证券代码：601965 证券简称：中国汽研 公告编号：临 2025-043 中国汽车工程研究院股份有限公司 关于为子公司开展票据池业务提供担保的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 担保对象及基本情况 | | | 重庆凯瑞特种车有限公司（以下简称"凯 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 瑞特种车公司"）、重庆凯瑞传动技术有 | | | | 限公司（以下简称"凯瑞传动公司"）、 | | | | 重庆凯瑞动力科技有限公司（以下简称"凯 | | | | 瑞动力公司"）、重庆凯瑞测试装备有限 | | | | 公司（以下简称"凯瑞装备公司"）、中 | | | | 汽院智能网联科技有限公司（以下简称"智 | | | 被担保人名称 | 能网联公司"）、中汽院新能源科技有限 | | | | 公司（以下简称"新能源公司"）、中汽 | | | | 院（重庆）汽车检测有限公司（以下简称 | | 担 保 | | "双桥试验场公司"）、中汽院（江苏） | | 对象 | | 汽车工程研究院有限公司（以下 ...

Market Overview - The automotive service sector experienced a decline of 1.04% on August 29, with Altec leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3857.93, up 0.37%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12696.15, up 0.99% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the automotive service sector included: - Jiao Yun Co. (600676) closed at 6.03, up 2.20% with a trading volume of 188,400 shares [1] - Bei Ba Media (600386) closed at 4.66, up 0.87% with a trading volume of 166,400 shares [1] - Altec (300825) closed at 11.92, down 5.25% with a trading volume of 401,700 shares and a transaction value of 484 million [2] - Hao Wu Co. (000757) closed at 4.84, down 3.20% with a trading volume of 285,100 shares and a transaction value of 139 million [2] Capital Flow - The automotive service sector saw a net outflow of 47.97 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 62.15 million [2] - The detailed capital flow for specific stocks showed: - Guo Ji Auto (600335) had a net inflow of 11.55 million from institutional investors [3] - Altec (300825) experienced a net outflow of 20.99 million from institutional investors [3] - Xiamen Xinda (000701) had a significant net outflow of 18.85 million from institutional investors [3]

Macroeconomic Insights - The average import tax rate in the U.S. increased by 6.6 percentage points compared to the end of 2024, which is lower than market expectations[5] - If the average import tax rate rises by 10% this year, it could push the PCE year-on-year growth rate to 3.1% and the core PCE to 3.4% under stable demand conditions[7] Consumer and Business Impact - As of June, U.S. businesses bore approximately 63% of the tariff costs, while consumers accounted for less than 40%[6] - The consumer price sensitivity may lead businesses to absorb a significant portion of tariff costs, affecting pricing strategies[6] Durable Goods and Construction Sector - Domestic demand for construction remains weak, with steel and glass prices declining, while cement prices have rebounded due to enhanced production management[9] - Retail sales of passenger vehicles increased, with a year-on-year growth of 8% in daily sales from August 11 to August 17[10] Insurance Sector Performance - The insurance industry reported a total premium income of CNY 420.85 billion from January to July 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.8%[14] - Life insurance premiums reached CNY 258.61 billion in July, marking a significant year-on-year increase of 33.5%[15] Steel Industry Outlook - China's crude steel production from January to July 2025 was 594 million tons, a decrease of 3.1% year-on-year, indicating a contraction in production capacity[25] - The steel industry is expected to stabilize in 2025 due to a combination of demand recovery and supply-side reductions[27]

Group 1: Investment Banking and Brokerage Industry - As of August 25, 2025, the Wind All A index has increased by 16% and the Sci-Tech Innovation 50 index has risen by 28% since Q3 2025, indicating significant market activity[5] - The self-operated equity business is a key source of performance elasticity for brokerages, with a focus on self-operated business complemented by investment banking and private equity investments[6] - From 2015 to 2024, the scale of fixed income self-operated assets increased from CNY 908.1 billion to CNY 4.5 trillion, while equity self-operated assets decreased from CNY 449.7 billion to CNY 399.2 billion, indicating a shift in focus[6] Group 2: Solid-State Battery Investment Opportunities - Solid-state batteries are expected to become a key development direction due to their advantages in safety and energy density, with significant market potential in consumer batteries and electric vehicles[8] - The core materials for solid-state electrolytes include oxides, polymers, halides, and sulfides, with sulfides being a promising choice for future all-solid-state batteries[9] - The industrialization of semi-solid-state batteries has progressed rapidly, with several automakers achieving mass production since 2022, while all-solid-state batteries are expected to achieve mass production around 2027[10] Group 3: Solar Energy Industry - The solar energy sector is currently at a bottoming phase, with a recent meeting involving six departments aimed at regulating competition and promoting fair practices in the industry[17] - The average price of various solar components, including N-type silicon wafers and TOPCon batteries, has remained stable, indicating a steady market environment[18] - The solar sector's valuation as of August 22, 2025, is at 20.93 times TTM, which is relatively low compared to other sectors, suggesting potential investment opportunities[20]

Macro Strategy - The core viewpoint highlights the unprecedented removal of Federal Reserve Governor Cook by Trump, raising concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve and the potential for more "Trump-aligned" appointees, which could lead to increased expectations for interest rate cuts in the future [1] - Following the removal announcement, market reactions included rising long-term U.S. Treasury yields and gold prices, while the U.S. dollar index declined, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards risk assets [1] Fixed Income - The report indicates a cautious approach in the convertible bond market, suggesting a reduction in exposure to high-priced targets while increasing allocations to ETFs to balance risks [2][3] - The 10-year government bond yield increased from 1.745% to 1.785%, reflecting market adjustments to macroeconomic conditions [2] Industry Insights - New Lai Ying Material (300260) reported improved Q2 performance, benefiting from growth in the semiconductor and liquid cooling sectors, with a focus on domestic substitution and an optimized customer structure [5][6] - Li Yuan Heng (688499) achieved profitability with a robust order backlog in solid-state battery equipment, indicating a strong operational cash flow and successful delivery to major clients [7] - Jin Zai Food (003000) is experiencing a Q2 adjustment period, leading to a downward revision of profit forecasts for 2025-2027, reflecting a mismatch between internal expansion strategies and external market conditions [8][9] - Anpei Long (301413) reported steady growth in its temperature and pressure sensor business while investing in humanoid robotics, adjusting profit forecasts for 2025-2026 [10] - Xinde New Materials (301349) is seeing significant growth in fast-charging products, with profit forecasts adjusted upwards due to improved margins [11] - The report on China National Railway (601766) indicates strong growth in H1 2025, driven by recovery in railway fixed asset investments [18] - The report on China Duty Free Group (601888) highlights a narrowing revenue decline in Q2 2025, with a focus on expanding city store operations to boost sales [31] - Yun Aluminum (000807) reported a 17.98% increase in revenue for H1 2025, with a focus on maintaining high profit margins amid fluctuating aluminum prices [32][33]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车服务 中国汽研（601965） 2025 中报点评：传统检测业务收入略降，业 绩略低预期 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,096 | 4,697 | 5,471 | 6,997 | 8,388 | | 同比（%） | 24.48 | 14.65 | 16.50 | 27.88 | 19.88 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 836.17 | 907.78 | 1,113.61 | 1,393.54 | 1,717.02 | | 同比（%） | 21.33 | 8.56 | 22.67 | 25.14 | 23.21 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.83 | 0.91 | 1.11 | 1.39 | 1.71 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 22.97 | 21.16 | 17.25 | 13.78 | 11.19 | [Table_Tag] ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000757 | 浩物股份 | 5.34 | 4.30% | 46.47万 | 2.48亿 | | 601965 | 中国汽研 | 18.87 | -1.46% | 8.90万 | 1.70亿 | | 600653 | 申博控股 | 2.01 | -1.95% | 52.88万 | 1.08亿 | | 301215 | 中汽股份 | 6.44 | -2.28% | 1 20.40万 | 1.34亿 | | 600676 | 交运股份 | 5.84 | -2.67% | 23.64万 | 1.41亿 | | 000701 | 厦门信达 | 6.01 | -2.75% | 28.70万 | 1.75亿 | | 600386 | 北巴传媒 | 4.62 | -2.94% | 12.77万 | 5999.88万 | | 838030 | 德众汽车 | 7.23 | -3.21% | 3.23万 | 2385.00万 | | 600335 | 国机汽车 | ...

最近三个交易日，22日-26日，中国汽研分别获融资买入0.10亿元、0.07亿元、0.14亿元。 融券方面，当日融券卖出0.24万股，净卖出0.23万股。 8月26日，沪深两融数据显示，中国汽研获融资买入额0.14亿元，居两市第1376位，当日融资偿还额0.10 亿元，净买入343.83万元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue for the first half of 2025, but showed growth in net profit, indicating a shift in focus towards higher-margin businesses and strategic restructuring [2][3]. Revenue Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.911 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.48% [2]. - Q2 2025 revenue was 1.024 billion yuan, down 10.15% year-on-year but up 15.35% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Profit Summary - H1 2025 net profit attributable to shareholders was 409 million yuan, an increase of 1.84% year-on-year [2]. - Q2 2025 net profit was 231 million yuan, a decrease of 2.84% year-on-year but an increase of 29.43% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The company's net profit margin for Q2 2025 was 22.52%, up 1.69 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Margin Analysis - Q2 2025 gross margin reached 45.19%, an increase of 3.87 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a higher proportion of revenue from high-margin technical services [3]. Expense Overview - In Q2 2025, the expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs increased, with financial costs rising due to reduced interest income from increased project investment [3]. Strategic Developments - The establishment of the East China headquarters, with an investment exceeding 2.3 billion yuan, aims to create a comprehensive R&D testing system covering various advanced laboratories and technologies [4]. - The headquarters will focus on new energy, intelligent driving, communication software, and components, enhancing the company's capabilities in these areas [4]. Industry Trends - The introduction of mandatory national standards for intelligent connected vehicles is expected to open new growth opportunities in the sector [5]. - The automotive testing industry is characterized by high barriers to entry, both in terms of assets and qualifications, with the company's performance expected to grow due to faster new car launches and product upgrades [6]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 4.854 billion, 5.570 billion, and 6.381 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 1.066 billion, 1.289 billion, and 1.540 billion yuan [9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of over 15% relative to the benchmark index [6][12]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.911 billion yuan for H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.48%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 409 million yuan, an increase of 1.84% year-on-year [1]. - The decline in revenue is attributed to the exit from low-margin specialized vehicle businesses, while the gross margin significantly improved to 45.19%, up 3.87 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - The establishment of the East China headquarters, with an investment exceeding 2.3 billion yuan, aims to create a comprehensive R&D testing system covering various advanced laboratories [3]. - The introduction of mandatory national standards for intelligent connected vehicles is expected to open new growth opportunities for the company [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 1.024 billion yuan, down 10.15% year-on-year but up 15.35% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for the same period was 231 million yuan, a decrease of 2.84% year-on-year but an increase of 29.43% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 4.854 billion yuan, 5.570 billion yuan, and 6.381 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.066 billion yuan, 1.289 billion yuan, and 1.540 billion yuan [4][5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 1.06 yuan, 1.29 yuan, and 1.54 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 15, and 12 [4][5].