固定收益丨深度报告 [Table_Title] 公募基金三十年：发展脉络与机构配置策略 ——"税费改革五部曲"系列报告之四 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary] 在 2025 年债市震荡深化的背景下，公募基金行业以年末销售费用新规落地为标志，完成了历 时两年多的费率改革。回顾行业三十年，监管始终以税收优惠与费率规范为抓手，推动行业高 质量发展，债券基金也自 2002 年填补市场空白后成长为行业核心。当前，银行、保险、理财 等主要机构投资者的基金配置行为呈现显著差异：银行配置以债基为主导，保险配置多元且侧 重权益，理财则以债基为主但对短期品种有更高偏好。此外，作为资管新规过渡期产物的摊余 成本法债基，其新增审批受到一定限制，持仓结构从政金债向信用债倾斜。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 赖逸儒 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490524120005 SFC：BVN394 SFC：BVZ968 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 20 %% %% %% %% 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 research.955 ...

科创创业ETF国泰（588360）跟踪的是科创创业50指数（931643），单日涨跌幅限制达20%，该指数从 科创板与创业板中选取市值较大的50只新兴产业上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映代表性新兴产业的 整体表现。指数聚焦于电子、电力设备、通信、医药生物等行业，强调科技属性和创新成长性，行业配 置相对均衡。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 2月26日，高景气成长板块上行，科创创业ETF国泰（588360）涨超1%。 长江证券指出，宽基科创创业50指数覆盖了科创板与创业板中市值大、流动性好的50家新兴产业上市公 司，其行业分布以电力设备及新能源、电子、医药、计算机等硬科技领域为核心。这些行业作为新质生 产力的典型代表，是培育和发展新兴产业、未来产业的关键领域，当前正受到国家产业政策与金融资源 的大力支持。从基本面看，相关行业整体处于高景气成长阶段，技术创新活跃，长期成长空间广阔。指 数成分股作为各细分领域的龙头公司，有望持续受益于产业升级和国产替代趋势，展现出较强的盈利增 长潜力与投资价值。 ...

文章来源：用益研究 撕掉旧标签 信托何以"无可替代"？ 2026年我们或许会见证"温和的分流"：普通投资者将更审慎地选择信托产品，把注意力转向其他资管渠 道；信托公司将一头扎进专业的深水区，用硬核服务能力换取高净值客户的长期托付。 业内观点： 1、现在独立研究、依据市场口碑作出选择的客户占据主流，理财顾问的作用变得很有限。客户的产品 筛选标准已变得极致严苛，对任何负面舆情都会"一票否决"。 2、专业、合规将是2026年行业发展的关键词。本源业务发展逻辑与传统放贷模式完全不同。行业现在 缺的不是项目，而是能搞定这些复杂事务的专业人才。未来，谁能真正为高净值客户解决复杂的法律、 税务、传承等综合性问题，谁才可能建立护城河。 3、对于投资者而言，2026年需要更新认知：信托或许正在撕掉"大众理财产品"的旧标签，转而锚定综 合金融解决方案提供者的新定位。2026年，若为博取收益，可选的优秀资管产品有很多；若投资者有财 富传承等综合性金融需求，信托凭借其制度优势，依然无可替代。 481只去年收益告负基金年内业绩转正 Wind资讯数据显示，截至2月23日，今年以来已有481只去年收益告负的基金实现净值增长率转正，其 中1 ...

具体来看，华泰证券的"涨乐财富通"和国泰海通的"国泰海通君弘"保持行业领跑地位，1月份月活分别为1281.5万、1100.99 万，环比分别增长5.73%、5.85%。 本报记者 于宏 随着市场趋势向好，证券类App的用户活跃程度水涨船高。易观千帆数据显示，1月份，证券类App月活跃用户数（以下简 称"月活"）达1.84亿，同比增长13.86%，环比增长5.11%。 多家券商增速亮眼 同时，多家综合实力较强的大型券商旗下App也展现出强劲活力。1月份，平安证券App"平安证券"月活为937.28万，环比 增长5.56%；招商证券App"招商证券"、中信证券App"中信证券信e投"、国泰海通App"国泰海通通财"、中信建投证券App"蜻蜓 点金"月活均超700万，环比增幅均在4%以上。同期，广发证券App"广发易淘金"月活规模环比增长5.53%，达736.42万，跻身月 活700万以上阵营。 从环比增速来看，1月份，月活环比增速居首的券商App是国信证券的"国信金太阳"，月活规模达442.1万，环比增长 7.94%；紧随其后的是国投证券App"国投证券"，月活规模达368.64万，环比增长7.08%。 "展望未 ...

昨日，市场冲高回落，创业板指盘中一度涨超2%，沪深两市成交额2.2万亿。全市场超4000只个股上 涨，其中109只个股涨停。从板块来看，油气股、化工、培育钻石、玻纤等概念表现活跃。下跌方面， 影视院线、AI应用等板块跌幅居前。截至收盘，沪指涨0.87%，深成指涨1.36%，创业板指涨0.99%。 在今日券商晨会上，中信证券表示，从工具到生产力，OpenClaw引领Agent范式变革；长江证券认为， 文旅限价保量，线下餐饮独秀；华泰证券认为，国产机器人亮相春晚有望点燃市场热情。 中信证券：从工具到生产力，OpenClaw引领Agent范式变革 今年春节前地方政府未雨绸缪，纷纷提前出台补贴政策，对春节消费形成托底。从假期文旅消费看，跨 区域人流维持温和正增长，且大年初二后人流复苏明显，出行方式上平价出行更受青睐，同时今年出行 呈现出"长线游、全家游、反向过年"三大特征，但代表性的机票、酒店价格整体偏弱，指向限价保量特 征仍在。从假期市内消费看，10大城市商圈人流恢复率偏弱，商务部监测数据显示，商圈购物数据差强 人意，但其中餐饮表现较为亮眼，而电影票房偏弱，也指向居民消费能力仍有待恢复。 华泰证券：国产机器人亮相春 ...

2026年2月14日，证监会官网披露，长江证券已提交《关于成都和鸿科技股份有限公司首次公开发行股票并上市辅导备案报告》。和鸿科技的辅导机构为 长江证券承销保荐有限公司，律师事务所为上海市锦天城律师事务所，会计师事务所为信永中和会计师事务所（特殊普通合伙）。 成都和鸿科技股份有限公司，位于成都市，主要从事航空民用发动机零部件、飞机结构零部件生产制造。法定代表人周乐力。 和鸿科技的控股股东及持股比例情况如下：上海鹰和资产管理有限公司持有成都和鸿科技股份有限公司6，042．9834万股股份，占公司总股本的比例为 28.53％，为公司的控股股东。 天眼查信息显示，和鸿科技历史上获得了航发基金、四川发展、上海科创、张江火炬创投、华仓资本、海望资本等投资机构的投资。 | | | 【成都和鸿科技股份有限公司】的 4 条融资历程信息 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 披露目期 | 融资轮次 | 融资金额 | 投资方 | 关联机构 | | 1 | 2022-09-22 | C+轮 | 未披露 | 上海张江水柜创业投资有限公司 合肥兴邦先进制造股权投资合伙 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 美国关税"内乱"，大类资产有何影响？ ——海外利率与大类资产配置周报 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 春节假期中，海外关注三大事件：第一，美国最高法判决芬太尼关税和全球对等关税无效，特 朗普加征 15%全球关税应对，边际利好我国出口，预计今年增速中枢或在 5%以上。第二，美国 四季度 GDP 增速超预期回落，经济 K 型分化显著。第三，美伊分歧严重，中东局势再度升级。 大类资产多数共振回升，原油表现最为强势，商品仍然维持超高波动。综合考虑假期相关海外 事件，贵金属与原油短期最受益。长期而言，年内更看好黄金和铜。前者涨价根本逻辑没有变 化，而对于后者，在供给端中长期刚性的背景下，需求端叙事仍在，年内涨幅或超黄金。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 马骏 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490525120004 SFC：BVN394 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 美国关税"内乱"，大类资产有何影响？ 2] —— ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Market Perform" rating for the brokerage sector, indicating a synchronized performance with the market [1]. Core Insights - The brokerage index attempted to strengthen in January 2026 but ultimately failed, resulting in a decline of 1.49%, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.65% [5][8]. - The brokerage sector experienced increased differentiation, with a notable number of stocks outperforming the brokerage index, leading to a higher average P/B ratio fluctuating between 1.426 and 1.541 times [5][11][14]. - The overall market conditions for January 2026 were characterized by a significant increase in trading volumes and a record high in margin financing balances, indicating a robust trading environment despite the sector's overall weakness [7][30]. Summary by Sections 1. January 2026 Brokerage Market Review - The brokerage index's performance was weak, with a 1.49% decline, ranking 28th among 30 industry indices [5][8]. - The average P/B ratio for the brokerage sector fluctuated between 1.426 and 1.541 times, reflecting a slight increase in valuation [14]. - A total trading volume of 1.03 trillion yuan was recorded, marking a 40.1% increase month-on-month [9]. 2. Key Market Factors Impacting January 2026 Performance - The equity market faced resistance after an initial rise, while the fixed income market showed signs of mild recovery, contributing to a rebound in proprietary trading [7][18]. - The average daily trading volume reached a historical high of 3.05 trillion yuan, with a total monthly trading volume of 60.90 trillion yuan, indicating a strong recovery in brokerage activity [26]. - Margin financing balances reached 27,153 billion yuan, reflecting a 6.9% month-on-month increase and a 53.1% year-on-year increase [30]. 3. February 2026 Performance Outlook for Listed Brokerages - Proprietary trading is expected to decline due to a cooling equity market, while brokerage activity may experience a seasonal drop in performance [7][40]. - The brokerage index is anticipated to face continued weakness, with a potential drop in overall monthly performance expected to return to relative lows seen in the previous 12 months [7][45]. - The report suggests that if the brokerage sector's valuation drops to 1.3x P/B, it may present a good opportunity for re-entry, particularly for leading firms with strong wealth management capabilities [7].

Group 1 - Western Securities launched an online service from February 16 to 23, featuring 15 conference calls, with a focus on the AI industry, which gained significant attention during the holiday period [1] - Over 100 brokerage roadshows were scheduled during the Spring Festival, with more than 20 online roadshows from February 16 to 18 and over 80 roadshows from February 19 to 23, indicating a strong demand for research services [3] - Smaller brokerages have become the main players in holiday roadshows, using differentiated competition strategies to effectively reach target clients and meet the research needs of institutions holding stocks during the holiday [3] Group 2 - The surge in holiday roadshows is attributed to increased competition in the sell-side research industry amid a backdrop of reduced fees for public funds, with brokerage commission income declining significantly [4] - In the first half of 2025, total brokerage commission income fell by 33.98% year-on-year, with Western Securities experiencing a decline of over 20% and other firms like Open Source Securities seeing declines exceeding 40% [4] - Future industry developments suggest that large comprehensive brokerages will continue strategic investments in research, while medium-sized brokerages will intensify competition to offset the impact of declining fees [4]

Company Performance - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 3.695 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 101.37% [1] - The non-deducted net profit is projected to be 3.775 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 108.60% [1] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total operating revenue of 8.49 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.37 billion yuan, with a weighted average return on equity of 9.23%, ranking first among listed securities firms [1] Stock Performance - On February 13, the company's stock price closed at 7.80 yuan, down 2.01%, marking a 60-day low, with a trading volume of 435 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.0% [1] - The stock has cumulatively declined by 2.01% over the past five days and 8.34% over the past 20 days, with a year-to-date decrease of 4.29% [1] - Technical indicators show that the stock price has fallen below all major moving averages, with a negative MACD histogram value of -0.141 and a KDJ indicator K value of 8.50, indicating an oversold condition [1] Market Environment - The securities sector index fell by 1.03% on the same day, while the non-bank financial sector dropped by 1.26%, underperforming the broader market [2] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission announced penalties against Tianfeng Securities and other brokerages on February 14, indicating stricter regulations that have impacted industry sentiment [2] - The stock price hitting a 60-day low is attributed to a combination of technical adjustments, capital outflows, and industry sentiment, contrasting with the company's strong fundamentals [2]