丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 谁来接长债？ 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 近期债市中短端抗跌，但超长端利差再次走阔。当前债市的困局在于财政的拉久期节奏，和央 行买长债的节奏并不一致，当前债市缺少长债的买入力量。后续债市如何恢复超长端的供求平 衡？我们认为主要有以下三种路径，并对每种路径进行了验证及测算：1）央行开始明显买入长 久期国债；2）长债利率继续调整后，财政系统在面临长端融资成本攀升的时候，会理性选择缩 短发行久期；3）大行进一步得到注资，或缓解利率敏感性监管指标压力，让大行有空间继续买 入长久期债券。在这一矛盾缓解之前，我们预计中短端相对抗跌，而超长端可能继续震荡偏弱。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马月 马玮健 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490525080001 SFC：BVN394 %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 谁来接长债？ [Table_Summary2] 近期债市中短端抗跌，而超长端利差再走阔 近期债市中短端抗跌，但超长端利差再次走阔，主因超长端 ...

Core Insights - The 21st Century Economic Report held its annual securities industry conference and the 2025 Fifth Golden Analyst Awards in Guangzhou, recognizing 25 institutions for their achievements in research and analysis [1] Group 1: Awards and Participants - The awards attracted participation from over 30 institutions, including prominent firms like GF Securities, Changjiang Securities, Guotai Junan, and Tianfeng Securities [1] - A total of 33 industry analyst awards and 8 special awards were established, covering traditional sectors such as banking and real estate, as well as emerging fields like robotics and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] Group 2: Performance of Institutions - Changjiang Securities, Guotai Junan, and GF Securities were the top performers, winning 23, 23, and 22 awards respectively, with GF Securities leading in nine sectors including strategy research and real estate [2] - Other notable institutions such as Dongwu Securities, Shenwan Hongyuan, and Industrial Securities also performed well, each securing over 10 awards [2] Group 3: Special Awards - Over 20 institutions received honors in the institutional category, with GF Securities, Changjiang Securities, Guotai Junan, and CITIC Securities each winning three institutional awards [3] - In the personal awards category, 10 chief economists were recognized as "Best Chief Economist for High-Quality Development 2025," while 25 analysts were awarded "2025 Growth Analyst" titles [3]

Core Insights - The launch of the Donghu Center marks a new phase for the Yangtze Industrial Group's listed companies, emphasizing a strategy of cluster synergy and ecological empowerment [1][2] Group 1: Strategic Development - The Donghu Center serves as a headquarters for listed companies in Wuhan, acting as a hub for capital, technology, and market connections, and is positioned as a strategic point for the central China region [2] - The center's establishment is part of a strategic layout that integrates ecological and technological innovation, aiming to combine industrial momentum with ecological advantages [2][4] Group 2: Comprehensive Empowerment Platform - The Donghu Center is designed as a comprehensive platform with a focus on "one base and three centers," which includes a Wuhan base, a central sales center, a results display center, and a roadshow release center [3] - This platform aims to consolidate resources, enhance brand image, and facilitate a shift from isolated efforts to collective strategies among listed companies [3] Group 3: Innovation and Industry Integration - The event featured presentations from eight listed companies showcasing their achievements in technology-driven high-quality development across various sectors, including biomedicine and new energy materials [4] - The Donghu Center will facilitate the integration of innovation, industry, finance, and talent, contributing to the establishment of Wuhan as a nationally influential technology innovation center [4]

Core Points - The 2025 Fifth "21st Century Gold Medal Analyst" awards were announced, covering 33 industry analyst awards and 8 special awards, reflecting trends in traditional and emerging sectors like banking, non-bank finance, real estate, robotics, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] - The special awards recognize institutions and individuals for their significant contributions in areas such as financial research, think tank studies, ESG research, overseas research, and influential brokerage research [1] Industry Awards - The awards included categories for various sectors, with notable winners such as: - **Banking**: First place went to GF Securities, followed by Zheshang Securities and Dongwu Securities [3][5] - **Strategy Research**: First place awarded to GF Securities, with Guotai Junan Securities and Tianfeng Securities following [3] - **Fixed Income**: Top honors went to Huachuang Securities, with Caitong Securities and Industrial Securities in the next positions [4] - **Real Estate and Construction**: GF Securities ranked first, followed by Shenwan Hongyuan and Changjiang Securities [8] Special Awards - The special awards recognized: - **Best Research Institution for Financial Articles**: Shenwan Hongyuan Research [16] - **Best Think Tank Research Institution**: Guotai Junan Securities Research Institute [17] - **Best ESG Research Institution**: Nanhua Futures Research Institute [17] - **Best Overseas Research Institution**: CITIC Securities Research Development Department [17] Individual Awards - Individual awards included: - **Influential Brokerage Research Institute Director**: Long River Securities [16] - **Best Chief Economist for High-Quality Development**: Li Xunlei from Zhongtai Securities [15] - **Growth Analyst**: Multiple analysts from various firms recognized [15]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Stock Connect Financial R (HKD) Index (483026) closed at 10,527.47 points, up 1.15%, with a trading volume of 51.949 billion HKD and a turnover rate of 0.43% on December 5 [1] Group 1: Index Performance - The index saw 65 constituent stocks rise, with Ruida Futures leading at a 10.01% increase, while 22 stocks declined, with Electric Power Investment and Financing leading at a 3.86% decrease [1] - The top ten constituent stocks by weight include HSBC Holdings (15.53%), China Construction Bank (11.08%), and AIA Group (8.37%) [1] Group 2: Market Capitalization - The total market capitalization of the top ten stocks includes HSBC Holdings at 1,733.079 billion HKD, China Construction Bank at 1,897.727 billion HKD, and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China at 2,050.886 billion HKD [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - The net inflow of main funds into the index's constituent stocks totaled 1.556 billion HKD, while speculative funds saw a net outflow of 488 million HKD, and retail investors experienced a net outflow of 1.068 billion HKD [3] - Notable net inflows include Dongfang Wealth at 532 million HKD and Guotai Junan Securities at 132 million HKD, while significant outflows were observed in Guangfa Securities and Changjiang Securities [3]

（责任编辑：贺翀 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 中金公司12月3日公告，鉴于本次重组相关事项存在重大不确定性，股票将继续停牌。同日，信达 证券也公告，筹划重大资产重组，A股股票将继续停牌。 | 代码 | 名称 | | 涨幅% ↓ | 总市值 | 年初至今涨幅% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 601696 | 中银证券 | 1 | 10.02 | 387亿 | 25.23 | | 601377 | 兴业证券 | 兼 | 8.65 | 640亿 | 20.13 | | 600095 | 湘刚股份 | 演 | 5.99 | 339亿 | 64.72 | | 000686 | 东北证券 | | 4.25 | 218亿 | 20.58 | | 601688 | 华泰证券 | 1 | 3.87 | 1989亿 | 27.40 | | 0007 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the 2025 Analyst Conference and the 7th Sina Finance "Golden Unicorn" Best Analyst Award Ceremony, which gathered over 300 influential figures from academia, public and private equity, and top fund managers to discuss future opportunities in the Chinese capital market [2]. Macro Economic Research | Best Analysts - The top analysts in macroeconomic research were recognized, with Zhejiang Securities leading the list, followed by Guangfa Securities and Dongwu Securities [5]. - The ranking includes various institutions and their respective research teams, showcasing the competitive landscape in the analysis of macroeconomic trends [5]. Strategy Research | Best Analysts - Guangfa Securities topped the strategy research category, with a strong team recognized for their analytical capabilities [6]. - Other notable institutions include Shenwan Hongyuan Securities and Guolian Minsheng Securities, reflecting a diverse range of expertise in strategic analysis [6]. Financial Engineering | Best Analysts - The best analysts in financial engineering were led by Guosen Securities, indicating a strong focus on innovative financial solutions [8]. - Other institutions like Shenwan Hongyuan Securities and China Merchants Securities also featured prominently in the rankings [8]. Fixed Income Research | Best Analysts - Zhejiang Securities was recognized as the top firm in fixed income research, highlighting its expertise in this critical area [10]. - The rankings included several other firms, indicating a robust competition in fixed income analysis [10]. Banking Industry | Best Analysts - Zhejiang Securities emerged as the leader in the banking industry analysis, showcasing its strong research capabilities [12]. - Other firms like Zhongtai Securities and Dongfang Securities also made significant contributions to the rankings [12]. Non-Banking Financial Industry | Best Analysts - The top analysts in the non-banking financial sector were led by Guangfa Securities, reflecting its strong analytical team [13]. - Other notable firms included Dongwu Securities and Xinyuan Securities, indicating a competitive environment in this sector [13]. Real Estate Industry | Best Analysts - Guangfa Securities was recognized as the top analyst in the real estate sector, demonstrating its expertise in this critical market [15]. - Other firms like Changjiang Securities and China Merchants Securities also ranked highly, indicating a strong focus on real estate analysis [15]. Media Industry | Best Analysts - Guangfa Securities led the media industry analysis, showcasing its strong research capabilities [17]. - Other firms like Guohai Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan Securities also made significant contributions to the rankings [17]. Innovative Drug Industry | Best Analysts - The top analysts in the innovative drug sector were led by Industrial Securities, indicating a strong focus on healthcare research [18]. - Other notable firms included CITIC Securities and Dongwu Securities, reflecting a competitive landscape in this industry [18]. New Energy Equipment Industry | Best Analysts - Changjiang Securities was recognized as the top analyst in the new energy equipment sector, highlighting its expertise in this growing field [20]. - Other firms like Dongwu Securities and Tianfeng Securities also ranked highly, indicating a robust competition in new energy analysis [20]. Robotics and High-End Manufacturing Industry | Best Analysts - Guangfa Securities topped the rankings in the robotics and high-end manufacturing sector, showcasing its analytical strengths [21]. - Other firms like Changjiang Securities and Zhejiang Securities also made significant contributions to the rankings [21]. Public Utilities Industry | Best Analysts - Changjiang Securities was recognized as the top analyst in the public utilities sector, reflecting its strong research capabilities [24]. - Guangfa Securities and Huayuan Securities also ranked highly, indicating a competitive environment in public utility analysis [24]. Environmental Protection Industry | Best Analysts - Guangfa Securities led the environmental protection sector analysis, showcasing its expertise in sustainability [26]. - Other firms like Dongwu Securities and Tianfeng Securities also made significant contributions to the rankings [26]. Computer Industry | Best Analysts - Guolian Minsheng Securities was recognized as the top analyst in the computer industry, reflecting its strong research capabilities [29]. - Other notable firms included Guangfa Securities and Changjiang Securities, indicating a competitive landscape in computer analysis [29]. Home Appliances Industry | Best Analysts - Guolian Minsheng Securities topped the rankings in the home appliances sector, showcasing its analytical strengths [31]. - Other firms like Changjiang Securities and Kaiyuan Securities also ranked highly, indicating a robust competition in this industry [31]. Transportation and Logistics Industry | Best Analysts - Changjiang Securities was recognized as the top analyst in the transportation and logistics sector, reflecting its strong research capabilities [33]. - Other firms like Shenwan Hongyuan Securities and Huachuang Securities also made significant contributions to the rankings [33]. Military Industry | Best Analysts - Guangfa Securities led the military industry analysis, showcasing its expertise in defense-related research [34]. - Other firms like Industrial Securities and Changjiang Securities also ranked highly, indicating a competitive environment in military analysis [34].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" and is maintained [6] Core Insights - The successful launch of the Zhuque-3 rocket is expected to accelerate the development of commercial aerospace in China, with 2027-2028 projected as a pivotal year for the industry [2][10] - The Zhuque-3 rocket, designed for large constellation networking tasks, demonstrates significant capabilities including a reusable design and a payload capacity of no less than 18 tons for near-Earth orbit [10] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring capital expenditure changes among downstream operators, as well as focusing on the related industrial chains of Shanghai Yuanxin and Zhuque-3 [2][10] Summary by Sections Event Description - On December 3, 2025, the Zhuque-3 rocket successfully completed its flight mission, marking a significant milestone in China's commercial aerospace efforts [4] Event Commentary - The Zhuque-3 rocket is a new generation of low-cost, high-capacity, and reusable launch vehicle, which is expected to support major national aerospace projects and satellite internet deployment [10] - The report highlights the stable and reliable performance of the rocket during its flight, although there was an issue with the vertical recovery attempt of the first stage [10] - The rapid development of commercial aerospace in China is anticipated, with a focus on the advancements in large thrust reusable rockets by private enterprises and research institutions [10]

证券代码：000783 证券简称：长江证券 公告编号：2025-091 长江证券股份有限公司关于 召开 2025 年第二次临时股东大会的提示性公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 根据长江证券股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）第十届董事会 第二十二次会议决议，公司定于 2025 年 12 月 9 日召开 2025 年第二 次临时股东大会，公司董事会已于 2025 年 11 月 22 日在巨潮资讯网 （www.cninfo.com.cn）刊登了《长江证券股份有限公司关于召开 2025 年第二次临时股东大会的通知》，现将会议有关事项提示公告如下： 一、召开会议的基本情况 2、网络投票日期和时间：网络投票系统包括深圳证券交易所系 1 统和互联网投票系统（网址：http://wltp.cninfo.com.cn）。通过交易系 统进行网络投票的时间为 2025 年 12 月 9 日（星期二）9:15-9:25， 9:30-11:30，13:00-15:00；通过互联网投票系统进行网络投票的时间 为 2025 年 12 月 9 日（星期二）9:15 至 15 ...

| 债券名称 | 长江证券股份有限公司2025年面向专业投资者公开发行科技创 新公司债券（第二期） | | --- | --- | | 债券简称 | 25 长江 K2 | | 债券代码 | 524558 | | 信用评级 | 主体 AAA，债项无 | | 评级机构 | 联合资信评估股份有限公司 | | 发行总额（亿元） | 7 | | 债券期限 | 5 年 | | 票面年利率（％） | 2.15 | | 利率形式 | 固定利率 | | 付息频率 | 每年付息一次 | | 发行日 | 2025 11 27 2025 11 28 年 月 日至 年 月 日 | | 起息日 | 2025 年 11 月 28 日 | | 上市日 | 2025 年 12 月 4 日 | | 到期日 | 2030 11 28 年 月 日 | | 债券面值 | 100 元 | | 开盘参考价 | 100 元 | （以下无正文） 1 证券代码：000783 证券简称：长江证券 公告编号：2025-092 债券代码：524558 债券简称：25 长江 K2 长江证券股份有限公司 2025 年面向专业投资者 公开发行科技创新公司债券（第二期）在深 ...