billion, leading to a 10.3% growth in basic contract service margin, which reached $61.38 billion at the end of the period [1] - Basic free surplus generated was $3.569 billion, with earnings per share increasing by 10% [1] Distribution Channels - New business value from agency channels grew by 17%, attributed to the application of generative artificial intelligence and technology investments, resulting in increased active agents and productivity [1] - New business value from partner distribution channels rose by 8% [1] Growth Outlook - The company remains optimistic about long-term growth drivers such as the continuous growth of wealth in Asia, low insurance penetration rates, and limited social welfare coverage [1] - AIA Group is confident in achieving a compound annual growth rate of 9% to 11% in post-tax operating profit per share over the next three years [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the top short-selling stocks in the market, indicating significant investor sentiment and potential volatility in these companies' stock prices [1][2][3]. Short Selling Ratios - The top three stocks by short-selling ratio are: - Sun Hung Kai Properties-R (80016) at 100.00% - Lenovo Group-R (80992) at 98.00% - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) at 87.44% [2][3]. Short Selling Amounts - The leading stocks by short-selling amount are: - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) with a short-selling amount of 2.084 billion - Tencent Holdings (00700) at 1.612 billion - Pop Mart (09992) at 1.110 billion [1][3]. Deviation Values - The stocks with the highest deviation values are: - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) at 47.80% - Lenovo Group-R (80992) at 41.56% - China Mobile-R (80941) at 40.57% [1][3]. Additional Insights - The report provides a detailed table of the top ten stocks by short-selling ratios, amounts, and deviation values, indicating a trend of increased short-selling activity in certain sectors [2][3].

本文源自：金融界AI电报 友邦保险上半年新业务价值强劲增长，主要受香港保单热销推动。这家总部位于香港的保险公司周四报 告，衡量新保单未来盈利能力的指标上半年同比增长16%，至28.4亿美元。若剔除汇率波动影响，增幅 为14%。友邦保险董事会将中期股息提高10%，至每股0.49港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - AIA Group reported a strong performance for the first half of 2025, with new business value increasing by 14% to USD 2.838 billion, reflecting the company's strategic focus on high-quality underwriting and market opportunities in Asia [1][2] Financial Performance - New business value rose 14% to USD 2.838 billion, with a new business value margin increasing by 3.4 percentage points to 57.7% [1] - Annualized new premiums reached USD 4.942 billion, an 8% year-on-year increase [1] - After-tax operating profit was USD 3.609 billion, up 6% year-on-year, with basic after-tax operating profit per share at HKD 0.3394 [1] - The insurance services segment saw a 19% growth in after-tax operating profit to USD 3.517 billion, indicating strong performance driven by new business and positive claims experience [1] Margins and Surplus - The basic contract service margin increased to 10.3%, contributing USD 3.043 billion to after-tax operating profit, with an ending contract service margin of USD 61.38 billion [2] - Basic free surplus, a key operational metric for cash generation, was USD 3.569 billion, reflecting a 10% increase per share [2] Distribution and Market Strategy - The "Best Agents" platform, a core distribution channel, saw a 17% increase in new business value, driven by the adoption of generative AI and increased productivity among active agents [2] - The partnership distribution channel also contributed to growth, with new business value rising by 8% in the first half of the year [2] Long-term Outlook - The company maintains a target of a compound annual growth rate of 9% to 11% for after-tax operating profit per share by August 2024 [1] - The CEO emphasized the attractiveness of the Asian life and health insurance market, driven by rising wealth and low insurance penetration, supporting the company's long-term business prospects [2]

Core Viewpoint - AIA Group Limited (01299) announced that it will distribute an interim dividend of HKD 0.49 per share on September 23, 2025 [1] Company Summary - AIA Group Limited is set to pay an interim dividend of HKD 0.49 per share [1]