Revenue and Profit - Revenue for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was RMB 4,626.9 million, a decrease of 3.4% compared to RMB 4,788.4 million for the same period in 2024[3] - Profit attributable to owners of the company for the same period was RMB 107.0 million, a significant recovery from a loss of RMB 28.9 million in the previous year[3] - Basic earnings per share for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was RMB 0.015, compared to a loss of RMB 0.004 per share in the same period last year[3] - The total revenue for the period reached RMB 4,626,900,000, a decrease of 3.4% compared to RMB 4,788,400,000 in the same period of 2024[13] - The profit attributable to the owners of the company was RMB 107,000,000, compared to a loss of RMB 28,900,000 in the same period of 2024[15] Financial Position - Total assets as of March 31, 2025, were RMB 71,951.6 million, remaining stable compared to RMB 71,963.1 million as of December 31, 2024[3] - Equity attributable to owners of the company increased by 0.3% to RMB 44,241.9 million from RMB 44,121.2 million[3] - The debt-to-equity ratio increased to 36.0% from 34.6% in the previous period[3] - The company reported a net cash position of RMB 2,078.6 million as of March 31, 2025, compared to RMB 2,235.2 million at the end of December 2024[6] - The company’s total liabilities decreased to RMB 14,301.7 million from RMB 16,179.7 million, indicating improved financial stability[7] Gross Profit and Margins - Gross profit for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was RMB 755.4 million, up from RMB 661.5 million in the same period last year[5] - The gross profit for the period was RMB 755,400,000, an increase of 14.2% from RMB 661,500,000 in the same period of 2024[14] - The overall gross margin improved to 16.3%, up 2.5 percentage points from 13.8% in the same period of 2024[14] - The gross margin for cement products was 16.7%, for concrete was 13.2%, and for aggregates was 24.4%, with respective figures of 11.1%, 13.0%, and 35.3% in the same period of 2024[14] Dividends - The company did not declare any interim dividend for the period, consistent with the previous year[12]

国泰海通主要观点如下： 水泥需求下滑幅度进入放缓区间行业盈利就有望改善需要达成合意错峰天数，实现供给侧优化的累积与 下滑的需求匹配。如需求下降较快，合意天数达成难度大，现需求弱降甚至单月正增长有助于合意天数 的达成进而对价格形成更强的支撑。 投资建议 国泰海通发布研报称，3月以来华东和华南磨机开工率保持正增长，3月初至4月10日华东、华南平均磨 机开工率分别为63%、62%，较2024年同期的55%、51%有明显提升；沿江熟料库存保持在40%以下的 低位，水泥需求正增长的确信度高。从微观角度看，卓创等数据统计的样本(多为大企业)磨机开工率表 征的需求更佳，海螺水泥（600585）一季度销量优于行业实现正增长，考虑到大企业在大型基建项目中 份额更高，微观数据亦可验证基建是需求增长的抓手。 磨机开工率、库存印证数据可靠性高，3月水泥需求正增长 从卓创磨机开工率、库存可验证需求数据的可靠性：3月以来华东和华南磨机开工率保持正增长，3月初 至4月10日华东、华南平均磨机开工率分别为63%、62%，较2024年同期的55%、51%有明显提升；沿江 熟料库存保持在40%以下的低位，水泥需求正增长的确信度高。自2021下半 ...

要点 新订单指数在2025年4月环比上升8.7点至57.5.基本符合季节性规律。市场情绪在2025年4月恶化至 34.3(环比下降12.1点)。 房地产新开工降幅收窄;水利基础设施建设依然强劲，3月份公路和铁路基础设施建设数据有所改善。 3 月份房地产新开工降幅收窄 中国房地产销售降幅收窄，但新开工依然疲软。2025年1-3月，中国房地产投资同比下降9.9%，与2025 年1-2月的9.8%相近。2025年3月新房销售降幅收窄至-3.0%(2025年1-2月同比降幅为-5.19%)。然而， 2025年1-3月新开工建筑面积仍同比下降24.6%(2025年1-2月为-29.9%)，这表明3月降幅收窄至同比下降 18.7%。 中原地产数据显示，二手房周销量自2021年以来一直保持在历史高位。2025年1-3月基础设施投资增长 5.8%(2025年1-2月为5.6%)，其中水利/铁路/公路投资同比增长+36.8%/+0.5%/-0.2%(2025年1-2月为 +39.1%/+0.2%/-3.2%)，显示3月份数据有所改善。 与此同时，2025年3月水泥需求同比增长2.5%，扭转了2025年1-2月-5.7%的局面， ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 23.038 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 9.8%, and a net profit of 211 million yuan, down 67.2% year-on-year [2][4]. - The overall demand in the regional market is under pressure, with the company's cement segment sales declining by 10.9% year-on-year [2][8]. - The increase in management expenses, which reached 2.63 billion yuan, approximately 300 million yuan more than in 2023, significantly impacted performance [2][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's cement products, concrete, and aggregate sales were 61.714 million tons, 13.209 million cubic meters, and 69.352 million tons, representing decreases of 10.9%, increases of 39.6%, and increases of 52.1% respectively compared to 2023 [8]. - The average selling prices for cement products, concrete, and aggregates were 243.7 yuan/ton, 319.5 yuan/cubic meter, and 36.4 yuan/ton, showing decreases of 10.6%, 12.9%, and an increase of 2.8% respectively year-on-year [8]. - The gross profit margins for cement products, concrete, and aggregates were 15.1%, 12.2%, and 35.1% respectively, compared to 11.7%, 11.9%, and 54.3% in 2023 [8]. Market Outlook - The overall cement production in China decreased by 9.5% year-on-year to approximately 1.83 billion tons in 2024 [8]. - The company is expected to see performance improvements in 2025 and 2026, with projected net profits of 1.1 billion yuan and 1.3 billion yuan, corresponding to price-earnings ratios of 11 and 9 times respectively [6][8]. - The South China market is anticipated to improve, with the Greater Bay Area construction providing momentum [8]. Business Expansion - The aggregate business is in a growth phase, with the company having an annual production capacity of approximately 108.6 million tons through its subsidiaries and joint ventures [8]. - The expected capital expenditure for 2025 is 2.52 billion yuan, which is a reduction compared to previous years [8].

丨证券研究报告丨 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 范超 李金宝 SAC：S0490513080001 SAC：S0490516040002 SFC：BQK473 港股研究丨公司点评丨华润建材科技（1313.HK） [Table_Title] 期待华南市场改善，公司业绩弹性释放 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司发布 2024 年报，实现收入 230.38 亿元，同比下降 9.8%，实现净利润 2.11 亿元，同比下 降 67.2%。区域市场需求整体承压，公司全年水泥板块销量同比下滑 10.9%；同时报告期内公 司管理费用 26.3 亿，相比 2023 年增加约 3 亿元，也成为业绩的一大拖累。 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 公司发布 2024 年报，实现收入 230.38 亿元，同比下降 9.8%，实现净利润 2.11 亿元，同比下 降 67.2%。 事件评论 ⚫ 预计公司 2025-2026 年业绩为 11、13 亿，对应 PE 为 11、9 倍，买入评级。 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 华润建材科技（1313.HK） cjzqdt11111 [ ...

风险提示：需求断崖式下滑、供给侧调控放松。 -23% -5% 13% 31% 49% 67% 2024/3 2024/4 2024/5 2024/6 2024/7 2024/8 2024/9 2024/10 2024/11 2024/12 2025/1 2025/2 2025/3 52周内股价走势图 华润建材科技 恒生指数 [Table_Report] 相关报告 | [table_Authors] 鲍雁辛(分析师) | 花健祎(分析师) | 巫恺洋(研究助理) | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元)： | 1.85 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 0755-23976830 | 0755-23976858 | 0755-23976666 | | | | baoyanxin@gtjas.com | huajianyi@gtjas.com | wukaiyang028675@gtjas.com | [Table_Market] | | | 登记编号 S0880513070005 | S0880521010001 | S0880123070145 | 交易数 ...

港股公司报告 | 公司点评 华润建材科技（01313） 证券研究报告 优质资产或被显著低估，维持"买入"评级 25 年水泥涨价盈利弹性可期，优质资产或被显著低估 公司 24 年全年实现归母净利润 2.11 亿元，同比下降 67.25% 公司发布 24 年年报，全年实现收入/归母净利润 230.38/2.11 亿元，同比 -10.47%/-67.25%，实现扣非归母净利润 2.11 亿元，同比-36.73%。其中 Q4 单季度实现收入 70.4 亿元，同比-16.4%，归母净利润-0.98 亿元，同比增 亏，扣非归母净利润-0.98 亿元，同比减亏。24 年公司共计提减值 5 亿元， 其中商誉/固定资产/存货减值分别计提 2.68/1.59/0.66 亿元。 水泥主业量价有所下滑，25 年水泥涨价盈利弹性可期 24 年公司水泥熟料收入 1.5 亿元，同比下降 20%，销量同比-11%达 6171 万吨，测算吨均价同比下滑 29 元（-11%）达 244 元，吨成本同比下降 33 元（-14%）达 207 元，主要受煤炭采购价格同比降低 14%影响，吨毛利同 比提升 4 元（+13%）达 37 元。Q4 水泥价格 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 2.304 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 211 million for 2024, representing a year-on-year decline of 9.8% and 67.2% respectively. The decline is attributed to falling cement prices and increased impairment losses. However, with the gradual recovery of construction activity and the implementation of staggered production, cement prices are expected to rise, benefiting the company as a leading player in South China [1][2][5] - The company’s gross margin improved significantly in Q4, with a gross margin of 19.3%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points from the previous quarter. The aggregate business saw a high growth in sales volume, with a year-on-year increase of 56.2% [2][4] - The company plans to reduce capital expenditures by 47.7% to RMB 2.52 billion in 2025, which is expected to further improve its financial condition [3][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenues of RMB 2.304 billion, with a net profit of RMB 211 million, reflecting a decline of 9.8% and 67.2% year-on-year respectively. The second half of 2024 saw revenues of RMB 1.259 billion and a net profit of RMB 50 million, down 11.3% and 44.1% year-on-year [1][2] - The company’s sales in the cement, concrete, and aggregate segments were RMB 15.04 billion, RMB 4.16 billion, and RMB 2.52 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of -20.4%, +21.6%, and +56.2% [2] Cost and Margin Analysis - The gross margin for cement, concrete, and aggregate was 15.1%, 12.2%, and 35.1% respectively, with year-on-year changes of +3.4, +0.3, and -19.2 percentage points. The gross margin for Q4 was 19.3%, showing a significant improvement [2][3] - The company’s selling expense ratio decreased slightly to 1.8%, while the management expense ratio increased to 11.4% due to declining revenues [3] Market Outlook - As of March 14, 2025, the national average cement price was RMB 402 per ton, up 9.9% year-on-year. The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in cement prices starting in March 2025 [4] - The company aims to enhance energy efficiency in its cement production lines, with 18 lines meeting the highest energy consumption standards by the end of 2024, which is expected to further highlight its cost advantages [4] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is RMB 0.16, RMB 0.18, and RMB 0.20 respectively, with an upward revision of 21.3% and 29.4% from previous estimates [5][17] - The target price has been adjusted downwards by 17.2% to HKD 2.92, based on a price-to-book ratio of 0.43x for 2025 [5][9]

Financial Performance - Revenue for the year 2024 was RMB 23,037.8 million, a decrease of 9.8% compared to RMB 25,549.6 million in 2023[3]. - Profit attributable to the owners of the company for 2024 was RMB 210.9 million, down 67.2% from RMB 643.8 million in 2023[3]. - Basic earnings per share for 2024 were RMB 0.030, compared to RMB 0.092 in 2023[8]. - Total comprehensive income for the year was RMB 80.1 million, down from RMB 578.4 million in 2023[8]. - The total revenue for the cement division was RMB 15,039,498, for the concrete division was RMB 4,161,956, and for aggregates and others was RMB 3,836,335, resulting in a total revenue of RMB 23,037,789 for the year ended December 31, 2024[20]. - The total revenue for the cement division was RMB 18,885,692, for the concrete division was RMB 3,423,245, and for aggregates and others was RMB 3,240,711, resulting in a total revenue of RMB 25,549,648 for the year ended December 31, 2023[22]. - The operating profit for the cement division was RMB 829,450, for the concrete division was RMB 236,590, and for aggregates and others was RMB 480,096, totaling an operating profit of RMB 1,546,136 for the year ended December 31, 2024[21]. - The operating profit for the cement division was RMB 814,698, for the concrete division was RMB 129,434, and for aggregates and others was RMB 815,636, totaling an operating profit of RMB 1,759,768 for the year ended December 31, 2023[22]. - The pre-tax profit for the year 2024 was RMB 449,529, compared to RMB 913,823 for the year 2023, indicating a significant decline[21][22]. - The net profit margin for 2024 was 0.5%, down from 2.4% in 2023, reflecting a decrease of 1.9 percentage points[101]. Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of December 31, 2024, were RMB 71,963.1 million, a decrease of 1.1% from RMB 72,792.2 million in 2023[3]. - The company's equity attributable to owners remained stable at RMB 44,121.2 million in 2024, compared to RMB 44,108.5 million in 2023[3]. - The debt-to-equity ratio improved to 34.6% in 2024 from 36.9% in 2023[3]. - As of December 31, 2024, the group's cash and bank balances were RMB 2,632.99 million, down from RMB 2,888.05 million in 2023[103]. - The total bank loans as of December 31, 2024, were RMB 14,067.71 million, a decrease from RMB 16,090.11 million in 2023[105]. - The group has unutilized bank loan facilities of RMB 28,093.2 million as of December 31, 2024[106]. Dividends and Shareholder Information - The company proposed a final dividend of HKD 0.01 per share, up from HKD 0.006 in 2023[3]. - The total dividends declared for 2024 amount to RMB 166,150,000, down from RMB 319,989,000 in 2023, with the interim dividend per share decreasing from HKD 0.041 to HKD 0.02[29]. - The board has proposed a final dividend of 0.01 HKD per share for the year ending December 31, 2024, compared to 0.006 HKD per share for the previous year[121]. - The interim dividend for 2024 is set at 0.02 HKD per share, down from 0.041 HKD per share in 2023[121]. - The company will suspend share transfer registration from May 26, 2025, to May 30, 2025, to determine shareholder eligibility for voting at the annual general meeting[123]. Operational Efficiency - The company achieved a cement production line utilization rate of 69.2%, a decrease from 71.8% in 2023, while concrete and aggregate utilization rates were 33.9% and 85.9%, respectively[57]. - The company’s cost management strategy led to a significant reduction in production costs, with most product costs decreasing compared to the previous year[58]. - The company’s production lines meeting the GB16780 energy consumption standards increased to 18, representing 42% of total capacity, up from 14 lines in 2023[58]. - The company has implemented a digital transformation project across all major regions, achieving 100% coverage in marketing model digitization, with a cumulative shipment volume of approximately 280 million tons and 45,000 registered users on the e-commerce platform by the end of December 2024[79]. - The company has established a smart logistics system across 16 bases, reducing hardware failure rates and operational costs, and simplifying the delivery process for drivers[78]. Employee and Cost Management - The total employee costs for 2024 amounted to RMB 2,829,743, down from RMB 3,056,899 in 2023, reflecting a decrease of approximately 7.4%[26]. - The company employed a total of 17,030 employees as of December 31, 2024, a decrease from 17,939 employees in the previous year[85]. - General and administrative expenses increased by 13.3% to RMB 2,630.1 million in 2024 from RMB 2,322.1 million in 2023, accounting for 11.4% of total revenue, up from 9.1% in 2023[97]. - In 2024, sales and distribution expenses amounted to RMB 425 million, a decrease of 16.0% from RMB 506.2 million in 2023, representing 1.8% of total revenue compared to 2.0% in 2023[96]. Market and Economic Outlook - In 2024, China's GDP is projected to grow by 5.0% to RMB 134.9 trillion, with fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) increasing by 3.2% to RMB 51.4 trillion[36]. - The total investment in infrastructure (excluding electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply) is expected to rise by 4.4% in 2024[38]. - The new construction area of commercial housing in China decreased by 12.9% year-on-year to 970 million square meters in 2024[40]. - The Chinese government aims for a GDP growth target of approximately 5% for 2025, with a consumer price increase target of around 2%[113]. - A total of 1.3 trillion RMB in special long-term bonds and 4.4 trillion RMB in local government special bonds are planned to support infrastructure construction[113]. Environmental and Technological Initiatives - The company has developed a carbon capture and utilization integrated industrial process with an annual CO2 capture capacity of 100,000 tons, promoting green innovation and carbon neutrality in the cement industry[81]. - The company has developed a new cement carbon reduction grinding aid technology, which has been applied in 10 new bases, reducing clinker consumption by 4% to 6%[81]. - The company has received recognition for its technological advancements, including a project that achieved international advanced levels in low-carbon cement production[55]. - The company has established 10 industrial parks to enhance business collaboration and strengthen its market position in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and Hainan[53]. - The company plans to promote the application of energy-saving and carbon-reduction technologies in cement grinding and has developed new raw material additives[55]. Strategic Focus and Future Plans - The company plans to focus on urban renewal actions and infrastructure construction, with a target of exceeding 58,000 old urban community renovations in 2024[40]. - The company plans to strengthen its core businesses in cement, aggregates, and concrete while enhancing cost reduction across the entire value chain[116]. - The company will increase its investment in technology research and development to promote intelligent, green, and high-end technology applications[116]. - The group aims to maintain a high long-term contract fulfillment rate with major coal suppliers and increase the proportion of imported coal from Australia[64]. - The group is actively promoting special products such as nuclear power cement and road silicate cement, with significant applications in major infrastructure projects in Southwest China[67]. Governance and Management - The company expressed gratitude to the board, management team, and all employees for their contributions to high-quality business development[127]. - The chairman acknowledged the ongoing trust and support from shareholders, customers, suppliers, business partners, and other stakeholders[127]. - The management team is dedicated to ensuring the company's growth and sustainability in the market[127]. - The board of directors is committed to overseeing the company's strategic direction and operational efficiency[127].

Financial Performance - For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, the company's revenue was RMB 15,774.6 million, a decrease of 13.1% compared to RMB 18,146.8 million for the same period in 2023[1] - The net profit attributable to the company's owners for the same period was RMB 308.6 million, down 51.6% from RMB 637.8 million in 2023[1] - The basic earnings per share decreased to RMB 0.044 from RMB 0.091 year-on-year[2] - The company reported a gross profit of RMB 2,397.7 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, down from RMB 2,805.6 million in 2023[2] - The consolidated revenue for the period reached RMB 15,774,600,000, representing a decrease of 13.1% from RMB 18,146,800,000 in the same period of 2023[12] - The consolidated gross profit for the period was RMB 2,397,700,000, down 14.5% from RMB 2,805,600,000 in the same period of 2023[13] - The consolidated gross profit margin for the period was 15.2%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points from 15.5% in the same period of 2023[13] - The decline in earnings and revenue was primarily attributed to lower selling prices of cement and concrete products compared to the previous year[13] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of September 30, 2024, amounted to RMB 73,085.2 million, reflecting a slight increase of 0.4% from RMB 72,792.2 million at the end of 2023[1] - The equity attributable to the company's owners was RMB 44,270.4 million, with a debt ratio of 38.6%, up from 36.9% in the previous year[1] - The total liabilities as of September 30, 2024, were RMB 15,672.4 million, compared to RMB 10,979.9 million at the end of 2023[4] - The company’s total equity increased slightly to RMB 45,889.1 million from RMB 45,747.2 million at the end of 2023[5] Cash and Inventory - The company's cash and bank balances decreased to RMB 1,698.6 million from RMB 2,603.7 million at the end of 2023[3] - The company’s inventory increased to RMB 2,197.7 million from RMB 1,896.0 million year-on-year[3] Dividends - The company declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.02 per share for the six months ended June 30, 2024, compared to HKD 0.041 per share for the same period in 2023[10] - The company did not recommend any dividend for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to no dividend for the same period in 2023[10] Currency and Reporting - The company adopted RMB as the presentation currency for its financial statements starting from 2023[11] Share Information - The weighted average number of shares for basic earnings per share calculation remained at 6,982,937,817 for both periods[8]