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极兔速递-W(1519.HK):东南亚领先优势扩大 新市场EBITDA转正
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-05 20:02
Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and adjusted net profit for the first half of 2025, indicating strong growth in the Southeast Asian market and challenges in the Chinese market [1][2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue reached $5.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.1% [1] - Adjusted EBITDA for H1 2025 was $440 million, reflecting a 24.2% year-on-year growth [1] - Adjusted net profit for H1 2025 was $160 million, showing a substantial increase of 147.1% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Southeast Asia Market - The company's business volume in Southeast Asia grew by 57.9% year-on-year to 3.23 billion pieces, with market share increasing by 5.4 percentage points to 32.8% [1] - The average revenue per piece and cost per piece were $0.61 and $0.50 respectively, down by $0.13 and $0.10 year-on-year [1] - Adjusted EBIT per piece increased by $0.007 to $0.073, with adjusted EBIT growing by 74.0% to $160 million [1] Group 3: China Market - In H1 2025, the company’s volume in China increased by 20.0% to 10.6 billion pieces, with market share rising by 0.1 percentage points to 11.1% [1] - Average revenue per piece and cost per piece in China were $0.30 and $0.28 respectively, both down by $0.04 year-on-year [1] - Adjusted EBIT per piece decreased by $0.006 to $0.001, with adjusted EBIT declining by 78.3% to $10 million due to intensified competition [1] Group 4: New Markets - The company’s volume in new markets grew by 21.7% year-on-year to 17 million pieces, with market share increasing by 0.1 percentage points to 6.2% [2] - Average revenue per piece and cost per piece in new markets were $2.18 and $1.92 respectively, both up by $0.04 year-on-year [2] - Adjusted EBIT per piece improved by $0.059 to -$0.106, leading to a positive EBITDA of $2 million [2] Group 5: Strategic Outlook - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the expansion of Chinese cross-border e-commerce platforms, particularly in Southeast Asia [3] - The management model is effective in driving volume growth through high cost-performance services [3] - There is potential for recovery in the Chinese market as pricing stabilizes in key regions [3] - The company anticipates adjusted net profits of $340 million, $550 million, and $860 million for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 34.8, 21.8, and 13.9 [3]
极兔速递(01519) - 2025 - 中期财报
2025-09-05 10:10
(A company controlled through weighted voting rights and incorporated in the Cayman Islands with limited liability) ( 於開曼群島註冊成立以不同投票權控制的有限責任公司 ) Stock Code 股份代號:1519 目錄 | 2 | 公司資料 | | --- | --- | | 4 | 財務摘要 | | 6 | 管理層討論與分析 | | 31 | 其他資料 | | 41 | 中期財務資料的審閱報告 | | 42 | 中期簡明合併損益表 | | 43 | 中期簡明合併全面收益表 | | 44 | 中期簡明合併資產負債表 | | 46 | 中期簡明合併權益變動表 | | 48 | 中期簡明合併現金流量表 | | 49 | 中期財務資料附註 | | 94 | 釋義 | 2025 Interim Report 中期報告 極兔速遞 2025 中期報告 J&T Express 2025 Interim Report 公司資料 董事會 執行董事 李傑(主席兼首席執行官) 非執行董事 鄭玉芬 廖清華 張源 獨立 ...
极兔速递-W(01519):东南亚领先优势扩大,新市场EBITDA转正
Changjiang Securities· 2025-09-05 07:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue reached $5.5 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.1%. Adjusted net profit was $160 million, a significant increase of 147.1% [2][5]. - The Southeast Asian market benefited from the expansion of e-commerce platforms led by TikTok, driving rapid growth in business volume and profits. The new markets achieved a positive EBITDA for the first time [2][10]. - The Chinese market faced price competition, leading to pressure on single-package profits, but there are signs of profit recovery in the second half of the year [2][10]. Summary by Sections Southeast Asia Market - The company saw a 57.9% year-on-year increase in business volume to 3.23 billion packages, with market share rising by 5.4 percentage points to 32.8%. The average revenue per package decreased by $0.13 to $0.61, while the average cost per package fell by $0.10 to $0.50 [10]. - The adjusted EBIT per package increased by $0.007 to $0.073, with adjusted EBIT growing by 74.0% to $160 million [10]. China Market - In the first half of 2025, the company’s package volume in China grew by 20.0% to 10.6 billion packages, with market share increasing by 0.1 percentage points to 11.1%. However, the average revenue and cost per package both decreased by $0.04 [10]. - The adjusted EBIT per package fell by $0.006 to $0.001, resulting in a 78.3% decline in adjusted EBIT to $10 million due to intensified competition [10]. New Markets - The new markets experienced a 21.7% year-on-year growth in package volume to 1.7 billion packages, with market share increasing by 0.1 percentage points to 6.2%. The average revenue per package rose by $0.04 to $2.18, while the average cost per package also increased by $0.04 to $1.92 [10]. - The adjusted EBIT per package improved by $0.059 to -$0.106, leading to a positive EBITDA of $2 million [10]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the expansion of e-commerce platforms and the "anti-involution" trend in the Chinese market, which may drive profit recovery in the second half of the year. The adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are $340 million, $550 million, and $860 million, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 34.8, 21.8, and 13.9 [10][11].
极兔速递(01519) - 截至二零二五年八月三十一日止月份之股份发行人的证券变动月报表
2025-09-04 10:07
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年8月31日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 極兔速遞環球有限公司 (於開曼群島註冊成立以不同投票權控制的有限公司) 呈交日期: 2025年9月4日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 979,333,410 | USD | | 0.000002 USD | | 1,958.67 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 979,333,410 | USD | | 0.000002 USD | | 1,958 ...
海通国际:7月快递单价降幅收窄 反内卷持续扩散
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 06:20
Core Viewpoint - The express delivery industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a notable increase in parcel volume and a trend towards "anti-involution" in pricing competition, which is expected to stabilize the market in the medium to long term [1][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In July 2025, the national express delivery volume reached 16.4 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 15.1%, while the volume for January to July 2025 totaled 112.05 billion parcels, up 18.7% year-on-year [1][2]. - The express delivery industry's revenue in July 2025 increased by 8.9% year-on-year, while the average revenue per parcel decreased by 5.3%. For the first seven months of 2025, revenue grew by 9.9%, with a 7.4% decline in average revenue per parcel [4]. Group 2: Company Performance - SF Express reported a remarkable business volume growth of 33.7% year-on-year in July 2025, leading the industry, with a 26.9% increase for the first seven months [2]. - Other major express companies such as YTO, Yunda, and Shentong also showed positive growth in July 2025, with year-on-year increases of 20.8%, 7.6%, and 11.9% respectively [2]. Group 3: Market Concentration - The market concentration in the express delivery sector is increasing, with the CR8 (concentration ratio of the top 8 companies) reaching 86.9% for January to July 2025, reflecting a 1.7% year-on-year increase [3]. - In Q2 2025, the market shares of leading companies such as Zhongtong, YTO, Yunda, Shentong, and Jitu increased compared to Q1, indicating a trend towards greater market concentration [3]. Group 4: Pricing and Competition - The decline in average revenue per parcel is narrowing, indicating a reduction in price competition due to the "anti-involution" measures being implemented. This trend is expected to ease competitive pressures in the short term while promoting healthy competition in the long term [4]. - The National Postal Administration has emphasized the need to combat "involution-style" competition, with recent meetings aimed at ensuring stable operations and pricing in the express delivery sector [4]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The "anti-involution" measures are anticipated to alleviate competitive pressures, with expectations for profitability recovery in the e-commerce express sector in the latter half of the year. The sustainability of price increases will be crucial for future profitability [5]. - Companies such as SF Express, YTO Express, Zhongtong Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda are highlighted as key investment opportunities due to their strong performance and potential for profit recovery [5].
极兔速递半年报:增长在海外,功夫在国内
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-09-03 02:51
Core Insights - J&T Express (1519.HK) reported a strong performance for the first half of 2025, with total revenue reaching $5.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.1%, and adjusted net profit of $156 million, more than doubling from the previous year with a growth rate of 147.1% [1][2] Overseas Growth - The significant profit increase for J&T Express is largely attributed to its overseas operations, particularly in Southeast Asia, where package volume surged by 57.9% and revenue grew by 29.6% [3][7] - In Southeast Asia, J&T Express's market share rose from 27.4% to 32.8%, gaining 5.4 percentage points, while competitors lost market share [10][11] - The company achieved this growth without excessive spending, reducing its single-package cost by 16.7% from $0.60 to $0.50, allowing for competitive pricing and increased order volume [12][13] - J&T Express also reported its first adjusted EBITDA profit in new markets like the Middle East and Latin America, transitioning from a loss of $7.84 million to a profit of $1.57 million [14] Domestic Operations - In the highly competitive Chinese market, J&T Express handled 10.6 billion packages, a 20.0% increase, slightly above the industry average growth of 19.3% [23][24] - The company maintained its market share at 11.1% and improved its ranking from sixth to fifth, despite a 7.7% decline in average prices [24][25] - J&T Express's strategy focused on maintaining profitability by managing costs effectively, with single-package revenue decreasing from $0.34 to $0.30, while costs fell from $0.32 to $0.28, effectively offsetting the impact of price competition [26][27] - The company implemented operational efficiencies through scale effects, refined management, and technological investments, operating 270 automated sorting devices and 600 unmanned logistics vehicles by mid-2025 [27][28] Global Strategy - The Chinese market serves as a testing ground for J&T Express's operational methodologies, which can be replicated globally [29][30] - The cost per package in China is $0.28, compared to $0.50 in Southeast Asia and $1.92 in new markets, indicating significant optimization potential in other regions [30][31]
国海证券晨会纪要-20250903
Guohai Securities· 2025-09-03 01:04
Group 1 - The report highlights that the overall economic environment is favorable for the bond market, but structural changes may arise if the stock market continues to perform well, potentially diverting demand from bonds [4] - The report indicates that in H1 2025, Weichai Power's revenue reached 113.15 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 0.6%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4.4% to 5.64 billion yuan [6][7] - The report notes that the heavy truck market in China is recovering, with wholesale sales increasing by 7% in H1 2025, and Weichai Power's engine sales reached 362,000 units, a 41% increase year-on-year [7][8] Group 2 - The report states that the REITs market has seen a significant breakthrough with the approval of the first foreign consumer REITs, indicating a growing interest in this investment vehicle [10][11] - The report mentions that the revenue of Hangcha Group reached 9.302 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting an 8.74% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 1.121 billion yuan, up 11.38% [14][15] - The report highlights that the sales volume of industrial vehicles in China reached 739,000 units in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 11.66%, indicating a robust market demand [15][16] Group 3 - The report indicates that Dou Shen Education achieved a revenue of 450 million yuan in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 36.13%, with a net profit of 104 million yuan, up 50.33% [20][21] - The report states that Weilon Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 272 million yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 12.86%, and a net profit of 59 million yuan, up 15.14% [24] - The report notes that China Construction Bank's revenue grew by 10.36% year-on-year in Q2 2025, with a significant contribution from non-interest income, which increased by 18.53% [28][29] Group 4 - The report highlights that Anhui Heli's revenue reached 9.4 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, and a net profit of 800 million yuan, down 4.6% [32][33] - The report indicates that the entertainment sector, particularly Cat Eye Entertainment, saw a revenue of 2.47 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.9%, despite a net profit decline of 37.3% [38][39] - The report mentions that Jingwei Hengrun achieved a revenue of 2.908 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 43.48%, and successfully turned a profit in Q2 2025 [42][43]
极兔速递(01519.HK):上半年经调整净利润1.56亿美元 同比+147% 持续看好公司三市场发力
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-02 11:59
1)东南亚市场:H1 件量达到32.3 亿件,同比+58%,市占率32.8%,同比+5.4pct;单票收入0.61 美元, 同比-0.13 美元,单票成本0.50 美元,同比-0.10美元,其中单票运输成本0.12 美元,同比-0.04 美元,单 票分拣成本0.04 美元,同比-0.02 美元。单票EBIT 0.073 美元,同比+0.007 美元。公司在东南亚抓住电 商高增长机遇,并将中国经验赋能东南亚,进一步巩固在东南亚的竞争优势。 2)中国市场:H1 件量达到106 亿件,同比+20%,市占率11.1%,同比+0.1pct;单票收入0.30 美元,同 比-0.04 美元,单票成本0.28 美元,同比-0.04 美元,其中单票运输成本0.05 美元,同比-0.02 美元,单票 分拣成本0.04 美元,同比-0.01 美元。单票EBIT 0.001 美元,同比-0.006 美元。 3)新市场:H1 件量达到1.7 亿件,同比+22%,市占率6.2%,同比+0.1pct;单票收入2.18 美元,同比 +0.04 美元,单票成本1.92 美元,同比+0.04 美元,其中单票运输成本0.25 美元,同比-0.07 ...
招银国际:升极兔速递-W目标价至13.4港元 维持“买入”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-02 08:56
招银国际发布研报称,极兔速递-W(01519)上半年经调整净利润同比升66%,主要是受到开支和财务费 用减少所带动。公司目标是全年包裹量分别在东南亚及新市场增长56%和38%,每个包裹的EBIT分别为 0.07美元和0.09美元。该行将极兔速递2025至27年的盈测微调,目标价由10港元上调至13.4港元,维 持"买入"评级。该行继续看好公司,认为其在东南亚拥有竞争优势和市场份额增长潜力,且在巴西和中 东等新市场同样拥有巨大潜力。 ...
交通运输行业周报:沃兰特获农银金租120架天行采购订单,极兔速递上半年东南亚市占率提升至32.8%-20250902
Investment Rating - The transportation industry is rated as "Outperform" [2] Core Insights - The report highlights a mixed performance in shipping rates, with a decline in European routes and a rebound in American routes. The overall trend in oil shipping rates has shown a recent correction [3][16] - EHang has deepened its cooperation with the Hefei government, and a significant order of 120 aircraft has been signed between Agricultural Bank of China Financial Leasing and Volant Aviation [3][17] - Yunda's revenue increased by 6.8% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, while J&T Express's market share in Southeast Asia rose to 32.8% [3][24] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Oil shipping rates have corrected, with European routes declining and American routes rebounding. The China Import Oil Comprehensive Index (CTFI) was reported at 1273.82 points, up 10.3% from the previous week [3][15] - EHang signed an investment cooperation agreement with the Hefei government, establishing a headquarters for its VT35 eVTOL series in Hefei, with a total order value of 3 billion yuan for 120 aircraft [3][17][18] - Yunda's revenue reached 24.833 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 6.8% increase year-on-year, while J&T Express reported a total revenue of 5.5 billion USD, a 13.1% increase [3][24][26] Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - In August 2025, the air cargo price index for routes from China to the Asia-Pacific region remained stable, with the Shanghai outbound air cargo price index at 4392.00 points, down 8.3% year-on-year [27][28] - The domestic freight volume for July 2025 increased by 15.04% year-on-year, with total express business volume reaching 164 billion pieces [54] - The shipping container index (SCFI) was reported at 1445.06 points, with a week-on-week increase of 2.10% but a year-on-year decrease of 51.24% [42] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies such as COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [5] - It also highlights investment opportunities in the low-altitude economy, public transportation, and express delivery sectors, recommending companies like SF Express, J&T Express, and Yunda [5]