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中金:维持江南布衣跑赢行业评级 升目标价至23.7港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 08:25
Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the FY26 profit forecast for Jiangnan Buyi (03306) at 926 million yuan and introduces the FY27 profit forecast at 983 million yuan, with the current stock price corresponding to 10.1/9.7 times FY25/26 P/E ratio, maintaining an outperform rating for the industry [1] Financial Performance - The company reported FY25 (July 2024 - June 2025) performance: revenue of 5.55 billion yuan, up 4.6% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders of 890 million yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year, in line with CICC's expectations [2] - The company declared a final dividend of 0.93 HKD per share, along with an interim dividend of 0.45 HKD per share, resulting in an annual payout ratio of approximately 75% [2] Membership and Brand Growth - The number of members with total purchases exceeding 5,000 yuan increased by about 20,000 to over 330,000 in FY25. Revenue from direct sales, distribution, and e-commerce channels grew by -6%/+10%/+18% to 2.08 billion, 2.27 billion, and 1.20 billion yuan respectively, with strong growth in online sales driven by onmygame [3] - The number of direct stores decreased by 24 to 492, while the number of distribution stores increased by 116 to 1,625, as the company converted some non-core city direct stores to distribution [3] - Revenue from brands JNBY, jnby by JNBY, LESS, and Su Xie grew by 2.3%/2.9%/0.2%/-4.6% to 3.01 billion, 830 million, 620 million, and 720 million yuan respectively, while revenue from emerging brands surged by 107.4% to 360 million yuan, mainly due to the consolidation and rapid growth of newly acquired brands onmygame and B1OCK [3] Profitability and Inventory Management - FY25 gross margin decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 65.6%, mainly due to the increased proportion of revenue from distribution and online channels [4] - FY25 selling expense ratio increased by 0.6 percentage points to 35.6%, primarily due to increased brand investment and expenses related to the 30th anniversary activities; management expense ratio rose by 0.1 percentage points to 9.6% [4] - The effective tax rate for FY25 decreased by 3.8 percentage points to 26.3%, mainly due to reduced withholding tax on dividends; overall, the net profit margin attributable to shareholders increased by 0.1 percentage points to 16.1% [4] - The inventory turnover days at the end of FY25 increased by 5 days to 161 days, mainly due to increased inventory and stocking for the 2024 autumn and winter seasons [4] Development Trends - The company reiterated its target of 10 billion yuan in retail sales for FY26, with expectations of better terminal sales in July-August compared to peers, driven by strong member loyalty and multi-brand cultivation capabilities [5] - The company plans to build its own logistics center, which is expected to reduce capital occupation and improve financial income net, leading to faster revenue growth than profit growth in FY26 [5]
中金:维持江南布衣(03306)跑赢行业评级 升目标价至23.7港元
智通财经网· 2025-09-12 08:24
Core Viewpoint - The report from CICC maintains the FY26 profit forecast for Jiangnan Buyi (03306) at 926 million yuan and introduces the FY27 profit forecast at 983 million yuan, with the current stock price corresponding to 10.1/9.7 times FY25/26 P/E ratio, maintaining an outperform rating for the industry [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's FY25 (July 2024 - June 2025) performance met CICC's expectations, with revenue of 5.55 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 890 million yuan, up 5.3% year-on-year [2] - The company declared a final dividend of 0.93 HKD per share, along with an interim dividend of 0.45 HKD per share, resulting in an annual payout ratio of approximately 75% [2] Group 2: Membership and Brand Growth - The number of member accounts with total purchases exceeding 5,000 yuan increased by about 20,000 to over 330,000 in FY25 [3] - Revenue from direct sales, distribution, and e-commerce channels in FY25 showed a year-on-year change of -6%, +10%, and +18%, respectively, with online sales benefiting from strong growth in the onmygame brand [3] - The company reduced its direct stores by 24 to 492, while increasing distribution stores by 116 to 1,625, converting some non-core city direct stores to distribution [3] - Revenue from the JNBY, jnby by JNBY, LESS, and Su Xie brands in FY25 showed year-on-year changes of +2.3%, +2.9%, +0.2%, and -4.6%, respectively, while new brands' revenue increased by 107.4% to 360 million yuan, mainly due to the consolidation and rapid growth of newly acquired brands onmygame and B1OCK [3] Group 3: Profitability and Inventory Management - The gross profit margin in FY25 decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 65.6%, primarily due to the increased proportion of revenue from distribution and online channels [4] - The selling expense ratio increased by 0.6 percentage points to 35.6% due to increased brand investment and expenses related to the 30th anniversary activities; the management expense ratio rose by 0.1 percentage points to 9.6% [4] - The effective tax rate decreased by 3.8 percentage points to 26.3% due to reduced withholding tax on dividends, resulting in a net profit margin attributable to shareholders increasing by 0.1 percentage points to 16.1% [4] - The inventory turnover days at the end of FY25 increased by 5 days to 161 days, mainly due to increased inventory and stocking for the 2024 autumn and winter seasons [4] Group 4: Future Development Trends - The company reiterated its goal of achieving 10 billion yuan in retail sales for FY26, with expectations of better terminal sales performance than peers in July and August [5] - The company is optimistic about its strong member loyalty and multi-brand cultivation capabilities, which are expected to lead to stable growth in performance [5] - The company plans to build its own logistics center, which is expected to reduce capital occupation and improve financial income net, leading to a faster revenue growth rate than profit growth in FY26 [5]
民银国际:江南布衣FY25收入及利润符合预期 具备穿越周期波动的能力
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 07:33
Core Insights - Jiangnan Buyi (03306) reported FY25 revenue and profit in line with expectations, with stable same-store sales and high member retention, alongside strong growth in emerging brands [1][2] Financial Performance - FY25 revenue increased by 4.6% year-on-year to 5.55 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 5.3% to 890 million yuan [1] - Gross margin decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 65.6%, with a maintained dividend payout ratio of 75% [1] - End-of-period inventory increased by 24% year-on-year to 930 million yuan, with good inventory turnover in outlet channels during July and August, and some inventory increase related to autumn/winter preparations for 2025 [1] Future Guidance - The company maintains a steady outlook, aiming for a retail target of 10 billion yuan for FY26, with corresponding revenue targets of 6 billion yuan and gross/net profit margin targets of over 65% and 15%, respectively [1] - The dividend yield is attractive, estimated at around 7% to 7.5% based on consensus expectations and closing prices [1] Growth Potential - The company demonstrates the ability to sustain growth and withstand cyclical fluctuations through design-driven and refined retail management, building a loyal and high-retention fan membership [2] - Despite pressure on customer traffic, the company managed to maintain flat same-store sales, with retail revenue in July and August showing positive growth compared to the previous year [2] - As a multi-brand designer group, the company possesses unique operational alpha and resilience, making it a noteworthy investment opportunity [2]
民银国际:江南布衣(03306)FY25收入及利润符合预期 具备穿越周期波动的能力
智通财经网· 2025-09-12 07:31
Core Viewpoint - The report from Minyin International indicates that Jiangnan Buyi (03306) has met revenue and profit expectations for FY25, with stable same-store sales and high member retention, alongside significant growth from emerging brands [1][2] Financial Performance - For FY25 (ending June 30, 2025), revenue increased by 4.6% year-on-year to 5.55 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 5.3% to 890 million yuan [1] - The gross profit margin decreased by 0.3 percentage points to 65.6%, and the dividend payout ratio remained at 75% [1] - Inventory at the end of the period increased by 24% year-on-year to 930 million yuan, with good inventory clearance in the outlet channels during July and August, and some inventory increase related to preparations for the autumn/winter season [1] Strategic Outlook - The company maintains a steady guidance, aiming for a retail target of 10 billion yuan for FY26, with corresponding revenue targets of 6 billion yuan and gross/net profit margin targets of over 65% and 15%, respectively, while keeping the dividend payout ratio at 75% [1] - The attractive dividend yield is estimated to be around 7% to 7.5% based on consensus expectations and closing prices [1] Growth Potential - The company demonstrates the ability to sustain growth and withstand cyclical fluctuations through design-driven and refined retail management, creating a loyal and high-retention fan membership base [2] - Despite pressure on customer traffic, the company managed to maintain flat same-store sales for FY25, with retail sales in July and August showing positive growth, outperforming the overall mid-to-high-end women's wear industry [2] - As a multi-brand designer group, the company possesses unique operational alpha and resilience, making it a candidate for active investment consideration [2]
2025财年毛利率65.6%,江南布衣2026财年百亿零售目标不变
Tai Mei Ti A P P· 2025-09-12 04:38
Core Viewpoint - Jiangnan Buyi maintains its target of achieving 10 billion in retail by fiscal year 2026, focusing on domestic market expansion while viewing overseas markets as long-term opportunities for brand influence and lifestyle globalization [2][3]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, Jiangnan Buyi reported total revenue of approximately RMB 5.548 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 4.6% [2]. - The company's gross profit reached RMB 3.64 billion, with a stable gross margin exceeding 65% [2]. - Net profit for the fiscal year was approximately RMB 897 million, reflecting a 6% year-on-year growth, resulting in a net profit margin of 16.2%, surpassing previous expectations [3][4]. Sales Channels - Online sales grew by 18.3% to RMB 1.201 billion, while the overall retail network expanded to 2,117 stores globally, covering all provinces in mainland China and 10 other countries [6][7]. - The contribution of online sales to total revenue surpassed 20% for the first time [7][8]. Multi-Brand Strategy - Jiangnan Buyi operates a multi-brand strategy with three tiers: mature brands, growth brands, and emerging brands, covering various segments including menswear, womenswear, and children's wear [4]. - The mature brand JNBY accounted for 54.3% of total revenue, while emerging brands generated RMB 361 million, a 107.4% increase year-on-year [4][5]. Operational Strategy - The company plans to enhance its retail network and optimize its direct sales team for better operational efficiency, focusing on key cities [5][8]. - Jiangnan Buyi aims to improve its supply chain and inventory structure through a shared inventory system and plans to establish a more intelligent distribution center [9]. Membership and Customer Engagement - Active membership accounts increased to over 560,000, contributing more than 80% of total retail revenue, with members spending over RMB 5,000 also rising to over 330,000 [8][9]. - The company is enhancing member benefits and experiences to drive further growth in online sales [8].
江南布衣(3306.HK):FY25H2利润环比提速 新兴品牌高速增长
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-11 10:06
Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve steady revenue growth in FY25 and maintain a high net profit margin, with a target of reaching 10 billion in sales by focusing on "fan economy" [1][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - In FY25, the company achieved revenue of 5.55 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5%, and a net profit of 890 million, also up 5% year-on-year [1] - For FY25, the revenue growth in H1 and H2 was 5% and 4% respectively, while net profit growth was 5% in H1 and 7% in H2, indicating a faster profit growth in the second half [2] - The company maintained a gross margin of -0.3 percentage points and an increase in sales expense ratio by 0.6 percentage points, primarily due to the rise in online revenue [2] Group 2: Brand and Channel Performance - Revenue growth by brand in FY25 showed mature brands up 2%, growing brands down 0.5%, and emerging brands up 107%, with corresponding gross margins varying [2] - Online revenue increased by 18%, while self-operated and distribution revenue decreased by 6% and increased by 10% respectively, with a net decrease in self-operated stores [2] Group 3: Membership and Retail Contribution - Membership contributed over 80% to retail sales, with active members reaching 560,000, and members with annual purchases exceeding 5,000 yuan increasing to over 330,000 [2] Group 4: Future Guidance and Dividends - The company maintains its FY26 retail sales target of 10 billion, with stable profitability expected [3] - The total dividend per share for FY25 is 1.38 HKD, corresponding to a dividend yield of over 6%, indicating a commitment to high dividends for shareholders [3]
江南布衣2025财年收入55.48亿元 全渠道布局成效显著
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-11 08:48
Core Viewpoint - Jiangnan Buyi maintains stable gross and net profit margins in a complex market environment, with net profit exceeding expectations and overall performance meeting forecasts [1] Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2025, Jiangnan Buyi reported total revenue of 5.548 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, and net profit of 897 million yuan, up 6% year-on-year [1] - The board proposed a final dividend of 0.93 HKD per share, alongside an interim dividend of 0.45 HKD per share, totaling approximately 716 million HKD for the year, with a payout ratio of 75% [1] Brand and Business Development - The company operates a multi-brand sustainable scale model, with an overall gross margin maintained at a high level of 65.6% [2] - Revenue from the mature brand JNBY grew by 2.3%, accounting for 54.3% of total revenue, while the emerging brand segment saw a significant increase of 107.4% to 361 million yuan, representing 6.5% of total revenue [2] - Jiangnan Buyi's membership strategy has led to over 80% of retail sales coming from members, with active member accounts increasing to 560,000 [2] Retail Strategy - The company is focused on optimizing its fan-centric retail network, leveraging data and technology to enhance customer experience [3] - As of June 30, the total number of independent retail stores globally reached 2,117, with strategic investments in store image upgrades and service quality [3] ESG Practices - Jiangnan Buyi integrates sustainability into its core operations, focusing on product innovation, environmental friendliness, talent development, and community engagement [4] - The company achieved a sustainable material ratio of 30.6% for fiscal year 2025, an increase of 8.2 percentage points from the previous year [5] - The company aims for a retail target of 10 billion yuan for fiscal year 2026, emphasizing quality and health of growth over mere scale [5]
近八成营收来自线下,江南布衣暂无推即时零售计划丨服饰财报观察
Core Insights - Jiangnan Buyi's total revenue for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, increased by approximately 4.6% to 5.548 billion yuan, driven by growth in online sales and expansion of offline stores [1] - The company's net profit rose by 6.0% to 899 million yuan, indicating that nearly 80% of revenue still comes from offline stores [1] - The overall gross margin remained at 65.6%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous fiscal year, which contributed to a significant drop in stock price by 12.12% on September 9 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Online channel revenue grew by 18.3% to 1.201 billion yuan, marking a significant contribution to the overall revenue [1] - The JNBY brand, with over 30 years of history, accounted for 54.3% of total revenue, with a 2.3% increase [2] - Emerging brands, including POMMEl DE TERRE, JNBYHOME, onmygame, and B1OCK, generated 361 million yuan, a 107.4% increase, representing 6.5% of total revenue [3] Customer Engagement - Brand membership contributed over 80% of retail sales, with active member accounts exceeding 560,000 [3] - Members who spent over 5,000 yuan accounted for more than 60% of offline retail sales, totaling 4.86 billion yuan [3] Strategic Focus - The company aims to maintain its retail target of 10 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2026, focusing on domestic market growth despite current challenges [4] - The strategy includes dual-track development for emerging brands, emphasizing product strength and brand foundation while leveraging existing mature brands for growth [4] Store Network and Digitalization - As of June 30, 2025, the number of independent retail stores increased from 2,025 to 2,117, covering all provinces in mainland China and 10 other countries [5] - Both online and offline channels achieved positive growth, with online sales surpassing 20% of total revenue for the first time [5] - The company is reducing direct-operated stores while increasing distributor-operated stores, focusing on refined operations across different store types [6]
近八成营收来自线下,江南布衣暂无推即时零售计划
Core Insights - Jiangnan Buyi Limited reported a total revenue increase of approximately 4.6% to 5.548 billion yuan for the fiscal year ending June 30, 2025, driven by growth in online sales and expansion of offline stores [2] - The company's net profit rose by 6.0% to 899 million yuan, indicating that nearly 80% of brand revenue still comes from offline stores [2] - The overall gross margin remained at 65.6%, a slight decrease of 0.3 percentage points from the previous fiscal year [2] Revenue Breakdown - Online channel revenue grew by 18.3% to 1.201 billion yuan, marking a significant contribution to the overall revenue [2] - The JNBY brand, with over 30 years of history, accounted for 54.3% of total revenue, with a revenue increase of 2.3% [3] - Emerging brands, including POMMEl DE TERRE, JNBYHOME, onmygame, and B1OCK, generated revenue of 361 million yuan, a substantial increase of 107.4% year-on-year, contributing 6.5% to total revenue [4] Membership and Customer Engagement - Brand members contributed over 80% of retail revenue, with active member accounts exceeding 560,000 [4] - Members with total purchases exceeding 5,000 yuan accounted for over 60% of offline retail revenue, totaling 4.86 billion yuan [4] Strategic Focus - The company aims to maintain its retail target of 10 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2026, focusing on domestic market growth despite current challenges [5] - The strategy includes a dual approach for emerging brands, emphasizing product strength and brand foundation while leveraging existing mature brands for growth [5] - The total number of independent retail stores increased from 2,025 to 2,117, covering all provinces in mainland China and 10 other countries and regions [5] Market Dynamics - The company experienced positive growth in both online and offline channels, with online sales surpassing 20% of total revenue for the first time [5] - The gross margin for both online and direct sales channels improved, reflecting stable pricing and discount strategies [6] - The retail scale in first- and second-tier cities remains dominant, with over 40% of offline store numbers and more than half of retail revenue coming from these areas [6]
大行评级|招银国际:上调江南布衣目标价至23.3港元 短期股价催化剂可能有限
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-11 02:15
Core Viewpoint - The research report from CMB International indicates that Jiangnan Buyi's annual performance as of the end of June met expectations, but concerns arise from relatively weak core brand sales growth and high inventory levels [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Retail sales growth in July and August was encouraging, but the company's guidance for fiscal year 2026, particularly regarding net profit margins, is very conservative [1] - CMB International slightly lowered the net profit forecasts for Jiangnan Buyi for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 by 7% and 8% respectively, considering faster sales growth mainly from new brand contributions, lower-than-expected gross margins, and lower operational leverage [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - The company maintains an attractive dividend yield forecast of 8% for fiscal year 2026, leading to a "buy" rating, although short-term stock price catalysts may be limited [1] - The target price has been raised from HKD 18.68 to HKD 23.3, based on a projected price-to-earnings ratio of 12 times for fiscal year 2026 [1] Group 3: Market Position - Despite the adjustments, Jiangnan Buyi's sales growth and net profit are still considered resilient and leading within the industry, although net profit growth for fiscal year 2026 may remain moderate [1]