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申万宏源证券晨会报告-20250805
| 指数 | 收盘 | | 涨跌(%) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 名称 | (点) | 1 日 | 5 日 | 1 月 | | 上证指数 | 3583 | 0.66 | 3.2 | -0.41 | | 深证综指 | 2193 | 0.78 | 5.63 | -0.88 | | 风格指数 (%) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 大盘指数 | 0.41 | 2.17 | 6.74 | | 中盘指数 | 0.45 | 4.75 | 7.98 | | 小盘指数 | 1.02 | 7.56 | 15.69 | | 涨幅居前 行业(%) | 昨日 | 近 1 个月 | 近 6 个月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 航天装备Ⅱ | 5.72 | 5.64 | 22.74 | | 地面兵装Ⅱ | 4.9 | 15.86 | 83.95 | | 贵金属 | 4.8 | 0.43 | 25.98 | | 军工电子Ⅱ | 3.42 | 5.46 | 29.56 | | 电机Ⅱ | ...
中广核电力(01816):长期成长确定性强,分红稳健股息回报高
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN Power) [2][8] Core Views - CGN Power is the sole operating platform for nuclear power generation under China General Nuclear Group, showing stable profit growth in recent years. The company was established in March 2014 and listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange and Shenzhen Stock Exchange in December 2014 and August 2019, respectively. The controlling shareholder is China General Nuclear Group, which held a combined stake of 58.89% in A-shares and H-shares by the end of 2024 [7][23]. - Nuclear power is crucial for achieving carbon neutrality goals, with China accelerating its nuclear power development. The company has seen a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.4% in revenue and 2.7% in net profit from 2019 to 2024 [7][24]. - The company is entering a phase of intensive construction and commissioning of nuclear power units, with 20 units under management as of June 2025, representing a potential increase of approximately 76% over the current operational capacity of 31.80 GW [7][33]. - Financial costs have been decreasing due to lower domestic interest rates, and the company has a robust cash flow to support capital expenditures and dividends. The operating cash flow net amount for 2024 is projected to be 38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.8%, fully covering investment expenditures and dividends [7][8]. - The report forecasts earnings per share (EPS) of 0.21, 0.23, and 0.24 yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 13, 12, and 11 times. The estimated reasonable market value for the H-shares is 186.6 billion HKD, indicating a potential upside of 25.2% [8][24]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue (in million yuan) is projected to be 82,549 in 2023, 86,804 in 2024, and 87,245 in 2025, with growth rates of 0%, 5%, and 1% respectively. Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 10,725 million in 2023, 10,814 million in 2024, and 10,753 million in 2025, with growth rates of 8%, 1%, and -1% respectively [6]. - The company’s dividend per share has increased from 0.0578 HKD in 2016 to 0.1032 HKD in 2024, with a dividend payout ratio consistently above 40% for six consecutive years [7][8]. Key Assumptions - Installed capacity is expected to reach 32.92 million kW, 35.24 million kW, and 37.64 million kW for 2025-2027. The on-grid electricity volume is projected to be 234.8 billion kWh, 243.9 billion kWh, and 255.5 billion kWh for the same period [9]. - The on-grid electricity price is anticipated to be 0.401, 0.3994, and 0.3987 yuan per kWh for 2025-2027 [9].
中国广核:公司始终保持在运机组安全稳定运行
Core Viewpoint - China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) emphasizes its commitment to safe and stable operation of its units and high-quality construction of ongoing projects, while maintaining prudent management [1] Group 1: Project Development - The net proceeds from the A-share convertible bond issuance, after deducting issuance costs, will be used for the construction of units 5 and 6 at the Lufeng site [1] - The company plans to continue advancing project construction according to schedule to ensure timely commissioning and power generation [1] Group 2: Performance Metrics - In the first half of 2025, the company is expected to achieve an on-grid electricity generation of approximately 113.36 billion kilowatt-hours, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.93% [1] - This contribution is significant for power supply in the respective province [1]
申万公用环保周报:广东上调火电容量电价,债券征税提升红利资产配置价值-20250804
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the power and gas sectors, including China Power, Huaneng International, and Kunlun Energy, among others [49][51]. Core Insights - The adjustment of capacity prices for coal and gas power plants in Guangdong is expected to improve profitability for gas power plants significantly, with capacity prices increasing by 65% to 296% depending on the type of gas plant [4][10]. - The rapid development of renewable energy installations in Guangdong has increased the reliance on coal power for flexible peak regulation, with renewable energy capacity reaching 59.13 million kW by the end of 2024, accounting for 26.6% of the total installed capacity [9][10]. - The report highlights the geopolitical factors affecting natural gas prices, with European gas prices experiencing a slight increase due to renewed geopolitical tensions, while U.S. gas prices remain stable [13][20]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - Guangdong has raised the capacity price for coal power plants to 165 RMB per kW per year starting January 1, 2026, and for gas power plants, prices will range from 165 to 396 RMB per kW per year starting August 1, 2025 [8][10]. - The increase in capacity prices is expected to provide annual revenue boosts of 1.72 billion RMB for Guangdong Power A and 350 million RMB for Guangzhou Development [11]. 2. Gas Sector - As of August 1, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price is $3.00/mmBtu, while the TTF spot price in Europe is €32.95/MWh, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 2.74% [13][14]. - The report notes that the domestic LNG price is 4388 RMB per ton, showing a week-on-week decrease of 1.06% [32]. 3. Market Review - The gas sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, while the public utility, power, and environmental sectors lagged behind [39]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - The National Energy Administration has released guidelines to enhance the management of natural gas pipeline transportation prices, promoting transparency and optimizing resource allocation [37]. - The report discusses the performance of key companies, including Huaneng International and Inner Mongolia Huadian, with varying revenue and profit trends [44].
中国广核:8台委托管理核电机组将在满足条件后注入上市公司
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-04 01:43
金融界8月4日消息,有投资者在互动平台向中国广核提问:尊敬的董秘,您好!请问贵公司最近有没有 资产重组计划在进行,公司效益前景如何? 公司回答表示:您好!公司管理的20台在建机组中,有8台为控股股东委托管理。根据控股股东的承 诺,委托管理的核电项目将在正式开工建设后六年内并在满足一定注入条件情况下注入上市公司,详见 公司于2024年11月8日及12月23日发布的有关公告。公司正在推动有关核电资产在符合注入条件后注入 公司。如有最新进展,公司将按相关要求进行披露。谢谢关注。 ...
中国广核:2025年上半年上网电量约1133.6亿千瓦时同比增长6.93%
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-04 01:43
公司回答表示:您好!公司始终保持在运机组安全稳定运行,在建项目高质量建设,坚持稳健经营。本 次A股可转债扣除发行费用后的募集资金净额用于陆丰5、6号机组建设,详见公司于7月21日发布的有 关公告。公司将继续按计划推进项目建设,确保项目按期投产发电。公司2025年上半年实现上网电量约 1133.6亿千瓦时,同比增长6.93%,为所在省区电力保供做出贡献。谢谢关注。责任编辑:栎树 金融界8月4日消息,有投资者在互动平台向中国广核提问:贵司董秘,您好!近期公司经营状况如何? 认筹可转债已到账,贵司如何反馈给广大消费者?即将二季度财报批漏,贵司如何体现业绩,价值? ...
中国广核(003816)8月1日主力资金净流入1284.68万元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-02 05:24
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that China General Nuclear Power Corporation (CGN) has reported a mixed financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with revenue growth but a decline in net profit [1] - As of August 1, 2025, CGN's stock price closed at 3.67 yuan, down 0.27%, with a trading volume of 1.2589 million hands and a transaction amount of 464 million yuan [1] - The company's total operating revenue for Q1 2025 was 20.028 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.41%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 16.07% to 3.026 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - CGN has made investments in 31 companies and participated in 373 bidding projects, indicating active engagement in the market [2] - The company holds 5,000 patent records and has obtained 14 administrative licenses, showcasing its innovation and regulatory compliance [2] - CGN was established in 2014 and is primarily engaged in the production and supply of electricity and heat, with a registered capital of approximately 50.498 billion yuan [1][2]
内蒙古自治区党委书记孙绍骋会见中国广核集团有限公司董事长杨长利
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-01 01:33
Core Viewpoint - The Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region is accelerating the large-scale development of renewable energy to promote the transformation and upgrading of the energy industry while exploring new production capacities tailored to local conditions [1] Group 1: Renewable Energy Cooperation - The meeting between the Secretary of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region and the Chairman of China General Nuclear Power Group emphasized the importance of expanding cooperation in renewable energy [1] - There is a focus on exploring and launching a series of cooperative projects in nuclear energy, energy storage, and green hydrogen [1] - The aim is to achieve a higher level of mutual benefit and win-win outcomes through sustained collaboration [1]
中国广核大跌2.65%!华泰柏瑞基金旗下1只基金持有
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 10:44
| ○ 基金经理:柳军 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 累计任职时间:16年又61天 任职起始日期:2009-06-04 | | | 基金经理简介:柳军先生:中国国籍。监事.复旦大学财务管理硕士,2000-2001年任上海汽车集 团财务有限公司财务,2001-2004年任华安基金管理有限公司高级基金核算员,2004年7月加入 | | | | | | | 现任基金公司:华泰柏瑞基金管理有限公司 | | | 华泰柏瑞基金管理有限公司,历任基金率务部总监、上证红利ETF基金经理助理。2009年6月 | | | | | | | | | | 起任上证红利交易型开放式指数证券投资基金的基金经理。2010年10月起担任指数投资部副 | | | | | | | 现任基金资产 在管基金量佳 总规模 | 任期回报 | | 总监。2011年1月至2020年2月任华泰柏瑞上证中小盘ETF基金、华泰柏瑞上证中小盘ETF联 | | | | | | | 4669.84亿元 146.05% | | | 接基金基金经理。 ...
中国广核集团有限公司董事长杨长利拜会内蒙古自治区党委书记孙绍骋
Core Viewpoint - China General Nuclear Power Group (CGN) is focusing on expanding cooperation in renewable energy, hydrogen energy, and nuclear technology applications with Inner Mongolia, aiming for mutual benefits and project implementation [1] Group 1: Cooperation Areas - CGN and Inner Mongolia are discussing deepening cooperation in renewable energy, hydrogen energy, and nuclear technology [1] - The parties aim to explore and launch several cooperative projects in nuclear energy, energy storage, and green hydrogen [1] Group 2: Investment and Development - CGN emphasizes its commitment to investment and development in Inner Mongolia [1] - The company plans to leverage its advantages in technology, management, and capital to enhance practical cooperation in various sectors [1] Group 3: Project Implementation - Future projects will focus on power transmission channels, large base development, desertification control, hydrogen pipeline construction, and nuclear medical equipment applications [1] - CGN aims to promote the implementation of high-quality projects in Inner Mongolia [1]