Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Buy" [2] Core Views - The June PMI for the machinery industry has rebounded to 49.7%, indicating a recovery in general equipment and engineering machinery sectors [4][6] - Despite a decline in domestic engineering machinery operations, exports are experiencing rapid growth, with a year-on-year increase of 8.8% in May [5][6] - The overall demand for machinery equipment is expected to improve in the second half of the year due to easing US-China trade tensions and supportive fiscal and monetary policies [6] Summary by Sections Industry Performance - Over the past 12 months, the machinery industry has shown a relative return of 19.5% and an absolute return of 35.6% [3] General Equipment - The production index and new orders index have increased to 51.0% and 50.2%, respectively, indicating expansion [4] - The overall manufacturing sector is showing resilience, with a continuous recovery in PMI for May and June [4] Engineering Machinery - The average working hours for major engineering machinery products in June were 77.2 hours, down 9.1% year-on-year [5] - The average operating rate for engineering machinery was 56.9%, a decline of 7.55 percentage points year-on-year [5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the engineering machinery sector, which is expected to benefit from domestic demand recovery and strong export growth [6] - Specific companies to watch include Anhui Heli, Hangcha Group, Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, Zoomlion, and Hengli Hydraulic [6] Key Company Forecasts - The report includes earnings forecasts and ratings for key companies, with several companies rated as "Buy" [20]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for the machinery sector, particularly highlighting specific companies for investment opportunities [13]. Core Insights - The engineering machinery sector shows short-term fluctuations in operating rates but maintains a long-term recovery logic driven by domestic demand [7][25]. - The new shipbuilding prices have stabilized and are showing signs of recovery, indicating an upward trend in industry sentiment [7][46]. - The gas turbine sector is experiencing robust growth, with significant increases in orders and production expected [7][55]. Market Review - The SW Machinery Equipment Index increased by 0.26% over the past week, ranking 24th among 31 primary industry categories [3][16]. - Year-to-date, the SW Machinery Equipment Index has risen by 8.29%, ranking 7th among the same categories [3][18]. Key Data Tracking General Machinery - The general machinery sector continues to face pressure, with the manufacturing PMI at 49.7%, indicating contraction [24]. Engineering Machinery - The operating rate for major engineering machinery products was 56.9% in June, down 7.55% year-on-year [7][25]. - The average working hours for these products were 77.2 hours, reflecting a decline of 9.11% year-on-year [7][25]. Shipbuilding - The global new ship price index reached 187.11 in June, marking a 0.22% increase, the first rise since February [7][46]. Oilfield Equipment - The global rig count has stabilized at over 1,600 units, indicating a bottoming out of demand in the oilfield equipment sector [48]. Gas Turbines - The gas turbine sector is on a steady upward trajectory, with GEV's new orders increasing by 44.9% in Q1 2025 [55][56]. Industry Dynamics - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the recovery trends in various segments, including engineering machinery, shipbuilding, and gas turbines, as they present potential investment opportunities [7][55].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Weight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, indicating that the industry is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [43]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is expected to see early industrial applications, with local government policies accelerating the commercialization process. Key investment themes include technological upgrades and advancements in robotics [2][39]. - The engineering machinery sector is projected to maintain growth due to stable infrastructure investment and the acceleration of special bond issuance, despite a negative growth rate in excavator sales in May 2025 [2][39]. - The mechanical equipment sector has shown a bi-weekly increase of 4.30%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.05 percentage points, ranking 17th among 31 industries [12][19]. Market Performance - As of July 3, 2025, the Shenyin Wanguo mechanical equipment sector's PE TTM is 26.77 times, with sub-sectors such as general equipment at 34.10 times and automation equipment at 45.21 times [1][23]. - The general equipment sub-sector had the highest bi-weekly increase of 5.64%, followed by automation equipment at 4.41% and rail transit equipment II at 3.53% [19][22]. Company Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies like Huichuan Technology (300124) and Greentech Harmonic (688017) for humanoid robots, and Sany Heavy Industry (600031) and Hengli Hydraulic (601100) for engineering machinery [2][39][41].

Core Insights - The report maintains a "positive" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, with a focus on the production rhythm of humanoid robots and the potential investment opportunities in the industry chain [8][70][71] - The report recommends "overweight" ratings for specific companies including SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, Hengli Hydraulic, and CRRC [2][71] Industry Overview - In May 2025, excavator sales reached 18,202 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.12%, with domestic sales at 8,392 units, down 1.48% [7][24][70] - The report highlights that the domestic construction machinery market is currently in a renewal cycle, with urban renewal initiatives expected to drive steady demand for engineering machinery [70][71] - The humanoid robot industry is progressing well, with major manufacturers like Tesla clarifying their mass production routes, which is anticipated to accelerate the development of the industry chain [70][71] Market Performance - From June 1 to July 1, 2025, the CSI 300 index rose by 2.67%, while the Shenwan Mechanical Equipment industry increased by 2.85%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.18 percentage points [5][59] - As of July 1, 2025, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the Shenwan Mechanical Equipment industry was 26.75 times, with a valuation premium of 115.88% compared to the CSI 300 [67][68] Key Recommendations - The report suggests maintaining a focus on investment opportunities in companies involved in urban renewal and humanoid robotics, emphasizing the importance of these sectors for future growth [70][71] - Specific companies recommended for investment include SANY Heavy Industry, Zoomlion, Hengli Hydraulic, and CRRC, all rated as "overweight" [2][71]

Summary of Conference Call on Engineering Machinery Industry Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry is experiencing fluctuations in domestic market performance, particularly in excavator sales, which saw a decline in growth rate since April 2025. The expected growth rate for June is projected to be within ±5% [1][2] - Despite short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for the domestic excavator market remains positive, with strong production schedules for medium and large excavators [1][2] Company Performance Expectations - Annual net profit forecasts for key companies in the engineering machinery sector are optimistic: - SANY Heavy Industry: ¥8.5 billion - XCMG: ¥7.5 billion - Zoomlion: ¥4.8-5 billion - LiuGong: ¥1.8-1.9 billion - The second quarter is expected to show significant year-on-year growth for these companies [1][3] Market Dynamics - The domestic market has a high proportion of small excavators (70-80%), which have lower profitability. However, the export market has shown a year-on-year growth of 8-9% from January to May 2025, supporting overall performance [1][5] - Non-excavator products, such as truck cranes, have shown a notable recovery, alleviating some domestic performance pressures [1][5] Valuation and Investment Opportunities - The engineering machinery sector has seen a valuation correction, with P/E ratios for major companies at relatively low levels: - SANY: 17x - XCMG: 12x - Zoomlion: 12-13x - LiuGong: 10-13x - This presents a favorable investment opportunity [1][6] Future Market Outlook - The domestic market is not expected to experience significant declines in the coming months, with strong production data from Hengli Hydraulic and positive feedback from dealers regarding downstream demand [1][7] - If local government funding issues are resolved, the market is anticipated to gradually recover and grow in the second half of the year [1][8] Funding Sources and Government Impact - Funding for the engineering machinery industry primarily comes from two sources: small investors and central government allocations for water conservancy projects, which provide stable cash flow and support excavator demand [1][9] - The issuance of ¥1 trillion in government bonds, with 70-80% directed towards water conservancy projects, is expected to stabilize cash flow and support demand for excavators [1][10] Debt Replacement Effects - Local government debt replacement has led to a temporary decline in operating rates, but new projects are expected to increase in the second half of 2025 and into 2026, boosting excavator sales [1][11][12] Long-term Market Trends - The domestic excavator market is projected to experience an upward trend over the next few years, driven by replacement demand and the export of used equipment [1][13] - Non-excavator equipment markets are also showing signs of recovery, with significant improvements in profitability for companies like SANY [1][14] Export Market Performance - The export market for engineering machinery has remained stable, with excavator exports growing by 8% from January to May 2025, despite some fluctuations due to tariff adjustments [1][15] - Chinese brands have a significant presence in emerging markets, with potential for substantial growth in regions like Southeast Asia, Africa, and South America [1][19][20] Recommendations for Investment - Key companies recommended for investment include: - SANY Heavy Industry: Strong performance and potential for profit release - XCMG: Notable scale advantages, though facing short-term caution due to stock unlock issues - Zoomlion: Focus on tower crane and aerial work platform recovery - LiuGong: Attractive valuation with significant upside potential - Hengli Hydraulic: Strong short-term growth potential and global expansion opportunities [1][25][26]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an overall investment rating for the industry or specific companies [2]. Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with companies like Orbbec and Rongtai expanding their market presence and revenue projections [3][4]. - The report highlights the increasing demand for components and technologies related to humanoid robots, indicating a robust supply chain development [2][3][4][5][6][7]. Company Summaries Orbbec (688322.SS) - Orbbec's humanoid robot revenue is projected to grow from Rmb4 million in 2024 to Rmb30 million in 2025, with market share in China expected to surpass that of Intel's RealSense [3][10]. - The dollar content for 3D vision technology is anticipated to increase from Rmb4,000-5,000 to Rmb8,000 as it becomes integrated into more parts of the robot [3]. Rongtai (603119.SS) - Rongtai has a ~50% market share in micro ballscrews used in humanoid robots and is expanding its operations by building a factory in Thailand to meet US customer requirements [4][10]. - The company aims to grow its core business by 20%-30% CAGR, driven by rising penetration rates in the humanoid robot supply chain [4]. Hengli (601100.SS) - Hengli plans to reduce the production cost of planetary roller screws to ~Rmb1,000 by the end of 2025 and is considering establishing a plant in Houston, TX, to secure orders from US customers [5][10]. - The company targets a +10% YoY revenue and earnings growth, primarily driven by strong demand in the excavator component business [10]. Bozhon (688097.SS) - Bozhon's subsidiary Linkhou is expected to generate Rmb400 million-500 million in revenue in 2025 by providing components and assembly services to Zhiyuan [6][10]. - The company has sold Rmb20 million-30 million worth of humanoid robot assembly equipment to a leading US humanoid robot maker since 2024 [6]. Wolong (600580.SS) - Wolong aims to become the second electric motor supplier to Zhiyuan, targeting revenue growth from Rmb15 billion in 2024 to Rmb16 billion in 2025 [7][10]. - The company plans to pursue mergers and acquisitions to fuel long-term growth, with net profit expected to rise from Rmb793 million in 2024 to Rmb1.1 billion in 2025 [7][10].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the challenges faced by new energy funds, with several funds being liquidated due to poor performance and failure to meet asset size requirements [1][4][6] - Among the actively managed equity funds with "new energy" in their names, less than half have positive returns since inception, indicating that many were launched at market peaks [2][5] - The article discusses the emergence of solid-state batteries as a potential investment opportunity within the new energy sector, driven by policy support and market demand [2][7][8] Group 2 - Four new energy-themed funds have been liquidated this year, all of which were initiated funds that failed to maintain an asset size above 200 million yuan after three years [1][4] - The performance of new energy funds varies significantly, with some funds experiencing declines of over 40%, particularly those launched during market highs in 2021 [5][6] - Solid-state batteries are identified as a promising area for investment, with expectations of significant market growth and technological advancements in the coming years [7][8]

Group 1: General Automation Equipment - In May 2025, the production of metal cutting machine tools in China was approximately 67,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 6.3%, with a month-on-month decline of 9.3 percentage points [1] - The cumulative production from January to May 2025 reached about 332,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.3%, with a month-on-month decline of 3.5 percentage points [1] - The production of industrial robots in May 2025 was around 69,000 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 35.5%, but a month-on-month decline of 16.0 percentage points [1] Group 2: Engineering Machinery - In May 2025, the total sales of six types of engineering machinery, including excavators and forklifts, showed varied performance, with excavators up 2.1% and forklifts up 11.8% year-on-year [2] - Conversely, six other types, including truck cranes and aerial work platforms, experienced declines, with truck cranes down 20.3% year-on-year [2] - Domestic demand for engineering machinery appeared weak in May, attributed to insufficient project funding and adverse weather conditions affecting operational rates [2] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The manufacturing PMI in China rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.5% in May 2025, indicating a gradual improvement in manufacturing conditions [3] - The ongoing improvement in U.S.-China relations is expected to support continued growth in exports, further enhancing manufacturing sentiment [3] - The mechanical industry is rated as "buy," with a focus on engineering machinery companies benefiting from recovering domestic demand and sustained export growth [3]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Standard Allocation," indicating that the industry index is expected to perform within ±10% of the market index over the next six months [33]. Core Insights - In May 2025, excavator sales reached 18,202 units, a year-on-year increase of 2.12% but a month-on-month decrease of 17.79%. Domestic sales were 8,392 units, down 1.48% year-on-year and down 33.12% month-on-month. Export sales were 9,810 units, up 5.42% year-on-year and up 2.24% month-on-month, accounting for 53.90% of total sales [3]. - For the first five months of 2025, cumulative excavator sales totaled 101,716 units, a year-on-year increase of 17.44%, with domestic sales at 57,501 units (up 25.70%) and export sales at 44,215 units (up 8.20%) [3]. - In May 2025, loader sales were 10,535 units, a year-on-year increase of 7.24% but a month-on-month decrease of 9.59%. Domestic sales were 6,037 units (up 16.72% year-on-year) and export sales were 4,498 units (down 3.31% year-on-year) [4]. - Cumulative loader sales for the first five months of 2025 reached 52,755 units, a year-on-year increase of 14.13%, with domestic sales at 29,607 units (up 25.36%) and export sales at 23,148 units (up 2.39%) [4]. - The report notes that the domestic demand for excavators has turned negative in May, while cumulative sales remain robust. The decline in average working hours and operating rates for major construction machinery products is attributed to seasonal factors and demand pull-forward at the beginning of the year [5]. - The acceleration of local government bond issuance in the first five months of 2025 is expected to support domestic demand, alongside ongoing infrastructure investment and replacement policies [5]. - In April 2025, the export trade value of construction machinery was $5.152 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.46% and a month-on-month increase of 4.89%. Cumulative export trade value for the first four months was $18.073 billion, up 9.10% year-on-year [5]. Summary by Sections Excavator Sales - May 2025 excavator sales: 18,202 units, YoY +2.12%, MoM -17.79% [3] - Domestic sales: 8,392 units, YoY -1.48%, MoM -33.12% [3] - Export sales: 9,810 units, YoY +5.42%, MoM +2.24% [3] - Cumulative sales (Jan-May 2025): 101,716 units, YoY +17.44% [3] Loader Sales - May 2025 loader sales: 10,535 units, YoY +7.24%, MoM -9.59% [4] - Domestic sales: 6,037 units, YoY +16.72% [4] - Export sales: 4,498 units, YoY -3.31% [4] - Cumulative sales (Jan-May 2025): 52,755 units, YoY +14.13% [4] Market Dynamics - Domestic excavator demand has turned negative in May, but cumulative sales remain strong [5] - Local government bond issuance is accelerating, expected to support domestic demand [5] - April 2025 export trade value: $5.152 billion, YoY +12.46% [5]

证券代码：601100 证券简称：恒立液压 公告编号：2025-013 江苏恒立液压股份有限公司 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： ? 每股分配比例 A 股每股现金红利0.70元 ? 相关日期 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/6/26 | － | 2025/6/27 | 2025/6/27 | | 二、 分配方案 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后，在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分 公司（以下简称"中国结算上海分公司"）登记在册的本公司全体股东。 | 股份类别 | 股权登记日 | | 最后交易日 | 除权（息）日 | 现金红利发放日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Ａ股 | 2025/6/26 | － | 2025/6/27 | 2025/6/27 | | 四、 分配实施办法 （1 ...