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大行评级|大摩:上调九龙仓置业目标价至22.5港元 上调盈利预测
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-18 02:18
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for Kowloon Development for 2025 to 2027 by 4%, 4%, and 1% respectively, primarily due to lower-than-expected rental declines in retail and office sectors, lower interest cost assumptions, and enhanced deleveraging efforts [1] Group 1 - The forecasted EPS adjustments reflect a more optimistic outlook on rental renewals in the retail and office segments [1] - The lower interest cost assumptions contribute positively to the financial outlook for the company [1] - Enhanced deleveraging efforts indicate a stronger financial position moving forward [1] Group 2 - Morgan Stanley maintains its year-end dividend per share forecast at HKD 0.6, unchanged year-on-year, leading to a total annual dividend of HKD 1.26, which represents a 1.6% year-on-year increase [1] - The target price for Kowloon Development has been raised from HKD 20 to HKD 22.5, while maintaining a "reduce" rating [1]
中证港股通地产指数报1690.69点,前十大权重包含中国海外发展等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-14 11:59
数据统计显示,中证港股通地产指数近一个月上涨3.85%,近三个月上涨11.21%,年至今上涨18.11%。 金融界8月14日消息,上证指数高开低走,中证港股通地产指数 (港股通地产,931025)报1690.69点。 作者:行情君 从中证港股通地产指数持仓的市场板块来看,香港证券交易所占比100.00%。 从中证港股通地产指数持仓样本的行业来看,房地产占比100.00%。 资料显示,指数样本每半年调整一次,样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整,调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。特殊情况下将 对该指数进行临时调整。当样本退市时,将其从指数样本中剔除。如果香港市场新上市相关行业主题企 业市值在香港上市公司中排名前十并纳入港股通范围,将在其纳入港股通范围后第十一个交易日快速纳 入相应的行业主题指数中。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形的处理,参照计算与维护细则处理。 当港股通范围发生变动导致样本不再满足港股通资格时,将进行相应调整。 本文源自:金融界 据了解,中证港股通地产投资指数从港股通范围合资格证券中选取符合地产主题的不超过50家香港市场 上市公 ...
大摩:上调九龙仓置业(01997)目标价至22.5港元 维持“减持”评级
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 09:00
大摩上调对该公司2025-2027财年每股盈利预测4%、4%和1%,主要反映:1)零售和写字楼租金调幅为 负数的幅度温和过预期;2)利息成本预测降低;3)由于持续减债的努力,负债改善。不过大摩依旧对与香 港零售持谨慎态度,主要原因是消费模式变化、2025年下半年外游增加及失业率上升。谨慎来说,对于 该公司2025财年末期股息预测为0.6港元,同比持平,全年股息为1.26港元,同比增1.6%。 智通财经APP获悉,摩根士丹利发布研报称,上调九龙仓置业(01997)目标价12.5%,从20港元升至22.5 港元,维持"减持"评级。大摩依然等待有意义以及持续的香港零售、办公楼复苏。 (原标题:大摩:上调九龙仓置业(01997)目标价至22.5港元 维持"减持"评级) ...
星展:九龙仓置业(00004)股价净资产值折让升至十年平均水平 评级升至“买入”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 06:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Kowloon Development's (00004) basic profit for the first half of the year increased by 3% to HKD 2.035 billion, exceeding expectations due to reduced impairment losses and lower-than-expected interest and tax expenses [1] - The interim dividend remains unchanged at HKD 0.20 per share [1] - The target price for Kowloon Development has been lowered from HKD 25.1 to HKD 24.9, while the investment rating has been upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" [1] Group 2 - Kowloon Development's stock price has dropped by 6% over the past month, underperforming the market by 9 percentage points [1] - The current stock price is trading at a 60% discount to the bank's assessed net asset value, slightly higher than the ten-year average of 59% [1] - The company may see improved market sentiment if the upcoming residential projects receive a positive market response [1]
星展:九龙仓置业股价净资产值折让升至十年平均水平 评级升至“买入”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 06:42
Core Viewpoint - DBS reported that Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (00004) achieved a 3% year-on-year increase in underlying profit to HKD 2.035 billion, exceeding the bank's expectations due to lower impairment and favorable interest and tax expenses [1] Financial Performance - The underlying profit for Wharf Real Estate Investment Company rose to HKD 2.035 billion, reflecting a 3% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The interim dividend remains unchanged at HKD 0.20 per share [1] Stock Performance and Valuation - DBS downgraded the target price for Wharf Real Estate Investment Company from HKD 25.1 to HKD 24.9, while upgrading the investment rating from "Hold" to "Buy" [1] - The company's stock price has decreased by 6% over the past month, underperforming the market by 9 percentage points [1] - The current stock price is trading at a 60% discount to the bank's assessed net asset value, slightly above the ten-year average discount of 59% [1] Market Sentiment - The bank indicated that if the upcoming residential projects receive a positive market response, it could improve market sentiment towards the stock [1]
中证港股通地产指数报1651.13点,前十大权重包含贝壳-W等
Jin Rong Jie· 2025-08-11 12:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Real Estate Index, which has shown significant growth over various time frames, including a 15.34% increase year-to-date [1] - The index has risen by 2.57% in the past month and 11.50% over the last three months, indicating a positive trend in the real estate sector [1] - The index is composed of up to 50 eligible Hong Kong-listed companies that reflect the overall performance of the real estate theme [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the index include New World Development (14.13%), Beike-W (12.22%), and China Resources Land (11.19%), among others, showcasing the concentration of investments in these firms [1] - The index is exclusively composed of real estate companies, with a 100% allocation to this sector [2][3] - The index undergoes biannual adjustments every June and December, with provisions for temporary adjustments in special circumstances, ensuring it remains reflective of the market [3]
大行评级|瑞银:九龙仓置业中期业绩符合预期 维持“中性”评级
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 08:03
Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that the mid-year performance of Wharf Real Estate Investment Company met expectations, with basic earnings remaining flat year-on-year at HKD 3.1 billion, which is 4% lower than the bank's forecast [1] Financial Performance - Basic earnings for the first half of the year were HKD 3.1 billion, unchanged from the previous year [1] - Interim dividend per share is HKD 0.66, representing a 3% year-on-year increase, in line with expectations [1] Management Outlook - Management maintains a cautious stance on retail rental income, anticipating a potential negative shift in rental returns [1] - Expected rental adjustments for Harbour City are projected to show a low single-digit decline, a reversal from positive adjustments seen in the first half of the year [1] Future Plans - Management revealed plans for significant asset enhancement or complete reconstruction of the Marco Polo Hotel, with construction expected to start after 2025 [1] - If it is an asset enhancement initiative (AEI), the required capital expenditure is approximately HKD 2 billion, with a disruption period of only two years, expected to have limited financial impact [1] - In the case of a complete reconstruction, concerns arise regarding the impact on luxury tenants on Canton Road due to increased competition from high-end malls like K11 MUSEA in Tsim Sha Tsui [1] Rating and Target Price - UBS maintains a "Neutral" rating on Wharf Real Estate Investment Company with a target price of HKD 20 [1]
瑞银:九龙仓置业管理层对零售租金前景持谨慎态度 评级“中性”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-08 07:31
Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the mid-year performance of Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (01997) meets expectations, with basic earnings remaining flat year-on-year at HKD 3.1 billion, which is 4% lower than the bank's forecast [1] Financial Performance - Basic earnings for the first half of the year are HKD 3.1 billion, unchanged year-on-year [1] - Interim dividend per share is HKD 0.66, representing a 3% year-on-year increase, which aligns with expectations [1] Management Outlook - Management maintains a cautious stance on retail rental income, anticipating a potential negative shift in rental returns [1] - Expected rental adjustments for Harbour City are projected to decline in low single digits, a reversal from positive adjustments seen in the first half of the year [1] Future Plans - Management plans significant asset enhancement or complete reconstruction of the Marco Polo Hotel, with construction expected to start after 2025 [1] - If it is an asset enhancement initiative (AEI), the required capital expenditure is approximately HKD 2 billion, with a disruption period of only two years, which is expected to have a limited financial impact [1] - Concerns arise regarding the impact on luxury tenants on Canton Road due to intensified competition from high-end malls like K11 MUSEA if a complete reconstruction occurs [1]
瑞银:九龙仓置业(01997)管理层对零售租金前景持谨慎态度 评级“中性”
智通财经网· 2025-08-08 07:31
Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the mid-year performance of Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (01997) meets expectations, with basic earnings remaining flat at HKD 3.1 billion, which is 4% lower than the bank's forecast [1] Financial Performance - Basic earnings for the first half of the year are HKD 3.1 billion, unchanged year-on-year [1] - Interim dividend per share is HKD 0.66, representing a 3% year-on-year increase, in line with expectations [1] Management Outlook - Management maintains a cautious stance on retail rental income, anticipating a potential negative shift in rental returns [1] - Expected rental adjustments for Harbour City are projected to show a low single-digit decline, a reversal from positive adjustments in the first half of the year [1] Future Plans - Management plans significant asset enhancement or complete reconstruction of the Marco Polo Hotel, with construction expected to start after 2025 [1] - If it is an asset enhancement initiative (AEI), the required capital expenditure is approximately HKD 2 billion, with a disruption period of only two years, expected to have limited financial impact [1] - Concerns arise regarding the impact on luxury retail tenants on Canton Road due to intensified competition from high-end malls like K11 MUSEA in Tsim Sha Tsui if a complete reconstruction occurs [1]
港股异动丨九龙仓置业绩后放量大跌超13%,管理层认为下半年仍不会有“突破性发展”
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 06:50
Core Viewpoint - The company, Kowloon Development (1997.HK), experienced a significant drop of over 13% in its stock price, reaching a new low since July 2, following the announcement of its financial results which revealed an expanded loss for the first half of 2025 [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company's loss attributable to shareholders increased to HKD 24.06 billion [1] - The company reported a reduction in rental income due to decreased rental share, indicating a challenging financial environment [1] Market Conditions - The chairman, Wu Tianhai, highlighted ongoing challenges in Hong Kong's economy, retail market, and the restaurant industry for the second half of the year [1] - Despite some positive signals in the second quarter, the sustainability of these benefits remains uncertain, with most retail tenants adopting a wait-and-see approach [1] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about its debt reduction efforts and decreasing interest expenses, which may allow for increased dividends despite weaker business performance [1] - There are no immediate plans for mergers and acquisitions, although the company will remain vigilant for new opportunities [1] - The company anticipates continued downward pressure on rental prices, with hopes that the situation will not deteriorate further in the second half of the year [1]