智通财经7月21日电，开盘超级水电概念集体走强，中国电建、西藏天路、保利联合、高争民爆、华新 水泥等十余股竞价涨停。消息面上，7月19日，国家投资建设1.2万亿的超级水电项目正式宣布工程开 工。 超级水电概念大幅高开 中国电建等十余股竞价涨停 ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 稳经济措施加码，重大水电项目落地 2025 年 07 月 21 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 房大磊 执业证书：S0600522100001 fangdl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书：S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -13% -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 19% 23% 2024/7/22 2024/11/19 2025/3/19 2025/7/17 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 价格上涨的主要是湖南省，幅度 10 元/吨。七月中旬，随着天气好转， 下游市场需求环比略有提升，全国重点地区水泥企业平均出货率维持约 46%，环比增加 2.4 个百分点。价格方面，由于整体市场需求依旧较弱， 以及多数地区错峰生产执行力度不够，供需矛盾无明显缓解，导致部分 地区价格仍在小幅下探，预计后期价格将延续 ...

建筑材料 2025 年 07 月 20 日 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 36% 2024-07 2024-11 2025-03 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究报告 《住建部强调稳定房地产市场，关注 建 材 投 资 机 会 — 行业周报》- 2025.7.13 张绪成（分析师） 刘天文（分析师） zhangxucheng@kysec.cn liutianwen@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790523110001 中央城市工作会强调城市更新，关注建材投资机会 本周中央城市工作会议在北京举行。会议指出我国城镇化从快速增长期转向稳定 发展期，城市发展从大规模增量扩张转向存量提质增效为主的阶段。以推进城市 更新为重要抓手，稳步推进城中村和危旧房改造、老旧管线改造升级等，将拉动 管材、防水、涂料等消费建材需求。同时，推动城市高质量发展，"好房子" 概念 及相关住宅规范的执行，将提升高品质、绿色建材产品需求。我们认为，随着城 市更新政策的不断推进，地产链基本面有望迎来较大改善。消费建材板块推荐： 三棵树（渠道下沉，零售扩张）、东方雨虹（防水龙头，经营结 ...

证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 07 月 20 日 [Table_Title] 中国雅江集团成立，重点关注岩土工程、民 爆板块投资机会 [Table_Title2] 建筑材料 [Table_Summary] ►本周受益标的：（1）中国雅江集团成立，标志着世纪工程、 标杆工程有序推进，推荐重点工程中岩大地；民爆需求高景 气，行业供给有望再集中，高争民爆、广东宏大、雪峰科技、 国泰集团等受益；（2）传统行业"反内卷"，推荐水泥龙头海 螺水泥、华新水泥，上峰水泥和塔牌水泥受益；推荐防水提价 的东方雨虹、科顺股份等；推荐具备强α的三棵树、北新新 材，推荐估值低位且具备高分红的兔宝宝、伟星新材等；（3） 国产替代：推荐麦加芯彩，关税缓和航运需求提升，船舶涂 料、海工涂料取证加速未来有望持续国产替代；推荐松井股 份，车身漆国产替代需求旺盛。 ►第 29 周（07/12-07/18）新房、二手房市场成交量趋势走 弱。（1） 30 城大中城市商品房交易数据：今年第 29 周国内 30 大中城市新房成交面积 120.35 万㎡，同比-25%，环比- 12.88%；累计交易面积 4967.30 ...

伴随中国水泥行业打响"反内卷"攻坚战，华新水泥（600801.SH、06655.HK）迎来业绩盈喜。 7月14日，华新水泥发布业绩预告，预计2025年上半年实现归母净利润为10.96亿元至11.32亿元，同比增 长50%至55%；预计扣非净利10.61亿元至10.95亿元，同比增加56%至61%。 对于业绩预增的主要原因，华新水泥称，在行业积极响应"反内卷""稳增长"的倡议下，水泥产品平均售 价同比上涨。同时，海外业务收入的增长和非水泥业务的稳步提升也是利润的重要贡献点。 长江商报记者注意到，随着近期水泥行业主动"反内卷"带来的价格修复，以及煤炭成本下降和部分区域 需求改善，包括华新水泥、福建水泥等在内的多家水泥企业净利大幅增长。多家机构看好行业后续供给 有序可控，"反内卷"将助力行业高质量发展。 行业"反内卷"成效显著 近年来，受需求下降等多重因素，水泥行业整体承压，水泥企业利润被不断压缩。2024上半年，国内水 泥行业出现新世纪以来首次全行业亏损，共计亏损12亿元。 海外业务稳定增长 在国内水泥业务业绩承压的局面下，海外业务业绩的提升早已成为华新水泥稳定公司业绩的重要支撑。 当地时间6月25日，华新水泥赞 ...

增持|首次覆盖 个股表现 -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 2024-07 2024-09 2024-12 2025-02 2025-04 2025-07 华新水泥 建筑材料 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 公司基本情况 | 最新收盘价（元） | 13.25 | | --- | --- | | 总股本/流通股本（亿股）20.79 / 13.44 | | | 总市值/流通市值（亿元）275 / 178 | | | 52 周内最高/最低价 | 15.20 / 10.10 | | 资产负债率(%) | 49.8% | | 市盈率 | 11.42 | | 第一大股东 | 香港中央结算(代理人) | | 有限公司 | | 研究所 分析师:赵洋 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050002 Email:zhaoyang@cnpsec.com 证券研究报告：建筑材料 | 公司点评报告 发布时间：2025-07-16 股票投资评级 华新水泥(600801) Q2 业绩超预期，国内外盈利均改善 事件 公司发布 25 年半年度业绩预增公告，预计 2025 年半年度实现 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Urban Development and Industry Insights Industry and Company Involved - **Industry**: Real Estate, Building Materials, Energy Drinks - **Companies Mentioned**: Dongpeng Beverage, Conch Cement, Taipai Group, Huaxin Cement, China Resources, Binjiang, Greentown, Jianfa Zhonghai Key Points and Arguments Urban Development and Real Estate Policy - The Central Urban Work Conference emphasizes a shift from large-scale expansion to improving existing urban stock, indicating a focus on urban renewal rather than large-scale stimulus, which benefits post-cycle industries like building materials and home appliances [1][2][3] - The policy aims to steadily advance the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated housing, avoiding a return to the monetization of shantytown renovations seen in 2015-2016, suggesting limited demand for incremental cyclical products [1][3][5] - The real estate market is transitioning from expansion to quality enhancement, focusing on improving existing housing quality and surrounding environments rather than new construction [1][6][7] Regional Market Performance - The real estate markets in first and second-tier core cities and their metropolitan areas are expected to outperform the national average, with regional developers like China Resources, Binjiang, Greentown, and Jianfa Zhonghai being noteworthy [1][8] Energy Drink Consumption Trends - Population movement significantly impacts energy drink consumption, with higher preferences in first and second-tier cities. As population density increases, energy drink consumption is expected to rise, making Dongpeng Beverage a recommended investment [1][9][10] - The consumption of energy drinks varies across provinces, with Guangdong leading in market share for Red Bull and Dongpeng, which is projected to maintain a 35% revenue growth rate [1][11] Building Materials Industry Insights - Urban renewal and village renovation will have limited demand pull for the building materials industry, with the consumption of building materials being most affected, particularly in segments like waterproofing, piping, and coatings [2][12][15] - The cement sector is expected to benefit from demand growth and supply-side reforms, with recommendations for Conch Cement, Taipai Group, and Huaxin Cement as investment targets due to their strong market positions and profitability [2][15][16] Market Outlook and Investment Strategy - The overall sentiment from the conference indicates a cautious approach to large-scale stimulus, with the market expected to remain within a relatively stable range [3][5] - Investment strategies should focus on a "barbell" approach, balancing technology and military sectors with dividend-paying assets like bank stocks and high-dividend service sector stocks [3] Conclusion - The conference highlights a significant policy shift in urban development and real estate, with implications for various industries. The focus on quality over quantity in housing and urban infrastructure suggests a need for investors to adapt their strategies accordingly, particularly in the building materials and consumer goods sectors.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Huaxin Cement is "Buy-A" with a target price of 15.2 CNY, while the current stock price is 13.25 CNY [5]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.096 to 1.132 billion CNY in H1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 50% to 55% [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 is projected to see a net profit of 862 to 898 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 55.84% to 62.44% [1]. - Despite a decline in domestic cement demand, the company is likely to benefit from increased overseas sales and improved profitability due to falling coal prices [2][3]. - The China Cement Association's initiatives to optimize supply-side conditions are expected to support price and profitability recovery in the cement industry [3][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company anticipates a significant increase in net profit for H1 2025, with a rise of approximately 365 to 402 million CNY compared to the previous year [1]. - The expected net profit for Q2 2025 is between 862 to 898 million CNY, marking a substantial year-on-year growth [1]. Market Conditions - From January to May 2025, national cement production decreased by 4% year-on-year, with regional variations in production across key areas [2]. - Despite a general decline in domestic demand, cement prices in key sales regions remained high, contributing to improved profitability for the company [2]. Overseas Expansion - The company has made significant strides in international markets, with expected increases in overseas cement sales and profitability due to recent technological upgrades and new production capacities in South Africa, Nigeria, and Brazil [3][9]. - The company is set to benefit from a new cement production line in Mozambique, which will contribute to output in 2025 [3]. Industry Outlook - The cement industry is undergoing supply-side reforms aimed at curbing excessive production and low-price competition, which is expected to gradually improve the supply-demand balance and support price recovery [8][9]. - The company's integrated strategy and high-margin aggregate business are anticipated to enhance overall performance in the coming years [9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Insights - The glass fiber industry is expected to perform well, with strong earnings forecasts for companies like China National Materials and China Jushi, driven by wind power demand and AI applications [6][10] - The cement prices continue to decline, while glass inventory has decreased month-on-month, indicating a potential recovery in demand [8][9] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on special glass fibers and the African supply chain, with leading companies being the main investment focus for the year [10] Summary by Sections Glass Fiber - The mid-year earnings forecast for glass fiber is optimistic, with China National Materials expected to achieve a net profit of approximately 670-830 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 186-254% [6] - China Jushi's net profit is projected to be around 1.65-1.70 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 163-171% [6] - The demand for ordinary glass fiber remains under pressure, while special electronic fabrics are experiencing accelerated growth due to the AI wave [6][10] Cement - Cement prices have continued to decline, with average prices at 352.74 yuan per ton, down 0.65 yuan month-on-month and 45.32 yuan year-on-year [27] - The average shipment rate for cement companies in key regions is 43%, remaining stable month-on-month but down 3 percentage points year-on-year [27] - There are plans for price increases in certain regions as prices approach bottom levels [27] Glass - The domestic float glass market prices are stable, with slight increases in some areas, and overall demand remains cautious [9][41] - The production capacity utilization rate for the float glass industry is at 82.09%, with a total of 283 production lines [9] - Inventory levels have decreased, with a total of 5.734 million weight boxes, down 97,000 weight boxes month-on-month [9][41] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on special glass fibers and the African supply chain, highlighting companies like China National Materials and Keda Manufacturing as key players [10] - It also suggests that the demand for building materials is expected to rise, particularly in the renovation sector, benefiting companies with strong business models [10]

华新水泥股份有限公司董事会 特此公告。 | 证券代码：600801 证券简称：华新水泥 公告编号：2025-022 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 华新水泥股份有限公司 | | | | | | | | | 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 | | | | | | | | | 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 | | | | | | | | | 重要内容提示： | | | | | | | | | ? 本次会议是否有否决议案：无 | | | | | | | | | 一、 会议召开和出席情况 | | | | | | | | | (一)股东会召开的时间：2025 年 7 月 15 日 | | | | | | | | | (二)股东会召开的地点：湖北省武汉市东湖新技术开发区高新大道 426 号华新大 | | | | | | | | | 厦 B 座 2 楼会议室 | | | | | | | | | (三)出席会议的普通股股东和恢复表决权的优先股股东及其持有 ...