Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Companies Involved - **Industry**: Humanoid Robotics - **Companies Mentioned**: - Veichi Electric (688698.SS) - Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SS) - Leader Drive (688017.SS) - Rongtai Electric (603119.SS) Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Veichi Electric's Confidence**: Management expressed greater confidence in the production ramp of a leading US humanoid robot maker compared to Chinese clients, citing rigorous product development progress [1] 2. **Production Capacity Projections**: The US client's capacity requirement is projected to increase tenfold in 2027, from 1,000 units per week in 2026 to 10,000 units per week [1][3] 3. **Joint Venture in Thailand**: Veichi announced a joint venture with Rongtai Electric in Thailand to meet the US client's requirement for components produced outside of China [3] 4. **Micro Motor Requirements**: The latest version of the US humanoid robot requires 44 micro motors for dexterous hands, with a configuration of 22 degrees of freedom (DoF) per hand [3] 5. **Capacity Readiness Timeline**: The US client has requested Veichi to prepare its capacity by the first half of 2026, aligning with industry expectations [3] Additional Important Information 1. **Investment Preferences**: The report suggests a preference for component makers like Hengli Hydraulic and Leader Drive, which are positioned to benefit from the growth in the US humanoid robotics market [1] 2. **Valuation Metrics**: - Target price for Hengli Hydraulic is set at Rmb135.0 based on a P/E ratio of 52x for 2026E [6] - Target price for Leader Drive is Rmb233, reflecting a P/E of 233x for 2026E [8] 3. **Risks Identified**: - For Hengli Hydraulic: Risks include weaker demand for components and lower profitability due to production scale issues [7] - For Leader Drive: Risks include slower growth in the automation market and higher raw material costs [9] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the developments in the humanoid robotics industry and the strategic positioning of the companies involved.

Summary of Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SS) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Hengli Hydraulic - **Industry**: Hydraulic components and machinery, including humanoid robots and aerospace systems Key Points Growth Drivers - **Revenue Growth**: Expected to accelerate to **20%-30% YoY** in 2026, up from mid-teens in 2025, driven by strong demand for excavator components and favorable product mix changes [1][1] - **New Business Contributions**: Anticipated revenue contributions from: - Aerospace - Brain-computer interface - Humanoid robots - **Revenue Contribution Order**: Aerospace > Brain-computer interface > Humanoid robot [1][1] Financial Guidance - **4Q25 Revenue Guidance**: Expected to exceed **Rmb3.0 billion**, with at least **30% YoY** growth. Management anticipates a **~Rmb200 million** FX loss due to Rmb appreciation, but expects bottom-line growth to outpace top-line growth due to GPM expansion [1][1] - **2026 Product Revenue Growth**: - Excavator components: **40% YoY** - Pumps and valves: **~20% YoY** - Non-excavator components: **20%-30% YoY**, with pumps and valves potentially exceeding **30%** and cylinders at **10%** [1][1] Humanoid Robot Business - **Mexico Plant**: Set to be ready by March or April 2026, with production starting in **3Q26**. Expected revenue from humanoid robots to exceed **Rmb100 million** in 2026 [2][2] Aerospace Business - **Current Operations**: Supplies hydraulic systems for launch pads and rockets, with an average selling price (ASP) of **~Rmb15 million**. GPM for this business is over **50%** [3][3] - **Revenue Growth**: Expected to increase from less than **Rmb50 million** in 2025 to more than **Rmb100 million** in 2026 [3][3] Brain-Computer Interface - **Revenue Forecast**: Expected to reach **Rmb100 million** in 2026, based on an ASP of **Rmb10,000** and **10,000 shipments** [6][6] Agricultural Machinery - **New Orders**: Secured orders from a global leader, increasing revenue by **Rmb500 million-600 million** in 2026. The total addressable market (TAM) for global mid-to-high-end agricultural machinery components is estimated to exceed **Rmb20 billion** [7][7] Ball Screw and Linear Guide - **Revenue Performance**: Combined revenue was **~Rmb100 million** in 2025, lower than expected. Management believes revenue could reach **Rmb300 million-500 million** in 2026, with recent monthly shipments at **Rmb15 million** [8][8] Risks - **Key Risks**: - Weaker demand for excavator and non-excavator components - Profitability issues at the ball screw and Mexico plants - Lower-than-expected GPM due to product mix changes [13][13] Valuation - **Target Price**: Set at **Rmb135.00**, based on a **52x 2026E P/E**, which aligns with its average P/E since 2021 plus **2.0x SD** [12][12] Market Overview - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately **Rmb162.4 billion** (US$23.33 billion) [4][4] - **Expected Total Return**: **12.1%**, including a **0.7% dividend yield** [4][4]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08% on January 21, with 18 out of the 28 sectors experiencing gains, led by the non-ferrous metals and electronics sectors, which increased by 2.79% and 2.62% respectively [1] - The mechanical equipment sector ranked third in terms of daily gains [1] - The banking and coal sectors saw the largest declines, with decreases of 1.58% and 1.57% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The net inflow of capital in the two markets was 11.983 billion yuan, with 14 sectors experiencing net inflows [1] - The electronics sector had the highest net capital inflow, amounting to 16.369 billion yuan, while the non-ferrous metals sector followed with a net inflow of 7.289 billion yuan [1] Mechanical Equipment Sector Performance - The mechanical equipment sector increased by 1.50% with a net capital inflow of 2.1 billion yuan, comprising 531 stocks, of which 405 rose and 112 fell [2] - Among the stocks in this sector, 247 experienced net capital inflows, with 14 stocks seeing inflows exceeding 100 million yuan [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflows were: - Jieli Rigging: 555.9 million yuan, up 10.03% - Hengli Hydraulic: 386.2 million yuan, up 5.43% - Yingweik: 285.0 million yuan, up 3.18% [2] Mechanical Equipment Sector Capital Outflow - The mechanical equipment sector also had stocks with significant capital outflows, with 6 stocks experiencing outflows exceeding 100 million yuan [3] - The top three stocks with the highest net outflows were: - Liou Shares: -242.9 million yuan, down 10.00% - Aerospace Power: -206.6 million yuan, down 9.68% - Raycus Laser: -183.4 million yuan, down 2.57% [3]

证券之星消息，1月21日工程机械板块较上一交易日上涨1.21%，海伦哲领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4116.94，上涨0.08%。深证成指报收于14255.12，上涨0.7%。工程机械板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 300201 | 海伦哲 | 8.10 | 8.29% | 78.81万 | | 6.20亿 | | 601100 | 恒立液压 | 121.12 | 5.43% | 20.85万 | | 24.76亿 | | 001226 | 拓山重工 | 50.23 | 5.08% | 2.92万 | | 1.45亿 | | 603280 | 南方路机 | 42.49 | 4.63% | 6.63万 | | 2.79亿 | | 301279 | 金直科技 | 34.74 | 4.58% | 2.77万 | | 9477.65万 | | 603638 | 艾迪精密 | 22.48 | 2.93% | 20.64万 | | 4.61亿 | | 60 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The Yaxia Hydropower Project, with an expected investment of over RMB 2 trillion, will significantly boost the demand for high - end and large - scale construction machinery, serving as a key investment catalyst for the construction machinery industry [1][5][7] - The 14th Five - Year Plan sets the tone for the industry, promoting original innovation and the development of strategic emerging industries. The equipment replacement demand in the machinery industry is expected to be gradually released, benefiting cyclical sectors such as construction machinery [1][12] - China's construction machinery export data has been growing rapidly. The Chinese market is at a cyclical inflection point, and exports are expected to rise from $234 billion in 2024 to $570 billion in 2030. Domestic companies' overseas revenue has increased significantly [1][17][22] - The CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index allows for one - click allocation of core construction machinery assets. It has high long - term returns, high volatility, and significant event - driven characteristics. The performance of its constituent stocks is expected to continue to improve [1][34][56] - The Huaxia CSI Construction Machinery ETF closely tracks the CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index, aiming to minimize tracking deviation and error [1][68] Summary by Directory 1. The 14th Five - Year Plan Sets the Tone for the Industry, and Domestic Brands Accelerate Overseas Expansion 1.1 The Yaxia Hydropower Project Starts, and Trillion - Dollar Investment Creates a Century - Long Project - The Yaxia Hydropower Project officially started in 2025. Its construction plan can be traced back to 2007, and it entered the implementation phase in 2024 [5] - Compared with the Three Gorges Project, the Yaxia Hydropower Project may have a dynamic investment of over RMB 2 trillion, and most of the investment will be used for power station construction and power transmission projects [7][9] 1.2 The 14th Five - Year Plan Sets the Tone for the Industry, and the Domestic and Overseas Sales of Excavators Continue to Improve Synchronously - The 14th Five - Year Plan emphasizes original innovation and the development of strategic emerging industries. The equipment replacement demand in the machinery industry is expected to be released, benefiting cyclical sectors [12] - In November 2025, the sales of various excavators reached 20,027 units, a year - on - year increase of 13.90%. Domestic sales increased by 9.11% year - on - year, and exports increased by 18.84% year - on - year, indicating the recovery of the industry [13] 1.3 The Global Construction Machinery Market is Vast, and China's Export Data Shows High Growth - The global construction machinery market is expected to grow from $213.5 billion in 2024 to $296.1 billion in 2030. The Chinese market is at a cyclical inflection point, expected to rise from $234 billion in 2024 to $570 billion in 2030 [17] - The global excavator market is expected to reach $92.8 billion in 2030. In China, excavators will lead the industry recovery with a growth rate of 16.8% [17] - Overseas markets account for nearly 90% of the global construction machinery market. China's construction machinery export volume has increased from $18.894 billion in 2020 to $52.829 billion in 2024, with a CAGR of 29.33% [22] 1.4 The Construction Machinery Cycle Reaches the Bottom and Rebounds, and Domestic Brands Accelerate Overseas Expansion - The excavator industry has experienced two cycles and is now in a new upward cycle. In 2024, the annual sales volume increased by 3.1% year - on - year, and from January to November 2025, the growth rate expanded to 16.7% [24] - The overseas revenue of the four major domestic construction machinery manufacturers has increased significantly. In 2024, the overseas revenue ratios of Sany Heavy Industry and Zoomlion exceeded 50% [27] - International giants still dominate the global market. Chinese construction machinery manufacturers such as XCMG, Sany Heavy Industry, and Zoomlion still have room for improvement in global market share [29] 2. The CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index: One - Click Allocation of Core Construction Machinery Assets 2.1 Index Compilation: Selecting Core Leaders in the Construction Machinery Industry - The CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index was released on September 27, 2021, with a base date of June 30, 2016. It selects 50 representative listed companies in the construction machinery field as samples to reflect the overall performance of construction machinery - related stocks [34] - The index samples are adjusted semi - annually, on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [36] 2.2 Industry Market Value Characteristics: High Concentration in the Construction Machinery Sector, with Market Value Structure Dominated by Leading Companies - As of January 6, 2026, the index has 50 constituent stocks, with an average total market value of RMB 28.131 billion. Five stocks have a market value of over RMB 100 billion [37] - The top ten constituent stocks of the index account for 72.55% of the total weight. The top three stocks by weight are XCMG, Sany Heavy Industry, and Weichai Power [43] - The index focuses on the construction machinery, auto parts, and special equipment sectors, with a combined proportion of over 87%. The construction machinery industry has the highest weight, at 61.99% [46] 2.3 High Elasticity, Offensive Nature, and Long - Term Allocation Value - In the rising market, the CSI Construction Machinery Index has strong explosive power. For example, from January 31 to April 19, 2019, its cumulative return was 44.07%, significantly higher than that of broad - based indices [50] - Since the base date, the cumulative return of the index has reached 153.95%, and the annualized return is 10.60%, far exceeding that of major broad - based indices. It has high volatility and a large maximum drawdown, indicating its high - elasticity offensive characteristics [56] - The index shows a pattern of leading in the up - cycle and adjusting in the down - cycle. In 2019 and 2025, its annual returns were significantly higher than those of broad - based indices [62] 2.4 High - Level Operation Supported by Positive Expectations, Highlighting the Attention of Sector Allocation - As of January 5, 2026, the P/E ratio of the CSI Construction Machinery Index was 24.13, with a historical quantile of 79.59%, and the P/B ratio was 2.26, with a historical quantile of 94.49%. The valuation is at a relatively high level [65] - The market's positive expectations for the industry have been reflected in the valuation, highlighting the long - term certainty of sector allocation [65] 3. Huaxia CSI Construction Machinery ETF - The Huaxia CSI Construction Machinery ETF (fund code: 515970) closely tracks the CSI Construction Machinery Theme Index, aiming to minimize tracking deviation and error. It started raising funds on January 19, 2026, and ended on January 30, 2026, with Wang Xinwei as the fund manager [68]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Hengli Hydraulic's stock price increased by 5.02% to 120.65 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.321 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 0.85%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 161.77 billion CNY [1] - Hengli Hydraulic, established on June 2, 2005, and listed on October 28, 2011, specializes in the research, production, and sales of high-pressure hydraulic cylinders [1] - The revenue composition of Hengli Hydraulic includes hydraulic cylinders (50.70%), hydraulic pumps, valves, and motors (38.16%), parts and castings (7.28%), hydraulic systems (3.16%), and others (0.69%) [1] Group 2 - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Hengli Hydraulic, Huatai-PB Fund's Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF (510300) reduced its holdings by 412,000 shares in the third quarter, now holding 9.1186 million shares, which is 0.68% of the circulating shares [2] - The Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF has a current scale of 425.581 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 1.99% and a one-year return of 26.52% [2] - The fund manager of Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF, Liu Jun, has a total asset scale of 542.504 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 189.56% and the worst being -45.64% [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Hengli Hydraulic has shown positive stock performance and financial growth, with significant increases in revenue and net profit year-on-year [1][2]. - As of January 21, Hengli Hydraulic's stock price increased by 2.00% to 117.18 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 157.12 billion CNY [1]. - The company has experienced a stock price increase of 6.61% year-to-date, with notable gains of 25.11% over the past 60 days [1]. Group 2 - For the period from January to September 2025, Hengli Hydraulic achieved operating revenue of 7.79 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.09 billion CNY, up 16.49% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 6.18 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.11 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3]. - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 15.76% to 36,900, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 18.70% to 36,379 shares [2].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Positive" [4] - The companies recommended for "Increase" rating are Zoomlion (000157), Hengli Hydraulic (601100), Jiechang Drive (603583), and Haomai Technology (002595) [4] Core Insights - The national construction machinery operating rate for 2025 is projected to be 44.89%, with 18 provinces exceeding 50% [14] - The sales volume of excavators for the entire year of 2025 is expected to reach 235,300 units, with domestic sales of 118,500 units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.9% [33] - The domestic humanoid robot industry remains highly prosperous, with several companies initiating IPO processes, indicating significant investment opportunities in the sector [33] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other departments have issued guidelines for the construction of zero-carbon factories, aiming to enhance energy efficiency and promote green transformation in key industries [14][15] Industry News - The construction machinery operating rate in 2025 is 44.89%, with leading provinces including Anhui, Zhejiang, and Jiangxi [14] - The port equipment operating rate has shown continuous growth from July to December 2025, indicating a shift in foreign trade dynamics [14] - The guidelines for zero-carbon factory construction emphasize systematic advancement and innovation-driven approaches to reduce carbon emissions in various industries [15] Company Announcements - Tianjin Jinrong Tianyu Precision Machinery Co., Ltd. announced an investment in an industrial fund to enhance its strategic development and market insight [23] - Guangzhou Dayilong Packaging Machinery Co., Ltd. forecasts a net profit growth of 51.88% to 86.27% for 2025, driven by market expansion and operational efficiency improvements [24] Market Review - From January 14 to January 20, 2026, the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index fell by 0.89%, while the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Industry rose by 1.23%, outperforming the index by 2.11 percentage points [25] - As of January 20, 2026, the price-to-earnings ratio (PE) for the Shenwan Machinery Equipment Industry is 50.55, with a valuation premium of 254.64% compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [26]

Investment Rating - The report rates the robotics industry as "Overweight," indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [2][8]. Core Insights - The robotics industry is currently experiencing a phase of intensive capitalization, with leading companies preparing for IPOs and existing firms leveraging differentiated capital platforms for expansion. This trend is driven by the industry's transition from zero to one, requiring significant capital for operations, and the favorable regulatory environment creating an optimal window for capitalization over the next 1 to 2 years [2]. - The commercialization of robotics is accelerating, with increased capital expenditure expected to catalyze the development of funding, R&D, industrialization, and application scenarios. The report outlines three stages of commercialization: industrial use, commercial use, and ultimately household use [2]. - Key segments benefiting from the 2026 industrialization of robotics include: 1. The robotics body segment, where leading companies are expected to catalyze market growth through IPOs [2]. 2. The robotics components and modules segment, supported by manufacturing companies in regions like the Yangtze River Delta and Pearl River Delta [2]. 3. The soft technology segment, which may see mergers and acquisitions involving quality startups and unicorns [2]. 4. The application segment, where companies with strong customer loyalty and viable scenarios are likely to launch successful products in collaboration with established robotics firms [2]. Summary by Sections - **Capitalization Phase**: The robotics industry is in a critical phase of capitalization, with numerous companies preparing for public offerings and leveraging existing platforms for growth [2]. - **Commercialization Stages**: The report identifies three stages of robotics commercialization, emphasizing the need for capital and policy support to transition from industrial to household applications [2]. - **Beneficial Segments**: The report highlights four key segments poised for growth, including robotics body, components, soft technology, and applications, each with unique investment opportunities [2]. - **Investment Opportunities**: Recommended stocks include leading companies such as Hengli Hydraulic, Zhejiang Rongtai, and others, indicating a focus on both core and domestic chains within the robotics sector [2].

Core Viewpoint - Hengli Hydraulic's stock has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a total market capitalization of 153.93 billion yuan, while the company shows a year-to-date stock price increase of 4.45% [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Hengli Hydraulic achieved a revenue of 7.79 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.31%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.09 billion yuan, which is a 16.49% increase compared to the previous year [2] Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Hengli Hydraulic decreased by 15.76% to 36,900, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 18.70% to 36,379 shares [2] - The company has distributed a total of 6.177 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.111 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3] Institutional Holdings - Among the top ten circulating shareholders, Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited is the fourth largest with 118 million shares, an increase of 15.19 million shares from the previous period [3] - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF is the sixth largest shareholder with 9.1186 million shares, a decrease of 412,000 shares, while E Fund CSI 300 ETF and Huaxia CSI 300 ETF have also seen reductions in their holdings [3]