大摩上调对该公司2025-2027财年每股盈利预测4%、4%和1%，主要反映：1)零售和写字楼租金调幅为 负数的幅度温和过预期;2)利息成本预测降低;3)由于持续减债的努力，负债改善。不过大摩依旧对与香 港零售持谨慎态度，主要原因是消费模式变化、2025年下半年外游增加及失业率上升。谨慎来说，对于 该公司2025财年末期股息预测为0.6港元，同比持平，全年股息为1.26港元，同比增1.6%。 智通财经APP获悉，摩根士丹利发布研报称，上调九龙仓置业(01997)目标价12.5%，从20港元升至22.5 港元，维持"减持"评级。大摩依然等待有意义以及持续的香港零售、办公楼复苏。 （原标题：大摩：上调九龙仓置业(01997)目标价至22.5港元 维持"减持"评级） ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Kowloon Development's (00004) basic profit for the first half of the year increased by 3% to HKD 2.035 billion, exceeding expectations due to reduced impairment losses and lower-than-expected interest and tax expenses [1] - The interim dividend remains unchanged at HKD 0.20 per share [1] - The target price for Kowloon Development has been lowered from HKD 25.1 to HKD 24.9, while the investment rating has been upgraded from "Hold" to "Buy" [1] Group 2 - Kowloon Development's stock price has dropped by 6% over the past month, underperforming the market by 9 percentage points [1] - The current stock price is trading at a 60% discount to the bank's assessed net asset value, slightly higher than the ten-year average of 59% [1] - The company may see improved market sentiment if the upcoming residential projects receive a positive market response [1]

Core Viewpoint - DBS reported that Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (00004) achieved a 3% year-on-year increase in underlying profit to HKD 2.035 billion, exceeding the bank's expectations due to lower impairment and favorable interest and tax expenses [1] Financial Performance - The underlying profit for Wharf Real Estate Investment Company rose to HKD 2.035 billion, reflecting a 3% increase compared to the previous year [1] - The interim dividend remains unchanged at HKD 0.20 per share [1] Stock Performance and Valuation - DBS downgraded the target price for Wharf Real Estate Investment Company from HKD 25.1 to HKD 24.9, while upgrading the investment rating from "Hold" to "Buy" [1] - The company's stock price has decreased by 6% over the past month, underperforming the market by 9 percentage points [1] - The current stock price is trading at a 60% discount to the bank's assessed net asset value, slightly above the ten-year average discount of 59% [1] Market Sentiment - The bank indicated that if the upcoming residential projects receive a positive market response, it could improve market sentiment towards the stock [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Real Estate Index, which has shown significant growth over various time frames, including a 15.34% increase year-to-date [1] - The index has risen by 2.57% in the past month and 11.50% over the last three months, indicating a positive trend in the real estate sector [1] - The index is composed of up to 50 eligible Hong Kong-listed companies that reflect the overall performance of the real estate theme [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted companies in the index include New World Development (14.13%), Beike-W (12.22%), and China Resources Land (11.19%), among others, showcasing the concentration of investments in these firms [1] - The index is exclusively composed of real estate companies, with a 100% allocation to this sector [2][3] - The index undergoes biannual adjustments every June and December, with provisions for temporary adjustments in special circumstances, ensuring it remains reflective of the market [3]

Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that the mid-year performance of Wharf Real Estate Investment Company met expectations, with basic earnings remaining flat year-on-year at HKD 3.1 billion, which is 4% lower than the bank's forecast [1] Financial Performance - Basic earnings for the first half of the year were HKD 3.1 billion, unchanged from the previous year [1] - Interim dividend per share is HKD 0.66, representing a 3% year-on-year increase, in line with expectations [1] Management Outlook - Management maintains a cautious stance on retail rental income, anticipating a potential negative shift in rental returns [1] - Expected rental adjustments for Harbour City are projected to show a low single-digit decline, a reversal from positive adjustments seen in the first half of the year [1] Future Plans - Management revealed plans for significant asset enhancement or complete reconstruction of the Marco Polo Hotel, with construction expected to start after 2025 [1] - If it is an asset enhancement initiative (AEI), the required capital expenditure is approximately HKD 2 billion, with a disruption period of only two years, expected to have limited financial impact [1] - In the case of a complete reconstruction, concerns arise regarding the impact on luxury tenants on Canton Road due to increased competition from high-end malls like K11 MUSEA in Tsim Sha Tsui [1] Rating and Target Price - UBS maintains a "Neutral" rating on Wharf Real Estate Investment Company with a target price of HKD 20 [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the mid-year performance of Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (01997) meets expectations, with basic earnings remaining flat year-on-year at HKD 3.1 billion, which is 4% lower than the bank's forecast [1] Financial Performance - Basic earnings for the first half of the year are HKD 3.1 billion, unchanged year-on-year [1] - Interim dividend per share is HKD 0.66, representing a 3% year-on-year increase, which aligns with expectations [1] Management Outlook - Management maintains a cautious stance on retail rental income, anticipating a potential negative shift in rental returns [1] - Expected rental adjustments for Harbour City are projected to decline in low single digits, a reversal from positive adjustments seen in the first half of the year [1] Future Plans - Management plans significant asset enhancement or complete reconstruction of the Marco Polo Hotel, with construction expected to start after 2025 [1] - If it is an asset enhancement initiative (AEI), the required capital expenditure is approximately HKD 2 billion, with a disruption period of only two years, which is expected to have a limited financial impact [1] - Concerns arise regarding the impact on luxury tenants on Canton Road due to intensified competition from high-end malls like K11 MUSEA if a complete reconstruction occurs [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the mid-year performance of Wharf Real Estate Investment Company (01997) meets expectations, with basic earnings remaining flat at HKD 3.1 billion, which is 4% lower than the bank's forecast [1] Financial Performance - Basic earnings for the first half of the year are HKD 3.1 billion, unchanged year-on-year [1] - Interim dividend per share is HKD 0.66, representing a 3% year-on-year increase, in line with expectations [1] Management Outlook - Management maintains a cautious stance on retail rental income, anticipating a potential negative shift in rental returns [1] - Expected rental adjustments for Harbour City are projected to show a low single-digit decline, a reversal from positive adjustments in the first half of the year [1] Future Plans - Management plans significant asset enhancement or complete reconstruction of the Marco Polo Hotel, with construction expected to start after 2025 [1] - If it is an asset enhancement initiative (AEI), the required capital expenditure is approximately HKD 2 billion, with a disruption period of only two years, expected to have limited financial impact [1] - Concerns arise regarding the impact on luxury retail tenants on Canton Road due to intensified competition from high-end malls like K11 MUSEA in Tsim Sha Tsui if a complete reconstruction occurs [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Kowloon Development (1997.HK), experienced a significant drop of over 13% in its stock price, reaching a new low since July 2, following the announcement of its financial results which revealed an expanded loss for the first half of 2025 [1] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company's loss attributable to shareholders increased to HKD 24.06 billion [1] - The company reported a reduction in rental income due to decreased rental share, indicating a challenging financial environment [1] Market Conditions - The chairman, Wu Tianhai, highlighted ongoing challenges in Hong Kong's economy, retail market, and the restaurant industry for the second half of the year [1] - Despite some positive signals in the second quarter, the sustainability of these benefits remains uncertain, with most retail tenants adopting a wait-and-see approach [1] Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about its debt reduction efforts and decreasing interest expenses, which may allow for increased dividends despite weaker business performance [1] - There are no immediate plans for mergers and acquisitions, although the company will remain vigilant for new opportunities [1] - The company anticipates continued downward pressure on rental prices, with hopes that the situation will not deteriorate further in the second half of the year [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Kowloon Development (01997) has shown improvement in rental income for the first half of the year, but management remains cautious about the outlook for the second half, anticipating a low single-digit decline in retail renewal rents, which aligns with market expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Rental income for Kowloon Development has improved on a half-year basis, but management's outlook remains conservative [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 1% and 2% growth in earnings per share and dividends for the fiscal year 2025, respectively, maintaining an "Overweight" rating with a target price of HKD 27.5, which represents about a 50% discount to the net asset value (NAV) per share [1] Group 2: Market Trends - Management reported an improvement in retail sales since May, with Harbour City merchants outperforming the market average, but they believe further observation is needed to confirm if the market has fully bottomed out [1] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - Kowloon Development's Marco Polo Hotels is evaluating an asset enhancement plan, with a comprehensive renovation expected to require capital expenditure of approximately HKD 2 billion, potentially starting at the end of 2026, which is estimated to have a temporary impact of 5% to 6% on rental income during the enhancement period [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley's report indicates that Kowloon Development (01997) has shown improvement in rental income for the first half of the year, but management remains cautious about the outlook for the second half, anticipating a low single-digit decline in retail renewal rents, which aligns with market expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Rental income for Kowloon Development improved on a half-year basis [1] - Management expects a slight improvement in rental income for the second half, benefiting from a decrease in HIBOR, which reduces financing costs [1] - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 1% and 2% growth in earnings per share and dividends for the fiscal year 2025, respectively [1] Group 2: Management Insights - Management reported an improvement in retail sales since May, with Harbour City merchants outperforming the market average [1] - However, management believes it is necessary to observe for a few more months to confirm if the market has fully bottomed out [1] Group 3: Future Plans - The company is evaluating an asset enhancement plan for its Marco Polo hotels, with a total capital expenditure of approximately HKD 2 billion [1] - The full renovation is expected to start as early as the end of 2026, with a temporary impact of 5% to 6% on rental income during the enhancement period [1]