智通财经APP获悉，华润建材科技(01313)午前跌近3%，截至发稿，跌2.31%，报1.69港元，成交额 732.64万港元。 长江证券认为，就目前反内卷来看，水泥行业更多是围绕超产治理进行布局，有望出清一部分产能;更 重要在于，若严格按照备案产能生产，有望对生产秩序进行一定优化，真实产能利用率或一定改善。对 于过往产能利用率偏高的广东区域，边际供需改善带来的价格弹性值得期待。 消息面上，近期华润建材科技发布2025年三季度业绩，长江证券表示，从公司层面上看，华润建材科技 2025年前3季度水泥和熟料合计销量3943万吨，同比下降10%，水泥销量降幅大于行业，体现出公司积 极维护市场价格体系的自律担当;价格232元/吨，同比下降6元/吨。财务层面上看，前三季度公司综合毛 利率为16.9%，较2024年同期的15.2%增加1.7个百分点。毛利率增加主要由于水泥产品销售成本较2024 年同期下降所致，但部分被骨料及其他分部的毛利率下降所抵消。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 15.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.5%, while net profit reached 330 million, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%. However, the estimated net profit for Q3 2025 is 24 million, down 83% from 143 million in the same period last year [1][2]. Industry Overview - The cement industry is expected to face continued pressure in 2025, with national cement production in the first three quarters of 2025 at 1.259 billion tons, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2%. In September alone, production was 154 million tons, down 8.6% year-on-year [1]. - In the Guangdong and Guangxi markets, cement production growth rates for the first three quarters were -2.3% and -1.8%, respectively, which is better than the national average [1]. Company Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's total cement and clinker sales were 39.43 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 10%, indicating a decline greater than the industry average. The average price was 232 yuan per ton, down 6 yuan year-on-year [1]. - Concrete sales increased by 26% to 10.46 million cubic meters, with an average price of 296 yuan per cubic meter, down 38 yuan year-on-year [1]. - Aggregate sales reached 58.59 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 27%, with an average price of 34.7 yuan per ton, down approximately 2 yuan year-on-year [1]. Financial Metrics - The company's overall gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 16.9%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from 15.2% in the same period of 2024. This increase was primarily due to a decrease in the cost of cement product sales compared to 2024, although it was partially offset by a decline in gross margins for aggregates and other segments [2]. - The gross margins for cement products, concrete, and aggregates were 17.1%, 14.7%, and 25.4%, respectively, compared to 12.6%, 12.4%, and 38.6% in 2024 [2]. - Operating expenses, particularly management fees, have increased overall [2]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that supply-side governance will provide price recovery elasticity. The cement industry is focusing on overproduction governance, which may lead to the elimination of some production capacity. Strict adherence to approved production capacity could optimize production order and improve actual capacity utilization [2]. - For 2025-2026, the expected net profits are 510 million and 830 million, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 21 and 13 times, respectively, with a buy rating [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company's fundamentals are under pressure, compounded by increased management expenses, leading to a decline in profitability [4][5]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 15.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.5%, while net profit was 330 million, a year-on-year increase of 7.3%. However, the estimated net profit attributable to the company for Q3 2025 is 24 million, down 83% from 143 million in the same period last year [2][4]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved a revenue of 15.1 billion in Q3 2025, which is a 4.5% decrease year-on-year. The net profit for the same period was 330 million, reflecting a 7.3% increase year-on-year. However, the estimated net profit attributable to the company for Q3 2025 is 24 million, down 83% from 143 million in the same period last year [2][4][5]. Industry Analysis - The cement industry is expected to remain under pressure in 2025, with the company actively maintaining market order. The company's sales volume decreased more than the industry average, indicating a commitment to price stability. In the first three quarters of 2025, the national cement production was 1.259 billion tons, a year-on-year decrease of 5.2% [5]. - In the Guangdong and Guangxi markets, cement production growth rates for the first three quarters were -2.3% and -1.8%, respectively, performing better than the national average [5]. Financial Metrics - The company's overall gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 16.9%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points compared to 15.2% in the same period of 2024. This increase was primarily due to a decrease in the cost of cement product sales compared to the previous year, although it was partially offset by a decline in the gross margin of aggregates and other segments [6]. - The gross margins for cement products, concrete, and aggregates in the first three quarters of 2025 were 17.1%, 14.7%, and 25.4%, respectively, compared to 12.6%, 12.4%, and 38.6% in the same period of 2024 [6]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates that supply-side governance will provide price recovery elasticity. The cement industry is focusing on overproduction governance, which may lead to the elimination of some production capacity. If production is strictly aligned with registered capacity, it could optimize production order and improve actual capacity utilization [6]. - The expected earnings for 2025 and 2026 are 510 million and 830 million, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 21 and 13 times [6].

Core Insights - The article highlights the top short-selling stocks in the market, with Anta Sports, JD Group, and Tencent Holdings leading in short-selling ratios at 100.00%, 100.00%, and 95.83% respectively [1][2] - Alibaba, Xiaomi, and Pop Mart have the highest short-selling amounts, with figures of 1.746 billion, 1.525 billion, and 1.523 billion respectively [1][2] - The deviation values, which indicate the difference between current short-selling ratios and the average over the past 30 days, show Alibaba, Tencent, and JD Group at 50.20%, 42.97%, and 42.21% respectively [1][2] Short-Selling Ratio Rankings - Anta Sports-R (82020) and JD Group-SWR (89618) both have a short-selling ratio of 100.00%, while Tencent Holdings-R (80700) follows closely at 95.83% [2] - The short-selling amounts for the top three stocks are: Anta Sports-R at 59,000, JD Group-SWR at 636,800, and Tencent Holdings-R at 1,332,200 [2] Short-Selling Amount Rankings - Alibaba-SW (09988) leads with a short-selling amount of 1.746 billion, followed by Xiaomi Group-W (01810) at 1.525 billion and Pop Mart (09992) at 1.523 billion [2] - Other notable mentions include Tencent Holdings (00700) with 1.369 billion and Kuaishou-W (01024) with 710 million [2] Deviation Value Rankings - Alibaba-SWR (89988) has the highest deviation value at 50.20%, indicating a significant difference from its historical average short-selling ratio [2] - Tencent Holdings-R (80700) and JD Group-SWR (89618) also show high deviation values of 42.97% and 42.21% respectively [2]

Short Selling Ratios - Anta Sports (82020) has the highest short selling ratio at 100.00% with a short selling amount of 440,500 HKD [1][2] - Lenovo Group (80992) follows with a short selling ratio of 88.65% and a short selling amount of 803,600 HKD [1][2] - Xiaomi Group (81810) ranks third with a short selling ratio of 75.57% and a short selling amount of 1,474,100 HKD [1][2] Short Selling Amounts - Alibaba (09988) leads in short selling amount with 2.261 billion HKD and a short selling ratio of 16.63% [1][2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) is second with a short selling amount of 1.662 billion HKD and a short selling ratio of 19.83% [1][2] - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981) ranks third with a short selling amount of 926 million HKD and a short selling ratio of 10.37% [1][2] Deviation Values - Shengjing Bank (02066) has the highest deviation value at 60.67% with a short selling ratio of 72.42% [1][2] - Xiaomi Group (81810) also shows a significant deviation value of 47.28% [1][2] - The third highest deviation value is not specified but is noted to be 39.69% for an unspecified stock [1][2]

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年10月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 華潤建材科技控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年11月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01313 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 1,000,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 1,000,000,000 | ...

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the top short-selling stocks in the market, indicating significant investor sentiment and potential volatility in these companies' stock prices [1]. Group 1: Top Short-Selling Ratios - JD Health-R (86618) has the highest short-selling ratio at 100.00% [2] - China Resources Beer-R (80291) follows with a short-selling ratio of 97.44% [2] - Sun Hung Kai Properties-R (80016) ranks third with a short-selling ratio of 77.85% [2] Group 2: Top Short-Selling Amounts - Alibaba-SW (09988) leads in short-selling amount with 3.449 billion [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) has a short-selling amount of 3.116 billion [2] - Meituan-W (03690) follows with a short-selling amount of 2.066 billion [2] Group 3: Top Short-Selling Deviation Values - Dream Garden (N23076) has the highest deviation value at 33.73% [2] - Changjiang Life Technology (00775) follows with a deviation value of 32.22% [2] - Geely Automobile-R (80175) ranks third with a deviation value of 30.81% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 15.07 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.47%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 331 million yuan, an increase of 7.26% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.864 billion yuan, down 10.96% year-on-year, with a net profit of 24 million yuan, a significant decline of 82.97% year-on-year [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the revenue from cement, concrete, and aggregate businesses was 9.135 billion, 3.102 billion, and 2.034 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year change of -12.3%, +11.9%, and +21.3% respectively [1] - The gross margin for cement, concrete, and aggregate businesses was 17.1%, 14.7%, and 25.4%, with year-on-year changes of +4.5, +2.3, and -13.2 percentage points respectively [1] Group 2: Business Segment Analysis - Cement business faced declines in both volume and price, with sales of 39.427 million tons in the first three quarters of 2025, down 10.1% year-on-year, and a price drop of 6 yuan per ton [2] - Concrete business saw a significant increase in sales, with 10.464 million cubic meters sold in the first three quarters, up 26.2% year-on-year, while the gross margin increased by 2 yuan per ton [2] - Aggregate business also experienced high sales growth, with 58.593 million tons sold in the first three quarters, up 26.6% year-on-year, although the gross margin decreased by 5 yuan per ton [2] Group 3: Cost and Expense Management - Management expenses increased, leading to higher costs; for the first three quarters of 2025, the company’s per-ton expenses rose by 12 yuan to 60 yuan [2] - In Q3 2025, the per-ton expenses increased by 3 yuan to 50 yuan, with specific increases in sales, management, and financial expenses [2] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading cement producer in South China, with enhanced cost control capabilities, and is expected to benefit from policies aimed at reducing overcapacity and promoting cement price recovery [3] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 447 million, 634 million, and 946 million yuan, with corresponding EPS of 0.06, 0.09, and 0.14 yuan [3]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top short-selling stocks in the market, with Anta Sports-R and Great Wall Motors-R both having a short-selling ratio of 100.00% [1][2] - Alibaba-SW leads in short-selling amount at 1.343 billion, followed by Pop Mart at 1.242 billion and Tencent Holdings at 1.215 billion [1][2] Short-Selling Ratios - Anta Sports-R (82020) has a short-selling amount of 635,500 and a ratio of 100.00% with a deviation of 10.36% [2] - Great Wall Motors-R (82333) has a short-selling amount of 7,250 and a ratio of 100.00% with a deviation of 30.20% [2] - SenseTime-WR (80020) has a short-selling amount of 1,122,200 and a ratio of 97.63% with a deviation of 51.92% [2] - Lenovo Group-R (80992) has a short-selling amount of 2,438,200 and a ratio of 94.23% with a deviation of 34.69% [2] Short-Selling Amounts - Alibaba-SW (09988) has a short-selling amount of 1.343 billion with a ratio of 9.98% and a deviation of -6.17% [2] - Pop Mart (09992) has a short-selling amount of 1.242 billion with a ratio of 30.78% and a deviation of 9.42% [2] - Tencent Holdings (00700) has a short-selling amount of 1.215 billion with a ratio of 11.50% and a deviation of -4.97% [2] Short-Selling Deviation Values - SenseTime-WR (80020) has the highest deviation value at 51.92% [2] - HAPO Pharmaceutical-B (02142) has a short-selling amount of 15,513,500 with a deviation of 37.04% [2] - Lenovo Group-R (80992) has a deviation of 34.69% [2] - Great Wall Motors-R (82333) has a deviation of 30.20% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Western Securities indicates that China Resources Cement Technology, as a leading cement company in South China, is expected to benefit from improved cost control and policies aimed at alleviating overcapacity and promoting cement price recovery [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 15.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.47%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 331 million yuan, an increase of 7.26% [1] - In Q3 alone, the company reported revenue of 4.86 billion yuan, down 10.96% year-on-year, and a net profit of 24 million yuan, down 82.97% year-on-year [1] - The revenue from cement products, concrete, and aggregates for the first three quarters of 2025 was 9.13 billion yuan, 3.10 billion yuan, and 2.03 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -12.3%, +11.9%, and +21.3% [1] Group 2: Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margins for cement products, concrete, and aggregates were 17.1%, 14.7%, and 25.4%, reflecting year-on-year changes of +4.5, +2.3, and -13.2 percentage points [1] - In Q3, the gross profit margins for these segments were 10.6%, 16.1%, and 25.6%, with year-on-year changes of -3.0, +4.1, and -11.5 percentage points [1] Group 3: Cost Management - The company's per-ton expenses for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 12 yuan to 60 yuan, with sales, management, and financial expenses showing year-on-year changes of +0.2, +12, and -1 yuan [2] - In Q3, the per-ton expenses rose by 3 yuan to 50 yuan, with sales, management, and financial expenses reflecting year-on-year changes of +0.1, +5, and -2 yuan [2]