Core Insights - The report emphasizes that domestic demand is recovering ahead of external demand, with a focus on low base effects in 2026, making bottomed-out sectors worth attention [3] - It highlights that upstream sectors are recovering before downstream sectors, with significant demand elasticity expected in early 2026, particularly in bulk supply chains and dry bulk shipping [3] - The report notes that price increases are anticipated before volume growth, with a focus on dry bulk shipping, e-commerce logistics, and airlines benefiting from supply constraints and favorable oil exchange rates [3] Industry Overview - The transportation sector ranked 29th in the market as of December 10, 2025, reflecting significant pressure on fundamentals, with a -1% performance in the Shenwan primary transportation index [18][19] - The report identifies structural opportunities in logistics and shipping, despite the overall economic cycle affecting the sector [20] - It indicates that the transportation sector's performance is closely tied to economic fundamentals, with a notable correlation between ROE and economic cycles [23] Sub-industry Analysis - In logistics, domestic demand is stabilizing while external trade remains robust, with expectations of price increases due to anti-involution policies [11][20] - The airline sector is experiencing improvements in supply and demand, with a focus on capturing opportunities in private airlines and airport duty-free consumption recovery [11][20] - The shipping sector, particularly dry bulk shipping, is highlighted as a cost-effective opportunity for 2026, driven by supply and demand dynamics [11][20] Investment Strategy - The report suggests a strategy of seeking alpha within beta, focusing on sectors with low beta characteristics that are expected to turn around in 2026 [11][20] - It emphasizes the importance of identifying individual stocks within the transportation sector that can outperform the broader market, given the anticipated recovery in demand [11][20] - The report outlines a cautious but optimistic outlook for 2026, with a focus on sectors that have shown resilience and potential for recovery [11][20]

黑猫投诉 【下载黑猫投诉客户端】发布11月企业投诉处理红黑榜单，数据均来源于黑猫投诉平台，反 映了企业在黑猫投诉平台的投诉处理解决情况。 截至2025年11月底，黑猫投诉平台累计收到消费者有效投诉超3116万件，11月有效投诉超80万件。 为了更加精准、及时地展现不同细分消费领域企业在黑猫平台的客诉处理情况，红黑榜单除了按行业划 分，还会根据近期热点消费事件设置"最受关注领域榜单"，为消费者提供更有价值的消费参考。 关键词：极兔速递不给取件码客服不处理 近日，有消费者在黑猫投诉平台反映，自己在淘宝网购由极兔速递配送，到货却未收到取件码，无法取 货。多次联系快递员无果，询问客服，客服也一直拖延，不给出处理方案，致其无法确认收货，体验极 差。截至目前，极兔速递近30天回复率为0%。 黑榜：光宇科斯特换电、智慧笑联、云马科技、福建国曼智能科技、小电科技、悦快闪充、悟空快充、 小遛共享、街电、咻电 红榜：哈啰、怪兽充电、松果电单车、倍电、搜电、聚宝充、南瓜侠 购物平台 黑榜：淘宝商城、闲鱼、天猫、1688、喵速达电器、阿里巴巴生意参谋、京东商城、京东到家、众家租 机、胜道体育 红榜：心悦汇商城、千山集、迪瓜租机、优购 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform" [2] Core Views - Crude oil freight rates have declined from high levels, with mixed changes in ocean freight rates. The China Import Crude Oil Composite Index (CTFI) was reported at 2321.90 points on December 4, down 7.9% from November 27. The VLCC market has seen transactions at major loading ports, with shipowners trying to maintain price levels despite a cooling market [3][14] - China Eastern Airlines has launched the world's longest one-way flight route from Shanghai to Buenos Aires, reducing travel time by over 4 hours. Additionally, a ton-class eVTOL was included in urban firefighting drills for the first time [3][16] - In November, China's express delivery volume exceeded 180 billion items for the first time, marking a new record. The first full schedule China-Europe freight train departed from Shijiazhuang [3][24] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates have decreased, with the Middle East route showing a 9.76% drop. The Shanghai port's export rates to Europe and the US have also seen declines of 0.3%, 5.0%, and 4.7% respectively [14][15] - The launch of the longest flight route by China Eastern Airlines connects Shanghai to Buenos Aires, significantly shortening travel time [16][17] - The express delivery volume in China reached a record high of 180 billion items in November, reflecting strong economic vitality [24][26] High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index has increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year. The Shanghai outbound air freight price index was reported at 5721.00 points, up 2.4% year-on-year [28] - Domestic freight flight numbers decreased by 2.03% year-on-year in November, while international flights increased by 14.88% [30] - The SCFI index for container shipping was reported at 1397.63 points, down 0.39% week-on-week and down 38.06% year-on-year [37] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [5] - Attention to the transportation demand increase driven by hydropower station construction in the Yarlung Tsangpo River downstream [5] - Investment opportunities in low-altitude economy trends, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [5] - Opportunities in the highway and railway sectors, recommending Gansu Expressway, Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway, and others [5] - Investment opportunities in the cruise and ferry sectors, recommending Bohai Ferry and Haixia Shares [5] - E-commerce and express delivery investment opportunities, recommending SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda [5] - Opportunities in the aviation sector, recommending Air China, China Southern Airlines, and others [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the transportation industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in shipping and logistics sectors [4]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the recovery and growth potential in the shipping market, with specific attention to the rise in VLCC (Very Large Crude Carrier) charter rates and the overall shipping market dynamics [6]. - It identifies key investment opportunities in companies such as China Merchants Energy, COSCO Shipping Energy, and others, while also suggesting a focus on high-dividend stocks in the transportation sector [6][22]. Summary by Sections Shipping Market - VLCC one-year charter rates have increased to $58,000 per day, indicating a strong market demand [6]. - The report notes a 6% week-on-week decline in VLCC rates, averaging $115,290 per day, but anticipates potential increases in the coming weeks due to expected cargo volume growth [6]. - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose by 6.5% to 2,727 points, with Capesize rates reaching a two-year high [6]. Air Transportation - The report highlights a significant opportunity for airlines due to the aging aircraft fleet and increasing passenger demand, predicting a "golden era" for the airline industry [6]. - Recommended stocks include China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and others, with a focus on companies that can leverage operational efficiencies and rising demand [6]. Logistics and Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is entering a new phase of competition, with potential for profit recovery and industry consolidation [6]. - Companies like Shentong Express and YTO Express are highlighted as having strong growth potential, particularly in Southeast Asia [6]. Road and Rail Transportation - The report indicates resilience in railway freight volumes and highway truck traffic, with a slight increase in railway cargo to 82.12 million tons, up 0.74% week-on-week [6]. - The highway sector is expected to benefit from high dividend yields and potential market value management catalysts [6].

股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年11月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 公司名稱: 極兔速遞環球有限公司 (於開曼群島註冊成立以不同投票權控制的有限公司) 呈交日期: 2025年12月4日 | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 否 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | N/A | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 979,333,410 | USD | | 0.000002 USD | | 1,958.67 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | | USD | | 0 | | 本月底結存 | | | 979,333,410 | USD | | 0.000002 USD | | 1,9 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a positive investment rating to J&T Express, indicating significant growth potential in the Latin American e-commerce market and overall business expansion [2]. Core Insights - J&T Express is capitalizing on the booming e-commerce sector across 13 countries, with a strong foothold in Southeast Asia and emerging markets in Latin America, where package volume surged nearly 50% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [2][20]. - The company has successfully implemented a low-cost, rapid market penetration strategy by addressing local logistics challenges and forming deep partnerships with leading e-commerce platforms [2][3]. - Financially, J&T Express is expected to achieve steady revenue growth, with projected revenues of $10.26 billion in 2024, up from $8.85 billion in 2023, driven by the expansion of its logistics network and e-commerce partnerships [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. J&T Express's Global Strategy - The company's growth strategy is based on a model that combines e-commerce partnerships, local logistics solutions, and profit-sharing with regional agents, enabling efficient market entry and expansion [3][41]. - J&T Express has established a strong presence in Southeast Asia, maintaining a market share of 32.8% in H1 2025, while also achieving a stable 11.1% market share in China [2][27][34]. 2. Latin America as a Growth Engine - The Latin American market is projected to be a key growth driver for J&T Express, with e-commerce sales expected to grow at a rate of 12.2% in 2025, significantly higher than the global average [2][20]. - Brazil and Mexico are identified as core markets, contributing 80% of the orders in Latin America, with J&T Express positioned as a primary logistics partner for major e-commerce platforms like SHEIN and TEMU [2][38]. 3. Financial Performance and Projections - The report forecasts that J&T Express will handle 30.6 billion packages in 2025, with adjusted net profits of $313 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 56% [3][2]. - The company's valuation is expected to increase, with an estimated equity value of $13-16 billion by 2026, based on an EV/EBITDA multiple of 18-20 times for high-growth markets [3][2]. 4. Competitive Landscape - J&T Express is navigating a competitive landscape in Latin America, where it faces challenges from both local players and international giants like FedEx and DHL, but its cost-effective service model positions it favorably [2][38]. - The report highlights the increasing concentration of the e-commerce market in Brazil, with the top five players expected to control approximately 85.1% of the market by 2025 [2][60].

财通证券近期发布研报称，市场红利+α共振，极兔速递迎机遇。该行指出，极兔速递凭借本土化创新 代理模式和中国降本经验，在全球快递增速领先的东南亚市场和全球规模最大的中国市场处于领先地 位。该行认为公司处于快速发展阶段，具备高成长性。 消息面上，极兔速递此前宣布其双十一业务旺季的关键表现。11月11日当天，极兔速递全球包裹量再次 突破亿件大关，创历史新高，同比增长9%。随着多个促销季的相继进行，自11月1日至12日，极兔全球 日均包裹量达9,459万件，同比增长15%，其中东南亚与新市场增长迅速，分别实现78%和83%的强劲增 长。 智通财经APP获悉，极兔速递-W(01519)涨近7%，截至发稿，涨6.88%，报10.26港元，成交额4.23亿港 元。 ...

每经AI快讯，极兔速递-W(01519.HK)涨近7%，截至发稿涨6.88%，报10.26港元，成交额4.23亿港元。 ...

消息面上，极兔速递此前宣布其双十一业务旺季的关键表现。11月11日当天，极兔速递全球包裹量再次 突破亿件大关，创历史新高，同比增长9%。随着多个促销季的相继进行，自11月1日至12日，极兔全球 日均包裹量达9,459万件，同比增长15%，其中东南亚与新市场增长迅速，分别实现78%和83%的强劲增 长。 财通证券（601108）近期发布研报称，市场红利+α共振，极兔速递迎机遇。该行指出，极兔速递凭借 本土化创新代理模式和中国降本经验，在全球快递增速领先的东南亚市场和全球规模最大的中国市场处 于领先地位。该行认为公司处于快速发展阶段，具备高成长性。 极兔速递-W(01519)涨近7%，截至发稿，涨6.88%，报10.26港元，成交额4.23亿港元。 ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a strategic shift towards large financial and consumer sectors, indicating a rebound opportunity following a period of panic due to tariff impacts [2] - The report highlights a positive performance in the A-share market, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising over 10% to above 3800 points since the mid-year strategy was introduced [2] Overall Assessment - The report suggests a cautious approach, recommending investors to wait for opportunities to buy on dips. It notes that liquidity-driven adjustments have stabilized, with certain asset classes like TMT and precious metals leading the rebound [3][7] - The report anticipates that the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cuts will further bolster market confidence, despite short-term investor caution in domestic sectors like lithium batteries and storage [3][7] Configuration Direction - The report advises a gradual investment strategy based on economic expectations and valuation attractiveness, focusing on quality dividends and cyclical opportunities in sectors such as real estate, resource commodities, and consumer sentiment [4][9] - It identifies four key areas for medium-term investment: technology (AI trends), high-end manufacturing (global investment cycle), consumer (high-quality overseas profits), and resource commodities (supply-side dynamics) [4][9] Top Stock Picks - The report lists ten recommended stocks across various sectors, including TCL Electronics, Action Education, Anjuke Food, Petty Co., Chengda Pharmaceutical, Haiguang Information, Lixing Co., Jitu Express, Beibu Gulf Port, and China Resources Mixc Living [4][5]