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高盛:内地医疗健康板块的强劲趋势将延续,对CDMO企业看好转趋建设性
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-09 03:09
Core Viewpoint - The strong trend in the mainland healthcare sector from last year is expected to continue into this year, with investors needing to consider the value of more R&D pipelines when evaluating valuations [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - Companies are now trading based on actual execution capabilities rather than solely on licensing deal expectations [1] - Achieving returns that exceed the industry will rely more on key data releases, actual transactions, and visibility on earnings realization or turning points [1] Group 2: Sector Insights - The outlook for CDMO companies is becoming more constructive due to accelerated growth, strong product cycles, limited geopolitical risks, and reasonable valuations [1] - The ratings for WuXi AppTec and WuXi AppTec Holdings have been upgraded to "Buy" [1] Group 3: Selective Strategy in Biotech and Pharma - A selective strategy is adopted for biotech and pharmaceutical companies, favoring those with key data releases and early data showing potential, along with actual transaction expectations [1] - Companies such as Kelun-Biotech, Junshi Biosciences, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical are viewed positively [1] Group 4: Medical Devices Sector - The medical devices sector is maintained with a neutral outlook, indicating that while the industry has bottomed out, recovery will take time [1] - Recommended stocks include Angelalign Technology and Weigao Group [1]
大行评级丨高盛:内地医疗健康板块的强劲趋势将延续,对CDMO企业看好转趋建设性
Ge Long Hui· 2026-02-09 02:38
Core Viewpoint - The strong trend in the mainland healthcare sector from last year is expected to continue into this year, with investors considering the value of more R&D pipelines when evaluating valuations [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - Companies are now trading based more on actual execution capabilities rather than solely on licensing deal expectations [1] - Achieving returns that exceed the industry average this year will rely more on key data releases, actual transactions, and visibility on profit realization or turning points [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The outlook for CDMO companies is becoming more constructive due to accelerated growth, strong product cycles, limited geopolitical risks, and reasonable valuations [1] - The ratings for WuXi AppTec and WuXi AppTec Holdings have been upgraded to "Buy" [1] Group 3: Selective Strategy in Biotech and Pharma - A selective strategy is adopted for biotech and pharmaceutical companies, favoring those with key data releases and early data showing some promise, along with actual transaction expectations [1] - Companies such as Kelun-Biotech, Innovent Biologics, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical are viewed positively [1] Group 4: Medical Devices Sector - The medical devices sector maintains a neutral outlook, as the industry has bottomed out but requires time for gradual recovery [1] - Recommendations include buying Angelalign Technology and Weigao Group [1]
——海外消费周报(20260130-20260205):港股医药 2025 年报业绩前瞻:商业化销售放量叠加授权收入,部分公司有望迎来盈利拐点-20260208
Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the pharmaceutical sector, particularly for innovative drugs and companies expected to reach profitability in 2025 [1][9][15]. Core Insights - The innovative drug sector is anticipated to see significant growth due to the commercialization of core products and contributions from business development (BD) revenues, with companies like BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others expected to achieve profitability [1][9]. - The Pharma sub-sector is projected to experience a revenue growth rate of 15-20% in 2025, with notable companies such as Hansoh Pharmaceutical and China Biologic Products leading this growth [2][10]. - The CXO sector is also expected to report strong performance, with companies like WuXi AppTec forecasting substantial revenue and profit increases [3][11]. - The medical services sector is currently valued at historical lows, with a projected revenue growth of 13% for Genscript Biotech, highlighting the importance of monitoring industry changes [4][12]. Summary by Sections Innovative Drugs - Companies expected to achieve profitability in 2025 include BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others, driven by increased commercialization and BD revenues [1][9]. Pharma - Revenue growth of 15-20% is expected for leading companies such as Hansoh Pharmaceutical and China Biologic Products, with a significant boost anticipated for 3SBio due to a major BD deal with Pfizer [2][10]. CXO - WuXi AppTec is projected to achieve approximately 454.56 billion RMB in revenue, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 15.84%, with adjusted net profits expected to rise significantly [3][11]. Medical Services - Genscript Biotech is expected to see a revenue increase of 13% in 2025, emphasizing the need to focus on overseas business expansion and AI integration in traditional medicine [4][12].
海外消费周报:港股医药2025年报业绩前瞻:商业化销售放量叠加授权收入,部分公司有望迎来盈利拐点-20260208
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pharmaceutical sector, indicating an "Overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting it will outperform the overall market [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the commercialization of innovative drugs, combined with licensing income, is expected to lead to profitability for several companies in 2025, including BeiGene, Innovent Biologics, and others [1][9]. - The Pharma sub-sector is projected to achieve a revenue growth rate of 15-20% in 2025 for companies like Hansoh Pharmaceutical and China Biologic Products, with a significant revenue increase expected for 3SBio due to a major business development deal with Pfizer [2][10]. - The CXO sector is also expected to show strong performance, with companies like WuXi AppTec forecasting a revenue increase of approximately 15.84% and a net profit growth of about 102.65% in 2025 [3][11]. - In the medical services sector, the report notes that valuations are at historical lows, with a projected revenue growth of 13% for GuoShengTang in 2025, emphasizing the importance of overseas business expansion and AI integration in traditional Chinese medicine [4][12]. Summary by Sections Innovative Drugs - The report anticipates that several innovative drug companies will reach profitability in 2025 due to increased commercialization and business development income [9][15]. Pharma - The Pharma sub-sector is expected to see a revenue growth of 15-20% in 2025 for key players, with 3SBio projected to achieve over 100% growth due to a significant partnership with Pfizer [2][10]. CXO - WuXi AppTec is expected to report a revenue of approximately 454.56 billion RMB in 2025, with a net profit growth of around 102.65% [3][11]. Medical Services - GuoShengTang is projected to have a revenue growth of 13% in 2025, with a focus on overseas acquisitions and AI applications in traditional medicine [4][12].
活动 | 马到成功,2025福布斯中国年终盛典
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-07 13:33
Group 1 - The Forbes China Year-End Gala held on February 4, 2026, in Shanghai gathered outstanding entrepreneurs and industry leaders from technology, healthcare, semiconductors, and investment sectors to discuss future trends in artificial intelligence, hard technology, biomedicine, and business civilization [2] - Forbes China has been releasing various rankings since entering the Chinese market in 2003, including the Best CEO in China and the Top 50 Innovative Companies in China, which serve as important references for observing changes in China's business society [2] - The event featured a forum with keynote speeches and roundtable discussions covering topics such as healthcare, technology, talent, and sustainable development, aimed at exploring industry development trajectories and prospects [4] Group 2 - The keynote speech by Han Xu, CEO of WeRide, emphasized the strategic significance of autonomous driving as the first large-scale application of physical AI, predicting that within five years, everyone could stop driving, leading to the era of household service robots [6] - Chen Zhisheng, CEO of WuXi Biologics, forecasted that tumors could become controllable chronic diseases within five years, similar to diabetes, and discussed the transformative application of digital technology in drug production [12] - Xu Siqing, founder of Alpha Community, highlighted the dual nature of technological advancement, particularly in AI, which presents both opportunities and challenges to existing human life orders [16] Group 3 - Zhang Hua, founder and chairman of Shibang Group, warned that the era where labor is no longer a necessity is approaching, urging companies to design new job structures for collaboration between humans and intelligent agents [18] - Zhu Jia, partner at Guanghe Venture Capital, pointed out that the core bottleneck limiting AI development is not semiconductor chips but power supply, which is driving nuclear fusion technology towards commercialization [20] - The roundtable discussions included insights on the semiconductor industry's supply-demand mismatch, with Wu Shengwu, chairman of Rongxin Semiconductor, noting a structural contradiction where high-end demand faces capacity shortages while non-specialty processes are oversupplied [27] Group 4 - Liu Yuqing, assistant president of Huafeng Technology Group, emphasized the critical role of advanced packaging in enhancing computing power in the post-Moore's Law era, advocating for a focus on deepening capabilities in the domestic equipment sector [29] - Fang Ling, co-founder of CGL, observed a shift in talent competition within the semiconductor industry from purely technical talent to composite talent with commercial awareness, predicting that AI will exacerbate workplace differentiation [31] - The event also recognized companies like Huafeng Technology and Microchip Technology for their innovative contributions to the industry, awarding them the "2025 Forbes China Innovation Power 50" [58]
翰森制药(03692):产品销售收入将快速增加,推广力度可能略加强
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price adjusted to HKD 42.10 [4][7]. Core Insights - The company's product sales revenue is expected to continue growing rapidly, driven by the successful launch of key innovative drugs in the oncology and liver disease sectors [1][3]. - Increased promotional efforts are anticipated, particularly with the upcoming launch of the drug Amivantamab in the UK, which may lead to higher sales expenses [2]. - Long-term revenue from licensing agreements is expected to increase, particularly from a deal with Glenmark Specialty for the commercialization of Amivantamab in various regions [3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 10,104 million - 2024: RMB 12,261 million (growth rate of 21.3%) - 2025E: RMB 15,426 million (growth rate of 25.8%) - 2026E: RMB 15,600 million (growth rate of 1.1%) - 2027E: RMB 17,644 million (growth rate of 13.1%) [6][12] - Shareholder net profit estimates are: - 2023: RMB 3,278 million - 2024: RMB 4,372 million (growth rate of 33.4%) - 2025E: RMB 5,434 million (growth rate of 24.3%) - 2026E: RMB 4,739 million (decline of 12.8%) - 2027E: RMB 5,828 million (growth rate of 23.0%) [6][12] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) projections are: - 2023: RMB 0.55 - 2024: RMB 0.74 - 2025E: RMB 0.92 - 2026E: RMB 0.79 - 2027E: RMB 0.98 [6][12] Target Price and Valuation - The target price has been adjusted to HKD 42.10 based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, reflecting a potential upside from the current price of HKD 36.62 [4][7].
港股创新药ETF(159567)涨0.79%,成交额8.49亿元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-06 12:25
Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) has shown a slight increase in performance, with a closing rise of 0.79% and a trading volume of 849 million yuan on February 6, 2024 [1]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) was established on January 3, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of February 5, 2024, the fund's total shares stood at 10.244 billion, with a total size of 7.906 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.36% decrease in shares and a 0.13% increase in size since December 31, 2023 [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Activity - Over the last 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the ETF reached 21.573 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 1.079 billion yuan [1]. - Since the beginning of the year, the ETF has recorded a cumulative trading amount of 29.237 billion yuan over 25 trading days, averaging 1.169 billion yuan per day [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund manager is Ma Jun, who has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 56.50% during the management period [1]. Group 4: Top Holdings - The top holdings of the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) include: - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (10.44% holding, 108 million shares, market value of 825 million yuan) [2] - BeiGene (9.91% holding, 4.8299 million shares, market value of 782 million yuan) [2] - CanSino Biologics (9.72% holding, 7.52 million shares, market value of 768 million yuan) [2] - China Biologic Products (9.66% holding, 13.7 million shares, market value of 763 million yuan) [2] - Innovent Biologics (9.53% holding, 10.9295 million shares, market value of 753 million yuan) [2] - Other notable holdings include 3SBio, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, and Kelun-Biotech [2].
科创板企业扎堆登陆“中国500强”
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-06 10:55
Group 1 - The total value of the top 500 companies in China increased by 21 trillion yuan (38%), reaching 77 trillion yuan, with an average value growth of 41.5 billion yuan, now at 1.53 trillion yuan [1][2] - The entry threshold for the list rose to 34 billion yuan, an increase of 7.5 billion yuan from the previous year, marking a historical high [1][2] - The technology sector continues to be a growth engine, with significant increases in the number and market value of companies in semiconductor, biomedicine, artificial intelligence, and new energy sectors [1][2] Group 2 - Nearly 40% of this year's listed companies were not on the list four years ago, with new entrants primarily from consumer electronics, AI computing, and new energy sectors [2] - The semiconductor industry surpassed the life sciences sector to become the second-largest industry in the list, with TSMC leading the growth [3] - Notable semiconductor companies include TSMC, which saw a value increase of 3.5 trillion yuan, and Cambrian, which grew by 370 billion yuan [3] Group 3 - The new energy sector also performed well, with CATL's value increasing by 690 billion yuan, and other companies like Sungrow and EVE Energy showing significant growth [4] - The Shanghai region had 57 companies on the list, an increase of 7 from the previous year, making it the city with the fastest growth in the number of listed companies [10] - Shanghai is a key research and development hub, with 101 companies establishing their main R&D bases there, reflecting its strong innovation capabilities [10][11] Group 4 - The STAR Market (科创板) has a strong presence in the list, with 45 companies, showcasing the focus on hard technology sectors like semiconductors and biomedicine [6][7] - The semiconductor sector is particularly prominent among STAR Market companies, with many of the highest-valued startups in this field [8] - The overall trend indicates that STAR Market companies are in a high-growth phase, aligning with the broader trend of nearly 40% of this year's companies being new entrants [9]
国产创新药,正在破局
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-05 11:26
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant progress in China's innovative drug development, highlighting the increase in the number of new drugs approved and the growing competitiveness of Chinese pharmaceutical companies in both domestic and international markets [4][16]. Group 1: Growth of Innovative Drugs - In 2024, the number of domestically developed Class 1 new drugs in China reached 40, a substantial increase from just 9 in 2018 [2][3][4]. - Since the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan, 113 innovative drugs have been approved, which is 2.8 times the number approved during the 13th Five-Year Plan [4]. - As of August 2024, there are 910 new drugs available in China, indicating a robust growth in the pharmaceutical market [6]. Group 2: Clinical Trials and Breakthroughs - In a head-to-head clinical trial, the drug Ivoris (依沃西单抗) developed by Kangfang Biopharma outperformed the global best-selling cancer drug, Pembrolizumab (K drug), marking a significant achievement for Chinese innovation [7][9]. - The global sales of Pembrolizumab reached $29.482 billion in 2024, underscoring the competitive landscape [8]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and International Expansion - Chinese innovative drugs are not only performing well domestically but are also gaining traction in international markets, with products like Sidakio (西达基奥仑赛) achieving $1.596 billion in cumulative sales since its launch [12][13]. - The total transaction scale of technology licensing by Chinese pharmaceutical companies exceeded $34 billion in 2024, indicating a shift towards international collaboration [14][15]. Group 4: R&D Landscape and Challenges - As of August 2024, there are 5,380 new drug candidates in development in China, accounting for over one-third of the global pipeline [18]. - The average cost of developing an innovative drug is around $1 billion, with a typical development timeline of 10 years [20][21]. - The efficiency of drug development in China is improving, with preclinical phases taking 12-20 months compared to 24-36 months internationally [23]. Group 5: Policy Support and Ecosystem - The Chinese government has implemented various policies since 2008 to support innovative drug development, including expedited approval processes and financial incentives [28][29]. - The combination of government support, industry collaboration, and technological advancements is creating a conducive environment for innovation in the pharmaceutical sector [41]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The article emphasizes that the development of innovative drugs in China has made significant strides over the past decade, transitioning from imitation to innovation [42]. - The government's continued support for innovative drugs is expected to enhance the industry's growth and provide hope for patients [42].
翰森制药(03692)完成发行46.8亿港元零息可换股债券
智通财经网· 2026-02-03 12:19
本公司已获准于联交所上市及买卖换股股份。债券预计将于2026年2月4日或前后获准于维也纳证券交易 所营运的Vienna MTF上市及买卖。 智通财经APP讯,翰森制药(03692)发布公告,有关建议发行46.8亿港元于2033年到期的零息可换股债 券。认购协议所载发行债券的所有先决条件均已达成,且发行债券已于2026年2月3日成功落实。 ...